Matches › 2023/24

Celtic 3–0 Dundee FC

Saturday 16 September 2023, 15:00 · Celtic Park · Round 5 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Grant Irvine · Attendance 58,928

Celtic Turnbull 51' (pen), Furuhashi 63', O'Riley 67'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Celtic	Dundee FC
Goals	3	0
xG	3.17	0.81
Non-penalty xG	2.38	0.81
Expected Points	2.73	0.17

Celtic 88%Draw 9%Dundee FC 3%

Most likely score 3–1, 13%. Final score 3–0, 11%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticDundee FC

3.17 +0.66xG0.81 −0.91

2.38Non-penalty xG0.81

3.05 +0.14xG on target0.57 −1.06

20 +5Shots4 −8

7 −1.0Shots on target1 −2.5

5 0.0Big chances3 +0.2

74% +7Possession26% −16

725 +88Passes263 −46

86% +3Pass accuracy63% −2

94% +27Field tilt6% −37

89 +31Final-third entries17 −17

29 +10Box entries2 −9

10.1 −1Passes per defensive action38.1 +23

9 +0.5Corners1 −3.8

16 +2Tackles17 0

5 −4.0Interceptions18 +8.8

7 −13Clearances38 +10

1 −0.5Saves4 +2.2

7 −3Fouls6 −6

2 +1.5Offsides1 0.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Celtic

Dundee FC

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticDundee FC

2.29 17 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.81 4 shots, 0 goals

0.09 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–03–0

Level: 51 min (54%) · Celtic 1.46, Dundee FC 0.59 xG
Celtic ahead: 43 min (46%) · Celtic 1.71, Dundee FC 0.22 xG

Line-ups

Celtic substitutes

46' Lagerbielke for Phillips
60' Palma for Yang
60' Hatate for Turnbull
69' Oh for Furuhashi
73' Bernardo for O'Riley

Dundee FC substitutes

65' Mulligan for Howley
65' Tiffoney for Robinson

Players

Celtic

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Hart	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	0	0
Johnston	RB	90			0.44	0.06	0	0.04	6	3
Phillips	CB	46			0.02	0.04	1	0.20	20	2
Scales	CB	90			0.00	0.07	0	0.35	28	4
Taylor	LB	90			0.00	0.10	1	0.01	7	2
O'Riley	CM	73	1		0.41	0.18	1	−0.04	1	1
McGregor	CM	90		1	0.00	0.49	2	0.32	9	2
Turnbull	CM	60	1		0.79	0.20	1	0.16	0	0
Yang	RW	60			0.08	0.05	1	0.14	7	2
Furuhashi	ST	69	1	1	0.98	0.19	1	0.14	1	1
Maeda	LW	90			0.11	0.14	1	0.16	8	0
Lagerbielke	DF	44			0.07	0.02	0	0.14	16	7
Palma	FW	30			0.03	0.06	1	0.08	2	3
Hatate	MF	30			0.18	0.10	2	0.09	4	1
Oh	FW	21			0.02	0.01	0	−0.02	0	0
Bernardo	MF	17			0.03	0.01	0	0.00	0	0

Dundee FC

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Carson	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.04	4	1
Kerr	RB	90	0.00	0.01	0	0.07	6	16
Shaughnessy	CB	90	0.00	0.01	0	0.04	4	7
Lamie	CB	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.02	2	8
Beck	LB	90	0.00	0.02	0	0.00	0	16
Robertson	RM	90	0.00	0.06	1	−0.01	0	7
Howley	CM	65	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	5
Boateng	CM	90	0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	8
McCowan	LM	90	0.30	0.22	1	0.12	7	2
Bakayoko	ST	90	0.13	0.00	0	0.00	1	5
Robinson	ST	65	0.38	0.00	0	−0.01	1	1
Mulligan	DF	25	0.00	0.01	0	0.02	1	0
Tiffoney	FW	25	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	3

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

Dundee FC

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

From	To	Passes
Scales	Turnbull	19
McGregor	Scales	18
Maeda	Taylor	14
Scales	McGregor	14
Scales	Maeda	13

Dundee FC

From	To	Passes
Boateng	Beck	11
Carson	Kerr	9
Kerr	Robertson	8
Beck	Boateng	8
Shaughnessy	Carson	7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

Against its average of 4 matches

Dundee FC

Against its average of 4 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

Dundee FC

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Celtic
Title	68%	70%	+2
Dundee FC
Top six	24%	23%	−1
11th	14%	15%	+1
Bottom	20%	21%	+1
Rangers
Title	32%	30%	−2
Hibernian
Top six	58%	58%	0
11th	4%	4%	0

From the forecast before the match (16 September 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Celtic	Dundee FC
Expected goals	3.12	0.55
Win	87%	4%
Expected Points	2.70	0.20
Clean sheet	58%	4%

Celtic 87%Draw 10%Dundee FC 4%

Most likely score 3–0, 13%. Both sides score 41%.

From the forecast as it stood on 16 September 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Celtic win	Draw	Dundee FC win
Celtic
Title	68%	70%	60%	52%
Dundee FC
Top six	24%	23%	28%	41%
11th	14%	15%	13%	12%
Bottom	20%	21%	14%	9%
Rangers
Title	32%	30%	40%	48%
Hibernian
Top six	58%	58%	58%	50%
11th	4%	4%	5%	6%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Celtic

Dundee FC

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Celtic	Dundee FC
Position	1st	6th
Played	4	4
Won, drawn, lost	3–⁠1–⁠0	1–⁠2–⁠1
Points	10 (2.50 per game)	5 (1.25 per game)
Expected Points per game	2.10	1.79
Goals	8–⁠3	5–⁠5
xG per game	2.51–⁠1.24	1.72–⁠1.16
Home: points, xG per game	2.00, 3.08–⁠0.70	2.00, 1.56–⁠0.81
Away: points, xG per game	3.00, 1.94–⁠1.78	0.50, 1.88–⁠1.52
Manager	Brendan Rodgers (4)	Tony Docherty (4)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Celtic		Dundee FC
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	+105%	−6%	+20%	+5%
Counter-attacks	+159%	−64%	−33%	−67%
Set pieces	+34%	−25%	+27%	+1%
Penalties	+39%	−65%	+38%	−67%
Headers	−22%	−22%	+22%	+35%
Left side	+41%	+22%	+42%	−14%
Centre	+118%	−27%	+16%	+13%
Right side	+87%	−30%	−2%	−22%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdDundee FC concededLeft side+41%−22%Centre+118%+13%Right side+87%−14%Open play+105%+5%Counter-attacks+159%−67%Set pieces+34%+1%Headers−22%+35%

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdCeltic concededLeft side+42%−30%Centre+16%−27%Right side−2%+22%Open play+20%−6%Counter-attacks−33%−64%Set pieces+27%−25%Headers+22%−22%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticDundee FC

2.51xG1.72

1.24xG against1.16

67%Possession42%

15.0Shots12.0

10.0Shots against11.5

8.0Shots on target3.5

5.0Big chances2.8

637Passes309

82%Pass accuracy65%

8.5Corners4.8

67%Field tilt43%

58.2Final-third entries34.0

18.5Box entries11.0

10.7Passes per defensive action14.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	42	2.40	0.74
Ahead	48	2.62	1.67
Behind	0	–	–

Dundee FC

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	43	1.18	0.84
Ahead	20	1.30	1.98
Behind	26	2.92	1.06

xG by period

Celtic

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.34	0.27	1–0
16–30	0.69	0.28	3–1
31–45	0.47	0.11	2–0
46–60	0.46	0.07	0–1
61–75	0.18	0.29	1–0
76–90	0.37	0.23	1–1

Dundee FC

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.07	0.13	0–1
16–30	0.09	0.13	0–0
31–45	0.32	0.12	1–2
46–60	0.47	0.10	1–0
61–75	0.55	0.24	3–0
76–90	0.20	0.45	0–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

Dundee FC

Formations: 3-5-2 (2), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
20 February 2022	Celtic	3–2	Dundee FC	xG 2.64–0.36
7 November 2021	Dundee FC	2–4	Celtic	xG 0.66–1.95
8 August 2021	Celtic	6–0	Dundee FC	xG 5.51–0.24

3 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 3, Dundee FC won 0, and 0 were drawn. Goals 13–4 and xG 3.37–0.42 per game.

Key players

Celtic

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Oh	3	514	6	0	1.16	0.15
Forrest	5	586	4	2	0.57	0.27
Abada	16	1,703	11	6	0.48	0.34
Furuhashi	35	2,657	30	3	0.75	0.07

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.