Matches › 2024/25

Hibernian 3–1 Ross County

Saturday 14 December 2024, 15:00 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 17 · Half-time 1–1 · Referee Lloyd Wilson · Attendance 14,885

Hibernian Gayle 45+6', Youan 73' (pen), Campbell 90+4'

Ross County Campbell 3'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Hibernian	Ross County
Goals	3	1
xG	4.80	1.22
Non-penalty xG	3.22	1.22
Expected Points	2.91	0.06

Hibernian 96%Draw 3%Ross County 1%

Most likely score 6+–1, 13%. Final score 3–1, 6%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HibernianRoss County

4.80 +3.35xG1.22 +0.35

3.22Non-penalty xG1.22

3.07 +1.73xG on target1.66 +0.90

19 +6Shots13 +3

7 +3.1Shots on target4 +1.0

7 +4.9Big chances2 +1.0

42 +19Touches in the opposition box24 +10

58% +12Possession42% +3

390 +60Passes278 −20

80% +7Pass accuracy68% +1

58% +8Field tilt42% +7

48 +13Final-third entries28 −1

18 +8.3Box entries7 +0.4

10.4 −5Passes per defensive action18.7 +2

9 +3.2Corners15 +11.2

19 +6Tackles14 −2

2 −5.4Interceptions4 −7.2

47 +19Clearances42 +7

3 +0.2Saves4 +1.2

7 −5Fouls9 −2

0 −1.4Offsides0 −1.1

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Hibernian

Ross County

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HibernianRoss County

1.91 10 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.43 7 shots, 0 goals

0.94 3 shots, 1 goalCounter-attacks0.09 1 shot, 0 goals

0.38 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.69 5 shots, 1 goal

1.58 2 shots, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–11–12–1

Level: 31 min (29%) · Hibernian 3.25, Ross County 0.89 xG
Hibernian ahead: 27 min (25%) · Hibernian 0.99, Ross County 0.17 xG
Ross County ahead: 48 min (45%) · Hibernian 0.56, Ross County 0.17 xG

Line-ups

Hibernian substitutes

65' Obita for Iredale
65' Campbell for Hoilett · goal 90+4'
80' Boyle for Gayle
90+1' Kwon for O'Hora

Ross County substitutes

21' Leak for Campbell · yellow card 72'
65' Loturi for Allardice
66' White for Samuel · yellow card 75'
75' Hale for Nisbet

Players

Hibernian

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Smith	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	1
O'Hora	CB	90			0.08	0.01	0	0.06	2	9
Bushiri	CB	90			0.23	0.01	0	0.09	5	8
Iredale	CB	65			0.00	0.01	0	0.04	5	7
C. Cadden	RWB	90			0.00	0.03	0	0.04	4	7
Triantis	CM	90			0.00	0.04	1	0.04	6	14
Newell	CM	90			0.23	0.05	1	0.07	4	5
N. Cadden	LWB	90			0.82	0.83	7	0.36	13	9
Hoilett	AM	65		1	0.87	0.31	2	0.20	6	2
Youan	ST	90	1	1	1.36	0.24	1	0.18	11	2
Gayle	ST	80	1		0.50	0.31	2	0.15	2	2
Obita	DF	25			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	5
Campbell	MF	25	1		0.73	0.01	0	0.00	1	4
Boyle	FW	10			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1
Kwon	MF	0			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

Ross County

Player	Pos	Min	G	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Hamilton	GK	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	2
Wright	CB	90		0.09	0.02	0	0.05	6	10
Lopata	CB	90		0.00	0.07	0	0.07	4	11
Campbell	CB	21	1	0.53	0.00	0	0.01	1	2
Brown	RWB	90		0.00	0.07	1	0.08	7	6
Randall	CM	90		0.06	0.02	0	0.10	6	1
Allardice	CM	65		0.11	0.02	0	−0.01	1	7
Nisbet	CM	75		0.04	0.01	0	0.00	0	5
Harmon	LWB	90		0.00	0.27	2	0.17	3	5
Chilvers	AM	90		0.24	0.06	1	0.09	5	2
Samuel	ST	66		0.09	0.01	2	0.04	1	0
Leak	DF	69		0.00	0.00	0	0.01	2	8
Loturi	MF	25		0.00	0.02	1	−0.01	0	2
White	FW	24		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1
Hale	FW	15		0.04	0.00	0	0.02	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hibernian

Ross County

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hibernian

From	To	Passes
Iredale	Bushiri	16
Bushiri	Iredale	15
Iredale	N. Cadden	12
N. Cadden	Iredale	11
Bushiri	O'Hora	11

Ross County

From	To	Passes
Brown	Chilvers	9
Harmon	Chilvers	8
Chilvers	Harmon	8
Wright	Brown	7
Brown	Wright	6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hibernian

Against its average of 16 matches

Ross County

Against its average of 16 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hibernian

Ross County

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Hibernian
Top six	17%	22%	+5
11th	13%	10%	−3
Bottom	11%	7%	−4
Ross County
Top six	9%	6%	−3
11th	20%	21%	+1
Bottom	30%	36%	+6

From the forecast before the match (14 December 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Hibernian	Ross County
Expected goals	1.73	0.93
Win	56%	20%
Expected Points	1.92	0.83
Clean sheet	39%	18%

Hibernian 56%Draw 25%Ross County 20%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 50%.

From the forecast as it stood on 14 December 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Hibernian win	Draw	Ross County win
Hibernian
Top six	17%	22%	13%	8%
11th	13%	10%	14%	18%
Bottom	11%	7%	14%	19%
Ross County
Top six	9%	6%	9%	15%
11th	20%	21%	19%	18%
Bottom	30%	36%	28%	16%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hibernian

Ross County

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Hibernian	Ross County
Position	12th	8th
Played	16	16
Won, drawn, lost	2–⁠6–⁠8	3–⁠6–⁠7
Points	12 (0.75 per game)	15 (0.94 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.27	1.09
Goals	18–⁠28	12–⁠30
xG per game	1.45–⁠1.61	0.87–⁠1.51
Home: points, xG per game	0.88, 1.44–⁠1.40	1.33, 1.18–⁠0.87
Away: points, xG per game	0.62, 1.45–⁠1.83	0.43, 0.48–⁠2.33
Manager	David Gray (18)	Don Cowie (31)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Hibernian		Ross County
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−18%	−3%	−58%	+30%
Counter-attacks	−43%	+114%	−34%	−2%
Set pieces	+51%	+35%	−28%	−21%
Penalties	+26%	−16%	+68%	−58%
Headers	−12%	+4%	−40%	+1%
Left side	−1%	−18%	−28%	+5%
Centre	−2%	+41%	−52%	+14%
Right side	+4%	−3%	−56%	+20%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdRoss County concededLeft side−1%+20%Centre−2%+14%Right side+4%+5%Open play−18%+30%Counter-attacks−43%−2%Set pieces+51%−21%Headers−12%+1%

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdHibernian concededLeft side−28%−3%Centre−52%+41%Right side−56%−18%Open play−58%−3%Counter-attacks−34%+114%Set pieces−28%+35%Headers−40%+4%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianRoss County

1.45xG0.87

1.61xG against1.51

46%Possession39%

13.5Shots10.1

12.6Shots against14.2

3.9Shots on target3.0

2.1Big chances1.0

22.7Touches in the opposition box13.9

330Passes298

73%Pass accuracy66%

5.8Corners3.8

50%Field tilt34%

34.6Final-third entries29.2

9.7Box entries6.6

15.1Passes per defensive action16.7

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	40	1.26	1.33
Ahead	19	1.60	1.60
Behind	31	1.59	2.00

Ross County

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	47	0.98	1.08
Ahead	16	0.80	1.12
Behind	27	0.75	2.48

xG by period

Hibernian

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.14	0.25	1–3
16–30	0.21	0.30	2–4
31–45	0.35	0.17	5–4
46–60	0.16	0.24	2–4
61–75	0.34	0.19	4–0
76–90	0.26	0.46	4–13

Ross County

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.09	0.18	1–2
16–30	0.11	0.24	1–3
31–45	0.25	0.31	3–8
46–60	0.10	0.23	2–4
61–75	0.16	0.20	1–3
76–90	0.17	0.36	4–10

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (7), 4-3-3 (5), 4-4-2 (2), 5-4-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1)

Ross County

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (6), 3-5-2 (5), 4-4-2 (2), 3-4-2-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
30 October 2024	Ross County	0–0	Hibernian	xG 0.50–0.50
4 May 2024	Ross County	2–1	Hibernian	xG 1.83–2.55
13 March 2024	Ross County	2–2	Hibernian	xG 1.14–1.33
2 March 2024	Hibernian	2–0	Ross County	xG 1.27–0.35
31 October 2023	Hibernian	2–2	Ross County	xG 0.50–0.52
31 January 2023	Ross County	1–1	Hibernian	xG 0.69–1.03

14 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 5, Ross County won 4, and 5 were drawn. Goals 17–13 and xG 1.43–0.78 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
N. Cadden	6	492	3	1	0.36	0.31
Kukharevych	13	983	3	0	0.57	0.02
Hoilett	9	744	2	0	0.18	0.21
Boyle	8	799	2	1	0.28	0.09

Ross County

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Hale	15	1,214	5	0	0.38	0.05
White	11	1,030	2	0	0.20	0.07
Chilvers	10	759	0	1	0.10	0.14
Denholm	7	609	0	1	0.04	0.12

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.