Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

Celtic 7–1 Dundee FC

Wednesday 28 February 2024, 19:45 · Celtic Park · Round 28 · Half-time 6–0 · Referee Matthew McDermid · Attendance 58,772

Celtic Carter-Vickers 7', Idah 18', O'Riley 22', Maeda 30', Taylor 36', McGregor 45+7', Kelly 63'

Dundee FC Mellon 84' · Robertson sent off 76'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

CelticDundee FC
Goals71
xG2.590.45
Expected Points2.710.19

Celtic 87%Draw 10%Dundee FC 3%

Most likely score 2–0, 18%. Final score 7–1, 1%.

Dundee FC goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+3%1%10%5%1%9%2%8%2%10%5%1%4%2%1%18%17%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTRobertson (Dundee FC), second yellow card 76'Kelly on for McGregor, 46'Welsh on for Carter-Vickers, 59'Ralston on for Taylor and Furuhashi on for Idah, 60'Palma on for Yang, 75'Sylla on for Boateng, Donnelly on for Shaughnessy, and Mulligan on for McGhee, 46'Mellon on for Main and Cameron on for Bakayoko, 64'Carter-Vickers 7'Idah 18'O'Riley 22'Maeda 30'Taylor 36'McGregor 45+7'Kelly 63'Mellon 84'Celtic 2.59Dundee FC 0.4501230153045607590HTRobertson (Dundee FC), second yellow card 76'Kelly on for McGregor, 46'Welsh on for Carter-Vickers, 59'Ralston on for Taylor and Furuhashi on for Idah, 60'Palma on for Yang, 75'Sylla on for Boateng, Donnelly on for Shaughnessy, and Mulligan on for McGhee, 46'Mellon on for Main and Cameron on for Bakayoko, 64'Carter-Vickers 7'Idah 18'O'Riley 22'Maeda 30'Taylor 36'McGregor 45+7'Kelly 63'Mellon 84'2.590.45CelticDundee FC

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticDundee FC

2.59 −0.08xG0.45 −0.81
4.91 +2.32xG on target1.03 −0.28
17 −4Shots9 −3
10 +2.6Shots on target2 −1.9
5 +1.1Big chances1 −0.8
51 +6Touches in the opposition box12 −9
76% +6Possession24% −19
780 +118Passes257 −77
90% +5Pass accuracy66% −2
91% +10Field tilt9% −31
117 +40Final-third entries17 −16
31 +6.5Box entries4 −5.3
11.4 +1.5Passes per defensive action51.6 +34.2
5 −4.7Corners5 −0.1
12 −4Tackles19 +4
4 −1.3Interceptions10 +1.3
8 −7Clearances29 +1
1 −0.7Saves3 0.0
7 −3.0Fouls5 −4.9
2 +0.1Offsides2 +0.7

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Celtic

Furuhashi 87', 0.46 xGO'Riley 10', 0.44 xGO'Riley 70', 0.10 xGO'Riley 18', 0.04 xGYang 21', 0.03 xGO'Riley 35', 0.03 xGO'Riley 73', 0.03 xGMaeda 33', 0.02 xGPalma 79', 0.01 xGPalma 90', 0.01 xGTaylor 36', 0.55 xG, goalCarter-Vickers 7', 0.25 xG, goalO'Riley 22', 0.19 xG, goalMcGregor 45+7', 0.16 xG, goalKelly 63', 0.12 xG, goalIdah 18', 0.10 xG, goalMaeda 30', 0.05 xG, goal31%0.81 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 0.81 xG, 2 goals62%1.61 xGCentral box: 8 shots, 1.61 xG, 4 goals3%0.09 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.09 xG, 1 goal3%0.07 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals0%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Dundee FC

Lamie 84', 0.07 xGPortales 2', 0.06 xGBeck 2', 0.06 xGMellon 74', 0.04 xGMcGhee 1', 0.03 xGMcCowan 8', 0.03 xGMcCowan 52', 0.03 xGLamie 49', 0.01 xGMellon 84', 0.14 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals61%0.28 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.28 xG, 1 goal26%0.12 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals13%0.06 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticDundee FC

2.34 16 shots, 6 goalsOpen play0.08 3 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.04 1 shot, 0 goals
0.25 1 shot, 1 goalSet pieces0.33 5 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
7 min (7%) · Celtic 0.25, Dundee FC 0.14 xG
Celtic ahead
90 min (93%) · Celtic 2.34, Dundee FC 0.31 xG

Line-ups

12205333244213938HartJohnstonCarter-VickersScalesTaylorO'RileyIwataMcGregorYangIdahMaedaGoalGoalGoalGoalGoalYellow cardGoalYellow card59'60'46'75'60'Celtic 4-3-3Brendan Rodgers316295126319231789CarsonMcGheePortalesShaughnessyLamieBeckRobertsonBoatengMcCowanMainBakayokoYellow cardYellow cardSent off, second yellow46'46'46'64'64'Dundee FC 5-3-2Tony Docherty

Celtic substitutes

  • 46' Kelly for McGregor · goal 63'
  • 59' Welsh for Carter-Vickers
  • 60' Ralston for Taylor
  • 60' Furuhashi for Idah
  • 75' Palma for Yang

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 46' Donnelly for Shaughnessy · 1 assist
  • 46' Mulligan for McGhee
  • 46' Sylla for Boateng
  • 64' Cameron for Bakayoko
  • 64' Mellon for Main · goal 84'

Players

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
HartGK900.000.0000.0301
JohnstonRB9010.000.4630.81293
Carter-VickersCB5910.250.0200.1254
ScalesCB900.000.0410.20134
TaylorLB60120.550.3220.2682
O'RileyCM90120.830.6620.33111
IwataCM900.000.1200.0243
McGregorCM4610.160.2520.0713
YangRW7510.030.2020.34103
Idah ST6010.100.010−0.0500
Maeda LW9010.080.0500.0112
KellyMF4410.120.050−0.0221
WelshDF310.000.0200.1150
RalstonDF300.000.0510.0340
FuruhashiFW300.460.010−0.0100
PalmaFW150.030.0400.0400

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
CarsonGK900.000.0000.0250
McGheeRWB460.030.0100.0114
PortalesCB900.060.0000.0335
ShaughnessyCB460.000.0000.0123
LamieCB900.080.0000.02317
Beck LWB900.060.0840.0227
Robertson CM760.000.0920.2164
BoatengCM460.000.000−0.0201
McCowanCM900.060.0500.1145
MainST640.000.000−0.0100
BakayokoST640.000.011−0.0311
DonnellyDF4410.000.1310.1603
MulliganMF440.000.0000.0114
SyllaMF440.000.000−0.0108
CameronMF260.000.0100.0210
MellonFW2610.180.0000.0301

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

Johnston and Taylor: 6 passesScales and O'Riley: 6 passesCarter-Vickers and Yang: 6 passesO'Riley and Iwata: 6 passesHart and Carter-Vickers: 7 passesJohnston and McGregor: 7 passesO'Riley and Yang: 7 passesO'Riley and McGregor: 8 passesCarter-Vickers and O'Riley: 9 passesHart and Scales: 10 passesJohnston and Iwata: 10 passesJohnston and Idah: 10 passesCarter-Vickers and Taylor: 10 passesTaylor and O'Riley: 10 passesTaylor and Maeda: 10 passesIwata and McGregor: 10 passesTaylor and McGregor: 12 passesScales and McGregor: 15 passesJohnston and O'Riley: 16 passesScales and Carter-Vickers: 20 passesScales and Taylor: 25 passesJohnston and Yang: 36 passesJohnston and Carter-Vickers: 38 passesHart: 14 completed passesJohnston: 64 completed passesScales: 47 completed passesCarter-Vickers: 51 completed passesTaylor: 40 completed passesO'Riley: 32 completed passesIwata: 21 completed passesMcGregor: 35 completed passesYang: 23 completed passesIdah: 7 completed passesMaeda: 10 completed passes12520333244213938HartJohnstonScalesCarter-VickersTaylorO'RileyIwataMcGregorYangIdahMaedaStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 6+ passes

Dundee FC

Carson and Shaughnessy: 3 passesCarson and Lamie: 3 passesCarson and Bakayoko: 3 passesMcGhee and Portales: 3 passesShaughnessy and Boateng: 3 passesBeck and Robertson: 3 passesRobertson and McCowan: 3 passesBakayoko and Main: 3 passesMcGhee and Bakayoko: 4 passesShaughnessy and Robertson: 4 passesLamie and McCowan: 4 passesMcCowan and Bakayoko: 4 passesRobertson and Bakayoko: 6 passesMcGhee and Robertson: 9 passesPortales and Robertson: 9 passesBoateng and Robertson: 11 passesCarson: 7 completed passesMcGhee: 10 completed passesShaughnessy: 9 completed passesLamie: 8 completed passesPortales: 10 completed passesBeck: 6 completed passesBoateng: 11 completed passesRobertson: 26 completed passesMcCowan: 14 completed passesBakayoko: 7 completed passesMain: 4 completed passes316512296323191798CarsonMcGheeShaughnessyLamiePortalesBeckBoatengRobertsonMcCowanBakayokoMainStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

FromToPasses
JohnstonYang49
Carter-VickersJohnston30
JohnstonO'Riley28
ScalesTaylor22
O'RileyJohnston20

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
RobertsonBoateng6
RobertsonPortales5
RobertsonMcGhee5
CarsonBakayoko5
BoatengRobertson5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

1−1.83−1.05−0.64−0.62−2.64+0.15−1.27−0.44−0.74+0.10−3.68+2.09+1.73−1.22−1.04+1.54+0.99+3.82−1.62−1.020.01−1.91−3.02+1.10−0.60−0.60−0.71−0.33−5.90−5.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 27 matches

Dundee FC

4−1.110+2.021+2.122+11.98+0.86−1.36−0.96+0.770.010+2.13−2.85+0.31−2.62−2.82−4.31−3.80−3.11−1.20−3.22−1.21−1.02+0.51−0.10−1.10−2.70−0.80−0.40−0.40−0.60−0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 26 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

0.010.010.020.020.010.010.040.080.040.040.040.180.250.100.070.060.210.13−0.070.160.020.080.11−0.010.060.60LessMore

Dundee FC

0.020.010.010.010.03−0.01−0.010.030.020.080.04−0.01−0.010.020.010.180.15LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.29AttackCeltic2.28 → 2.32Dundee FC1.10 → 1.08Defence (lower is better)Celtic0.74 → 0.74Dundee FC1.51 → 1.56

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Celtic
Title29%32%+3
Dundee FC
Top six41%39%−2
11th1%1%0
Rangers
Title71%68%−3
Hibernian
Top six33%34%+1
11th1%1%0

From the forecast before the match (28 February 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

CelticDundee FC
Expected goals3.200.57
Win87%4%
Expected Points2.710.20
Clean sheet56%4%

Celtic 87%Draw 9%Dundee FC 4%

Most likely score 3–0, 13%. Both sides score 42%.

Dundee FC goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+3%1%7%4%1%7%2%7%2%6%2%6%4%1%6%3%1%12%13%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 28 February 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowCeltic winDrawDundee FC win
Celtic
Title29%32%17%12%
Dundee FC
Top six41%39%50%68%
11th1%1%<1%–
Rangers
Title71%68%83%88%
Hibernian
Top six33%34%29%20%
11th1%1%1%2%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Celtic

  1. W3–125 FebMotherwell (A)xG 2.87–0.69
  2. D1–117 FebKilmarnock (H)xG 1.49–0.95
  3. W2–17 FebHibernian (A)xG 2.07–1.00
  4. D1–13 FebAberdeen (A)xG 2.04–1.22
  5. W1–027 JanRoss County (H)xG 2.02–1.08
  6. W3–02 JanSt. Mirren (A)xG 3.62–0.18

Dundee FC

  1. L1–224 FebHibernian (A)xG 0.35–1.94
  2. W2–017 FebRoss County (H)xG 0.94–0.73
  3. W2–111 FebSt. Johnstone (H)xG 3.19–1.37
  4. L0–27 FebSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.26–1.63
  5. L2–33 FebHearts (H)xG 1.69–1.76
  6. D1–130 JanAberdeen (A)xG 0.59–1.46

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

CelticDundee FC
Position2nd6th
Played2726
Won, drawn, lost20–⁠5–⁠28–⁠8–⁠10
Points65 (2.41 per game)32 (1.23 per game)
Expected Points per game2.341.21
Goals61–⁠1936–⁠41
xG per game2.67–⁠0.871.26–⁠1.68
Home: points, xG per game2.31, 2.88–⁠0.761.50, 1.42–⁠1.72
Away: points, xG per game2.50, 2.48–⁠0.971.00, 1.13–⁠1.64
ManagerBrendan Rodgers (27)Tony Docherty (26)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.29AttackCeltic2.28, 2ndDundee FC1.10, 9thDefence (lower is better)Celtic0.74, 2ndDundee FC1.51, 11th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanFebCeltic attack: 2.28Dundee FC attack: 1.102.281.10Dundee FCCelticDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanFebCeltic defence: 0.74Dundee FC defence: 1.511.510.74

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

CelticDundee FC
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+118%−28%−17%+17%
Counter-attacks+102%−15%−32%+39%
Set pieces+32%−31%+45%+5%
Penalties+131%−100%−40%+100%
Headers+50%−17%+20%+46%
Left side+103%−13%−4%+22%
Centre+81%−26%+7%+9%
Right side+111%−46%−18%+20%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdDundee FC concededLeft side+103%+20%Centre+81%+9%Right side+111%+22%Open play+118%+17%Counter-attacks+102%+39%Set pieces+32%+5%Headers+50%+46%

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdCeltic concededLeft side−4%−46%Centre+7%−26%Right side−18%−13%Open play−17%−28%Counter-attacks−32%−15%Set pieces+45%−31%Headers+20%−17%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticDundee FC

2.67xG1.26
0.87xG against1.68
70%Possession43%
20.5Shots11.6
7.9Shots against15.3
7.4Shots on target3.9
3.9Big chances1.8
45.3Touches in the opposition box21.2
662Passes334
85%Pass accuracy68%
9.7Corners5.1
81%Field tilt39%
77.2Final-third entries33.4
24.5Box entries9.3
9.9Passes per defensive action17.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level422.720.75
Ahead432.711.05
Behind51.920.26

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level461.201.49
Ahead201.131.86
Behind231.511.89

xG by period

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.380.109–2
16–300.450.078–2
31–450.310.187–2
46–600.460.1111–3
61–750.310.195–4
76–900.750.2221–6

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.161–4
16–300.130.256–4
31–450.210.326–5
46–600.240.255–6
61–750.230.256–6
76–900.300.4412–16

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWHart 26Bain 1Johnston 22Ralston 5Carter-Vickers 14Nawrocki 5Lagerbielke 4Scales 25Taylor 24Bernabei 3O'Riley 26Maeda 1McGregor 27Iwata 3Bernardo 9Turnbull 9Hatate 4Maeda 9Abada 5Yang 5Furuhashi 22Oh 3Idah 2Palma 17Maeda 8Yang 24-3-3 in 26 of 27 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (26), 4-4-1-1 (1)

Dundee FC

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTCarson 24Sharp 1McCracken 1Portales 10Ashcroft 7McGhee 6Shaughnessy 26Lamie 11Donnelly 8Dodgson 4McGhee 16McCowan 3Robertson 2Cameron 18Robertson 3Mulligan 3Boateng 20Sylla 9Beck 2McCowan 20Tiffoney 1Beck 20Tiffoney 2McCowan 1Bakayoko 24Robinson 8Mellon 2Rudden 9Tiffoney 5Beck 13-5-2 in 10 of 26 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (10), 5-3-2 (6), 4-3-3 (4), 4-1-4-1 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 4-1-3-2 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
26 December 2023Dundee FC0–3CelticxG 0.13–2.79
16 September 2023Celtic3–0Dundee FCxG 3.17–0.81
20 February 2022Celtic3–2Dundee FCxG 2.64–0.36
7 November 2021Dundee FC2–4CelticxG 0.66–1.95
8 August 2021Celtic6–0Dundee FCxG 5.51–0.24

5 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 5, Dundee FC won 0, and 0 were drawn. Goals 19–4 and xG 3.21–0.44 per game.

Key players

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Turnbull9676700.710.39
Oh3610500.940.05
Palma171,312690.460.44
Furuhashi231,840930.580.11

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Robinson10899300.480.02
Rudden9821210.330.04
Bakayoko242,047530.270.04
Mulligan3519100.240.06

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.