Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

Motherwell 1–2 St. Johnstone

Sunday 19 May 2024, 15:00 · Fir Park · Round 38 · Half-time 0–2 · Referee Colin Steven · Attendance 5,872

Motherwell Ebiye 90+4'

St. Johnstone Clark 18', Sidibeh 45+1'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

MotherwellSt. Johnstone
Goals12
xG2.481.82
Non-penalty xG1.691.82
Expected Points1.810.93

Motherwell 52%Draw 26%St. Johnstone 22%

Most likely score 2–2, 13%. Final score 1–2, 7%.

St. Johnstone goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+1%1%6%7%4%2%9%6%1%2%8%6%1%1%4%5%3%1%2%13%10%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTVale on for Paton, 46'Ebiye on for Miller and Butcher on for Mugabi, 64'Ferrie on for Nicholson and Ross on for Zdravkovski, 77'Considine on for Clark, 64'Kimpioka on for Sidibeh, 74'May on for M. Smith, 90+2'Ebiye 90+4'Clark 18'Sidibeh 45+1'Motherwell 2.48St. Johnstone 1.8201230153045607590HTVale on for Paton, 46'Ebiye on for Miller and Butcher on for Mugabi, 64'Ferrie on for Nicholson and Ross on for Zdravkovski, 77'Considine on for Clark, 64'Kimpioka on for Sidibeh, 74'May on for M. Smith, 90+2'Ebiye 90+4'Clark 18'Sidibeh 45+1'2.481.82MotherwellSt. Johnstone

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

MotherwellSt. Johnstone

2.48 +1.22xG1.82 +0.89
1.69Non-penalty xG1.82
1.82 +0.38xG on target1.73 +0.84
13 +1.6Shots9 −0.7
5 +1.0Shots on target4 +1.1
4 +2.0Big chances3 +1.6
28 +8Touches in the opposition box19 +4
65% +20Possession35% −9
498 +143Passes273 −58
80% +13Pass accuracy66% +1
77% +32Field tilt23% −17
65 +32Final-third entries21 −6
14 +4.2Box entries10 +2.9
14.0 −3Passes per defensive action26.1 +10
7 +2.4Corners3 −0.8
19 +3Tackles16 −2
2 −5.4Interceptions8 −1.5
15 −9Clearances24 −2
2 −0.6Saves2 −1.7
7 −4Fouls9 −3
2 +0.6Offsides1 −0.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Motherwell

Miller 57', 0.31 xGBair 57', 0.26 xGSpittal 63', 0.11 xGBair 40', 0.10 xGSpittal 62', 0.10 xGBair 45+3', 0.09 xGMcGinn 62', 0.09 xGGent 32', 0.08 xGBair 51', 0.08 xGMiller 8', 0.06 xGNicholson 10', 0.05 xGEbiye 90+4', 0.36 xG, goal34%0.57 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.57 xG, 0 goals54%0.92 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 0.92 xG, 1 goal2%0.04 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals9%0.16 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

St. Johnstone

Kimpioka 90+5', 0.48 xGCarey 88', 0.09 xGSidibeh 7', 0.07 xGKeltjens 23', 0.03 xGSidibeh 16', 0.02 xGCarey 78', 0.02 xGWright 82', 0.02 xGClark 18', 0.67 xG, goalSidibeh 45+1', 0.42 xG, goal37%0.67 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.67 xG, 1 goal56%1.01 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 1.01 xG, 1 goal4%0.07 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.07 xG, 0 goals1%0.02 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals2%0.04 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

MotherwellSt. Johnstone

1.51 10 shots, 1 goalOpen play1.66 7 shots, 2 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.16 2 shots, 0 goals
0.17 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.79 1 shot, 0 goalsPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
18 min (18%) · Motherwell 0.10, St. Johnstone 0.76 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
80 min (82%) · Motherwell 2.37, St. Johnstone 1.06 xG

Line-ups

116520191738312714KellyMcGinnMugabiBlaneyNicholsonZdravkovskiMillerGentPatonSpittalBair64'77'77'64'46'Motherwell 3-4-2-1Stuart Kettlewell114563334822101116MitovWrightMcGowanGordonKeltjensPhillipsMacPhersonM. SmithClarkCareySidibehYellow cardGoalGoal90+2'64'74'St. Johnstone 4-2-3-1Craig Levein

Motherwell substitutes

  • 46' Vale for Paton
  • 64' Butcher for Mugabi
  • 64' Ebiye for Miller · goal 90+4'
  • 77' Ross for Zdravkovski
  • 77' Ferrie for Nicholson

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 64' Considine for Clark
  • 74' Kimpioka for Sidibeh
  • 90+2' May for M. Smith

Players

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
KellyGK900.000.0000.0422
McGinnCB900.090.0700.11136
MugabiCB640.000.0000.0115
BlaneyCB900.000.0400.1796
NicholsonRWB770.050.6130.2195
ZdravkovskiCM770.000.0400.0643
MillerCM640.360.2420.0040
GentLWB9010.080.4010.1763
PatonAM460.000.031−0.0430
SpittalAM900.210.3310.2783
BairST901.320.1220.1611
ValeFW440.000.0400.0151
ButcherDF260.000.0000.0100
EbiyeFW2610.360.0000.0002
RossMF130.000.0100.0550
FerrieFW130.000.000−0.0101

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MitovGK900.000.0000.0002
WrightRB900.020.0400.0872
McGowanCB900.000.0000.0107
GordonCB900.000.0000.02111
Keltjens LB900.030.0100.0225
PhillipsDM900.000.0110.00211
MacPhersonDM900.000.0330.0830
M. SmithRW900.000.1800.0314
ClarkAM6410.670.000−0.0111
CareyLW9010.110.4230.3461
SidibehST7410.510.1800.3053
ConsidineDF260.000.0000.0004
KimpiokaFW160.480.0000.0012
MayFW00.000.000––0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Motherwell

Kelly and Spittal: 4 passesBlaney and Miller: 4 passesMcGinn and Miller: 4 passesNicholson and Paton: 4 passesNicholson and Spittal: 4 passesGent and Miller: 4 passesZdravkovski and Paton: 4 passesZdravkovski and Spittal: 4 passesKelly and McGinn: 5 passesBlaney and McGinn: 5 passesBlaney and Paton: 5 passesGent and Spittal: 5 passesMiller and Bair: 5 passesBlaney and Spittal: 6 passesMiller and Paton: 6 passesBlaney and Mugabi: 7 passesMcGinn and Zdravkovski: 7 passesSpittal and Bair: 7 passesBlaney and Gent: 8 passesMcGinn and Nicholson: 8 passesZdravkovski and Miller: 8 passesMiller and Spittal: 8 passesKelly and Blaney: 14 passesKelly: 15 completed passesBlaney: 28 completed passesMugabi: 11 completed passesMcGinn: 21 completed passesNicholson: 9 completed passesGent: 12 completed passesZdravkovski: 19 completed passesMiller: 16 completed passesPaton: 15 completed passesSpittal: 24 completed passesBair: 7 completed passes120516193173812714KellyBlaneyMugabiMcGinnNicholsonGentZdravkovskiMillerPatonSpittalBairStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

St. Johnstone

Mitov and Wright: 3 passesMacPherson and Clark: 3 passesM. Smith and Sidibeh: 3 passesClark and Sidibeh: 3 passesMcGowan and Phillips: 4 passesGordon and MacPherson: 4 passesClark and Carey: 4 passesWright and Clark: 5 passesGordon and Keltjens: 5 passesPhillips and Carey: 5 passesMacPherson and M. Smith: 5 passesMacPherson and Carey: 5 passesCarey and Sidibeh: 5 passesWright and Phillips: 6 passesWright and MacPherson: 6 passesMcGowan and MacPherson: 6 passesKeltjens and Phillips: 6 passesPhillips and MacPherson: 6 passesGordon and Phillips: 7 passesWright and McGowan: 8 passesGordon and Carey: 9 passesMcGowan and Gordon: 12 passesKeltjens and Carey: 12 passesWright and M. Smith: 14 passesMitov: 3 completed passesWright: 25 completed passesMcGowan: 17 completed passesGordon: 23 completed passesKeltjens: 18 completed passesPhillips: 18 completed passesMacPherson: 20 completed passesM. Smith: 12 completed passesClark: 6 completed passesCarey: 23 completed passesSidibeh: 4 completed passes114563334822101116MitovWrightMcGowanGordonKeltjensPhillipsMacPhersonM. SmithClarkCareySidibehStarters until 64' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Motherwell

FromToPasses
BlaneyGent15
KellyBlaney12
McGinnNicholson11
BlaneySpittal10
McGinnZdravkovski9

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
KeltjensCarey10
WrightM. Smith10
MacPhersonCarey8
GordonMcGowan8
McGowanWright6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Motherwell

6+1.910+2.34−1.74−3.06−0.64−2.76−0.76−1.43−2.73−1.82−1.93−2.43−2.02−1.63+0.42−0.92−2.31−0.91−0.63+2.01−0.22−0.40−0.90−0.32+1.30−0.40−0.72−5.211−6.02−5.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 37 matches

St. Johnstone

5−2.418+2.79−0.14−3.05−1.65−2.29+3.07−2.06−0.17+2.33−0.55−0.18+1.67+2.92−1.21−0.92−0.75+0.720.00−1.60−1.10−1.31−1.40−0.71+0.90−0.40−0.41+0.12−3.64−3.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 37 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Motherwell

0.020.010.010.010.020.030.010.030.080.010.040.040.020.120.050.030.040.040.05−0.010.030.01−0.060.160.130.29LessMore

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.010.010.010.020.010.010.020.010.040.030.080.020.090.13−0.01−0.010.220.18LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.33AttackMotherwell1.25 → 1.26St. Johnstone0.95 → 0.97Defence (lower is better)Motherwell1.34 → 1.35St. Johnstone1.56 → 1.56

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
11th88%31%−57
Ross County
11th12%69%+57

From the forecast before the match (19 May 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

MotherwellSt. Johnstone
Expected goals1.740.87
Win58%18%
Expected Points1.970.78
Clean sheet42%17%

Motherwell 58%Draw 25%St. Johnstone 18%

Most likely score 1–0, 12%. Both sides score 48%.

St. Johnstone goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+8%6%3%5%1%4%1%6%6%2%3%2%1%1%12%12%11%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 19 May 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowMotherwell winDrawSt. Johnstone win
St. Johnstone
11th88%>99%>99%31%
Ross County
11th12%––69%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Motherwell

  1. L0–315 MayHibernian (A)xG 0.85–1.34
  2. W5–111 MayRoss County (A)xG 1.65–1.21
  3. W4–14 MayLivingston (H)xG 2.63–0.66
  4. L0–127 AprAberdeen (A)xG 0.41–2.32
  5. D1–113 AprHibernian (H)xG 0.97–1.51
  6. W3–26 AprDundee FC (A)xG 2.62–0.47

St. Johnstone

  1. D1–115 MayRoss County (H)xG 0.58–0.47
  2. L1–211 MayLivingston (A)xG 2.62–1.30
  3. L0–14 MayAberdeen (A)xG 0.99–3.34
  4. L1–327 AprHibernian (H)xG 0.82–1.76
  5. L0–213 AprKilmarnock (H)xG 1.22–3.51
  6. W2–16 AprHibernian (A)xG 0.62–0.95

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

MotherwellSt. Johnstone
Position9th11th
Played3737
Won, drawn, lost10–⁠13–⁠147–⁠11–⁠19
Points43 (1.16 per game)32 (0.86 per game)
Expected Points per game1.260.93
Goals55–⁠5727–⁠53
xG per game1.26–⁠1.470.93–⁠1.69
Home: points, xG per game1.17, 1.39–⁠1.361.00, 0.99–⁠1.47
Away: points, xG per game1.16, 1.14–⁠1.570.72, 0.87–⁠1.92
ManagerStuart Kettlewell (51)Craig Levein (27)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.33AttackMotherwell1.25, 6thSt. Johnstone0.95, 12thDefence (lower is better)Motherwell1.34, 7thSt. Johnstone1.56, 10th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayMotherwell attack: 1.25St. Johnstone attack: 0.951.250.95St. JohnstoneMotherwellDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayMotherwell defence: 1.34St. Johnstone defence: 1.561.561.34

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

MotherwellSt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−8%+6%−34%+13%
Counter-attacks+14%−21%−62%+31%
Set pieces−25%+7%−6%+47%
Penalties−5%+8%−73%−5%
Headers−8%+35%−4%+32%
Left side−16%+27%−42%+13%
Centre+2%−6%−19%+22%
Right side−31%average−37%+37%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−16%+37%Centre+2%+22%Right side−31%+13%Open play−8%+13%Counter-attacks+14%+31%Set pieces−25%+47%Headers−8%+32%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdMotherwell concededLeft side−42%averageCentre−19%−6%Right side−37%+27%Open play−34%+6%Counter-attacks−62%−21%Set pieces−6%+7%Headers−4%+35%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

MotherwellSt. Johnstone

1.26xG0.93
1.47xG against1.69
45%Possession44%
11.4Shots9.7
13.9Shots against14.7
4.0Shots on target2.9
2.0Big chances1.4
19.7Touches in the opposition box15.5
355Passes331
67%Pass accuracy65%
4.6Corners3.8
45%Field tilt40%
32.5Final-third entries27.3
9.8Box entries7.1
16.9Passes per defensive action16.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level451.041.39
Ahead161.331.90
Behind291.561.36

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level470.861.31
Ahead150.931.95
Behind281.042.17

xG by period

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.136–7
16–300.170.217–12
31–450.210.248–7
46–600.120.282–10
61–750.230.2710–10
76–900.370.3322–11

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.130.145–3
16–300.130.212–6
31–450.140.234–9
46–600.150.314–8
61–750.120.362–13
76–900.260.4410–14

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Motherwell

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTKelly 37Casey 28O'Donnell 6Mugabi 26Butcher 7McGinn 25Blaney 19O'Donnell 25Devine 5Spencer 5Spittal 13Zdravkovski 12Paton 10Miller 17Halliday 8Spencer 6Gent 14Slattery 7Spencer 5Bair 13Slattery 9Paton 8Spittal 20Zdravkovski 4Biereth 3Bair 17Vale 6Biereth 63-4-2-1 in 12 of 37 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (12), 3-5-2 (6), 3-4-3 (6), 3-4-1-2 (4), 3-1-4-2 (3), 5-4-1 (2), 3-5-1-1 (2), 5-3-2 (2)

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTMitov 37McGowan 22M. Smith 4Costelloe 4Gordon 30McClelland 5Considine 24Robinson 9Keltjens 10Brown 8Olufunwa 6Phillips 16M. Smith 12Kucheriavyi 6Robinson 15Carey 8Sprangler 4Phillips 8Sprangler 6M. Smith 5M. Smith 8Carey 7Phillips 5Clark 11May 8Kimpioka 7Sidibeh 10Carey 8Jaiyesimi 83-4-1-2 in 7 of 37 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (7), 4-2-3-1 (6), 3-5-2 (5), 4-4-2 (3), 3-4-2-1 (3), 4-4-1-1 (3), 4-1-4-1 (3), 4-5-1 (2), 3-1-4-2 (1), 5-3-2 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
27 January 2024St. Johnstone1–1MotherwellxG 0.82–0.87
9 December 2023Motherwell1–1St. JohnstonexG 1.21–1.33
7 November 2023St. Johnstone2–2MotherwellxG 0.93–2.58
13 May 2023St. Johnstone0–2MotherwellxG 0.75–1.53
1 February 2023Motherwell0–2St. JohnstonexG 0.31–1.00
12 November 2022St. Johnstone1–1MotherwellxG 1.38–0.93

13 league meetings since 2020/21: Motherwell won 3, St. Johnstone won 4, and 6 were drawn. Goals 14–16 and xG 0.87–1.15 per game.

Key players

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Biereth111,022650.360.22
Bair302,5611560.460.10
Spittal363,2299110.170.23
Vale9751220.240.10

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Sidibeh10867400.520.04
Kane7788100.390.03
Clark151,307600.320.04
Jaiyesimi9721110.260.07

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.