Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
HibernianRoss County
1.27 +0.10xG0.35 −0.51
2.63 +1.50xG on target0.87 +0.01
14 +3Shots4 −6
6 +2.1Shots on target2 −1.2
2 +0.2Big chances1 −0.4
29 +6Touches in the opposition box7 −10
64% +12Possession36% −9
543 +126Passes304 −35
79% +3Pass accuracy62% −3
54% +8Field tilt46% +2
52 +16Final-third entries26 −5
13 +1.5Box entries5 −4.0
12.8 −2Passes per defensive action14.3 0
8 +3.1Corners2 −2.8
10 −4Tackles24 +10
10 +2.3Interceptions7 −2.7
18 −6Clearances28 +2
2 −1.0Saves4 −0.1
9 −1Fouls14 +1
1 −0.5Offsides0 −1.5
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Hibernian
Ross County
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
59'86'
0–01–0
0'HTFT
Level
59 min (65%) · Hibernian 0.77, Ross County 0.14 xG
Hibernian ahead
32 min (35%) · Hibernian 0.50, Ross County 0.21 xG
Line-ups
Hibernian substitutes
46'Levitt for Moriah-Welsh · goal 86'
62'Le Fondre for Vente
74'Youan for Boyle · 1 assist
84'Cadden for Miller
84'Triantis for Marcondes
Ross County substitutes
69'Khela for King
78'Sims for Brown
85'Henderson for Reid
Players
Hibernian
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Marshall
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
1
0
Miller
RB
84
0.00
0.09
1
0.11
11
2
Fish
CB
90
0.14
0.00
0
0.06
1
8
Bushiri
CB
90
0.00
0.01
1
0.09
5
8
Obita
LB
90
0.00
0.08
0
0.12
5
1
Moriah-Welsh
DM
46
0.00
0.03
1
0.05
4
1
Newell
DM
90
0.08
0.20
3
0.04
5
5
Boyle
RW
74
0.03
0.01
0
0.04
0
2
Marcondes
AM
84
0.31
0.14
2
0.17
5
3
Maolida
LW
90
1
0.27
0.16
1
0.13
6
1
Vente
ST
62
0.00
0.08
0
0.05
0
2
Levitt
MF
44
1
0.24
0.02
0
0.11
5
3
Le Fondre
FW
28
0.20
0.00
0
−0.15
1
1
Youan
FW
16
1
0.00
0.03
1
0.04
3
0
Cadden
DF
6
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
Triantis
MF
6
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
Ross County
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Wickens
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.05
6
3
Brown
RWB
78
0.00
0.43
0
0.21
3
7
Efete
CB
90
0.00
0.03
0
0.03
1
6
Baldwin
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.02
3
6
Leak
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
3
8
Reid
LWB
85
0.00
0.02
0
0.05
6
7
Sheaf
CM
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.01
1
5
Loturi
CM
90
0.10
0.01
1
0.04
5
7
King
CM
69
0.00
0.01
0
−0.01
4
7
White
ST
90
0.00
0.02
1
0.01
3
8
Brophy
ST
90
0.25
0.00
0
−0.01
0
0
Khela
MF
21
0.00
0.32
1
0.15
2
0
Sims
FW
12
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Henderson
MF
5
0.00
0.04
0
0.01
1
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Hibernian
Ross County
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Hibernian
From
To
Passes
Fish
Miller
18
Marshall
Bushiri
16
Fish
Bushiri
14
Miller
Fish
12
Obita
Maolida
11
Ross County
From
To
Passes
King
Reid
8
Reid
Loturi
7
Loturi
Baldwin
6
Loturi
King
6
Reid
King
6
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Hibernian
Against its average of 27 matches
Ross County
Against its average of 27 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Hibernian
Ross County
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Hibernian
Top six
44%
57%
+13
11th
1%
<1%
−1
Ross County
11th
57%
61%
+4
Bottom
11%
14%
+3
Dundee FC
Top six
35%
29%
−6
11th
1%
1%
0
St. Johnstone
Top six
1%
<1%
−1
11th
20%
17%
−3
From the forecast before the match (2 March 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Hibernian
Ross County
Expected goals
1.67
0.94
Win
54%
21%
Expected Points
1.88
0.87
Clean sheet
39%
19%
Hibernian 54%Draw 25%Ross County 21%
Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 50%.
From the forecast as it stood on 2 March 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Hibernian win
Draw
Ross County win
Hibernian
Top six
44%
57%
33%
23%
11th
1%
<1%
1%
3%
Ross County
11th
57%
61%
56%
47%
Bottom
11%
14%
11%
4%
Dundee FC
Top six
35%
29%
41%
44%
11th
1%
1%
1%
2%
St. Johnstone
Top six
1%
<1%
1%
1%
11th
20%
17%
20%
28%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Hibernian
Ross County
Position
7th
11th
Played
27
27
Won, drawn, lost
7–10–10
5–8–14
Points
31 (1.15 per game)
23 (0.85 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.09
0.95
Goals
34–43
24–46
xG per game
1.17–1.58
0.86–1.63
Home: points, xG per game
1.14, 1.26–1.46
1.15, 0.87–1.20
Away: points, xG per game
1.15, 1.08–1.70
0.57, 0.85–2.02
Manager
Nick Montgomery (23)
Don Cowie (4)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Hibernian
Ross County
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−4%
+11%
−22%
+29%
Counter-attacks
−55%
−23%
−44%
+60%
Set pieces
−8%
+16%
−37%
−1%
Penalties
−43%
+70%
−100%
−5%
Headers
−17%
−16%
−21%
−15%
Left side
−7%
−6%
−11%
+16%
Centre
−15%
+9%
−41%
+37%
Right side
−1%
+27%
−20%
+4%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Matchups
Hibernian attacking
Hibernian createdRoss County concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−7%+4%Centre−15%+37%Right side−1%+16%Open play−4%+29%Counter-attacks−55%+60%Set pieces−8%−1%Headers−17%−15%
Ross County attacking
Ross County createdHibernian concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−11%+27%Centre−41%+9%Right side−20%−6%Open play−22%+11%Counter-attacks−44%−23%Set pieces−37%+16%Headers−21%−16%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
HibernianRoss County
1.17xG0.86
1.58xG against1.63
52%Possession45%
11.0Shots10.0
14.4Shots against15.9
3.9Shots on target3.2
1.8Big chances1.4
22.9Touches in the opposition box17.1
417Passes339
76%Pass accuracy65%
4.9Corners4.8
47%Field tilt44%
36.0Final-third entries31.2
11.5Box entries9.0
15.3Passes per defensive action14.8
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Hibernian
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
43
1.32
1.40
Ahead
22
0.95
1.76
Behind
26
1.12
1.72
Ross County
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
46
0.98
1.26
Ahead
15
0.95
1.62
Behind
29
0.62
2.23
xG by period
Hibernian
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.16
0.26
3–6
16–30
0.18
0.15
5–5
31–45
0.20
0.31
4–7
46–60
0.16
0.23
4–7
61–75
0.20
0.28
11–8
76–90
0.28
0.35
7–10
Ross County
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.17
0.15
2–3
16–30
0.15
0.26
5–8
31–45
0.12
0.38
1–9
46–60
0.14
0.21
6–6
61–75
0.11
0.24
4–6
76–90
0.17
0.38
6–14
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Digressive Celts