Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

St. Johnstone 2–2 Motherwell

Tuesday 7 November 2023, 19:45 · McDiarmid Park · Round 9 · Half-time 2–0 · Referee Euan Anderson · Attendance 3,513

St. Johnstone Clark 17', Considine 27'

Motherwell Blaney 68', Biereth 74'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. JohnstoneMotherwell
Goals22
xG0.932.58
Expected Points0.302.55

St. Johnstone 5%Draw 14%Motherwell 80%

Most likely score 1–2, 14%. Final score 2–2, 7%.

Motherwell goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+4%5%1%5%6%1%2%7%6%3%1%2%12%12%14%14%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTKucheriavyi on for Clark, 75'May on for Kane, 89'MacPherson on for Carey, 90+2'Bair on for Spencer, 46'Gent on for Slattery, 61'Shaw on for Biereth, 90+2'Clark 17'Considine 27'Blaney 68'Biereth 74'Motherwell 2.58St. Johnstone 0.9301230153045607590HTKucheriavyi on for Clark, 75'May on for Kane, 89'MacPherson on for Carey, 90+2'Bair on for Spencer, 46'Gent on for Slattery, 61'Shaw on for Biereth, 90+2'Clark 17'Considine 27'Blaney 68'Biereth 74'2.580.93St. JohnstoneMotherwell

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneMotherwell

0.93 +0.15xG2.58 +1.51
1.16 +0.64xG on target2.18 +1.08
10 0Shots11 0
3 +0.9Shots on target5 +1.4
1 0.0Big chances4 +2.5
14 −4Touches in the opposition box19 −2
48% +5Possession52% +6
361 +37Passes399 +42
70% +7Pass accuracy72% +5
65% +28Field tilt35% −14
33 +8Final-third entries32 −1
3 −4.4Box entries10 −1.2
20.3 +4Passes per defensive action7.5 −8
6 +1.5Corners7 +2.3
17 +1Tackles20 +3
7 −3.0Interceptions4 −4.4
24 0Clearances23 0
2 −1.9Saves1 −1.5
11 −1Fouls18 +5
1 −0.4Offsides0 −1.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Johnstone

Considine 27', 0.22 xGMay 90+1', 0.10 xGSmith 88', 0.06 xGKane 80', 0.04 xGCarey 16', 0.02 xGCarey 79', 0.02 xGSmith 90+3', 0.02 xGRobinson 90+6', 0.01 xGConsidine 27', 0.32 xG, goalClark 17', 0.12 xG, goal57%0.54 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.54 xG, 1 goal28%0.26 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.26 xG, 1 goal2%0.02 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals9%0.08 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals4%0.04 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

Motherwell

Bair 65', 0.77 xGWilkinson 32', 0.27 xGCasey 32', 0.10 xGCasey 72', 0.10 xGWilkinson 42', 0.03 xGSlattery 45+1', 0.03 xGSlattery 60', 0.02 xGSpittal 90', 0.02 xGSpencer 45', 0.01 xGBlaney 68', 0.83 xG, goalBiereth 74', 0.39 xG, goal87%2.26 xGSix-yard box: 4 shots, 2.26 xG, 2 goals8%0.21 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.21 xG, 0 goals1%0.03 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals2%0.04 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.04 xG, 0 goals2%0.05 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneMotherwell

0.20 5 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.24 6 shots, 1 goal
0.73 5 shots, 2 goalsSet pieces1.34 5 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
39 min (40%) · St. Johnstone 0.40, Motherwell 0.03 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
58 min (60%) · St. Johnstone 0.54, Motherwell 2.56 xG

Line-ups

15641934222311109MitovMcGowanGordonConsidineRobinsonPhillipsSmithSpranglerCareyClarkKaneGoalYellow cardGoal90+2'75'89'St. Johnstone 4-4-2Craig Levein115662021287229924KellyCaseyButcherBlaneyO'DonnellPatonSlatterySpittalSpencerWilkinsonBierethGoalYellow cardYellow cardGoal61'46'90+2'Motherwell 3-5-2Stuart Kettlewell

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 75' Kucheriavyi for Clark
  • 89' May for Kane
  • 90+2' MacPherson for Carey

Motherwell substitutes

  • 46' Bair for Spencer
  • 61' Gent for Slattery · 1 assist
  • 90+2' Shaw for Biereth

Players

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MitovGK900.000.0000.0333
McGowanRB900.000.0600.1342
GordonCB900.000.0100.0368
ConsidineCB9010.530.0100.0118
RobinsonLB900.010.0100.0225
Phillips RM9010.000.0220.0365
SmithCM9010.080.1510.0368
SpranglerCM900.000.0200.0628
CareyLM900.050.1410.1752
ClarkST7510.120.011−0.0102
KaneST890.040.0100.0821
KucheriavyiMF150.000.2710.0410
MayFW10.100.001−0.0100
MacPhersonMF00.000.0000.0000

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
KellyGK900.000.0000.0321
CaseyCB900.210.0100.1975
ButcherCB900.000.0000.0859
BlaneyCB9010.830.0000.0427
O'DonnellRWB900.000.3200.2283
Paton CM900.000.0200.0757
Slattery CM610.050.0300.0521
SpittalCM900.020.1930.1175
SpencerLWB460.010.0000.0113
WilkinsonST9010.290.6820.0746
BierethST9010.390.6110.1721
BairFW440.770.0110.0112
GentMF2910.000.3510.1811
ShawFW00.000.0000.0110

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Mitov and Considine: 4 passesMcGowan and Gordon: 4 passesMcGowan and Clark: 4 passesGordon and Phillips: 4 passesConsidine and Kane: 4 passesPhillips and Kane: 4 passesSmith and Kane: 4 passesMcGowan and Kane: 5 passesGordon and Carey: 5 passesConsidine and Sprangler: 5 passesClark and Kane: 5 passesMitov and McGowan: 6 passesRobinson and Sprangler: 6 passesSmith and Clark: 6 passesMcGowan and Smith: 7 passesCarey and Clark: 7 passesSprangler and Carey: 8 passesRobinson and Carey: 10 passesMcGowan and Carey: 11 passesPhillips and Smith: 11 passesConsidine and Carey: 14 passesConsidine and Robinson: 15 passesMcGowan and Phillips: 20 passesMitov: 9 completed passesMcGowan: 35 completed passesGordon: 12 completed passesConsidine: 30 completed passesRobinson: 16 completed passesPhillips: 22 completed passesSprangler: 21 completed passesSmith: 12 completed passesCarey: 32 completed passesClark: 15 completed passesKane: 11 completed passes15641934232211109MitovMcGowanGordonConsidineRobinsonPhillipsSpranglerSmithCareyClarkKaneStarters until 75' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Motherwell

Casey and Blaney: 3 passesButcher and Slattery: 3 passesButcher and Spittal: 3 passesSpencer and Paton: 3 passesCasey and Slattery: 4 passesO'Donnell and Paton: 4 passesSlattery and Wilkinson: 4 passesBlaney and Spencer: 5 passesBlaney and Paton: 5 passesO'Donnell and Spittal: 5 passesPaton and Slattery: 5 passesButcher and O'Donnell: 6 passesPaton and Spittal: 6 passesCasey and Paton: 7 passesO'Donnell and Slattery: 8 passesKelly and Butcher: 9 passesBlaney and Butcher: 9 passesCasey and O'Donnell: 11 passesButcher and Paton: 11 passesSlattery and Spittal: 12 passesCasey and Butcher: 18 passesKelly: 10 completed passesCasey: 23 completed passesBlaney: 11 completed passesButcher: 35 completed passesO'Donnell: 16 completed passesSpencer: 8 completed passesPaton: 23 completed passesSlattery: 18 completed passesSpittal: 17 completed passesWilkinson: 5 completed passesBiereth: 1 completed passes115206622212879924KellyCaseyBlaneyButcherO'DonnellSpencerPatonSlatterySpittalWilkinsonBierethStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
McGowanPhillips13
ConsidineRobinson11
CareyConsidine9
CareyMcGowan8
PhillipsMcGowan8

Motherwell

FromToPasses
ButcherCasey14
CaseyButcher11
ButcherPaton11
CaseyO'Donnell10
ButcherBlaney10

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

4−1.13−4.715+1.19−0.44−4.05−1.87+0.56+0.210+2.57−2.47−0.15+0.34+0.47+1.66+1.74+1.50−1.70−3.03−2.35+3.17+6.22+0.62+1.02−0.70−0.40−0.30−0.20−0.210.02−6.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 10 matches

Motherwell

2−3.214−3.110+2.95−1.27−1.411+2.97+0.310+3.76−0.23−1.37+2.011+4.58+2.44−0.630.01−2.53−1.44+1.66+4.01−0.60−1.66+4.20−1.10−0.72+1.30−0.80−1.04−4.03−4.73−3.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 11 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

0.010.020.010.010.01−0.010.030.040.020.030.020.040.110.03−0.010.020.030.010.030.18LessMore

Motherwell

0.010.030.020.050.010.010.060.020.050.020.030.040.07−0.010.010.030.040.070.020.010.070.10−0.010.160.150.17LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.30AttackSt. Johnstone0.96 → 0.95Motherwell1.11 → 1.15Defence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.48 → 1.51Motherwell1.40 → 1.38

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
Top six7%5%−2
11th21%21%0
Bottom34%36%+2
Motherwell
Top six29%26%−3
11th10%10%0
Bottom6%6%0
St. Mirren
Top six71%73%+2
11th2%2%0
Ross County
Top six12%12%0
11th20%21%+1
Bottom19%18%−1

From the forecast before the match (7 November 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. JohnstoneMotherwell
Expected goals1.241.15
Win38%33%
Expected Points1.421.29
Clean sheet32%29%

St. Johnstone 38%Draw 29%Motherwell 33%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 49%.

Motherwell goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+6%2%7%3%7%8%5%2%3%3%2%1%10%10%11%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 7 November 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Johnstone winDrawMotherwell win
St. Johnstone
Top six7%11%5%4%
11th21%21%21%22%
Bottom34%25%36%43%
Motherwell
Top six29%22%26%41%
11th10%12%10%6%
Bottom6%10%6%3%
St. Mirren
Top six71%72%73%69%
11th2%2%2%2%
Ross County
Top six12%12%12%11%
11th20%18%21%21%
Bottom19%21%18%17%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. W2–11 NovKilmarnock (H)xG 1.74–1.30
  2. L0–428 OctSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.74–1.52
  3. D0–08 OctAberdeen (A)xG 0.33–1.01
  4. D1–130 SepLivingston (H)xG 0.62–0.98
  5. L0–223 SepHibernian (A)xG 0.62–2.78
  6. L0–216 SepRangers (H)xG 0.32–2.02

Motherwell

  1. L0–14 NovKilmarnock (A)xG 0.61–1.95
  2. L2–41 NovAberdeen (H)xG 1.44–2.24
  3. D3–328 OctRoss County (H)xG 2.34–1.92
  4. L0–27 OctLivingston (A)xG 0.06–2.59
  5. L1–230 SepCeltic (H)xG 0.82–1.68
  6. L0–124 SepRangers (A)xG 0.72–1.00

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneMotherwell
Position12th9th
Played1011
Won, drawn, lost1–⁠4–⁠53–⁠2–⁠6
Points7 (0.70 per game)11 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game0.721.05
Goals5–⁠1612–⁠17
xG per game0.78–⁠1.741.07–⁠1.54
Home: points, xG per game1.00, 1.07–⁠1.501.17, 1.42–⁠1.38
Away: points, xG per game0.40, 0.49–⁠1.990.80, 0.66–⁠1.73
ManagerCraig Levein (0)Stuart Kettlewell (25)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.30AttackSt. Johnstone0.96, 12thMotherwell1.11, 7thDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.48, 10thMotherwell1.40, 7th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovSt. Johnstone attack: 0.96Motherwell attack: 1.111.110.96MotherwellSt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovSt. Johnstone defence: 1.48Motherwell defence: 1.401.481.40

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneMotherwell
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−44%+26%−14%+19%
Counter-attacks−86%+133%−43%+38%
Set pieces−9%+19%−50%−14%
Penalties−100%−37%+14%+14%
Headers−3%+1%−55%+30%
Left side−35%+14%−21%+57%
Centre−33%+18%−19%−15%
Right side−49%+88%−44%+18%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdMotherwell concededLeft side−35%+18%Centre−33%−15%Right side−49%+57%Open play−44%+19%Counter-attacks−86%+38%Set pieces−9%−14%Headers−3%+30%

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−21%+88%Centre−19%+18%Right side−44%+14%Open play−14%+26%Counter-attacks−43%+133%Set pieces−50%+19%Headers−55%+1%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneMotherwell

0.78xG1.07
1.74xG against1.54
43%Possession46%
10.0Shots10.9
15.3Shots against14.6
2.1Shots on target3.6
1.0Big chances1.5
17.7Touches in the opposition box21.2
324Passes358
63%Pass accuracy66%
4.5Corners4.7
37%Field tilt48%
25.0Final-third entries32.9
7.4Box entries11.2
16.3Passes per defensive action15.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level490.611.28
Ahead111.161.71
Behind300.922.51

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level510.941.14
Ahead100.502.69
Behind291.521.86

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.180.092–0
16–300.110.220–1
31–450.060.221–4
46–600.080.360–5
61–750.150.300–3
76–900.200.572–3

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.050.130–1
16–300.150.141–2
31–450.140.181–1
46–600.100.401–3
61–750.120.301–6
76–900.510.408–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKRBCBCBLBDMRMCMCMLMSTMitov 10Olufunwa 4Brown 2Wright 2Gordon 6McClelland 5Considine 7Robinson 2Robinson 6Considine 1Sprangler 1Sprangler 3McGowan 2Turner-Cooke 2Costelloe 4Wright 2Smith 1Phillips 6Kucheriavyi 4Ballantyne 2Smith 6MacPherson 1Carey 7Costelloe 1Jaiyesimi 1May 4Kane 2Costelloe 24-1-4-1 in 3 of 10 starts

Formations: 4-1-4-1 (3), 4-4-1-1 (2), 4-2-3-1 (2), 4-4-2 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1)

Motherwell

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWKelly 11McGinn 9Mugabi 10Butcher 1Casey 11Blaney 2O'Donnell 10McGinn 1Paton 6Slattery 4Wilkinson 1Spittal 5Miller 5Spencer 1Spencer 7Souaré 2Paton 1Slattery 5Miller 3Paton 1Bair 4Wilkinson 2Spittal 1Bair 6Spittal 4Wilkinson 13-4-3 in 5 of 11 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (5), 3-5-2 (3), 3-4-2-1 (1), 5-3-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
13 May 2023St. Johnstone0–2MotherwellxG 0.75–1.53
1 February 2023Motherwell0–2St. JohnstonexG 0.31–1.00
12 November 2022St. Johnstone1–1MotherwellxG 1.38–0.93
6 August 2022Motherwell1–2St. JohnstonexG 0.67–0.87
19 March 2022St. Johnstone2–1MotherwellxG 0.37–0.24
18 December 2021Motherwell2–0St. JohnstonexG 0.31–0.52

10 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 4, Motherwell won 3, and 3 were drawn. Goals 12–10 and xG 1.19–0.66 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Carey9810020.020.19
Gordon7579000.140.01
Costelloe7574100.090.03
Robinson8720010.010.09

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Spittal11990120.160.20
Slattery10855100.190.09
Bair10762200.170.04
O'Donnell10831010.030.11

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.