Matches › 2024/25

St. Mirren 0–3 Celtic

Sunday 25 August 2024, 12:00 · The SMISA Stadium · Round 3 · Half-time 0–2 · Referee Chris Graham · Attendance 6,940

Celtic McGregor 3', Hatate 33', Johnston 71'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	St. Mirren	Celtic
Goals	0	3
xG	0.15	2.46
Expected Points	0.12	2.79

St. Mirren 1%Draw 9%Celtic 90%

Most likely score 0–2, 24%. Final score 0–3, 20%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. MirrenCeltic

0.15 −1.10xG2.46 −0.39

0.19 −1.44xG on target2.79 +0.25

3 −6.5Shots21 −4.5

1 −3.5Shots on target8 −2.0

0 −1.5Big chances5 −0.5

11 −6Touches in the opposition box48 +3

24% −23Possession76% −2

238 −86Passes782 +6

66% −4Pass accuracy90% +1

16% −13Field tilt84% +1

15 −14Final-third entries49 −26

3 −6.5Box entries25 +2.5

29.4 +17.6Passes per defensive action6.8 −2.0

2 −1.0Corners10 +2.5

11 −8Tackles21 +9

13 +3.0Interceptions8 +1.5

27 −8Clearances21 +6

5 +3.5Saves1 0.0

12 0.0Fouls7 −1.5

3 +1.0Offsides0 −1.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

St. Mirren

Celtic

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. MirrenCeltic

0.12 2 shots, 0 goalsOpen play2.16 17 shots, 3 goals

0.03 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.30 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–10–20–3

Level: 3 min (3%) · St. Mirren 0.00, Celtic 0.04 xG
Celtic ahead: 88 min (97%) · St. Mirren 0.15, Celtic 2.42 xG

Line-ups

St. Mirren substitutes

46' Idowu for Gogic
46' Mandron for Ayunga
74' Smyth for Phillips
87' Sutherland for Olusanya

Celtic substitutes

59' Furuhashi for Idah
60' Kühn for Forrest · 1 assist
75' Ralston for Taylor
75' Holm for Bernardo
89' Turley for Hatate

Players

St. Mirren

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Balcombe	GK	90	0.00	0.02	0	0.01	2	2
Fraser	CB	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	2	7
Iacovitti	CB	90	0.00	0.06	0	0.07	3	7
R. Taylor	CB	90	0.00	0.01	0	0.04	4	14
Rooney	RWB	90	0.00	0.06	0	0.09	5	9
Phillips	CM	74	0.08	0.01	0	0.00	1	1
O'Hara	CM	90	0.00	0.00	1	−0.01	1	4
Gogic	CM	46	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	2	4
Brown	LWB	90	0.04	0.00	0	0.06	5	4
Olusanya	ST	87	0.03	0.01	0	0.04	2	1
Ayunga	ST	46	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Idowu	MF	44	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	1	4
Mandron	FW	44	0.00	0.00	1	0.00	1	1
Smyth	MF	16	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	1	0
Sutherland	MF	3	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1

Celtic

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Schmeichel	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	1	1
Johnston	RB	90	1		0.30	0.36	1	0.40	11	7
Carter-Vickers	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.08	3	9
Scales	CB	90			0.04	0.01	0	0.00	5	13
Taylor	LB	75			0.13	0.10	0	0.24	8	1
Bernardo	CM	75			0.02	0.48	2	−0.03	2	4
McGregor	CM	90	1		0.04	0.09	2	0.11	10	4
Hatate	CM	89	1		0.39	0.44	5	0.27	8	4
Forrest	RW	60		1	0.16	0.30	2	−0.02	3	0
Idah	ST	59			0.44	0.02	0	0.01	1	1
Maeda	LW	90		1	0.39	0.25	1	0.06	4	2
Furuhashi	FW	31			0.23	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Kühn	FW	30		1	0.29	0.10	3	0.06	2	2
Ralston	DF	15			0.04	0.00	0	0.01	1	0
Holm	MF	15			0.00	0.00	0	0.03	2	3
Turley	MF	1			0.00	0.00	0	−0.02	0	1

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Mirren

Celtic

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Mirren

From	To	Passes
Fraser	Iacovitti	8
R. Taylor	Brown	8
Fraser	Rooney	7
Brown	R. Taylor	7
Balcombe	Rooney	7

Celtic

From	To	Passes
Carter-Vickers	Johnston	38
Scales	Taylor	33
Scales	Carter-Vickers	30
Taylor	Scales	30
Schmeichel	Carter-Vickers	24

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Mirren

Against its average of 2 matches

Celtic

Against its average of 2 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Mirren

Celtic

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
St. Mirren
Top six	40%	37%	−3
11th	9%	10%	+1
Bottom	6%	7%	+1
Celtic
Title	80%	82%	+2
Rangers
Title	20%	18%	−2
Kilmarnock
Top six	37%	38%	+1
11th	9%	8%	−1
Bottom	6%	6%	0

From the forecast before the match (25 August 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	St. Mirren	Celtic
Expected goals	0.72	2.34
Win	9%	73%
Expected Points	0.45	2.37
Clean sheet	10%	49%

St. Mirren 9%Draw 17%Celtic 73%

Most likely score 0–2, 13%. Both sides score 47%.

From the forecast as it stood on 25 August 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	St. Mirren win	Draw	Celtic win
St. Mirren
Top six	40%	54%	44%	37%
11th	9%	6%	7%	10%
Bottom	6%	3%	5%	7%
Celtic
Title	80%	71%	76%	82%
Rangers
Title	20%	29%	24%	18%
Kilmarnock
Top six	37%	32%	39%	38%
11th	9%	9%	9%	8%
Bottom	6%	7%	5%	6%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Mirren

Celtic

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	St. Mirren	Celtic
Position	6th	2nd
Played	2	2
Won, drawn, lost	1–⁠0–⁠1	2–⁠0–⁠0
Points	3 (1.50 per game)	6 (3.00 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.05	2.92
Goals	4–⁠3	6–⁠0
xG per game	1.25–⁠1.59	2.85–⁠0.15
Home: points, xG per game	3.00, 1.20–⁠1.58	3.00, 3.11–⁠0.20
Away: points, xG per game	0.00, 1.30–⁠1.60	3.00, 2.60–⁠0.10
Manager	Stephen Robinson (35)	Brendan Rodgers (40)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	St. Mirren		Celtic
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−28%	+9%	+124%	−54%
Counter-attacks	+32%	−4%	+127%	−54%
Set pieces	−38%	+14%	+9%	−52%
Penalties	−13%	−30%	+39%	−74%
Headers	−35%	+46%	+34%	−48%
Left side	−43%	−26%	+98%	−41%
Centre	−17%	+12%	+94%	−58%
Right side	−13%	+28%	+96%	−56%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdCeltic concededLeft side−43%−56%Centre−17%−58%Right side−13%−41%Open play−28%−54%Counter-attacks+32%−54%Set pieces−38%−52%Headers−35%−48%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side+98%+28%Centre+94%+12%Right side+96%−26%Open play+124%+9%Counter-attacks+127%−4%Set pieces+9%+14%Headers+34%+46%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. MirrenCeltic

1.25xG2.85

1.59xG against0.15

47%Possession78%

9.5Shots25.5

13.0Shots against4.5

4.5Shots on target10.0

1.5Big chances5.5

16.5Touches in the opposition box45.0

324Passes776

70%Pass accuracy88%

3.0Corners7.5

29%Field tilt83%

29.5Final-third entries75.5

9.5Box entries22.5

11.8Passes per defensive action8.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Mirren

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	48	0.28	2.00
Ahead	21	2.08	1.56
Behind	21	2.64	0.69

Celtic

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	10	6.17	0.09
Ahead	80	2.44	0.16
Behind	0	–	–

xG by period

St. Mirren

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.04	0.28	0–0
16–30	0.03	0.23	0–0
31–45	0.61	0.40	1–1
46–60	0.11	0.15	1–1
61–75	0.31	0.22	0–0
76–90	0.15	0.31	2–1

Celtic

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.59	0.01	1–0
16–30	0.39	0.06	2–0
31–45	0.65	0.00	1–0
46–60	0.44	0.01	1–0
61–75	0.36	0.06	0–0
76–90	0.43	0.02	1–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Mirren

Celtic

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
18 May 2024	Celtic	3–2	St. Mirren	xG 2.30–1.36
13 April 2024	Celtic	3–0	St. Mirren	xG 3.33–0.18
2 January 2024	St. Mirren	0–3	Celtic	xG 0.18–3.62
1 November 2023	Celtic	2–1	St. Mirren	xG 3.89–0.62
20 May 2023	Celtic	2–2	St. Mirren	xG 1.73–1.24
5 March 2023	St. Mirren	1–5	Celtic	xG 0.79–2.48

14 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Mirren won 2, Celtic won 10, and 2 were drawn. Goals 11–37 and xG 0.67–2.52 per game.

Key players

St. Mirren

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Olusanya	16	1,590	7	1	0.36	0.06
Mandron	23	2,081	8	3	0.28	0.12
Ayunga	9	824	2	0	0.16	0.03
Boyd-Munce	28	2,401	0	4	0.03	0.16

Celtic

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Forrest	8	793	6	2	0.71	0.36
Palma	18	1,515	7	9	0.50	0.47
Furuhashi	33	2,664	14	6	0.69	0.10
O'Riley	39	3,429	18	14	0.41	0.33

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.