Matches › 2023/24

Celtic 3–0 St. Mirren

Saturday 13 April 2024, 15:00 · Celtic Park · Round 33 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Steven McLean · Attendance 58,888

Celtic Hatate 52', Furuhashi 60', Idah 86'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Celtic	St. Mirren
Goals	3	0
xG	3.33	0.18
Expected Points	2.95	0.03

Celtic 97%Draw 2%St. Mirren <1%

Most likely score 3–0, 23%. Final score 3–0, 23%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticSt. Mirren

3.33 +0.67xG0.18 −0.92

3.67 +0.99xG on target0.00 −1.23

18 −2Shots2 −9

9 +1.4Shots on target0 −3.4

6 +1.9Big chances0 −1.9

41 −4Touches in the opposition box12 −7

73% +4Possession27% −19

716 +62Passes268 −77

86% +1Pass accuracy70% +4

88% +9Field tilt12% −34

64 −13Final-third entries25 −9

24 −0.3Box entries5 −4.2

9.0 −1Passes per defensive action21.3 +5

11 +1.8Corners1 −3.8

16 0Tackles25 +11

6 +1.0Interceptions12 +4.3

9 −6Clearances28 +5

0 −1.8Saves6 +3.4

7 −3Fouls12 +1

2 0.0Offsides1 −0.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Celtic

St. Mirren

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticSt. Mirren

1.78 13 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.12 1 shot, 0 goals

1.28 2 shots, 1 goalCounter-attacks0.06 1 shot, 0 goals

0.27 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–02–0

Level: 53 min (57%) · Celtic 0.44, St. Mirren 0.18 xG
Celtic ahead: 40 min (43%) · Celtic 2.89, St. Mirren 0.00 xG

Line-ups

Celtic substitutes

65' Welsh for Nawrocki
71' McGregor for Iwata
71' Bernardo for Hatate
71' Palma for Yang
72' Idah for Furuhashi · goal 86'
80' Forrest for Kühn

St. Mirren substitutes

23' Strain for Bwomono · yellow card 25'
46' Brown for Tanser
50' Jamieson for Kiltie
72' Mandron for Olusanya
83' Dunne for Taylor
83' Scott for Baccus

Players

Celtic

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Hart	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.03	3	1
Johnston	RB	90		2	0.00	0.51	3	0.51	18	3
Carter-Vickers	CB	90			0.00	0.01	1	0.14	10	4
Nawrocki	CB	65			0.00	0.01	0	0.11	11	4
Taylor	LB	90			0.08	0.04	0	0.03	6	2
O'Riley	CM	90			0.10	0.15	2	0.11	10	4
Iwata	CM	71			0.00	0.02	0	0.02	2	2
Hatate	CM	71	1		0.19	0.06	0	0.09	6	0
Kühn	RW	80			0.10	0.15	2	0.31	13	5
Furuhashi	ST	72	1		0.78	0.00	0	0.01	1	1
Yang	LW	71			0.00	0.19	3	0.07	3	3
Welsh	DF	25			0.00	0.00	0	0.04	3	1
McGregor	MF	19			0.00	0.01	0	0.01	3	1
Bernardo	MF	19			0.67	0.07	1	0.10	1	0
Palma	FW	19			0.42	0.69	1	−0.03	3	0
Idah	FW	18	1		0.84	0.00	0	−0.01	0	0
Forrest	FW	10			0.15	0.24	1	0.27	2	0

St. Mirren

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Hemming	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.05	6	1
Fraser	CB	90	0.00	0.01	0	0.02	3	11
Gogic	CB	90	0.00	0.02	1	0.10	10	14
Taylor	CB	83	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	7
Bwomono	RWB	23	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	2
Baccus	CM	83	0.00	0.01	0	0.02	3	6
O'Hara	CM	90	0.00	0.02	0	0.02	1	2
Boyd-Munce	CM	90	0.00	0.01	0	0.01	1	9
Tanser	LWB	46	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	2	3
Olusanya	ST	72	0.06	0.14	1	0.06	2	2
Kiltie	ST	50	0.12	0.09	0	0.04	3	0
Strain	DF	67	0.00	0.01	0	0.03	4	5
Brown	DF	44	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	7
Jamieson	FW	40	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	1	1
Mandron	FW	18	0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	1
Dunne	DF	7	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	0
Scott	FW	7	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

St. Mirren

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

From	To	Passes
Carter-Vickers	Johnston	40
Johnston	Kühn	29
Nawrocki	Taylor	25
Hart	Carter-Vickers	21
Taylor	Nawrocki	20

St. Mirren

From	To	Passes
Fraser	Strain	11
Taylor	Boyd-Munce	7
Boyd-Munce	O'Hara	7
Gogic	Taylor	6
Boyd-Munce	Gogic	6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

Against its average of 32 matches

St. Mirren

Against its average of 32 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

St. Mirren

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Celtic
Title	43%	47%	+4
Rangers
Title	57%	53%	−4

From the forecast before the match (13 April 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Celtic	St. Mirren
Expected goals	2.89	0.59
Win	84%	5%
Expected Points	2.63	0.26
Clean sheet	55%	6%

Celtic 84%Draw 12%St. Mirren 5%

Most likely score 2–0, 13%. Both sides score 42%.

From the forecast as it stood on 13 April 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Celtic win	Draw	St. Mirren win
Celtic
Title	43%	47%	28%	18%
Rangers
Title	57%	53%	72%	82%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Celtic

St. Mirren

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Celtic	St. Mirren
Position	1st	5th
Played	32	32
Won, drawn, lost	23–⁠6–⁠3	12–⁠7–⁠13
Points	75 (2.34 per game)	43 (1.34 per game)
Expected Points per game	2.35	1.21
Goals	77–⁠26	38–⁠40
xG per game	2.66–⁠0.88	1.10–⁠1.39
Home: points, xG per game	2.40, 2.93–⁠0.74	1.69, 1.11–⁠1.27
Away: points, xG per game	2.29, 2.42–⁠1.00	1.00, 1.10–⁠1.50
Manager	Brendan Rodgers (32)	Stephen Robinson (27)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Celtic		St. Mirren
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	+117%	−32%	−32%	average
Counter-attacks	+84%	−21%	−11%	−11%
Set pieces	+38%	−33%	−18%	average
Penalties	+117%	−69%	+40%	+24%
Headers	+53%	−23%	−13%	−8%
Left side	+90%	−17%	−25%	−12%
Centre	+79%	−34%	−31%	+12%
Right side	+125%	−40%	−18%	−15%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side+90%−15%Centre+79%+12%Right side+125%−12%Open play+117%averageCounter-attacks+84%−11%Set pieces+38%averageHeaders+53%−8%

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdCeltic concededLeft side−25%−40%Centre−31%−34%Right side−18%−17%Open play−32%−32%Counter-attacks−11%−21%Set pieces−18%−33%Headers−13%−23%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticSt. Mirren

2.66xG1.10

0.88xG against1.39

69%Possession46%

20.2Shots10.7

8.1Shots against11.5

7.6Shots on target3.4

4.1Big chances1.9

45.4Touches in the opposition box18.9

654Passes345

85%Pass accuracy66%

9.2Corners4.8

79%Field tilt46%

76.8Final-third entries33.6

24.3Box entries9.2

10.2Passes per defensive action16.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	39	2.71	0.77
Ahead	45	2.70	1.03
Behind	6	2.08	0.40

St. Mirren

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	39	0.95	1.37
Ahead	24	1.36	1.47
Behind	27	1.10	1.33

xG by period

Celtic

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.37	0.10	11–2
16–30	0.44	0.07	11–2
31–45	0.38	0.19	11–3
46–60	0.46	0.14	13–5
61–75	0.31	0.17	8–4
76–90	0.71	0.22	23–10

St. Mirren

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.16	0.15	6–6
16–30	0.14	0.17	3–5
31–45	0.17	0.24	8–6
46–60	0.20	0.20	6–3
61–75	0.15	0.26	4–11
76–90	0.28	0.38	11–9

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

Formations: 4-3-3 (31), 4-4-1-1 (1)

St. Mirren

Formations: 3-4-3 (17), 3-4-2-1 (8), 3-5-2 (6), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
2 January 2024	St. Mirren	0–3	Celtic	xG 0.18–3.62
1 November 2023	Celtic	2–1	St. Mirren	xG 3.89–0.62
20 May 2023	Celtic	2–2	St. Mirren	xG 1.73–1.24
5 March 2023	St. Mirren	1–5	Celtic	xG 0.79–2.48
18 January 2023	Celtic	4–0	St. Mirren	xG 2.25–0.53
18 September 2022	St. Mirren	2–0	Celtic	xG 0.82–1.18

12 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 8, St. Mirren won 2, and 2 were drawn. Goals 31–9 and xG 2.48–0.65 per game.

Key players

Celtic

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Turnbull	9	676	7	0	0.71	0.39
Oh	3	610	5	0	0.94	0.05
Palma	17	1,327	6	9	0.46	0.44
Furuhashi	26	2,129	10	4	0.64	0.11

St. Mirren

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Jamieson	6	607	1	0	0.24	0.20
Olusanya	10	1,087	5	1	0.35	0.07
Mandron	19	1,655	7	2	0.31	0.10
Kiltie	32	2,539	4	5	0.20	0.12

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.