Matches › 2023/24

Hibernian 2–2 Ross County

Tuesday 31 October 2023, 19:45 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 11 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Grant Irvine · Attendance 15,300

Hibernian Purrington 42' (og), Tavares 54'

Ross County Delferriere 74' (og), White 82'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Hibernian	Ross County
Goals	2	2
xG	0.50	0.52
Expected Points	1.23	1.27

Hibernian 25%Draw 49%Ross County 26%

Most likely score 0–0, 36%. Final score 2–2, 1%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HibernianRoss County

0.50 −0.80xG0.52 −0.51

0.35 −0.93xG on target0.21 −0.87

7 −6Shots8 −3

1 −3.3Shots on target3 −0.8

0 −2.4Big chances2 −0.1

14 −18Touches in the opposition box12 −6

57% +5Possession43% 0

465 +58Passes336 +10

79% +4Pass accuracy72% +9

65% +16Field tilt35% −10

30 −9Final-third entries25 −5

8 −5.6Box entries6 −3.6

13.7 −1Passes per defensive action13.7 −2

5 −0.1Corners5 +0.1

12 −4Tackles12 −1

12 +3.9Interceptions5 −4.9

13 −8Clearances19 −2

2 −0.4Saves0 −4.1

12 +2.5Fouls16 +3.4

2 +0.9Offsides3 +0.9

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Hibernian

Ross County

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HibernianRoss County

0.39 5 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.14 3 shots, 1 goal

0.03 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.24 1 shot, 0 goals

0.08 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.13 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–02–02–12–2

Level: 50 min (56%) · Hibernian 0.26, Ross County 0.35 xG
Hibernian ahead: 40 min (44%) · Hibernian 0.24, Ross County 0.17 xG

Line-ups

Hibernian substitutes

64' Hanlon for Bushiri
64' Boyle for Vente
68' Delferriere for Jeggo · own goal 74'
84' Newell for Levitt
84' Campbell for Le Fondre

Ross County substitutes

63' Dhanda for Turner
72' Harmon for Purrington
72' Samuel for Randall
72' White for Brophy · goal 82', yellow card 84'
87' Nightingale for Murray

Players

Hibernian

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Wollacott	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.03	2	0
Miller	RB	90			0.03	0.17	0	0.10	5	6
Fish	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.06	3	14
Bushiri	CB	64			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	1	1
Stevenson	LB	90			0.03	0.02	1	0.07	5	1
Youan	RM	90			0.05	0.19	3	0.11	6	1
Levitt	CM	84		1	0.00	0.05	1	0.10	8	2
Jeggo	CM	68			0.00	0.01	0	0.02	1	2
Tavares	LM	90	1		0.30	0.01	0	0.03	4	0
Le Fondre	ST	84			0.08	0.01	0	0.00	2	2
Vente	ST	64			0.00	0.02	0	0.02	1	3
Hanlon	DF	26			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	0	2
Boyle	FW	26			0.00	0.04	0	0.01	1	0
Delferriere	MF	22			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	3
Newell	MF	6			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1
Campbell	MF	6			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

Ross County

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Laidlaw	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.03	5	1
Brown	RB	90			0.24	0.02	0	0.06	8	3
Baldwin	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.03	4	5
Leak	CB	90			0.01	0.00	0	0.03	4	5
Purrington	LB	72			0.00	0.11	1	0.12	6	6
Turner	RM	63			0.00	0.19	1	0.07	4	1
Allardice	CM	90			0.03	0.00	0	−0.01	4	4
Randall	CM	72			0.00	0.01	0	0.01	1	2
Loturi	LM	90			0.00	0.01	0	−0.02	2	3
Brophy	ST	72			0.05	0.01	0	−0.01	1	1
Murray	ST	87		1	0.06	0.19	3	0.05	3	3
Dhanda	MF	27			0.00	0.14	3	0.02	2	1
Harmon	DF	18			0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	0
Samuel	FW	18			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
White	FW	18	1		0.08	0.00	0	0.00	0	1
Nightingale	DF	3			0.05	0.00	0	0.00	0	2

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hibernian

Ross County

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hibernian

From	To	Passes
Levitt	Fish	10
Levitt	Miller	10
Fish	Miller	9
Miller	Youan	9
Fish	Wollacott	9

Ross County

From	To	Passes
Leak	Laidlaw	10
Laidlaw	Leak	10
Baldwin	Leak	9
Baldwin	Brown	9
Purrington	Loturi	9

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hibernian

Against its average of 10 matches

Ross County

Against its average of 9 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hibernian

Ross County

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Hibernian
Top six	62%	56%	−6
11th	3%	4%	+1
Bottom	1%	1%	0
Ross County
Top six	15%	16%	+1
11th	20%	19%	−1
Bottom	16%	14%	−2

From the forecast before the match (31 October 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Hibernian	Ross County
Expected goals	1.79	0.89
Win	58%	18%
Expected Points	1.98	0.78
Clean sheet	41%	17%

Hibernian 58%Draw 24%Ross County 18%

Most likely score 1–0, 12%. Both sides score 50%.

From the forecast as it stood on 31 October 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Hibernian win	Draw	Ross County win
Hibernian
Top six	62%	69%	56%	49%
11th	3%	2%	4%	5%
Bottom	1%	1%	1%	3%
Ross County
Top six	15%	11%	16%	26%
11th	20%	23%	19%	14%
Bottom	16%	19%	14%	9%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hibernian

Ross County

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Hibernian	Ross County
Position	8th	11th
Played	10	9
Won, drawn, lost	2–⁠4–⁠4	2–⁠3–⁠4
Points	10 (1.00 per game)	9 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.40	0.95
Goals	13–⁠16	9–⁠15
xG per game	1.30–⁠1.22	1.03–⁠1.76
Home: points, xG per game	1.00, 1.64–⁠1.18	1.00, 1.09–⁠0.90
Away: points, xG per game	1.00, 0.96–⁠1.27	1.00, 0.99–⁠2.44
Manager	Nick Montgomery (6)	Malky Mackay (85)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Hibernian		Ross County
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−7%	average	−9%	+17%
Counter-attacks	−30%	+4%	−76%	+171%
Set pieces	+27%	−21%	−14%	+1%
Penalties	−40%	−40%	−100%	+100%
Headers	+14%	average	−14%	−28%
Left side	+6%	+5%	+15%	−2%
Centre	−10%	−19%	−36%	+50%
Right side	+14%	+10%	−1%	−4%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdRoss County concededLeft side+6%−4%Centre−10%+50%Right side+14%−2%Open play−7%+17%Counter-attacks−30%+171%Set pieces+27%+1%Headers+14%−28%

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdHibernian concededLeft side+15%+10%Centre−36%−19%Right side−1%+5%Open play−9%averageCounter-attacks−76%+4%Set pieces−14%−21%Headers−14%average

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianRoss County

1.30xG1.03

1.22xG against1.76

52%Possession43%

12.6Shots10.9

14.1Shots against14.8

4.3Shots on target3.8

2.4Big chances2.1

31.5Touches in the opposition box18.2

407Passes326

75%Pass accuracy62%

5.1Corners4.9

48%Field tilt45%

38.6Final-third entries30.1

13.6Box entries9.6

14.6Passes per defensive action15.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	47	1.04	1.38
Ahead	14	2.15	0.81
Behind	28	1.30	1.16

Ross County

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	50	1.01	1.13
Ahead	14	1.79	2.15
Behind	26	0.65	2.79

xG by period

Hibernian

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.11	0.18	1–2
16–30	0.20	0.13	0–3
31–45	0.13	0.15	1–1
46–60	0.26	0.18	1–1
61–75	0.17	0.31	6–5
76–90	0.42	0.27	4–4

Ross County

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.21	0.11	0–0
16–30	0.15	0.35	0–5
31–45	0.09	0.47	1–2
46–60	0.20	0.24	4–2
61–75	0.15	0.18	2–3
76–90	0.23	0.41	2–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

Formations: 4-4-2 (6), 4-3-3 (2), 3-5-2 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

Ross County

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (4), 4-4-2 (2), 4-3-1-2 (1), 3-4-3 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
31 January 2023	Ross County	1–1	Hibernian	xG 0.69–1.03
8 November 2022	Hibernian	0–2	Ross County	xG 1.14–0.70
1 October 2022	Ross County	0–2	Hibernian	xG 0.66–1.66
19 February 2022	Hibernian	2–0	Ross County	xG 1.00–0.19
24 November 2021	Ross County	1–0	Hibernian	xG 1.21–0.52
8 August 2021	Hibernian	3–0	Ross County	xG 1.62–0.48

9 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 4, Ross County won 3, and 2 were drawn. Goals 10–7 and xG 1.54–0.73 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Youan	8	752	2	2	0.27	0.14
Boyle	9	827	1	0	0.16	0.19
Vente	8	589	2	0	0.19	0.10
Hanlon	5	450	0	1	0.20	0.06

Ross County

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Murray	8	594	3	0	0.32	0.06
White	8	661	1	0	0.23	0.04
Dhanda	9	611	0	2	0.02	0.22
Turner	4	467	1	1	0.15	0.04

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.