Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

Dundee FC 0–3 Celtic

Tuesday 26 December 2023, 15:00 · The Scot Foam Stadium at Dens Park · Round 20 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Don Robertson · Attendance 9,144

Celtic Bernardo 52', M. Johnston 83', 90+1'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee FCCeltic
Goals03
xG0.132.79
Expected Points0.082.86

Dundee FC 1%Draw 6%Celtic 94%

Most likely score 0–2, 22%. Final score 0–3, 22%.

Celtic goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+4%13%15%7%4%2%3%3%2%1%22%22%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTRobinson on for Bakayoko and Tiffoney on for Rudden, 69'Robertson on for Cameron, 73'Howley on for Robinson, 84'Sylla on for Boateng, 85'Welsh on for Carter-Vickers, 55'Yang on for Maeda and Oh on for Furuhashi, 66'M. Johnston on for Palma, 79'Bernardo 52'M. Johnston 83'M. Johnston 90+1'Celtic 2.79Dundee FC 0.1301230153045607590HTRobinson on for Bakayoko and Tiffoney on for Rudden, 69'Robertson on for Cameron, 73'Howley on for Robinson, 84'Sylla on for Boateng, 85'Welsh on for Carter-Vickers, 55'Yang on for Maeda and Oh on for Furuhashi, 66'M. Johnston on for Palma, 79'Bernardo 52'M. Johnston 83'M. Johnston 90+1'2.790.13Dundee FCCeltic

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee FCCeltic

0.13 −1.33xG2.79 −0.08
0.39 −1.15xG on target1.92 −0.96
5 −7Shots38 +17
1 −3.2Shots on target7 −0.9
0 −2.2Big chances3 −1.3
13 −9Touches in the opposition box89 +43
26% −18Possession74% +4
240 −97Passes645 −27
56% −13Pass accuracy85% −1
11% −30Field tilt89% +9
12 −22Final-third entries88 +12
8 −1.1Box entries53 +29.1
53.3 +36Passes per defensive action10.1 0
1 −4.1Corners23 +13.1
12 −4Tackles13 −3
9 −0.8Interceptions7 +1.9
50 +25Clearances13 −2
4 +1.2Saves1 −0.6
3 −7.0Fouls9 −0.2
1 −0.6Offsides3 +0.9

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee FC

McCowan 57', 0.04 xGDonnelly 55', 0.03 xGMcCowan 57', 0.03 xGRudden 19', 0.02 xGRobertson 90+3', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals31%0.04 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals38%0.05 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals31%0.04 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.04 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Celtic

Furuhashi 29', 0.52 xGFuruhashi 11', 0.28 xGO'Riley 17', 0.23 xGPalma 43', 0.21 xGOh 90+5', 0.12 xGWelsh 80', 0.08 xGMcGregor 41', 0.07 xGTaylor 47', 0.07 xGOh 73', 0.07 xGPalma 17', 0.05 xGTaylor 37', 0.05 xGScales 25', 0.04 xGO'Riley 28', 0.04 xGMcGregor 36', 0.04 xGBernardo 51', 0.04 xGM. Johnston 88', 0.04 xGBernardo 15', 0.03 xGA. Johnston 26', 0.03 xGO'Riley 31', 0.03 xGO'Riley 49', 0.03 xGO'Riley 70', 0.03 xGO'Riley 72', 0.03 xGO'Riley 75', 0.03 xGOh 88', 0.03 xGYang 89', 0.03 xGOh 90+4', 0.03 xGPalma 45+1', 0.02 xGFuruhashi 47', 0.02 xGMaeda 60', 0.02 xGM. Johnston 90+8', 0.02 xGScales 4', 0.01 xGBernardo 10', 0.01 xGMcGregor 17', 0.01 xGA. Johnston 25', 0.01 xGBernardo 35', 0.01 xGBernardo 52', 0.33 xG, goalM. Johnston 90+1', 0.06 xG, goalM. Johnston 83', 0.02 xG, goal20%0.57 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 0.57 xG, 1 goal57%1.59 xGCentral box: 12 shots, 1.59 xG, 1 goal15%0.43 xGWide in the box: 13 shots, 0.43 xG, 0 goals6%0.18 xGEdge of the box: 9 shots, 0.18 xG, 1 goal1%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee FCCeltic

0.10 4 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.55 24 shots, 3 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.64 2 shots, 0 goals
0.03 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.61 12 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
53 min (54%) · Dundee FC 0.02, Celtic 2.19 xG
Celtic ahead
46 min (46%) · Dundee FC 0.11, Celtic 0.60 xG

Line-ups

31652521023173920CarsonMcGheeShaughnessyDonnellyKerrCameronBoatengMcCowanBeckBakayokoRuddenYellow card73'85'69'69'Dundee FC 3-5-2Tony Docherty1220533342283887HartA. JohnstonCarter-VickersScalesTaylorO'RileyMcGregorBernardoMaedaFuruhashiPalmaYellow cardGoal55'66'66'79'Celtic 4-3-3Brendan Rodgers

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 69' Tiffoney for Rudden
  • 69' Robinson for Bakayoko · off 84'
  • 73' Robertson for Cameron
  • 84' Howley for Robinson
  • 85' Sylla for Boateng

Celtic substitutes

  • 55' Welsh for Carter-Vickers
  • 66' Oh for Furuhashi
  • 66' Yang for Maeda
  • 79' M. Johnston for Palma · goal 83', goal 90+1'

Players

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
CarsonGK900.000.0000.0450
McGheeCB900.000.0500.0709
ShaughnessyCB900.000.0610.08219
DonnellyCB900.030.0000.03418
KerrRWB900.000.0100.04213
CameronCM730.000.0100.0327
BoatengCM850.000.0100.0122
McCowanCM900.070.0210.1022
Beck LWB900.000.0000.0107
BakayokoST690.000.0110.0001
RuddenST690.020.030−0.0511
TiffoneyFW210.000.0000.0010
RobinsonFW150.000.0000.0212
RobertsonMF170.010.0000.0001
HowleyMF60.000.0100.0323
SyllaMF50.000.0110.0021

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
HartGK900.000.0000.0100
A. JohnstonRB900.040.4360.55295
Carter-VickersCB550.000.0500.1791
Scales CB9010.050.2020.28188
TaylorLB900.130.4750.15124
O'RileyCM900.420.5930.0754
McGregorCM900.120.1210.2245
BernardoCM9010.420.0510.0035
MaedaRW660.020.0300.0030
FuruhashiST660.830.3420.0010
PalmaLW7910.280.76110.60172
WelshDF350.080.0110.0852
OhFW240.250.0500.0910
YangFW240.030.0800.0230
M. JohnstonFW1120.140.0800.0150

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee FC

Carson and Donnelly: 3 passesCarson and Boateng: 3 passesShaughnessy and Donnelly: 3 passesBeck and Boateng: 3 passesMcCowan and Cameron: 3 passesMcCowan and Rudden: 3 passesMcGhee and Kerr: 4 passesDonnelly and Beck: 4 passesDonnelly and Boateng: 4 passesKerr and Boateng: 4 passesCarson and Bakayoko: 5 passesDonnelly and Cameron: 5 passesKerr and Cameron: 5 passesDonnelly and McCowan: 7 passesBeck and McCowan: 8 passesBoateng and Cameron: 11 passesCarson: 16 completed passesShaughnessy: 4 completed passesMcGhee: 5 completed passesDonnelly: 14 completed passesKerr: 9 completed passesBeck: 12 completed passesBoateng: 17 completed passesMcCowan: 12 completed passesCameron: 17 completed passesBakayoko: 4 completed passesRudden: 4 completed passes31562523231710920CarsonShaughnessyMcGheeDonnellyKerrBeckBoatengMcCowanCameronBakayokoRuddenStarters until 69' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Celtic

Scales and Bernardo: 5 passesCarter-Vickers and O'Riley: 5 passesHart and Carter-Vickers: 6 passesTaylor and Furuhashi: 6 passesCarter-Vickers and Taylor: 7 passesTaylor and O'Riley: 7 passesO'Riley and Maeda: 7 passesA. Johnston and Bernardo: 8 passesCarter-Vickers and Maeda: 8 passesO'Riley and Palma: 8 passesHart and Scales: 10 passesScales and McGregor: 10 passesBernardo and Palma: 10 passesScales and Palma: 11 passesCarter-Vickers and McGregor: 11 passesMcGregor and Palma: 11 passesA. Johnston and O'Riley: 12 passesTaylor and Bernardo: 12 passesO'Riley and McGregor: 12 passesTaylor and McGregor: 14 passesTaylor and Palma: 15 passesA. Johnston and McGregor: 18 passesA. Johnston and Maeda: 21 passesScales and Carter-Vickers: 22 passesScales and Taylor: 28 passesA. Johnston and Carter-Vickers: 30 passesHart: 13 completed passesA. Johnston: 52 completed passesScales: 49 completed passesCarter-Vickers: 53 completed passesTaylor: 51 completed passesO'Riley: 27 completed passesBernardo: 19 completed passesMcGregor: 44 completed passesMaeda: 15 completed passesFuruhashi: 7 completed passesPalma: 24 completed passes1252033328423887HartA. JohnstonScalesCarter-VickersTaylorO'RileyBernardoMcGregorMaedaFuruhashiPalmaStarters until 55' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
BoatengCameron6
McCowanDonnelly5
BeckMcCowan5
CarsonBakayoko5
CameronBoateng5

Celtic

FromToPasses
Carter-VickersA. Johnston21
TaylorScales20
ScalesTaylor17
A. JohnstonMaeda17
TaylorPalma16

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee FC

8+2.717+9.241+23.928+18.89+1.15−2.94−2.94−1.63−4.22−6.82−4.73−1.90−4.11−3.82−3.94−1.12−1.21−1.10−3.70−3.34+1.62+0.21+0.20−1.21−2.22+1.20−0.60−0.50−0.50−0.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 16 matches

Celtic

2−0.94+0.39+0.38+2.04−0.72−2.31−2.67+0.78+0.55+0.14+0.66+2.411+4.812+4.51−3.130.01−1.24+1.04−1.31−2.75+2.22+0.34+1.21+0.12+1.51+0.41+0.32+0.72−4.30−4.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 19 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee FC

0.010.020.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.020.030.010.060.040.03−0.010.07−0.05−0.020.10LessMore

Celtic

0.010.010.040.030.030.020.050.040.070.050.080.010.080.180.080.070.150.220.230.100.11−0.13−0.100.050.070.370.34LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.27AttackDundee FC1.15 → 1.11Celtic2.34 → 2.37Defence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.40 → 1.44Celtic0.73 → 0.71

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee FC
Top six46%42%−4
11th4%4%0
Bottom2%2%0
Celtic
Title47%51%+4
Rangers
Title53%49%−4
Aberdeen
Top six57%58%+1

From the forecast before the match (26 December 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee FCCeltic
Expected goals0.802.31
Win11%71%
Expected Points0.512.31
Clean sheet10%45%

Dundee FC 11%Draw 18%Celtic 71%

Most likely score 0–2, 12%. Both sides score 50%.

Celtic goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+5%5%2%1%3%7%4%2%1%1%3%4%3%2%1%10%12%9%9%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 26 December 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee FC winDrawCeltic win
Dundee FC
Top six46%67%50%42%
11th4%1%3%4%
Bottom2%1%1%2%
Celtic
Title47%34%39%51%
Rangers
Title53%66%61%49%
Aberdeen
Top six57%51%55%58%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee FC

  1. W1–016 DecRoss County (A)xG 2.43–0.90
  2. L1–39 DecRangers (A)xG 1.11–2.08
  3. D3–32 DecMotherwell (A)xG 1.59–0.89
  4. L1–225 NovHibernian (H)xG 1.42–0.84
  5. W4–011 NovSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.62–0.51
  6. W1–05 NovLivingston (H)xG 0.67–1.49

Celtic

  1. W2–023 DecLivingston (H)xG 3.66–0.00
  2. L0–216 DecHearts (H)xG 1.60–0.34
  3. L1–210 DecKilmarnock (A)xG 1.68–2.06
  4. W4–16 DecHibernian (H)xG 4.10–1.50
  5. W3–13 DecSt. Johnstone (A)xG 2.53–1.36
  6. D1–125 NovMotherwell (H)xG 3.25–0.48

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee FCCeltic
Position7th1st
Played1619
Won, drawn, lost5–⁠6–⁠514–⁠3–⁠2
Points21 (1.31 per game)45 (2.37 per game)
Expected Points per game1.432.41
Goals20–⁠2345–⁠14
xG per game1.46–⁠1.682.87–⁠0.90
Home: points, xG per game1.50, 1.38–⁠1.752.30, 3.33–⁠0.69
Away: points, xG per game1.12, 1.53–⁠1.602.44, 2.37–⁠1.14
ManagerTony Docherty (16)Brendan Rodgers (19)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.27AttackDundee FC1.15, 6thCeltic2.34, 1stDefence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.40, 9thCeltic0.73, 2nd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecDundee FC attack: 1.15Celtic attack: 2.342.341.15CelticDundee FCDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecDundee FC defence: 1.40Celtic defence: 0.731.400.73

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee FCCeltic
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−11%+28%+124%−18%
Counter-attacks+8%+24%+180%−65%
Set pieces+64%+3%+37%−36%
Penalties−27%+46%+177%−100%
Headers+12%+44%+32%−24%
Left side+16%+25%+114%−12%
Centre+24%+21%+91%−24%
Right side−20%+18%+121%−47%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdCeltic concededLeft side+16%−47%Centre+24%−24%Right side−20%−12%Open play−11%−18%Counter-attacks+8%−65%Set pieces+64%−36%Headers+12%−24%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdDundee FC concededLeft side+114%+18%Centre+91%+21%Right side+121%+25%Open play+124%+28%Counter-attacks+180%+24%Set pieces+37%+3%Headers+32%+44%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee FCCeltic

1.46xG2.87
1.68xG against0.90
44%Possession70%
12.4Shots21.0
14.0Shots against7.4
4.2Shots on target7.9
2.2Big chances4.3
21.7Touches in the opposition box45.8
337Passes672
69%Pass accuracy85%
5.1Corners9.9
41%Field tilt80%
34.2Final-third entries75.7
9.1Box entries23.9
17.0Passes per defensive action10.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level491.401.41
Ahead161.481.83
Behind251.562.10

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level432.700.69
Ahead413.191.24
Behind61.940.16

xG by period

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.161–3
16–300.130.313–4
31–450.280.233–3
46–600.300.283–3
61–750.270.263–4
76–900.340.457–6

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.370.115–2
16–300.500.097–2
31–450.300.186–1
46–600.540.117–1
61–750.330.194–4
76–900.820.2316–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee FC

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTCarson 15McCracken 1Portales 10McGhee 3Kerr 2Shaughnessy 16Lamie 11Donnelly 3Ashcroft 2McGhee 9McCowan 2Robertson 2Cameron 10Robertson 2Mulligan 2Boateng 15Sylla 3Beck 2McCowan 12Beck 12Tiffoney 2McCowan 1Bakayoko 15Robinson 5Rudden 8Beck 1McCowan 13-5-2 in 8 of 16 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (8), 4-1-4-1 (2), 5-3-2 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 3-5-1-1 (1), 4-3-3 (1)

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWHart 18Bain 1A. Johnston 15Ralston 4Carter-Vickers 12Lagerbielke 4Phillips 3Scales 17Nawrocki 2Taylor 19O'Riley 18McGregor 19Iwata 2Turnbull 9Hatate 4Bernardo 3Maeda 6Yang 5M. Johnston 3Furuhashi 16Oh 3Palma 11Maeda 6Yang 24-3-3 in every start

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
16 September 2023Celtic3–0Dundee FCxG 3.17–0.81
20 February 2022Celtic3–2Dundee FCxG 2.64–0.36
7 November 2021Dundee FC2–4CelticxG 0.66–1.95
8 August 2021Celtic6–0Dundee FCxG 5.51–0.24

4 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee FC won 0, Celtic won 4, and 0 were drawn. Goals 4–16 and xG 0.52–3.32 per game.

Key players

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Robinson7618200.530.03
Bakayoko151,323420.390.05
Rudden8752210.360.04
McCowan161,431220.130.17

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Turnbull9656700.730.40
Oh3549500.950.05
Palma11874580.460.49
Furuhashi161,296730.670.11

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.