Saturday 27 January 2024, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 23 · Half-time 1–1 · Referee Colin Steven · Attendance 3,412
St. Johnstone McGowan 3'
Motherwell Bair 29'
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
St. Johnstone
Motherwell
Goals
1
1
xG
0.82
0.87
Expected Points
1.28
1.34
St. Johnstone 30%Draw 38%Motherwell 32%
Most likely score 1–1, 18%. Final score 1–1, 18%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
St. JohnstoneMotherwell
0.82 −0.07xG0.87 −0.26
0.87 +0.06xG on target0.71 −0.50
7 −2.5Shots11 +0.7
4 +1.2Shots on target2 −1.6
2 +0.8Big chances0 −2.0
9 −8Touches in the opposition box21 +2
42% −1Possession58% +14
351 +20Passes456 +114
70% +5Pass accuracy71% +6
25% −14Field tilt75% +31
23 −2Final-third entries40 +10
7 −0.3Box entries13 +3.8
17.6 +1Passes per defensive action8.4 −7
0 −3.6Corners6 +1.8
14 −3Tackles15 −1
13 +3.5Interceptions8 +0.1
31 +6Clearances6 −17
1 −2.7Saves3 +0.7
13 +1Fouls16 +4
0 −1.6Offsides2 +0.9
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
St. Johnstone
Motherwell
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
3'29'
1–01–1
0'HTFT
Level
73 min (74%) · St. Johnstone 0.78, Motherwell 0.73 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
26 min (26%) · St. Johnstone 0.04, Motherwell 0.14 xG
Line-ups
St. Johnstone substitutes
35'Jaiyesimi for Gordon
61'C. Smith for Kucheriavyi · yellow card 76'
61'Clark for Kimpioka
83'Sprangler for Carey
Motherwell substitutes
61'Miller for Halliday
81'Nicholson for Zdravkovski
Players
St. Johnstone
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Mitov
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
McGowan
CB
90
1
0.21
0.00
0
0.02
1
12
Gordon
CB
35
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
2
Considine
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
3
16
Keltjens
RWB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.06
4
7
M. Smith
CM
90
0.00
0.21
1
0.05
5
7
Phillips
CM
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.03
2
6
Robinson
LWB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.05
6
4
Carey
AM
83
0.05
0.01
1
0.02
4
2
Kucheriavyi
AM
61
0.00
0.16
1
0.18
3
1
Kimpioka
ST
61
0.12
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Jaiyesimi
FW
55
0.44
0.03
1
0.09
2
2
C. Smith
MF
29
0.00
0.06
1
0.08
2
0
Clark
MF
29
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
0
Sprangler
MF
7
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Motherwell
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Kelly
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.05
4
0
Mugabi
CB
90
0.13
0.01
0
0.04
1
6
Butcher
CB
90
0.01
0.01
0
0.05
4
5
McGinn
CB
90
0.00
0.03
0
0.11
9
2
O'Donnell
RWB
90
0.00
0.15
3
0.24
11
1
Zdravkovski
CM
81
0.00
0.01
0
0.01
2
1
Halliday
CM
61
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
1
Gent
LWB
90
0.08
0.01
0
0.03
4
4
Paton
AM
90
0.25
0.10
1
0.11
3
4
Spittal
AM
90
1
0.25
0.29
3
0.29
6
3
Bair
ST
90
1
0.08
0.03
0
0.01
1
0
Miller
MF
29
0.05
0.02
0
0.04
4
2
Nicholson
DF
9
0.02
0.03
0
0.06
2
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
St. Johnstone
Motherwell
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
St. Johnstone
From
To
Passes
Considine
Robinson
12
Keltjens
M. Smith
11
McGowan
Keltjens
10
Robinson
Considine
10
Keltjens
McGowan
7
Motherwell
From
To
Passes
Mugabi
O'Donnell
15
Butcher
McGinn
14
McGinn
Spittal
12
McGinn
Gent
12
Gent
Spittal
9
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
St. Johnstone
Against its average of 21 matches
Motherwell
Against its average of 21 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
St. Johnstone
Motherwell
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
St. Johnstone
Top six
4%
3%
−1
11th
24%
25%
+1
Bottom
12%
12%
0
Motherwell
Top six
9%
8%
−1
11th
13%
12%
−1
Bottom
5%
5%
0
Hibernian
Top six
42%
45%
+3
Ross County
11th
29%
29%
0
Bottom
18%
17%
−1
From the forecast before the match (27 January 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
St. Johnstone
Motherwell
Expected goals
1.25
1.13
Win
38%
33%
Expected Points
1.44
1.27
Clean sheet
32%
29%
St. Johnstone 38%Draw 29%Motherwell 33%
Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 49%.
From the forecast as it stood on 27 January 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
St. Johnstone win
Draw
Motherwell win
St. Johnstone
Top six
4%
7%
3%
2%
11th
24%
18%
25%
30%
Bottom
12%
7%
12%
17%
Motherwell
Top six
9%
5%
8%
16%
11th
13%
18%
12%
7%
Bottom
5%
7%
5%
2%
Hibernian
Top six
42%
42%
45%
41%
Ross County
11th
29%
29%
29%
28%
Bottom
18%
20%
17%
18%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
St. Johnstone
Motherwell
Position
10th
9th
Played
21
21
Won, drawn, lost
4–8–9
4–8–9
Points
20 (0.95 per game)
20 (0.95 per game)
Expected Points per game
0.90
1.12
Goals
14–28
25–34
xG per game
0.89–1.62
1.13–1.52
Home: points, xG per game
1.45, 1.11–1.46
1.09, 1.23–1.42
Away: points, xG per game
0.40, 0.64–1.80
0.80, 1.01–1.62
Manager
Craig Levein (11)
Stuart Kettlewell (35)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
St. Johnstone
Motherwell
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−34%
+25%
−11%
+14%
Counter-attacks
−86%
+77%
−37%
−16%
Set pieces
−3%
+13%
−22%
+8%
Penalties
−74%
−22%
−22%
+30%
Headers
+1%
+25%
−9%
+34%
Left side
−39%
+5%
−21%
+38%
Centre
−16%
+29%
+2%
+3%
Right side
−46%
+42%
−45%
−6%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Matchups
St. Johnstone attacking
St. Johnstone createdMotherwell concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−39%−6%Centre−16%+3%Right side−46%+38%Open play−34%+14%Counter-attacks−86%−16%Set pieces−3%+8%Headers+1%+34%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
St. JohnstoneMotherwell
0.89xG1.13
1.62xG against1.52
43%Possession44%
9.5Shots10.3
14.8Shots against13.9
2.8Shots on target3.6
1.2Big chances2.0
16.9Touches in the opposition box18.7
330Passes342
65%Pass accuracy65%
3.6Corners4.2
38%Field tilt44%
25.2Final-third entries29.9
7.3Box entries9.2
16.7Passes per defensive action15.8
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
St. Johnstone
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
52
0.85
1.18
Ahead
14
0.89
1.90
Behind
24
0.96
2.45
Motherwell
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
46
0.98
1.50
Ahead
11
0.46
1.80
Behind
33
1.55
1.45
xG by period
St. Johnstone
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.10
0.10
2–1
16–30
0.15
0.23
2–3
31–45
0.12
0.17
2–4
46–60
0.11
0.28
2–5
61–75
0.15
0.40
2–8
76–90
0.26
0.45
4–7
Motherwell
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.09
0.12
2–3
16–30
0.12
0.24
2–10
31–45
0.18
0.21
3–2
46–60
0.09
0.34
1–5
61–75
0.28
0.26
5–7
76–90
0.37
0.34
12–7
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Digressive Celts