Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Aberdeen 2–0 Rangers

Sunday 23 April 2023, 16:30 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 33 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Nick Walsh · Attendance 18,666

Aberdeen Scales 48', Miovski 56'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

AberdeenRangers
Goals20
xG0.941.90
Expected Points0.712.05

Aberdeen 16%Draw 24%Rangers 60%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Final score 2–0, 2%.

Rangers goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+4%7%3%4%7%3%2%5%6%3%1%1%1%10%11%13%12%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTWatkins on for Duk, 87'Matondo on for Raskin, 64'Arfield on for Sakala, 89'Scales 48'Miovski 56'Rangers 1.90Aberdeen 0.9400.511.520153045607590HTWatkins on for Duk, 87'Matondo on for Raskin, 64'Arfield on for Sakala, 89'Scales 48'Miovski 56'1.900.94AberdeenRangers

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

AberdeenRangers

0.94 −0.37xG1.90 −0.36
1.18 −0.11xG on target0.67 −1.68
11 −1Shots20 0
4 +0.2Shots on target3 −4.2
3 +1.2Big chances2 −1.5
17 −4Touches in the opposition box23 −17
25% −24Possession75% +8
208 −157Passes638 +39
53% −17Pass accuracy84% −2
25% −17Field tilt75% −6
24 −12Final-third entries63 −6
8 −2Box entries14 −8
9.4 −6.4Passes per defensive action6.2 −3.5
3 −2.2Corners7 −0.1
29 +15Tackles24 +9
16 +7.4Interceptions8 +0.9
26 +2Clearances14 +3
2 −1.0Saves2 +0.6
17 +7.1Fouls7 −3.7
1 −0.3Offsides4 +1.8

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Aberdeen

Duncan 86', 0.21 xGWatkins 90+2', 0.11 xGWatkins 90+8', 0.08 xGHayes 9', 0.07 xGDuk 69', 0.07 xGDuncan 86', 0.05 xGRamadani 40', 0.04 xGDuncan 45+1', 0.03 xGScales 40', 0.02 xGMiovski 56', 0.24 xG, goalScales 48', 0.02 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals49%0.46 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.46 xG, 1 goal46%0.43 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.43 xG, 0 goals3%0.03 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals2%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 1 goal

Rangers

Sakala 14', 0.51 xGTavernier 74', 0.21 xGMatondo 75', 0.17 xGTillman 84', 0.14 xGMorelos 12', 0.13 xGRaskin 60', 0.13 xGRaskin 33', 0.10 xGTillman 32', 0.07 xGLundstram 12', 0.06 xGBarisic 25', 0.05 xGBarisic 90+7', 0.05 xGSakala 11', 0.04 xGMorelos 54', 0.04 xGSouttar 90+6', 0.04 xGSakala 19', 0.03 xGCantwell 74', 0.03 xGTillman 52', 0.02 xGTavernier 66', 0.02 xGMorelos 71', 0.02 xGMatondo 88', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals69%1.32 xGCentral box: 9 shots, 1.32 xG, 0 goals18%0.35 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.35 xG, 0 goals11%0.21 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.21 xG, 0 goals1%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

AberdeenRangers

0.85 9 shots, 2 goalsOpen play1.62 15 shots, 0 goals
0.09 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.28 5 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
49 min (49%) · Aberdeen 0.18, Rangers 1.00 xG
Aberdeen ahead
50 min (51%) · Aberdeen 0.76, Rangers 0.91 xG

Line-ups

2418274216201792311RoosPollockMacDonaldScalesMcCrorieRamadaniClarksonHayesMiovskiDuncanDukGoalYellow cardGoalYellow card87'Aberdeen 3-4-3Barry Robson1216263144320137130McGregorTavernierSouttarDaviesBarisicLundstramRaskinMorelosCantwellTillmanSakalaYellow card64'89'Rangers 4-2-3-1Michael Beale

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 87' Watkins for Duk

Rangers substitutes

  • 64' Matondo for Raskin
  • 89' Arfield for Sakala

Players

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
RoosGK900.000.0000.0110
PollockCB900.000.0200.1238
MacDonaldCB900.000.0000.0229
Scales CB9010.040.0300.01315
McCrorieRWB900.000.1110.1029
RamadaniCM900.040.0510.1247
ClarksonCM9010.000.1630.20310
HayesLWB900.070.0100.0538
MiovskiRW9010.240.1140.0237
DuncanST900.280.010−0.0112
Duk LW870.070.0110.0424
WatkinsFW30.190.0000.0001

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McGregorGK900.000.0000.0121
TavernierRB900.230.2120.28133
SouttarCB900.040.0400.16157
DaviesCB900.000.0100.0728
BarisicLB900.110.4010.2889
LundstramDM900.060.0400.0655
RaskinDM640.240.0200.0335
MorelosRW900.190.050−0.2010
Cantwell AM900.030.0740.0591
TillmanLW900.230.0850.0857
SakalaST890.580.1330.0542
MatondoFW260.200.0100.0310
ArfieldMF10.000.0000.0002

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Aberdeen

Scales and Duncan: 3 passesPollock and Ramadani: 3 passesPollock and Miovski: 3 passesMacDonald and McCrorie: 3 passesRamadani and Hayes: 3 passesRamadani and Duncan: 3 passesRamadani and Miovski: 3 passesPollock and McCrorie: 4 passesPollock and Clarkson: 4 passesMcCrorie and Ramadani: 4 passesClarkson and Duk: 4 passesHayes and Duk: 4 passesDuncan and Miovski: 4 passesDuncan and Duk: 4 passesHayes and Duncan: 5 passesScales and Clarkson: 6 passesScales and Hayes: 6 passesClarkson and Hayes: 7 passesMcCrorie and Duncan: 8 passesRoos: 3 completed passesScales: 13 completed passesPollock: 13 completed passesMacDonald: 6 completed passesMcCrorie: 13 completed passesClarkson: 12 completed passesRamadani: 11 completed passesHayes: 14 completed passesDuncan: 13 completed passesMiovski: 8 completed passesDuk: 5 completed passes2441827220161723911RoosScalesPollockMacDonaldMcCrorieClarksonRamadaniHayesDuncanMiovskiDukStarters until 87' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Rangers

McGregor and Souttar: 7 passesDavies and Raskin: 7 passesDavies and Cantwell: 7 passesSouttar and Cantwell: 7 passesRaskin and Lundstram: 7 passesMorelos and Sakala: 7 passesTavernier and Raskin: 8 passesDavies and Lundstram: 8 passesRaskin and Tillman: 8 passesDavies and Barisic: 9 passesMorelos and Tillman: 9 passesBarisic and Cantwell: 10 passesBarisic and Sakala: 10 passesSouttar and Raskin: 11 passesBarisic and Raskin: 11 passesLundstram and Cantwell: 11 passesTavernier and Tillman: 12 passesTavernier and Cantwell: 13 passesBarisic and Lundstram: 13 passesRaskin and Cantwell: 14 passesLundstram and Morelos: 14 passesTavernier and Lundstram: 16 passesTavernier and Souttar: 21 passesTavernier and Morelos: 21 passesSouttar and Lundstram: 24 passesDavies and Souttar: 31 passesMcGregor: 15 completed passesTavernier: 54 completed passesDavies: 39 completed passesSouttar: 56 completed passesBarisic: 38 completed passesRaskin: 40 completed passesLundstram: 54 completed passesMorelos: 29 completed passesCantwell: 35 completed passesTillman: 22 completed passesSakala: 14 completed passes1226163143420137130McGregorTavernierDaviesSouttarBarisicRaskinLundstramMorelosCantwellTillmanSakalaStarters until 64' · lines join pairs with 7+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
McCrorieDuncan5
HayesClarkson4
RamadaniMcCrorie4
ScalesHayes4
ClarksonHayes4

Rangers

FromToPasses
DaviesSouttar23
SouttarLundstram21
SouttarDavies19
LundstramTavernier17
TavernierSouttar17

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Aberdeen

8+3.52−4.627+9.39+0.16−0.611+5.38+1.411+5.13−4.28+0.210+4.610+4.713+9.614+8.610+3.15+1.18+3.44+1.45+1.013+9.24+2.42+0.62+1.02+0.72−0.22+1.30−0.20−0.50−0.20−0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 32 matches

Rangers

3−0.60−3.47−0.311+6.34−0.113+7.27+1.86+2.010+4.15−1.312+6.08+3.83−0.27+0.414+7.66+0.64−0.94+0.33−0.750.03−0.60−2.54+2.42−0.23+0.10−1.10−0.80−0.80−0.50−0.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 32 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Aberdeen

0.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.030.010.030.030.010.040.090.010.010.020.05−0.110.050.170.20LessMore

Rangers

0.010.010.010.040.010.010.010.040.040.040.050.010.030.120.050.040.050.050.020.050.130.010.03−0.02−0.20−0.100.160.22LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.26AttackAberdeen1.17 → 1.17Rangers2.27 → 2.23Defence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.26 → 1.26Rangers0.67 → 0.69

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Rangers
Title<1%–0

From the forecast before the match (23 April 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

AberdeenRangers
Expected goals0.762.06
Win12%67%
Expected Points0.572.22
Clean sheet13%47%

Aberdeen 12%Draw 21%Rangers 67%

Most likely score 0–2, 13%. Both sides score 47%.

Rangers goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+6%9%4%2%4%7%3%1%2%4%4%2%1%12%13%10%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 23 April 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowAberdeen winDrawRangers win
Rangers
Title<1%––1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Aberdeen

  1. W1–014 AprRoss County (A)xG 0.65–0.94
  2. W2–08 AprKilmarnock (H)xG 2.20–1.09
  3. W1–01 AprSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.00–0.82
  4. W3–018 MarHearts (H)xG 2.03–0.52
  5. W3–14 MarDundee United (A)xG 0.78–2.02
  6. W1–025 FebLivingston (H)xG 1.08–0.43

Rangers

  1. W5–215 AprSt. Mirren (H)xG 3.67–0.30
  2. L2–38 AprCeltic (A)xG 0.69–1.09
  3. W2–01 AprDundee United (H)xG 2.02–0.39
  4. W4–218 MarMotherwell (A)xG 4.09–0.88
  5. W4–18 MarHibernian (A)xG 4.02–0.48
  6. W3–14 MarKilmarnock (H)xG 3.55–0.79

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

AberdeenRangers
Position3rd2nd
Played3232
Won, drawn, lost16–⁠2–⁠1425–⁠4–⁠3
Points50 (1.56 per game)79 (2.47 per game)
Expected Points per game1.282.34
Goals50–⁠5281–⁠32
xG per game1.31–⁠1.552.26–⁠0.64
Home: points, xG per game2.12, 1.73–⁠1.112.75, 2.56–⁠0.52
Away: points, xG per game1.00, 0.89–⁠1.982.19, 1.96–⁠0.75
ManagerBarry Robson (9)Michael Beale (17)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.26AttackAberdeen1.17, 4thRangers2.27, 2ndDefence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.26, 4thRangers0.67, 2nd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprAberdeen attack: 1.17Rangers attack: 2.272.271.17RangersAberdeenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprAberdeen defence: 1.26Rangers defence: 0.671.260.67

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

AberdeenRangers
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−10%+2%+89%−50%
Counter-attacks+52%+13%−5%−64%
Set pieces−8%+22%+34%−31%
Penalties+42%+89%+58%−100%
Headers+11%+2%+63%−54%
Left side−12%+16%+60%−44%
Centre−11%average+75%−44%
Right side+5%+10%+79%−50%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdRangers concededLeft side−12%−50%Centre−11%−44%Right side+5%−44%Open play−10%−50%Counter-attacks+52%−64%Set pieces−8%−31%Headers+11%−54%

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdAberdeen concededLeft side+60%+10%Centre+75%averageRight side+79%+16%Open play+89%+2%Counter-attacks−5%+13%Set pieces+34%+22%Headers+63%+2%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenRangers

1.31xG2.26
1.55xG against0.64
48%Possession67%
12.0Shots19.8
14.3Shots against7.1
3.8Shots on target7.2
1.8Big chances3.5
20.6Touches in the opposition box39.7
365Passes599
70%Pass accuracy85%
5.2Corners7.1
42%Field tilt82%
35.9Final-third entries69.2
10.2Box entries21.6
15.8Passes per defensive action9.7

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level361.181.48
Ahead301.571.17
Behind241.172.14

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level292.640.68
Ahead442.270.59
Behind171.560.67

xG by period

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.235–8
16–300.170.198–5
31–450.290.2710–10
46–600.260.238–7
61–750.260.3110–9
76–900.230.339–13

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.360.1110–8
16–300.320.109–3
31–450.340.0812–5
46–600.400.1218–6
61–750.300.0914–5
76–900.530.1218–5

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTRoos 25Gorter 4Lewis 3McCrorie 18Pollock 9Richardson 9Stewart 21MacDonald 9Scales 24MacKenzie 3Kennedy 13McCrorie 6Besuijen 4Ramadani 29Barron 7Duncan 3Clarkson 19McCrorie 6Kennedy 1Shinnie 11Hayes 9Duk 5Coulson 8Clarkson 7Hayes 6Miovski 32Duk 19Coulson 8Hayes 23-5-2 in 13 of 32 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (13), 4-2-3-1 (11), 3-1-4-2 (3), 4-4-2 (3), 4-3-3 (2)

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMcGregor 22McLaughlin 10Tavernier 32Goldson 23King 7Souttar 3Davies 23Sands 7Lundstram 1Barisic 26Yilmaz 3Devine 3Lundstram 24Kamara 10Cantwell 3Jack 13Raskin 5Sands 3Sakala 11Tillman 5Wright 5Tillman 14Arfield 4Cantwell 3Kent 25Sakala 3Matondo 2Colak 18Morelos 13Sakala 14-2-3-1 in 27 of 32 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (27), 4-3-3 (3), 4-3-1-2 (2)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
20 December 2022Aberdeen2–3RangersxG 0.54–1.58
29 October 2022Rangers4–1AberdeenxG 4.47–0.42
5 March 2022Rangers1–0AberdeenxG 1.69–0.09
18 January 2022Aberdeen1–1RangersxG 1.49–1.03
27 October 2021Rangers2–2AberdeenxG 2.34–1.02
15 May 2021Rangers4–0AberdeenxG 1.19–1.98

9 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 0, Rangers won 7, and 2 were drawn. Goals 7–22 and xG 0.77–1.96 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Miovski322,5171520.550.03
Besuijen9897310.230.18
Duk242,1321620.310.04
Hayes181,541150.080.19

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Morelos131,4021150.820.20
Sakala161,323870.520.29
Colak181,3931310.660.10
Tavernier322,8381570.370.27

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.