Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

Motherwell 1–1 St. Johnstone

Saturday 9 December 2023, 15:00 · Fir Park · Round 17 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Euan Anderson · Attendance 3,647

Motherwell Biereth 90+2'

St. Johnstone Mugabi 53' (og)

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

MotherwellSt. Johnstone
Goals11
xG1.211.33
Expected Points1.181.49

Motherwell 28%Draw 34%St. Johnstone 38%

Most likely score 1–1, 24%. Final score 1–1, 24%.

St. Johnstone goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+2%15%7%1%3%11%2%2%13%7%1%5%2%1%24%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTShaw on for Obika, 70'Bair on for Spencer, 80'Wilkinson on for Zdravkovski, 81'May on for Kane, 76'Sprangler on for Carey, 80'Costelloe on for Jaiyesimi, 87'Biereth 90+2'Mugabi 53' (og)St. Johnstone 1.33Motherwell 1.2100.511.50153045607590HTShaw on for Obika, 70'Bair on for Spencer, 80'Wilkinson on for Zdravkovski, 81'May on for Kane, 76'Sprangler on for Carey, 80'Costelloe on for Jaiyesimi, 87'Biereth 90+2'Mugabi 53' (og)1.331.21MotherwellSt. Johnstone

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

MotherwellSt. Johnstone

1.21 +0.08xG1.33 +0.42
1.81 +0.64xG on target0.27 −0.58
17 +6.5Shots11 +1.3
8 +4.5Shots on target2 −0.5
2 +0.2Big chances2 +0.9
20 +1Touches in the opposition box16 −2
57% +13Possession43% 0
348 −4Passes260 −70
66% 0Pass accuracy58% −6
62% +19Field tilt38% −2
37 +6Final-third entries21 −6
10 +0.2Box entries8 +0.5
10.1 −6Passes per defensive action13.6 −3
3 −1.5Corners2 −2.1
14 −2Tackles22 +6
4 −4.4Interceptions7 −2.9
18 −6Clearances34 +9
2 −0.4Saves7 +3.3
11 −1Fouls11 −1
1 −0.1Offsides2 +0.7

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Motherwell

Spencer 32', 0.25 xGBlaney 22', 0.22 xGShaw 85', 0.11 xGBair 83', 0.09 xGSpittal 31', 0.08 xGBiereth 84', 0.06 xGGent 27', 0.05 xGObika 19', 0.04 xGSlattery 51', 0.04 xGObika 30', 0.03 xGBlaney 43', 0.03 xGSpencer 73', 0.03 xGShaw 88', 0.03 xGMugabi 63', 0.02 xGBair 81', 0.02 xGShaw 90', 0.02 xGBiereth 90+2', 0.10 xG, goal18%0.22 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.22 xG, 0 goals58%0.70 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 0.70 xG, 1 goal10%0.12 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals10%0.12 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals3%0.04 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

St. Johnstone

Kane 45+1', 0.88 xGJaiyesimi 68', 0.19 xGKane 55', 0.07 xGCarey 72', 0.04 xGSmith 55', 0.03 xGPhillips 60', 0.03 xGCarey 21', 0.02 xGSmith 60', 0.02 xGBrown 79', 0.02 xGSmith 90+3', 0.02 xGCarey 28', 0.01 xG66%0.88 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.88 xG, 0 goals20%0.27 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.27 xG, 0 goals4%0.05 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals7%0.10 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals3%0.04 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

MotherwellSt. Johnstone

0.81 13 shots, 1 goalOpen play1.04 7 shots, 0 goals
0.41 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.29 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
55 min (59%) · Motherwell 0.74, St. Johnstone 0.93 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
39 min (41%) · Motherwell 0.47, St. Johnstone 0.40 xG

Line-ups

125201722873249KellyO'DonnellMugabiBlaneyZdravkovskiSpencerSlatterySpittalGentBierethObikaOwn goalGoal81'80'70'Motherwell 3-1-4-2Stuart Kettlewell1561923422311913MitovMcGowanGordonRobinsonBrownPhillipsSmithGallacherCareyKaneJaiyesimi80'76'87'St. Johnstone 3-4-1-2Craig Levein

Motherwell substitutes

  • 70' Shaw for Obika
  • 80' Bair for Spencer · 1 assist
  • 81' Wilkinson for Zdravkovski

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 76' May for Kane
  • 80' Sprangler for Carey
  • 87' Costelloe for Jaiyesimi

Players

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
KellyGK900.000.0000.0771
O'DonnellCB900.000.0410.1075
MugabiCB900.020.0000.0229
BlaneyCB900.250.0210.0465
ZdravkovskiDM810.000.0100.0022
SpencerRWB800.290.0110.0213
SlatteryCM900.040.1620.1233
SpittalCM900.080.2630.0053
GentLWB900.050.0720.1074
BierethST9010.160.2420.0220
ObikaST700.080.0910.0322
ShawFW200.160.000−0.0100
BairFW1010.110.1420.1920
WilkinsonFW90.000.0100.0200

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MitovGK900.000.0000.0120
McGowanCB900.000.0100.0666
GordonCB900.000.1910.3428
RobinsonCB900.000.0000.03217
BrownRWB900.020.0300.0843
PhillipsCM900.030.0210.0209
SmithCM900.070.0210.0444
GallacherLWB900.000.0300.0735
CareyAM800.070.0310.0556
KaneST760.950.010−0.0102
JaiyesimiST870.190.1020.0930
MayFW140.000.0100.0200
SpranglerMF100.000.0000.0006
CostelloeFW30.000.021−0.0700

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Motherwell

Kelly and Mugabi: 4 passesKelly and O'Donnell: 4 passesBlaney and O'Donnell: 4 passesBlaney and Obika: 4 passesO'Donnell and Spittal: 4 passesZdravkovski and Spittal: 4 passesSpittal and Biereth: 4 passesBlaney and Gent: 5 passesMugabi and Zdravkovski: 5 passesO'Donnell and Slattery: 5 passesO'Donnell and Obika: 5 passesSlattery and Spittal: 5 passesZdravkovski and Spencer: 6 passesZdravkovski and Slattery: 6 passesSlattery and Gent: 6 passesSpencer and Obika: 7 passesSlattery and Obika: 7 passesBlaney and Spittal: 8 passesMugabi and O'Donnell: 8 passesO'Donnell and Zdravkovski: 8 passesO'Donnell and Spencer: 9 passesSpencer and Slattery: 9 passesSpittal and Gent: 9 passesSpittal and Obika: 9 passesKelly: 11 completed passesBlaney: 18 completed passesMugabi: 15 completed passesO'Donnell: 23 completed passesZdravkovski: 22 completed passesSpencer: 22 completed passesSlattery: 20 completed passesSpittal: 23 completed passesGent: 16 completed passesObika: 19 completed passesBiereth: 4 completed passes120521722873924KellyBlaneyMugabiO'DonnellZdravkovskiSpencerSlatterySpittalGentObikaBierethStarters until 70' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

St. Johnstone

Mitov and Brown: 3 passesMcGowan and Brown: 3 passesRobinson and Phillips: 3 passesRobinson and Gallacher: 3 passesRobinson and Jaiyesimi: 3 passesBrown and Kane: 3 passesPhillips and Kane: 3 passesJaiyesimi and Kane: 3 passesMitov and Robinson: 4 passesMcGowan and Gordon: 4 passesMcGowan and Jaiyesimi: 4 passesMcGowan and Kane: 4 passesGordon and Phillips: 4 passesRobinson and Carey: 4 passesBrown and Jaiyesimi: 4 passesPhillips and Gallacher: 4 passesSmith and Carey: 4 passesPhillips and Smith: 5 passesSmith and Jaiyesimi: 5 passesGordon and Carey: 6 passesBrown and Phillips: 6 passesPhillips and Carey: 7 passesCarey and Jaiyesimi: 7 passesMcGowan and Phillips: 8 passesBrown and Smith: 9 passesGallacher and Carey: 10 passesMitov: 12 completed passesMcGowan: 15 completed passesGordon: 14 completed passesRobinson: 11 completed passesBrown: 15 completed passesPhillips: 22 completed passesSmith: 13 completed passesGallacher: 16 completed passesCarey: 20 completed passesJaiyesimi: 11 completed passesKane: 7 completed passes1561923422311139MitovMcGowanGordonRobinsonBrownPhillipsSmithGallacherCareyJaiyesimiKaneStarters until 76' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Motherwell

FromToPasses
SpencerO'Donnell7
BlaneyGent6
O'DonnellZdravkovski6
O'DonnellSlattery6
SlatterySpencer6

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
GallacherCarey8
PhillipsMcGowan7
CareyJaiyesimi6
BrownSmith5
GordonCarey4

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Motherwell

2−2.96−1.77−1.02−4.36−1.27+0.14−3.66−0.41−4.82−3.71−3.23−2.411+4.54−1.640.05+1.92−1.45+1.23+0.84+1.90−1.32+0.84+2.010.01+0.50−0.60−0.70−0.912−5.42−6.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 16 matches

St. Johnstone

5−0.56−2.211−3.410+0.413+5.44−2.57−0.14−2.18−0.313+4.15−1.950.01−2.35−0.16−0.92−2.12−1.13+1.53+0.33−1.61−1.20−1.12+0.710.01−1.30−0.60−0.20−0.30−0.22+1.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 15 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Motherwell

0.030.020.010.020.020.010.010.040.010.050.060.030.010.020.050.030.030.060.020.01−0.060.050.19LessMore

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.010.010.010.010.020.030.02−0.010.010.050.040.010.040.020.100.03−0.060.070.32LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.29AttackMotherwell1.09 → 1.09St. Johnstone0.97 → 0.98Defence (lower is better)Motherwell1.44 → 1.45St. Johnstone1.47 → 1.46

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Motherwell
Top six12%9%−3
11th17%19%+2
Bottom15%15%0
St. Johnstone
Top six7%6%−1
11th23%23%0
Bottom27%26%−1

From the forecast before the match (9 December 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

MotherwellSt. Johnstone
Expected goals1.500.97
Win49%24%
Expected Points1.740.99
Clean sheet38%22%

Motherwell 49%Draw 27%St. Johnstone 24%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 49%.

St. Johnstone goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+9%8%4%1%6%2%9%4%1%5%5%2%2%2%12%13%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 9 December 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowMotherwell winDrawSt. Johnstone win
Motherwell
Top six12%17%9%6%
11th17%14%19%22%
Bottom15%9%15%25%
St. Johnstone
Top six7%5%6%14%
11th23%25%23%20%
Bottom27%33%26%15%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Motherwell

  1. L0–35 DecRoss County (A)xG 1.18–1.43
  2. D3–32 DecDundee FC (H)xG 0.89–1.59
  3. D1–125 NovCeltic (A)xG 0.48–3.25
  4. L1–211 NovHearts (H)xG 1.10–2.08
  5. D2–27 NovSt. Johnstone (A)xG 2.58–0.93
  6. L0–14 NovKilmarnock (A)xG 0.61–1.95

St. Johnstone

  1. W1–06 DecSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.98–1.93
  2. L1–33 DecCeltic (H)xG 1.36–2.53
  3. L0–125 NovHearts (A)xG 0.85–1.44
  4. W1–011 NovRoss County (H)xG 0.69–0.21
  5. D2–27 NovMotherwell (H)xG 0.93–2.58
  6. W2–11 NovKilmarnock (H)xG 1.74–1.30

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

MotherwellSt. Johnstone
Position9th10th
Played1615
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠5–⁠83–⁠5–⁠7
Points14 (0.88 per game)14 (0.93 per game)
Expected Points per game1.050.81
Goals19–⁠2810–⁠22
xG per game1.13–⁠1.640.91–⁠1.74
Home: points, xG per game1.00, 1.31–⁠1.501.33, 1.15–⁠1.64
Away: points, xG per game0.75, 0.94–⁠1.780.33, 0.55–⁠1.89
ManagerStuart Kettlewell (30)Craig Levein (5)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.29AttackMotherwell1.09, 8thSt. Johnstone0.97, 11thDefence (lower is better)Motherwell1.44, 8thSt. Johnstone1.47, 12th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecMotherwell attack: 1.09St. Johnstone attack: 0.971.090.97St. JohnstoneMotherwellDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecMotherwell defence: 1.44St. Johnstone defence: 1.471.471.44

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

MotherwellSt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−16%+19%−40%+31%
Counter-attacks−57%+9%−87%+128%
Set pieces−24%+9%+7%+23%
Penalties+3%+38%−63%−63%
Headers−27%+32%−8%+19%
Left side−20%+45%−36%+25%
Centre−7%+6%−20%+31%
Right side−52%+6%−50%+61%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−20%+61%Centre−7%+31%Right side−52%+25%Open play−16%+31%Counter-attacks−57%+128%Set pieces−24%+23%Headers−27%+19%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdMotherwell concededLeft side−36%+6%Centre−20%+6%Right side−50%+45%Open play−40%+19%Counter-attacks−87%+9%Set pieces+7%+9%Headers−8%+32%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

MotherwellSt. Johnstone

1.13xG0.91
1.64xG against1.74
44%Possession43%
10.5Shots9.7
14.6Shots against15.1
3.5Shots on target2.5
1.8Big chances1.1
18.6Touches in the opposition box18.0
352Passes330
66%Pass accuracy64%
4.5Corners4.1
44%Field tilt39%
31.2Final-third entries26.5
9.8Box entries7.5
16.5Passes per defensive action17.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level460.771.59
Ahead80.412.41
Behind351.771.53

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level530.881.19
Ahead140.942.31
Behind230.962.68

xG by period

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.050.111–2
16–300.110.251–7
31–450.150.181–2
46–600.100.361–4
61–750.270.324–7
76–900.450.4211–6

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.120.102–0
16–300.190.202–1
31–450.100.182–4
46–600.080.310–5
61–750.110.471–7
76–900.310.483–5

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Motherwell

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWKelly 16McGinn 9Mugabi 13Butcher 3Casey 16Blaney 7O'Donnell 14Spencer 1McGinn 1Paton 10Slattery 5Wilkinson 2Spittal 8Miller 5Spencer 1Spencer 10Souaré 2Spittal 1Slattery 8Miller 3Spittal 1Bair 5Wilkinson 3Biereth 3Bair 7Spittal 5Biereth 33-4-3 in 6 of 16 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (6), 3-5-2 (4), 3-1-4-2 (2), 5-3-2 (2), 3-4-2-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTMitov 15McClelland 5McGowan 4Costelloe 4Gordon 12Considine 11Robinson 3Brown 6Olufunwa 4McGowan 2Phillips 6Smith 4Sprangler 2Robinson 5Kucheriavyi 4Carey 4Phillips 4Sprangler 3McGowan 2Smith 5Kucheriavyi 2Carey 2May 5Kane 5Costelloe 3Carey 5Clark 4Robinson 33-4-1-2 in 4 of 15 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (4), 4-4-1-1 (3), 4-1-4-1 (3), 4-4-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (2), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
7 November 2023St. Johnstone2–2MotherwellxG 0.93–2.58
13 May 2023St. Johnstone0–2MotherwellxG 0.75–1.53
1 February 2023Motherwell0–2St. JohnstonexG 0.31–1.00
12 November 2022St. Johnstone1–1MotherwellxG 1.38–0.93
6 August 2022Motherwell1–2St. JohnstonexG 0.67–0.87
19 March 2022St. Johnstone2–1MotherwellxG 0.37–0.24

11 league meetings since 2020/21: Motherwell won 3, St. Johnstone won 4, and 4 were drawn. Goals 12–14 and xG 0.84–1.17 per game.

Key players

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Biereth6582520.430.17
Spittal161,440240.180.21
Wilkinson7639310.170.12
Bair12932200.220.04

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Kane5555100.400.03
Kucheriavyi7581200.190.11
Carey131,170120.040.18
Robinson131,170010.040.09

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.