Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

St. Johnstone 1–2 Motherwell

Saturday 31 August 2024, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 4 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Iain Snedden · Attendance 3,629

St. Johnstone Kimpioka 64' · Sanders sent off 90+6'

Motherwell Casey 11', Ebiye 90+4'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. JohnstoneMotherwell
Goals12
xG0.740.89
Expected Points1.181.45

St. Johnstone 27%Draw 38%Motherwell 36%

Most likely score 0–0, 19%. Final score 1–2, 6%.

Motherwell goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+8%2%6%2%5%5%2%1%1%19%17%14%16%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.7510153045607590HTSanders (St. Johnstone), second yellow card 90+6'Holt on for Essel, Carey on for MacPherson, and Kirk on for Clark, 63'Watt on for Robinson, 45+7'Vale on for Maswanhise and Sparrow on for Halliday, 69'Ebiye on for Zdravkovski, 86'Kimpioka 64'Casey 11'Ebiye 90+4'Motherwell 0.89St. Johnstone 0.7400.250.50.7510153045607590HTSanders (St. Johnstone), second yellow card 90+6'Holt on for Essel, Carey on for MacPherson, and Kirk on for Clark, 63'Watt on for Robinson, 45+7'Vale on for Maswanhise and Sparrow on for Halliday, 69'Ebiye on for Zdravkovski, 86'Kimpioka 64'Casey 11'Ebiye 90+4'0.890.74St. JohnstoneMotherwell

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneMotherwell

0.74 −0.65xG0.89 −0.59
0.60 −0.33xG on target2.42 +1.14
13 +1Shots14 +3
5 +1.7Shots on target6 +2.7
1 −0.7Big chances1 −1.3
16 −5Touches in the opposition box27 +4
61% +8Possession39% +1
471 +129Passes293 −17
82% +13Pass accuracy69% 0
50% −3Field tilt50% +15
61 +25Final-third entries31 +8
12 +2.0Box entries11 +3.0
14.7 +3Passes per defensive action14.5 −10
4 −3.3Corners13 +6.0
19 +5Tackles22 +4
3 −4.3Interceptions10 +1.3
37 +7Clearances27 +4
3 +0.7Saves4 +0.7
12 +0.3Fouls11 +4.0
2 +1.3Offsides2 0.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Johnstone

Kimpioka 22', 0.16 xGKirk 85', 0.11 xGClark 27', 0.06 xGClark 57', 0.04 xGKimpioka 60', 0.04 xGWright 85', 0.04 xGM. Smith 89', 0.04 xGKirk 82', 0.03 xGNeilson 20', 0.02 xGEssel 37', 0.02 xGEssel 41', 0.02 xGCarey 84', 0.02 xGKimpioka 64', 0.14 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals68%0.50 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.50 xG, 1 goal8%0.06 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals22%0.16 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals3%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Motherwell

Casey 90+2', 0.12 xGCasey 90+4', 0.09 xGGordon 90+2', 0.07 xGVale 74', 0.06 xGMaswanhise 46', 0.05 xGCasey 68', 0.05 xGMaswanhise 16', 0.04 xGMiller 35', 0.04 xGCasey 59', 0.04 xGCasey 59', 0.04 xGEbiye 90+2', 0.03 xGRobinson 45+5', 0.02 xGCasey 11', 0.22 xG, goalEbiye 90+4', 0.02 xG, goal37%0.33 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 0.33 xG, 2 goals37%0.33 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.33 xG, 0 goals16%0.14 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals11%0.10 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneMotherwell

0.54 10 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.18 5 shots, 0 goals
0.18 2 shots, 1 goalCounter-attacks0.06 1 shot, 0 goals
0.02 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.65 8 shots, 2 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
41 min (40%) · St. Johnstone 0.24, Motherwell 0.66 xG
Motherwell ahead
62 min (60%) · St. Johnstone 0.50, Motherwell 0.23 xG

Line-ups

20654141582231029SinclairNeilsonSandersCameronWrightEsselMacPhersonM. SmithRaymondClarkKimpiokaYellow cardSent off, second yellowYellow cardGoal63'63'63'St. Johnstone 3-5-2Craig Levein131641526112338559OxboroughMcGinnGordonCaseyO'DonnellZdravkovskiHallidayWilsonMillerMaswanhiseRobinsonGoal86'69'69'45+7'Motherwell 3-4-2-1Stuart Kettlewell

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 63' Carey for MacPherson
  • 63' Holt for Essel
  • 63' Kirk for Clark · 1 assist

Motherwell substitutes

  • 45+7' Watt for Robinson
  • 69' Sparrow for Halliday
  • 69' Vale for Maswanhise
  • 86' Ebiye for Zdravkovski · goal 90+4'

Players

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SinclairGK900.000.0000.0347
NeilsonCB900.020.0110.121411
Sanders CB900.000.0000.0539
CameronCB900.000.0100.12128
WrightRWB900.040.2130.24123
EsselCM630.050.0410.1144
MacPherson CM630.000.0400.0921
M. SmithCM900.040.0100.0332
RaymondLWB900.000.0410.08610
ClarkST630.100.021−0.0713
KimpiokaST9010.330.032−0.0310
CareyMF270.020.0100.0233
HoltMF270.000.0100.0441
KirkFW2710.140.0310.0540

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
OxboroughGK900.000.0000.0330
McGinnCB900.000.0200.0755
GordonCB900.070.0000.04414
CaseyCB90110.560.0010.01118
O'DonnellRWB900.000.0520.11112
ZdravkovskiCM860.000.0210.0445
HallidayCM6910.000.362−0.0224
WilsonLWB900.000.0200.0345
MillerAM900.040.2950.3081
MaswanhiseAM690.090.0200.0763
RobinsonST450.020.000−0.0101
WattFW450.000.030−0.0222
SparrowMF210.000.0220.0111
ValeFW210.060.0200.0011
EbiyeMF410.050.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Sinclair and Wright: 4 passesCameron and Neilson: 4 passesEssel and Kimpioka: 4 passesMacPherson and Clark: 4 passesSanders and Raymond: 5 passesSanders and Essel: 5 passesWright and Kimpioka: 5 passesRaymond and MacPherson: 5 passesSanders and Wright: 6 passesSinclair and Sanders: 7 passesSanders and MacPherson: 7 passesNeilson and MacPherson: 7 passesMacPherson and M. Smith: 7 passesCameron and Clark: 8 passesWright and Essel: 8 passesRaymond and M. Smith: 8 passesCameron and MacPherson: 10 passesNeilson and Wright: 10 passesSinclair and Cameron: 11 passesCameron and M. Smith: 11 passesNeilson and Essel: 13 passesEssel and MacPherson: 14 passesCameron and Raymond: 17 passesWright and MacPherson: 17 passesSanders and Neilson: 26 passesSanders and Cameron: 31 passesSinclair: 15 completed passesSanders: 49 completed passesCameron: 51 completed passesNeilson: 32 completed passesWright: 30 completed passesRaymond: 24 completed passesEssel: 18 completed passesMacPherson: 38 completed passesM. Smith: 15 completed passesKimpioka: 8 completed passesClark: 10 completed passes20546143158222910SinclairSandersCameronNeilsonWrightRaymondEsselMacPhersonM. SmithKimpiokaClarkStarters until 63' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Motherwell

Casey and McGinn: 3 passesCasey and Maswanhise: 3 passesGordon and Robinson: 3 passesO'Donnell and Zdravkovski: 3 passesO'Donnell and Halliday: 3 passesWilson and Maswanhise: 3 passesZdravkovski and Halliday: 3 passesZdravkovski and Miller: 3 passesZdravkovski and Robinson: 3 passesMiller and Robinson: 3 passesOxborough and O'Donnell: 4 passesO'Donnell and Robinson: 4 passesWilson and Zdravkovski: 4 passesGordon and Halliday: 5 passesMcGinn and Zdravkovski: 5 passesMcGinn and O'Donnell: 11 passesO'Donnell and Miller: 13 passesOxborough: 8 completed passesCasey: 11 completed passesGordon: 12 completed passesMcGinn: 13 completed passesO'Donnell: 19 completed passesWilson: 7 completed passesZdravkovski: 13 completed passesHalliday: 8 completed passesMiller: 10 completed passesMaswanhise: 3 completed passesRobinson: 4 completed passes131541622361138559OxboroughCaseyGordonMcGinnO'DonnellWilsonZdravkovskiHallidayMillerMaswanhiseRobinsonStarters until 45+7' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
SandersNeilson21
SandersCameron19
CameronSanders16
RaymondCameron13
NeilsonSanders11

Motherwell

FromToPasses
O'DonnellMiller14
McGinnO'Donnell10
OxboroughMcGinn6
MillerO'Donnell6
WilsonMaswanhise5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

4−1.37+2.024+8.35−1.312+8.03−5.32−4.06+2.79+2.36−1.35−2.730.01−1.37+3.07+1.03−0.73+0.72+1.01−1.31−3.01−1.04+2.30−1.03+1.30−1.70−0.300.00−1.30−1.00−1.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 3 matches

Motherwell

2−1.72−3.316+0.710+3.05+1.04−1.04−3.75−3.311+4.716+6.79+6.33−1.31−3.06+1.77−1.73−2.33−1.720.06+3.34+1.36+3.70−2.33+2.31−0.70−2.70−1.30−0.71+0.70−0.30−0.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 3 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.050.010.030.030.030.010.070.050.010.020.090.03−0.020.040.020.08−0.02−0.06−0.030.050.100.120.14LessMore

Motherwell

0.030.010.010.020.010.010.010.030.040.010.090.050.020.020.010.040.020.010.070.04−0.050.020.17LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackSt. Johnstone1.01 → 1.00Motherwell1.26 → 1.27Defence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.54 → 1.54Motherwell1.36 → 1.35

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
Top six15%9%−6
11th18%20%+2
Bottom18%23%+5
Motherwell
Top six62%71%+9
11th3%2%−1
Bottom2%0%−2

From the forecast before the match (31 August 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. JohnstoneMotherwell
Expected goals1.221.30
Win34%38%
Expected Points1.301.42
Clean sheet27%30%

St. Johnstone 34%Draw 28%Motherwell 38%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 52%.

Motherwell goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+9%7%3%1%9%8%4%1%6%8%5%2%2%3%2%1%10%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 31 August 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Johnstone winDrawMotherwell win
St. Johnstone
Top six15%21%14%9%
11th18%15%19%20%
Bottom18%12%19%23%
Motherwell
Top six62%53%59%71%
11th3%5%3%2%
Bottom2%3%2%0%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. L0–224 AugDundee United (A)xG 1.58–0.41
  2. W3–011 AugKilmarnock (A)xG 1.79–1.74
  3. L1–25 AugAberdeen (H)xG 0.81–1.79
  4. W2–119 MayMotherwell (A)xG 1.82–2.48
  5. D1–115 MayRoss County (H)xG 0.58–0.47
  6. L1–211 MayLivingston (A)xG 2.62–1.30

Motherwell

  1. W3–125 AugHearts (H)xG 2.54–0.62
  2. L1–210 AugRangers (A)xG 0.71–3.30
  3. D0–03 AugRoss County (H)xG 1.20–0.31
  4. L1–219 MaySt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.48–1.82
  5. L0–315 MayHibernian (A)xG 0.85–1.34
  6. W5–111 MayRoss County (A)xG 1.65–1.21

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneMotherwell
Position7th6th
Played33
Won, drawn, lost1–⁠0–⁠21–⁠1–⁠1
Points3 (1.00 per game)4 (1.33 per game)
Expected Points per game1.491.64
Goals4–⁠44–⁠3
xG per game1.39–⁠1.311.48–⁠1.41
Home: points, xG per game0.00, 0.81–⁠1.792.00, 1.87–⁠0.46
Away: points, xG per game1.50, 1.69–⁠1.070.00, 0.71–⁠3.30
ManagerCraig Levein (31)Stuart Kettlewell (55)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackSt. Johnstone1.01, 11thMotherwell1.26, 5thDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.54, 9thMotherwell1.36, 5th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02 Aug25 AugSt. Johnstone attack: 1.01Motherwell attack: 1.261.261.01MotherwellSt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02 Aug25 AugSt. Johnstone defence: 1.54Motherwell defence: 1.361.541.36

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneMotherwell
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−20%+3%+2%+20%
Counter-attacks−79%−26%−37%−59%
Set pieces−3%+45%+11%−8%
Penalties+63%−48%−48%−48%
Headers+8%+3%+73%+10%
Left side−26%+45%−17%+36%
Centre−16%−4%+22%+1%
Right side−31%+11%−36%−20%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdMotherwell concededLeft side−26%−20%Centre−16%+1%Right side−31%+36%Open play−20%+20%Counter-attacks−79%−59%Set pieces−3%−8%Headers+8%+10%

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−17%+11%Centre+22%−4%Right side−36%+45%Open play+2%+3%Counter-attacks−37%−26%Set pieces+11%+45%Headers+73%+3%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneMotherwell

1.39xG1.48
1.31xG against1.41
53%Possession38%
12.3Shots11.0
12.7Shots against11.7
3.3Shots on target3.3
1.7Big chances2.3
20.7Touches in the opposition box23.3
342Passes310
69%Pass accuracy69%
7.3Corners7.0
52%Field tilt35%
35.9Final-third entries23.0
10.0Box entries8.0
11.9Passes per defensive action24.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level261.931.63
Ahead291.701.80
Behind350.740.67

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level452.071.81
Ahead221.120.76
Behind230.681.26

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.051–0
16–300.040.330–1
31–450.570.151–0
46–600.130.130–1
61–750.120.280–1
76–900.380.382–1

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.320.780–1
16–300.630.082–1
31–450.100.110–0
46–600.250.101–0
61–750.100.210–1
76–900.070.131–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTRae 3Neilson 2Wright 1Sanders 2McClelland 1Cameron 3Raymond 2Essel 1Wright 2M. Smith 1MacPherson 2Neilson 1Essel 2M. Smith 1M. Smith 1Raymond 1Carey 1Sidibeh 3Kimpioka 34-4-2 in 2 of 3 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (2), 3-5-2 (1)

Motherwell

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTOxborough 3McGinn 2Gordon 3Casey 3Blaney 1O'Donnell 3Zdravkovski 2Halliday 3Seddon 1Wilson 2Miller 1Miller 2Zdravkovski 1Wilson 1Maswanhise 1Robinson 2Stamatelopoulos 13-4-2-1 in 1 of 3 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
19 May 2024Motherwell1–2St. JohnstonexG 2.48–1.82
27 January 2024St. Johnstone1–1MotherwellxG 0.82–0.87
9 December 2023Motherwell1–1St. JohnstonexG 1.21–1.33
7 November 2023St. Johnstone2–2MotherwellxG 0.93–2.58
13 May 2023St. Johnstone0–2MotherwellxG 0.75–1.53
1 February 2023Motherwell0–2St. JohnstonexG 0.31–1.00

14 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 5, Motherwell won 3, and 6 were drawn. Goals 18–15 and xG 1.20–0.98 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Sidibeh141,200700.470.05
Clark161,397700.340.03
Kimpioka10935400.330.03
MacPherson6654000.090.13

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Halliday11833110.260.05
Miller232,022040.080.11
O'Donnell353,071140.040.12
Blaney211,788200.080.05

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.