Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

Rangers 1–3 Aberdeen

Saturday 30 September 2023, 15:00 · Ibrox Stadium · Round 7 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Steven McLean · Attendance 49,959

Rangers Sima 75' · Wright sent off 71'

Aberdeen Gartenmann 38', McGrath 68', MacKenzie 85'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

RangersAberdeen
Goals13
xG2.551.64
Expected Points1.960.83

Rangers 58%Draw 22%Aberdeen 20%

Most likely score 2–2, 10%. Final score 1–3, 3%.

Aberdeen goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+2%1%3%6%5%3%4%4%1%4%4%1%2%5%5%2%2%2%9%10%9%8%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTWright (Rangers), second yellow card 71'Wright on for Jack and Barisic on for Yilmaz, 46'Lovelace on for Dessers, 84'Duk on for Miovski, 79'Hayes on for Polvara, 80'Barron on for Clarkson, 84'MacDonald on for Jensen, 90+4'Sima 75'Gartenmann 38'McGrath 68'MacKenzie 85'Rangers 2.55Aberdeen 1.6401230153045607590HTWright (Rangers), second yellow card 71'Wright on for Jack and Barisic on for Yilmaz, 46'Lovelace on for Dessers, 84'Duk on for Miovski, 79'Hayes on for Polvara, 80'Barron on for Clarkson, 84'MacDonald on for Jensen, 90+4'Sima 75'Gartenmann 38'McGrath 68'MacKenzie 85'2.551.64RangersAberdeen

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

RangersAberdeen

2.55 +0.79xG1.64 +0.28
1.40 −0.46xG on target1.57 +0.24
18 −2Shots14 +4
5 −1.3Shots on target6 +3.0
5 +2.3Big chances3 +1.3
35 +5Touches in the opposition box24 0
71% +7Possession29% −20
651 +79Passes252 −92
87% +5Pass accuracy64% +1
82% +14Field tilt18% −30
107 +50Final-third entries17 −14
22 +6Box entries6 −4
11.1 0Passes per defensive action25.6 +12
5 −0.7Corners8 +2.3
11 −4Tackles12 −6
3 −5.7Interceptions8 −0.2
27 +15Clearances34 +8
3 +0.8Saves4 +0.7
18 +6Fouls4 −8
0 −3.0Offsides1 +0.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Rangers

Sima 35', 0.43 xGDessers 20', 0.32 xGSima 90+11', 0.28 xGDessers 3', 0.20 xGLovelace 88', 0.14 xGTavernier 62', 0.12 xGSima 90+2', 0.10 xGLammers 6', 0.09 xGSima 7', 0.06 xGDessers 45+3', 0.06 xGDessers 43', 0.05 xGSima 90+4', 0.05 xGLammers 46', 0.04 xGBarisic 53', 0.04 xGTavernier 90+2', 0.04 xGCifuentes 24', 0.02 xGCifuentes 88', 0.01 xGSima 75', 0.51 xG, goal53%1.35 xGSix-yard box: 4 shots, 1.35 xG, 1 goal35%0.89 xGCentral box: 8 shots, 0.89 xG, 0 goals3%0.07 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals8%0.20 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.20 xG, 0 goals1%0.03 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Aberdeen

Miovski 56', 0.47 xGHayes 85', 0.14 xGMcGrath 68', 0.09 xGRubezic 68', 0.06 xGJensen 68', 0.05 xGJensen 68', 0.05 xGMacKenzie 45+5', 0.03 xGRubezic 67', 0.03 xGShinnie 42', 0.02 xGMacKenzie 68', 0.02 xGRubezic 75', 0.02 xGGartenmann 38', 0.31 xG, goalMcGrath 68', 0.23 xG, goalMacKenzie 85', 0.13 xG, goal47%0.78 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.78 xG, 1 goal48%0.80 xGCentral box: 9 shots, 0.80 xG, 2 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals4%0.07 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

RangersAberdeen

2.24 15 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.29 3 shots, 1 goal
0.31 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces1.35 11 shots, 2 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
38 min (36%) · Rangers 1.11, Aberdeen 0.31 xG
Aberdeen ahead
68 min (64%) · Rangers 1.44, Aberdeen 1.33 xG

Line-ups

126263154814919ButlandTavernierGoldsonDaviesYilmazCifuentesLundstramJackLammersDessersSimaYellow cardYellow cardGoal46'46'84'Rangers 4-3-3Michael Beale242633532141079RoosDevlinGartenmannRubezicJensenMacKenziePolvaraShinnieClarksonMcGrathMiovskiGoalYellow cardGoalGoal90+4'80'84'79'Aberdeen 5-4-1Barry Robson

Rangers substitutes

  • 46' Barisic for Yilmaz
  • 46' Wright for Jack · yellow card 55', second yellow 71'
  • 84' Lovelace for Dessers

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 79' Duk for Miovski
  • 80' Hayes for Polvara
  • 84' Barron for Clarkson
  • 90+4' MacDonald for Jensen

Players

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ButlandGK900.000.0000.0112
Tavernier RB900.150.5520.34173
Goldson CB900.000.0300.0427
DaviesCB900.000.0700.1438
YilmazLB460.000.1820.1543
CifuentesCM9010.030.8420.4783
LundstramCM900.000.0930.1174
JackCM460.000.2410.3591
LammersRW900.120.040−0.0131
DessersST840.630.010−0.0113
SimaLW9011.430.0100.1203
BarisicDF440.040.2840.4548
Wright FW250.000.0400.0420
LovelaceFW60.140.0410.1410

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
RoosGK900.000.0000.0231
DevlinRWB900.000.0600.0733
GartenmannCB9010.310.0100.0109
RubezicCB900.110.000−0.10211
Jensen CB900.100.0000.0338
MacKenzieLWB9010.170.0000.0424
PolvaraRM800.000.0100.0211
ShinnieCM900.020.0510.0826
ClarksonCM8410.000.8740.1826
McGrathLM9010.320.010−0.0504
MiovskiST790.470.000−0.0111
DukFW110.000.0000.0110
HayesDF100.140.0000.0002
BarronMF60.000.0000.0000
MacDonaldDF00.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Rangers

Tavernier and Davies: 5 passesTavernier and Lammers: 5 passesCifuentes and Jack: 5 passesJack and Sima: 5 passesDavies and Cifuentes: 6 passesYilmaz and Lammers: 6 passesYilmaz and Sima: 6 passesTavernier and Dessers: 7 passesTavernier and Jack: 8 passesGoldson and Cifuentes: 8 passesCifuentes and Lammers: 9 passesLundstram and Lammers: 9 passesDavies and Lundstram: 11 passesJack and Lammers: 11 passesGoldson and Jack: 13 passesDavies and Jack: 13 passesCifuentes and Lundstram: 13 passesTavernier and Lundstram: 15 passesYilmaz and Lundstram: 15 passesDavies and Yilmaz: 16 passesGoldson and Lundstram: 18 passesTavernier and Cifuentes: 21 passesYilmaz and Jack: 23 passesGoldson and Davies: 25 passesTavernier and Goldson: 28 passesLundstram and Jack: 33 passesButland: 5 completed passesTavernier: 43 completed passesGoldson: 52 completed passesDavies: 43 completed passesYilmaz: 33 completed passesCifuentes: 30 completed passesLundstram: 64 completed passesJack: 60 completed passesLammers: 25 completed passesDessers: 8 completed passesSima: 8 completed passes126263154814919ButlandTavernierGoldsonDaviesYilmazCifuentesLundstramJackLammersDessersSimaStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Aberdeen

Roos and Devlin: 3 passesDevlin and Gartenmann: 3 passesMcGrath and Miovski: 3 passesRoos and Gartenmann: 4 passesRoos and Polvara: 4 passesRoos and Clarkson: 4 passesDevlin and Jensen: 4 passesDevlin and McGrath: 4 passesDevlin and Miovski: 4 passesGartenmann and Polvara: 4 passesGartenmann and Clarkson: 4 passesJensen and McGrath: 4 passesRubezic and Clarkson: 4 passesPolvara and Clarkson: 4 passesDevlin and Polvara: 5 passesJensen and Shinnie: 5 passesPolvara and Shinnie: 5 passesClarkson and Shinnie: 5 passesClarkson and Miovski: 5 passesShinnie and Miovski: 5 passesShinnie and McGrath: 6 passesPolvara and Miovski: 7 passesJensen and MacKenzie: 9 passesRoos and Jensen: 10 passesMacKenzie and McGrath: 10 passesRoos: 16 completed passesDevlin: 11 completed passesGartenmann: 10 completed passesJensen: 21 completed passesRubezic: 10 completed passesMacKenzie: 10 completed passesPolvara: 12 completed passesClarkson: 20 completed passesShinnie: 17 completed passesMcGrath: 15 completed passesMiovski: 11 completed passes242653332110479RoosDevlinGartenmannJensenRubezicMacKenziePolvaraClarksonShinnieMcGrathMiovskiStarters until 79' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Rangers

FromToPasses
GoldsonTavernier24
TavernierGoldson23
LundstramTavernier22
GoldsonDavies20
DaviesGoldson19

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
McGrathMacKenzie6
JensenRoos6
JensenShinnie5
JensenMacKenzie5
PolvaraMiovski4

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Rangers

6+2.25+0.814+6.313+9.713+9.75−0.73−1.74+0.311+1.76−2.26−3.51−5.83−1.36−2.53−4.73−3.36+1.35+1.72−3.25+0.51−1.330.00−2.02+0.30−1.80−1.51+0.72+1.30−0.52+0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 6 matches

Aberdeen

5−2.011+4.017−0.79+2.34−1.07−1.013+7.311+2.79−0.71−4.70−2.82−5.04−3.51−4.72−1.03+0.30−3.76+2.21−1.32+0.81+0.21−0.71−2.56+5.21+0.80−0.20−0.20−0.82−8.30−7.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 6 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Rangers

0.010.010.020.010.010.030.070.060.070.030.120.150.110.100.040.04−0.110.22−0.020.230.330.300.250.26LessMore

Aberdeen

0.030.020.010.020.010.030.01−0.01−0.010.010.02−0.010.11−0.11−0.030.18LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.30AttackRangers2.15 → 2.13Aberdeen1.18 → 1.20Defence (lower is better)Rangers0.73 → 0.75Aberdeen1.36 → 1.35

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Rangers
Title28%18%−10
Aberdeen
Top six36%55%+19
11th8%3%−5
Bottom5%3%−2
Celtic
Title72%82%+10
Livingston
Top six17%12%−5
11th17%22%+5
Bottom15%17%+2

From the forecast before the match (30 September 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

RangersAberdeen
Expected goals2.700.59
Win81%6%
Expected Points2.570.30
Clean sheet55%7%

Rangers 81%Draw 13%Aberdeen 6%

Most likely score 2–0, 14%. Both sides score 42%.

Aberdeen goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+4%2%6%2%8%2%7%2%8%5%1%4%3%3%2%10%14%12%

From the forecast as it stood on 30 September 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRangers winDrawAberdeen win
Rangers
Title28%29%21%18%
Aberdeen
Top six36%34%45%55%
11th8%9%6%3%
Bottom5%6%3%3%
Celtic
Title72%71%79%82%
Livingston
Top six17%17%16%12%
11th17%17%18%22%
Bottom15%15%15%17%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Rangers

  1. W1–024 SepMotherwell (H)xG 1.00–0.72
  2. W2–016 SepSt. Johnstone (A)xG 2.02–0.32
  3. L0–13 SepCeltic (H)xG 1.80–0.95
  4. W2–026 AugRoss County (A)xG 1.96–0.48
  5. W4–012 AugLivingston (H)xG 2.44–0.12
  6. L0–15 AugKilmarnock (A)xG 1.36–0.52

Aberdeen

  1. W4–024 SepRoss County (H)xG 3.33–0.85
  2. L0–216 SepHearts (A)xG 0.53–1.18
  3. L0–23 SepHibernian (H)xG 0.98–1.23
  4. D2–227 AugSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.87–1.97
  5. L1–313 AugCeltic (H)xG 1.76–2.94
  6. D0–05 AugLivingston (A)xG 0.70–0.76

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

RangersAberdeen
Position3rd11th
Played66
Won, drawn, lost4–⁠0–⁠21–⁠2–⁠3
Points12 (2.00 per game)5 (0.83 per game)
Expected Points per game2.231.16
Goals9–⁠27–⁠9
xG per game1.76–⁠0.521.36–⁠1.49
Home: points, xG per game2.00, 1.75–⁠0.601.00, 2.02–⁠1.67
Away: points, xG per game2.00, 1.78–⁠0.440.67, 0.70–⁠1.30
ManagerMichael Beale (29)Barry Robson (21)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.30AttackRangers2.15, 2ndAberdeen1.18, 5thDefence (lower is better)Rangers0.73, 1stAberdeen1.36, 7th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5SepRangers attack: 2.15Aberdeen attack: 1.182.151.18AberdeenRangersDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5SepRangers defence: 0.73Aberdeen defence: 1.361.360.73

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

RangersAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+46%−50%−12%−12%
Counter-attacks+116%−76%+56%+10%
Set pieces+17%−73%+15%+69%
Penalties−100%−100%+12%+12%
Headers+59%−64%−7%+1%
Left side+48%−21%−42%+10%
Centre+9%−71%+49%+33%
Right side+107%−72%−56%−37%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdAberdeen concededLeft side+48%−37%Centre+9%+33%Right side+107%+10%Open play+46%−12%Counter-attacks+116%+10%Set pieces+17%+69%Headers+59%+1%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdRangers concededLeft side−42%−72%Centre+49%−71%Right side−56%−21%Open play−12%−50%Counter-attacks+56%−76%Set pieces+15%−73%Headers−7%−64%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

RangersAberdeen

1.76xG1.36
0.52xG against1.49
64%Possession48%
19.7Shots10.0
7.2Shots against13.2
6.3Shots on target3.0
2.7Big chances1.7
30.0Touches in the opposition box24.0
572Passes344
82%Pass accuracy63%
5.7Corners5.7
69%Field tilt48%
56.5Final-third entries31.3
15.5Box entries10.5
11.2Passes per defensive action13.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level301.180.62
Ahead481.870.44
Behind122.870.57

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level460.871.22
Ahead142.691.93
Behind301.481.70

xG by period

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.160.041–0
16–300.160.124–0
31–450.210.020–1
46–600.160.100–0
61–750.370.090–1
76–900.700.154–0

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.290–2
16–300.330.112–1
31–450.410.182–0
46–600.180.402–1
61–750.080.210–2
76–900.210.301–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTButland 6Tavernier 6Goldson 5Souttar 4Davies 2Balogun 1Barisic 4Yilmaz 1Sterling 1Raskin 3Cifuentes 2Lundstram 3Cantwell 3Dowell 1Lammers 2Lundstram 1Matondo 1Lammers 3Raskin 1Roofe 1Matondo 1Wright 1Danilo 1Dessers 5Danilo 14-2-3-1 in 2 of 6 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (2), 4-3-3 (2), 4-3-1-2 (2)

Aberdeen

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTRoos 6MacKenzie 3Devlin 2Gartenmann 2Rubezic 6MacDonald 2Jensen 3Devlin 4Morris 2Clarkson 3Barron 2Polvara 1Shinnie 6McGarry 3Hayes 2Duncan 1McGrath 3Polvara 2Clarkson 1Miovski 6Duk 63-4-1-2 in 5 of 6 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (5), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
7 May 2023Rangers1–0AberdeenxG 2.00–1.30
23 April 2023Aberdeen2–0RangersxG 0.94–1.90
20 December 2022Aberdeen2–3RangersxG 0.54–1.58
29 October 2022Rangers4–1AberdeenxG 4.47–0.42
5 March 2022Rangers1–0AberdeenxG 1.69–0.09
18 January 2022Aberdeen1–1RangersxG 1.49–1.03

11 league meetings since 2020/21: Rangers won 8, Aberdeen won 1, and 2 were drawn. Goals 23–9 and xG 1.96–0.83 per game.

Key players

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Tavernier6540110.060.25
Goldson5450000.030.02
Butland6540000.000.00

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Miovski6500410.550.22
Duk6486120.320.15
Shinnie6526010.070.12
Devlin6540000.070.05

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.