Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

Hibernian 0–4 Aberdeen

Sunday 12 May 2024, 15:00 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 36 · Half-time 0–2 · Referee Grant Irvine · Attendance 16,044

Aberdeen Clarkson 30', Polvara 39', Miovski 52', Boyd 90+2'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

HibernianAberdeen
Goals04
xG1.032.33
Expected Points0.512.29

Hibernian 10%Draw 20%Aberdeen 70%

Most likely score 1–2, 14%. Final score 0–4, 3%.

Aberdeen goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+1%6%8%3%1%2%10%5%1%4%7%5%2%1%2%1%10%14%11%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTLevitt on for Moriah-Welsh and Campbell on for Vente, 60'Le Fondre on for Marcondes and Amos on for Newell, 71'Shinnie on for Polvara and Sokler on for Miovski, 67'Duk on for Hoilett and McGarry on for MacKenzie, 77'Boyd on for Clarkson, 83'Clarkson 30'Polvara 39'Miovski 52'Boyd 90+2'Aberdeen 2.33Hibernian 1.0301230153045607590HTLevitt on for Moriah-Welsh and Campbell on for Vente, 60'Le Fondre on for Marcondes and Amos on for Newell, 71'Shinnie on for Polvara and Sokler on for Miovski, 67'Duk on for Hoilett and McGarry on for MacKenzie, 77'Boyd on for Clarkson, 83'Clarkson 30'Polvara 39'Miovski 52'Boyd 90+2'2.331.03HibernianAberdeen

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HibernianAberdeen

1.03 −0.23xG2.33 +0.96
0.77 −0.51xG on target2.50 +1.29
16 +5Shots16 +4
4 −0.1Shots on target4 −0.1
1 −0.8Big chances4 +2.3
30 +6Touches in the opposition box22 −2
58% +5Possession42% −7
509 +85Passes375 +6
84% +8Pass accuracy80% +13
68% +20Field tilt32% −14
69 +32Final-third entries33 +1
17 +5Box entries13 +2
10.4 −5Passes per defensive action27.2 +13
8 +2.8Corners3 −1.7
15 +1Tackles15 −2
4 −3.1Interceptions7 −0.6
11 −12Clearances28 +4
0 −2.7Saves4 +0.7
13 +3.3Fouls5 −5.9
1 −0.5Offsides1 −0.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Hibernian

Maolida 80', 0.43 xGBoyle 23', 0.10 xGMaolida 62', 0.09 xGMarcondes 8', 0.07 xGMaolida 33', 0.05 xGLevitt 65', 0.05 xGBoyle 15', 0.03 xGMaolida 18', 0.03 xGNewell 58', 0.03 xGMaolida 64', 0.03 xGLe Fondre 90', 0.03 xGMarcondes 20', 0.02 xGMoriah-Welsh 21', 0.02 xGVente 7', 0.01 xGMarcondes 16', 0.01 xGMaolida 23', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals66%0.69 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.69 xG, 0 goals14%0.15 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals16%0.17 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals3%0.03 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Aberdeen

Sokler 69', 0.36 xGMiovski 44', 0.20 xGMiovski 14', 0.13 xGHoilett 49', 0.10 xGMiovski 28', 0.06 xGPolvara 27', 0.05 xGMiovski 61', 0.05 xGPolvara 17', 0.04 xGMcGrath 43', 0.04 xGHoilett 12', 0.02 xGHoilett 37', 0.02 xGBarron 28', 0.01 xGBoyd 90+2', 0.80 xG, goalMiovski 52', 0.23 xG, goalPolvara 39', 0.16 xG, goalClarkson 30', 0.05 xG, goal43%1.00 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 1.00 xG, 1 goal45%1.05 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 1.05 xG, 2 goals7%0.16 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals5%0.11 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.11 xG, 1 goal0%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HibernianAberdeen

0.95 14 shots, 0 goalsOpen play2.13 15 shots, 4 goals
0.08 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.20 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
30 min (32%) · Hibernian 0.32, Aberdeen 0.37 xG
Aberdeen ahead
63 min (68%) · Hibernian 0.71, Aberdeen 1.96 xG

Line-ups

13123342130111020179WollacottCaddenBushiriHanlonObitaMoriah-WelshNewellBoyleMarcondesMaolidaVenteYellow card60'71'71'60'Hibernian 4-2-3-1Nick Montgomery2426273871021309RoosDevlinGartenmannMacDonaldMacKenzieBarronMcGrathClarksonPolvaraHoilettMiovskiGoalGoalGoal77'83'67'77'67'Aberdeen 4-1-4-1Peter Leven

Hibernian substitutes

  • 60' Levitt for Moriah-Welsh
  • 60' Campbell for Vente
  • 71' Amos for Newell
  • 71' Le Fondre for Marcondes · yellow card 74'

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 67' Shinnie for Polvara · yellow card 83'
  • 67' Sokler for Miovski · 1 assist
  • 77' McGarry for MacKenzie
  • 77' Duk for Hoilett
  • 83' Boyd for Clarkson · goal 90+2'

Players

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
WollacottGK900.000.0110.0741
CaddenRB900.000.0200.0244
BushiriCB900.000.0100.1083
HanlonCB900.000.0100.1585
ObitaLB900.000.1720.26102
Moriah-WelshDM600.020.0610.0632
Newell DM710.030.2200.1252
BoyleRW900.140.2620.18112
MarcondesAM710.110.0210.0124
MaolidaLW900.640.0520.0932
VenteST600.010.011−0.0911
LevittMF300.050.0310.1063
CampbellMF300.000.011−0.0111
AmosMF190.000.0000.0121
Le Fondre FW190.030.000−0.0201

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
RoosGK900.000.0000.0112
DevlinRB900.000.2120.1457
GartenmannCB900.000.0000.03213
MacDonaldCB900.000.0000.0324
MacKenzieLB7710.000.1040.19104
BarronDM900.010.0100.0006
McGrathRM900.040.1820.0537
ClarksonCM8310.050.3810.1132
PolvaraCM6710.260.011−0.0123
HoilettLM7720.140.2330.28103
MiovskiST6710.680.0000.1210
Shinnie MF230.000.000−0.0121
SoklerFW2310.360.6010.1711
McGarryDF130.000.0000.0112
DukFW130.000.0300.1040
BoydMF710.800.0000.0120

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hibernian

Cadden and Marcondes: 5 passesMoriah-Welsh and Maolida: 5 passesNewell and Vente: 5 passesWollacott and Hanlon: 6 passesHanlon and Maolida: 6 passesMoriah-Welsh and Newell: 6 passesNewell and Marcondes: 6 passesBushiri and Marcondes: 7 passesHanlon and Moriah-Welsh: 7 passesObita and Marcondes: 8 passesCadden and Boyle: 9 passesBushiri and Hanlon: 9 passesNewell and Maolida: 9 passesBoyle and Marcondes: 9 passesBushiri and Moriah-Welsh: 10 passesObita and Newell: 10 passesMoriah-Welsh and Boyle: 10 passesCadden and Bushiri: 12 passesMoriah-Welsh and Marcondes: 12 passesHanlon and Obita: 14 passesCadden and Moriah-Welsh: 15 passesHanlon and Newell: 16 passesWollacott and Bushiri: 17 passesObita and Maolida: 17 passesWollacott: 20 completed passesCadden: 29 completed passesBushiri: 33 completed passesHanlon: 39 completed passesObita: 29 completed passesMoriah-Welsh: 35 completed passesNewell: 36 completed passesBoyle: 16 completed passesMarcondes: 27 completed passesMaolida: 16 completed passesVente: 11 completed passes13123342130111020179WollacottCaddenBushiriHanlonObitaMoriah-WelshNewellBoyleMarcondesMaolidaVenteStarters until 60' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Aberdeen

Devlin and Hoilett: 3 passesMcGrath and Clarkson: 3 passesPolvara and Clarkson: 3 passesHoilett and Miovski: 3 passesGartenmann and Clarkson: 4 passesMacKenzie and Barron: 4 passesBarron and Hoilett: 4 passesClarkson and Miovski: 4 passesDevlin and Barron: 5 passesMacKenzie and Clarkson: 5 passesClarkson and Hoilett: 5 passesRoos and MacDonald: 6 passesBarron and McGrath: 6 passesMcGrath and Hoilett: 7 passesMacDonald and Barron: 8 passesPolvara and Hoilett: 8 passesDevlin and McGrath: 10 passesGartenmann and MacDonald: 10 passesMacKenzie and Polvara: 10 passesRoos and Gartenmann: 11 passesDevlin and Gartenmann: 11 passesGartenmann and McGrath: 11 passesBarron and Clarkson: 11 passesGartenmann and Barron: 12 passesMacDonald and MacKenzie: 12 passesMacKenzie and Hoilett: 20 passesRoos: 13 completed passesDevlin: 21 completed passesGartenmann: 33 completed passesMacDonald: 21 completed passesMacKenzie: 30 completed passesBarron: 27 completed passesMcGrath: 20 completed passesPolvara: 15 completed passesClarkson: 19 completed passesHoilett: 23 completed passesMiovski: 4 completed passes2426273872110309RoosDevlinGartenmannMacDonaldMacKenzieBarronMcGrathPolvaraClarksonHoilettMiovskiStarters until 67' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hibernian

FromToPasses
HanlonObita16
WollacottBushiri14
ObitaMaolida12
NewellHanlon10
HanlonBushiri9

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
MacKenzieHoilett12
HoilettMacKenzie12
BarronGartenmann10
GartenmannMcGrath9
GartenmannMacDonald8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hibernian

1−4.49+2.01−5.82−2.32−5.510+3.76+0.89+1.60−6.09+2.13−1.52−0.85−0.56+0.67+1.86+2.52+0.15+2.130.03+1.23+1.84+3.11−0.43+1.20−0.70−0.30−0.41+0.63+2.37−8.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 35 matches

Aberdeen

9+4.45−2.619+3.210+2.43−1.46−1.49+2.95−1.114+5.96−2.64−1.76+0.95+1.31−4.05−1.13−1.72−1.220.01−2.64−0.81−1.40−1.91+0.12+0.51−1.52+1.10−0.52+1.60−0.30−0.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 35 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hibernian

0.060.010.010.030.010.030.010.040.040.020.070.040.040.070.040.030.090.060.06−0.010.020.010.01−0.060.020.070.23LessMore

Aberdeen

0.010.010.010.010.010.030.030.030.03−0.010.020.060.010.020.020.020.040.010.10−0.010.090.130.040.060.070.160.26LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.30AttackHibernian1.25 → 1.22Aberdeen1.22 → 1.27Defence (lower is better)Hibernian1.31 → 1.36Aberdeen1.30 → 1.27

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

HibernianAberdeen
Expected goals1.491.10
Win46%27%
Expected Points1.641.09
Clean sheet33%23%

Hibernian 46%Draw 27%Aberdeen 27%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 52%.

Aberdeen goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+8%8%5%2%7%2%8%9%5%2%4%5%2%2%2%11%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 12 May 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Hibernian

  1. L1–24 MayRoss County (A)xG 2.55–1.83
  2. W3–127 AprSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.76–0.82
  3. D1–113 AprMotherwell (A)xG 1.51–0.97
  4. L1–26 AprSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.95–0.62
  5. L1–330 MarRangers (A)xG 0.50–2.82
  6. W3–016 MarLivingston (H)xG 2.56–0.93

Aberdeen

  1. W1–04 MaySt. Johnstone (H)xG 3.34–0.99
  2. W1–027 AprMotherwell (H)xG 2.32–0.41
  3. D0–013 AprDundee FC (H)xG 1.01–1.11
  4. D0–06 AprLivingston (A)xG 0.92–0.76
  5. W2–130 MarRoss County (H)xG 0.71–0.82
  6. W1–016 MarMotherwell (A)xG 1.17–1.32

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

HibernianAberdeen
Position8th9th
Played3535
Won, drawn, lost10–⁠12–⁠1310–⁠11–⁠14
Points42 (1.20 per game)41 (1.17 per game)
Expected Points per game1.231.29
Goals48–⁠5437–⁠49
xG per game1.26–⁠1.491.37–⁠1.54
Home: points, xG per game1.29, 1.32–⁠1.321.39, 1.62–⁠1.38
Away: points, xG per game1.11, 1.20–⁠1.650.94, 1.11–⁠1.70
ManagerNick Montgomery (31)Peter Leven (7)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.30AttackHibernian1.25, 5thAberdeen1.22, 7thDefence (lower is better)Hibernian1.31, 6thAberdeen1.30, 5th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayHibernian attack: 1.25Aberdeen attack: 1.221.251.22AberdeenHibernianDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayHibernian defence: 1.31Aberdeen defence: 1.301.311.30

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

HibernianAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−2%+8%−14%+12%
Counter-attacks−13%−26%+58%−29%
Set pieces−10%−3%+24%+4%
Penalties−43%+43%−29%+43%
Headers−34%−16%+5%+12%
Left side−2%−12%−5%+8%
Centre−15%+8%+12%+7%
Right side+11%+6%−10%+1%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdAberdeen concededLeft side−2%+1%Centre−15%+7%Right side+11%+8%Open play−2%+12%Counter-attacks−13%−29%Set pieces−10%+4%Headers−34%+12%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdHibernian concededLeft side−5%+6%Centre+12%+8%Right side−10%−12%Open play−14%+8%Counter-attacks+58%−26%Set pieces+24%−3%Headers+5%−16%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianAberdeen

1.26xG1.37
1.49xG against1.54
53%Possession49%
11.4Shots12.1
13.3Shots against13.2
4.1Shots on target4.1
1.8Big chances1.7
23.9Touches in the opposition box23.6
424Passes369
77%Pass accuracy68%
5.2Corners4.7
48%Field tilt46%
37.0Final-third entries31.6
11.9Box entries10.9
15.5Passes per defensive action14.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level441.401.38
Ahead241.151.53
Behind221.121.65

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level491.121.33
Ahead191.671.55
Behind221.682.01

xG by period

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.200.217–6
16–300.190.186–7
31–450.220.296–9
46–600.190.227–8
61–750.200.2312–8
76–900.260.3510–16

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.120.234–7
16–300.180.326–8
31–450.290.189–3
46–600.230.187–4
61–750.250.246–9
76–900.300.395–18

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTMarshall 33Wollacott 2Miller 19Cadden 6Whittaker 5Fish 33Bushiri 22Hanlon 10Triantis 3Obita 26Stevenson 8Levitt 1Boyle 14Youan 11Campbell 5Levitt 16Jeggo 11Moriah-Welsh 8Newell 31Tavares 12Maolida 10Youan 9Vente 24Boyle 8Le Fondre 8Marcondes 10Campbell 3Newell 24-4-2 in 15 of 35 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (15), 4-2-3-1 (12), 4-1-4-1 (4), 4-3-3 (2), 4-4-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTRoos 35Devlin 28Milne 3Gartenmann 2Gartenmann 22MacDonald 11Rubezic 10Jensen 23MacKenzie 4MacKenzie 17Shinnie 8Duk 3Barron 21McGrath 5Hayes 3Shinnie 25Clarkson 9Polvara 3Polvara 8McGrath 8Devlin 6Clarkson 17McGrath 8Polvara 3Duk 8McGrath 7Hoilett 7Miovski 30Duk 2Sokler 24-2-3-1 in 13 of 35 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (13), 3-4-1-2 (10), 3-5-2 (3), 5-4-1 (3), 3-4-2-1 (2), 5-3-2 (2), 4-3-3 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
17 February 2024Aberdeen2–2HibernianxG 2.93–1.46
3 December 2023Hibernian2–0AberdeenxG 1.73–3.86
3 September 2023Aberdeen0–2HibernianxG 0.98–1.23
13 May 2023Aberdeen0–0HibernianxG 0.30–1.95
28 January 2023Hibernian6–0AberdeenxG 2.60–0.52
4 November 2022Aberdeen4–1HibernianxG 1.69–1.50

15 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 7, Aberdeen won 5, and 3 were drawn. Goals 22–15 and xG 1.35–1.28 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Maolida131,136810.510.13
Doidge6643320.490.05
Le Fondre8928510.400.10
Marcondes121,105300.250.19

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Miovski353,0541520.480.11
Sokler4545010.470.06
Hoilett7587020.070.38
Duk151,522450.270.15

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.