Matches › 2023/24

Aberdeen 0–2 Hibernian

Sunday 3 September 2023, 15:00 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 4 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee David Munro · Attendance 16,471

Hibernian Le Fondre 75', Doidge 80'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Aberdeen	Hibernian
Goals	0	2
xG	0.98	1.23
Expected Points	1.15	1.52

Aberdeen 28%Draw 32%Hibernian 40%

Most likely score 1–1, 18%. Final score 0–2, 7%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

AberdeenHibernian

0.98 −0.13xG1.23 +0.20

0.78 +0.02xG on target1.58 +0.39

10 +1.3Shots15 +4.7

3 +1.7Shots on target7 +3.7

1 0.0Big chances2 0.0

56% +10Possession44% −15

370 +56Passes301 −119

75% +19Pass accuracy70% −4

65% +20Field tilt35% −24

40 +13Final-third entries38 −2

15 +6.3Box entries14 +3.3

11.3 −2Passes per defensive action12.3 +1

7 +0.7Corners5 +0.7

17 −1Tackles17 +5

3 −6.0Interceptions11 +3.0

18 −11Clearances28 +17

5 +1.3Saves3 +1.7

15 +2Fouls11 −3

0 −1.0Offsides2 +1.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Aberdeen

Hibernian

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

AberdeenHibernian

0.65 7 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.54 9 shots, 1 goal

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.17 1 shot, 0 goals

0.33 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.52 5 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–00–2

Level: 75 min (83%) · Aberdeen 0.94, Hibernian 0.92 xG
Hibernian ahead: 15 min (17%) · Aberdeen 0.04, Hibernian 0.31 xG

Line-ups

Aberdeen substitutes

46' Morris for Rubezic · off 61'
61' Sokler for Morris
62' Clarkson for Barron
76' Polvara for Shinnie
79' Gueye for Duk

Hibernian substitutes

66' Le Fondre for Campbell · goal 75'
72' Doidge for Vente · goal 80'

Players

Aberdeen

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Roos	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	1
MacDonald	CB	90	0.00	0.01	0	0.10	5	3
Rubezic	CB	46	0.00	0.00	0	0.03	3	3
Jensen	CB	90	0.08	0.03	0	0.03	9	6
Devlin	RWB	90	0.44	0.12	1	0.16	8	4
Barron	CM	62	0.00	0.06	1	0.09	5	4
Shinnie	CM	76	0.00	0.04	0	0.03	0	2
McGarry	LWB	90	0.06	0.10	2	0.10	13	3
McGrath	AM	90	0.00	0.55	2	0.16	1	4
Duk	ST	79	0.04	0.04	2	0.07	6	5
Miovski	ST	90	0.32	0.08	0	0.09	1	1
Morris	MF	15	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Sokler	MF	29	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Clarkson	MF	28	0.00	0.03	0	0.02	1	2
Polvara	MF	14	0.04	0.01	0	0.02	0	1
Gueye	FW	11	0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	0

Hibernian

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Marshall	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	2	2
Miller	RB	90			0.00	0.04	0	0.01	5	11
Fish	CB	90			0.24	0.04	1	0.03	2	10
Hanlon	CB	90		1	0.00	0.10	3	0.05	5	8
Stevenson	LB	90			0.00	0.03	1	0.13	5	7
Campbell	CM	66			0.05	0.00	0	−0.03	3	2
Jeggo	CM	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.01	1	10
Newell	CM	90		1	0.03	0.22	4	0.04	5	3
Boyle	RW	90			0.10	0.28	2	0.13	6	1
Vente	ST	72			0.00	0.01	1	−0.06	0	1
Youan	LW	90			0.37	0.05	1	0.17	11	2
Le Fondre	FW	24	1		0.19	0.02	0	0.01	1	2
Doidge	FW	18	1		0.25	0.07	0	0.15	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Aberdeen

Hibernian

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Aberdeen

From	To	Passes
MacDonald	Jensen	11
Jensen	MacDonald	10
McGarry	Jensen	10
McGrath	McGarry	7
Jensen	McGarry	7

Hibernian

From	To	Passes
Stevenson	Youan	15
Miller	Fish	10
Jeggo	Miller	8
Fish	Marshall	6
Hanlon	Marshall	6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Aberdeen

Against its average of 3 matches

Hibernian

Against its average of 3 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Aberdeen

Hibernian

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Aberdeen
Top six	38%	28%	−10
11th	10%	12%	+2
Bottom	8%	11%	+3
Hibernian
Top six	46%	57%	+11
11th	7%	5%	−2
Bottom	5%	3%	−2

From the forecast before the match (3 September 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Aberdeen	Hibernian
Expected goals	1.38	1.19
Win	41%	32%
Expected Points	1.49	1.23
Clean sheet	30%	25%

Aberdeen 41%Draw 28%Hibernian 32%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 53%.

From the forecast as it stood on 3 September 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Aberdeen win	Draw	Hibernian win
Aberdeen
Top six	38%	48%	36%	28%
11th	10%	8%	10%	12%
Bottom	8%	4%	8%	11%
Hibernian
Top six	46%	38%	45%	57%
11th	7%	9%	8%	5%
Bottom	5%	7%	5%	3%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Aberdeen

Hibernian

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Aberdeen	Hibernian
Position	10th	12th
Played	3	3
Won, drawn, lost	0–⁠2–⁠1	0–⁠0–⁠3
Points	2 (0.67 per game)	0 (0.00 per game)
Expected Points per game	0.77	1.16
Goals	3–⁠5	5–⁠8
xG per game	1.11–⁠1.89	1.03–⁠1.28
Home: points, xG per game	0.00, 1.76–⁠2.94	0.00, 1.11–⁠1.61
Away: points, xG per game	1.00, 0.78–⁠1.36	0.00, 0.86–⁠0.60
Manager	Barry Robson (18)	David Gray (0)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Aberdeen		Hibernian
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−25%	+8%	−15%	−14%
Counter-attacks	+3%	+24%	+14%	+75%
Set pieces	−10%	+65%	−31%	−35%
Penalties	+50%	+76%	+31%	+70%
Headers	−12%	+15%	−31%	+19%
Left side	−32%	+40%	−36%	−27%
Centre	−10%	+39%	−23%	−16%
Right side	−32%	−21%	+1%	+6%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdHibernian concededLeft side−32%+6%Centre−10%−16%Right side−32%−27%Open play−25%−14%Counter-attacks+3%+75%Set pieces−10%−35%Headers−12%+19%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdAberdeen concededLeft side−36%−21%Centre−23%+39%Right side+1%+40%Open play−15%+8%Counter-attacks+14%+24%Set pieces−31%+65%Headers−31%+15%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenHibernian

1.11xG1.03

1.89xG against1.28

46%Possession59%

8.7Shots10.3

13.7Shots against8.7

1.3Shots on target3.3

1.0Big chances2.0

314Passes420

56%Pass accuracy74%

6.3Corners4.3

45%Field tilt59%

27.3Final-third entries39.7

8.7Box entries10.7

13.1Passes per defensive action11.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	55	0.50	1.43
Ahead	6	0.00	5.72
Behind	30	2.45	2.00

Hibernian

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	33	0.12	2.30
Ahead	0	–	–
Behind	57	1.54	0.70

xG by period

Aberdeen

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.13	0.48	0–1
16–30	0.38	0.12	1–1
31–45	0.16	0.21	1–0
46–60	0.07	0.63	0–1
61–75	0.08	0.14	0–0
76–90	0.29	0.30	1–2

Hibernian

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.02	0.31	0–2
16–30	0.04	0.12	0–1
31–45	0.04	0.09	0–0
46–60	0.17	0.15	0–0
61–75	0.17	0.41	2–3
76–90	0.58	0.19	3–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (2), 3-5-2 (1)

Hibernian

Formations: 4-3-3 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
13 May 2023	Aberdeen	0–0	Hibernian	xG 0.30–1.95
28 January 2023	Hibernian	6–0	Aberdeen	xG 2.60–0.52
4 November 2022	Aberdeen	4–1	Hibernian	xG 1.69–1.50
17 September 2022	Hibernian	3–1	Aberdeen	xG 2.80–0.66
7 May 2022	Hibernian	1–1	Aberdeen	xG 2.02–0.63
19 March 2022	Aberdeen	3–1	Hibernian	xG 2.19–0.55

12 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 5, Hibernian won 5, and 2 were drawn. Goals 13–16 and xG 0.95–1.32 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Miovski	40	3,160	18	2	0.50	0.04
Duk	32	2,761	16	3	0.29	0.06
Clarkson	35	2,920	5	8	0.07	0.16
Duncan	9	952	1	0	0.15	0.07

Hibernian

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Youan	33	2,810	9	8	0.25	0.17
Boyle	12	1,133	6	1	0.29	0.11
Henderson	11	1,177	1	3	0.19	0.10
Campbell	29	2,617	9	4	0.19	0.07

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.