Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

Celtic 3–2 St. Mirren

Saturday 18 May 2024, 12:30 · Celtic Park · Round 38 · Half-time 2–2 · Referee Matthew McDermid · Attendance 58,912

Celtic O'Riley 21', Furuhashi 37', Palma 86'

St. Mirren O'Hara 7', 26' (pen)

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

CelticSt. Mirren
Goals32
xG2.301.36
Non-penalty xG2.300.57
Expected Points2.060.69

Celtic 60%Draw 25%St. Mirren 15%

Most likely score 2–1, 16%. Final score 3–2, 8%.

St. Mirren goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+2%1%2%11%6%1%4%11%2%3%8%2%1%6%3%2%16%13%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTIdah on for Furuhashi and Iwata on for Hatate, 65'Scales on for Welsh, 66'Bernardo on for McGregor, 77'Bain on for Hart, 88'Dunne on for Taylor and Strain on for Bwomono, 66'Mandron on for Olusanya, 75'Flynn on for Boyd-Munce and Jamieson on for McMenamin, 80'O'Riley 21'Furuhashi 37'Palma 86'O'Hara 7'O'Hara 26' (pen)Celtic 2.30St. Mirren 1.3601230153045607590HTIdah on for Furuhashi and Iwata on for Hatate, 65'Scales on for Welsh, 66'Bernardo on for McGregor, 77'Bain on for Hart, 88'Dunne on for Taylor and Strain on for Bwomono, 66'Mandron on for Olusanya, 75'Flynn on for Boyd-Munce and Jamieson on for McMenamin, 80'O'Riley 21'Furuhashi 37'Palma 86'O'Hara 7'O'Hara 26' (pen)2.301.36CelticSt. Mirren

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticSt. Mirren

2.30 −0.41xG1.36 +0.27
2.30Non-penalty xG0.57
2.63 −0.12xG on target1.46 +0.17
12 −8Shots9 −2
4 −3.7Shots on target3 −0.5
5 +0.9Big chances3 +1.1
30 −14Touches in the opposition box15 −4
73% +4Possession27% −19
570 −79Passes218 −124
87% +2Pass accuracy61% −5
88% +9Field tilt12% −33
60 −15Final-third entries12 −22
19 −5.1Box entries5 −4.3
9.8 0Passes per defensive action22.2 +6
11 +1.5Corners3 −1.8
11 −5Tackles9 −6
1 −4.2Interceptions9 +1.4
15 0Clearances29 +6
1 −0.8Saves1 −1.8
7 −3Fouls9 −2
2 +0.1Offsides0 −1.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Celtic

Palma 38', 0.36 xGWelsh 3', 0.27 xGHatate 44', 0.20 xGFuruhashi 51', 0.15 xGO'Riley 20', 0.06 xGKühn 50', 0.06 xGRalston 73', 0.05 xGRalston 42', 0.02 xGPalma 1', 0.01 xGPalma 86', 0.65 xG, goalFuruhashi 37', 0.44 xG, goalO'Riley 21', 0.04 xG, goal68%1.55 xGSix-yard box: 5 shots, 1.55 xG, 2 goals24%0.56 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.56 xG, 0 goals4%0.10 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.10 xG, 1 goal3%0.08 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

St. Mirren

Jamieson 83', 0.25 xGOlusanya 60', 0.10 xGOlusanya 58', 0.09 xGBaccus 33', 0.03 xGTaylor 11', 0.02 xGOlusanya 72', 0.01 xGDunne 82', 0.01 xGO'Hara 7', 0.07 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals88%0.50 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.50 xG, 1 goal7%0.04 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.04 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGEdge of the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals5%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticSt. Mirren

1.61 9 shots, 3 goalsOpen play0.38 4 shots, 0 goals
0.36 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.33 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.19 4 shots, 1 goal
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
61 min (68%) · Celtic 1.76, St. Mirren 1.32 xG
Celtic ahead
4 min (4%) · Celtic 0.00, St. Mirren 0.00 xG
St. Mirren ahead
25 min (28%) · Celtic 0.54, St. Mirren 0.04 xG

Line-ups

156571733342411087HartRalstonWelshNawrockiTaylorO'RileyMcGregorHatateKühnFuruhashiPalmaGoalGoalGoal88'66'77'65'65'Celtic 4-3-3Brendan Rodgers122135421761531020HemmingFraserGogicTaylorBwomonoBaccusO'HaraBoyd-MunceTanserMcMenaminOlusanyaGoalGoal66'66'80'80'75'St. Mirren 3-5-2Stephen Robinson

Celtic substitutes

  • 65' Iwata for Hatate
  • 65' Idah for Furuhashi
  • 66' Scales for Welsh
  • 77' Bernardo for McGregor
  • 88' Bain for Hart

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 66' Dunne for Taylor
  • 66' Strain for Bwomono
  • 75' Mandron for Olusanya
  • 80' Flynn for Boyd-Munce
  • 80' Jamieson for McMenamin

Players

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
HartGK880.000.0000.0100
RalstonRB9010.070.5520.1861
WelshCB660.270.0100.0154
NawrockiCB900.000.0200.1827
TaylorLB900.000.2830.1481
O'RileyCM9010.100.0700.0810
McGregorCM770.000.0600.1334
HatateCM6510.200.1910.1931
KühnRW900.060.0600.0163
FuruhashiST6510.580.1210.1522
PalmaLW9011.020.2110.2181
IwataMF250.000.0100.0100
IdahFW250.000.0000.0110
ScalesDF240.000.0100.0406
BernardoMF130.000.010−0.0110
BainGK20.000.0000.0000

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
HemmingGK900.000.0000.0330
FraserCB900.000.0000.0014
GogicCB900.000.0000.03315
TaylorCB660.020.0000.0219
BwomonoRWB660.000.0000.0004
BaccusCM900.030.0400.0531
O'HaraCM9020.860.0110.0333
Boyd-MunceCM800.000.170−0.0606
TanserLWB900.000.000−0.0113
McMenaminST800.000.000−0.0101
OlusanyaST750.200.0000.0821
DunneDF240.010.0000.0110
StrainDF240.000.0810.0711
MandronFW150.000.0010.0000
FlynnMF100.000.0000.0000
JamiesonFW100.250.000––0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

Hatate and Kühn: 4 passesRalston and Hatate: 5 passesRalston and Furuhashi: 5 passesNawrocki and O'Riley: 5 passesNawrocki and Hatate: 5 passesWelsh and McGregor: 5 passesO'Riley and Kühn: 5 passesTaylor and Hatate: 8 passesNawrocki and McGregor: 9 passesNawrocki and Palma: 9 passesWelsh and O'Riley: 9 passesTaylor and McGregor: 9 passesO'Riley and McGregor: 9 passesHatate and McGregor: 9 passesRalston and Nawrocki: 11 passesRalston and McGregor: 13 passesRalston and Kühn: 13 passesHatate and Palma: 13 passesHart and Welsh: 15 passesHart and Nawrocki: 18 passesRalston and O'Riley: 19 passesTaylor and Palma: 30 passesNawrocki and Welsh: 31 passesRalston and Welsh: 36 passesNawrocki and Taylor: 43 passesHart: 24 completed passesRalston: 56 completed passesNawrocki: 70 completed passesWelsh: 54 completed passesTaylor: 50 completed passesO'Riley: 27 completed passesHatate: 22 completed passesMcGregor: 33 completed passesKühn: 12 completed passesFuruhashi: 3 completed passesPalma: 26 completed passes156175733341421087HartRalstonNawrockiWelshTaylorO'RileyHatateMcGregorKühnFuruhashiPalmaStarters until 65' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

St. Mirren

Hemming and Tanser: 3 passesHemming and Olusanya: 3 passesGogic and Taylor: 3 passesTaylor and Tanser: 3 passesTanser and Boyd-Munce: 3 passesO'Hara and Olusanya: 3 passesGogic and Boyd-Munce: 4 passesO'Hara and Boyd-Munce: 4 passesBoyd-Munce and McMenamin: 4 passesFraser and Boyd-Munce: 5 passesBwomono and Baccus: 5 passesBwomono and McMenamin: 5 passesBaccus and McMenamin: 6 passesFraser and Bwomono: 9 passesTaylor and Boyd-Munce: 11 passesHemming: 7 completed passesGogic: 5 completed passesTaylor: 11 completed passesFraser: 10 completed passesBwomono: 11 completed passesTanser: 6 completed passesBaccus: 10 completed passesO'Hara: 11 completed passesBoyd-Munce: 22 completed passesOlusanya: 3 completed passesMcMenamin: 9 completed passes113522423176152010HemmingGogicTaylorFraserBwomonoTanserBaccusO'HaraBoyd-MunceOlusanyaMcMenaminStarters until 66' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

FromToPasses
NawrockiTaylor29
TaylorPalma24
RalstonWelsh19
WelshRalston17
NawrockiWelsh17

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
TaylorBoyd-Munce7
Boyd-MunceFraser5
BwomonoFraser5
Boyd-MunceTaylor4
FraserBwomono4

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

2−1.24−0.29+0.34−1.53−1.74−1.22−2.45+0.84−3.37+2.14+0.13−0.52−3.73−1.35+2.03+0.72−1.33−2.54+0.50−2.81−0.83+0.34+0.50−0.92+1.41+0.30−0.62+0.70−6.21−6.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 37 matches

St. Mirren

7+2.08+1.620+5.96−1.63−2.44−3.46−0.94−0.59+1.65−0.71−3.50−2.93−2.84−3.03−1.12−1.00−2.31−2.67+3.20−2.50−1.90−0.93+1.63+0.71+0.10−0.21+0.20−0.40−0.90−7.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 37 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

0.010.010.010.020.010.020.010.030.030.020.060.010.050.050.100.090.090.01−0.010.050.09−0.120.180.200.150.17LessMore

St. Mirren

0.020.040.03−0.010.05−0.01−0.010.03−0.010.01−0.010.05−0.01−0.01−0.020.09LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.32AttackCeltic2.43 → 2.43St. Mirren1.10 → 1.10Defence (lower is better)Celtic0.73 → 0.75St. Mirren1.38 → 1.39

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

CelticSt. Mirren
Expected goals3.010.55
Win86%4%
Expected Points2.680.22
Clean sheet58%5%

Celtic 86%Draw 10%St. Mirren 4%

Most likely score 3–0, 13%. Both sides score 40%.

St. Mirren goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+3%1%8%5%1%7%2%7%2%5%1%6%3%5%3%13%13%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 18 May 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Celtic

  1. W5–015 MayKilmarnock (A)xG 4.60–0.75
  2. W2–111 MayRangers (H)xG 2.81–1.02
  3. W3–04 MayHearts (H)xG 2.78–0.43
  4. W2–128 AprDundee FC (A)xG 1.53–1.10
  5. W3–013 AprSt. Mirren (H)xG 3.33–0.18
  6. D3–37 AprRangers (A)xG 1.96–1.69

St. Mirren

  1. D2–215 MayHearts (H)xG 1.72–0.83
  2. L0–111 MayKilmarnock (H)xG 0.85–1.44
  3. W3–14 MayDundee FC (A)xG 1.43–0.79
  4. L1–228 AprRangers (H)xG 0.85–1.74
  5. L0–313 AprCeltic (A)xG 0.18–3.33
  6. L1–26 AprHearts (H)xG 0.89–2.37

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

CelticSt. Mirren
Position1st5th
Played3737
Won, drawn, lost28–⁠6–⁠313–⁠8–⁠16
Points90 (2.43 per game)47 (1.27 per game)
Expected Points per game2.381.19
Goals92–⁠2844–⁠49
xG per game2.71–⁠0.851.09–⁠1.42
Home: points, xG per game2.50, 2.94–⁠0.701.47, 1.11–⁠1.28
Away: points, xG per game2.37, 2.49–⁠0.991.06, 1.07–⁠1.57
ManagerBrendan Rodgers (37)Stephen Robinson (32)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.32AttackCeltic2.43, 1stSt. Mirren1.10, 8thDefence (lower is better)Celtic0.73, 1stSt. Mirren1.38, 8th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayCeltic attack: 2.43St. Mirren attack: 1.102.431.10St. MirrenCelticDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayCeltic defence: 0.73St. Mirren defence: 1.381.380.73

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

CelticSt. Mirren
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+114%−35%−34%−2%
Counter-attacks+96%−32%−25%+39%
Set pieces+31%−34%−14%−5%
Penalties+118%−73%+23%+9%
Headers+56%−20%−11%+6%
Left side+86%−20%−27%−12%
Centre+84%−39%−30%+11%
Right side+107%−43%−24%−9%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side+86%−9%Centre+84%+11%Right side+107%−12%Open play+114%−2%Counter-attacks+96%+39%Set pieces+31%−5%Headers+56%+6%

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdCeltic concededLeft side−27%−43%Centre−30%−39%Right side−24%−20%Open play−34%−35%Counter-attacks−25%−32%Set pieces−14%−34%Headers−11%−20%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticSt. Mirren

2.71xG1.09
0.85xG against1.42
69%Possession46%
20.1Shots10.6
8.0Shots against11.9
7.7Shots on target3.5
4.1Big chances1.9
44.1Touches in the opposition box19.3
649Passes342
85%Pass accuracy66%
9.5Corners4.8
79%Field tilt46%
74.7Final-third entries33.6
24.1Box entries9.3
10.1Passes per defensive action16.7

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level382.640.77
Ahead482.840.96
Behind52.080.40

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level410.971.34
Ahead231.351.44
Behind261.061.53

xG by period

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.390.1014–2
16–300.410.0913–2
31–450.390.1814–4
46–600.480.1316–5
61–750.320.1510–5
76–900.730.2025–10

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.137–6
16–300.140.163–6
31–450.160.2410–8
46–600.190.217–5
61–750.160.266–13
76–900.270.4111–11

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWHart 36Bain 1Johnston 32Ralston 5Carter-Vickers 24Nawrocki 6Welsh 4Scales 33Taylor 34Bernabei 3O'Riley 36Maeda 1McGregor 32Iwata 9Hatate 11Bernardo 11Turnbull 9Maeda 9Kühn 8Yang 7Furuhashi 29Idah 5Oh 3Palma 17Maeda 15Yang 34-3-3 in 36 of 37 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (36), 4-4-1-1 (1)

St. Mirren

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWHemming 37Fraser 33Bolton 14Gogic 37Taylor 22Dunne 5Strain 15Bwomono 9Flynn 4O'Hara 17Baccus 13Kwon 8Boyd-Munce 20Kiltie 6Tanser 28O'Hara 4Boyd-Munce 4McMenamin 14Tanser 9O'Hara 4Mandron 21Olusanya 9Ayunga 5Kiltie 28Ayunga 3Mandron 23-4-3 in 18 of 37 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (18), 3-4-2-1 (11), 3-5-2 (7), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
13 April 2024Celtic3–0St. MirrenxG 3.33–0.18
2 January 2024St. Mirren0–3CelticxG 0.18–3.62
1 November 2023Celtic2–1St. MirrenxG 3.89–0.62
20 May 2023Celtic2–2St. MirrenxG 1.73–1.24
5 March 2023St. Mirren1–5CelticxG 0.79–2.48
18 January 2023Celtic4–0St. MirrenxG 2.25–0.53

13 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 9, St. Mirren won 2, and 2 were drawn. Goals 34–9 and xG 2.54–0.61 per game.

Key players

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Idah5582821.100.09
Forrest6654610.850.32
Turnbull9676700.710.39
Oh3610500.940.05

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Mandron232,013830.290.13
Jamieson6684100.230.18
Olusanya131,377610.330.07
Kiltie342,665450.190.12

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.