Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

St. Mirren 0–1 Motherwell

Saturday 7 December 2024, 15:00 · The SMISA Stadium · Round 16 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Dan McFarlane · Attendance 6,111

St. Mirren Gogic sent off 90+3'

Motherwell Watt 90+4'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. MirrenMotherwell
Goals01
xG0.551.74
Expected Points0.382.41

St. Mirren 6%Draw 20%Motherwell 74%

Most likely score 0–1, 22%. Final score 0–1, 22%.

Motherwell goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+2%8%2%1%14%13%5%3%4%1%22%22%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTGogic (St. Mirren), second yellow card 90+3'Idowu on for Kiltie, 67'Mandron on for Olusanya, 68'Ayunga on for Bwomono, 84'Paton on for Wilson, 72'Ebiye on for Stamatelopoulos and Kaleta on for Tavares, 77'Nicholson on for Halliday, 83'Watt 90+4'Motherwell 1.74St. Mirren 0.5500.511.520153045607590HTGogic (St. Mirren), second yellow card 90+3'Idowu on for Kiltie, 67'Mandron on for Olusanya, 68'Ayunga on for Bwomono, 84'Paton on for Wilson, 72'Ebiye on for Stamatelopoulos and Kaleta on for Tavares, 77'Nicholson on for Halliday, 83'Watt 90+4'1.740.55St. MirrenMotherwell

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. MirrenMotherwell

0.55 −0.60xG1.74 +0.49
0.94 −0.22xG on target1.67 +0.37
11 −1Shots9 −3
6 +2.4Shots on target4 +0.2
0 −2.1Big chances4 +2.1
21 0Touches in the opposition box17 −4
54% +12Possession46% +5
319 +14Passes285 −29
61% −6Pass accuracy52% −18
58% +18Field tilt42% +6
36 +6Final-third entries17 −10
15 +5.9Box entries8 −0.4
9.0 −7Passes per defensive action8.6 −10
7 +2.3Corners2 −3.8
14 −2Tackles19 +3
6 −2.5Interceptions13 +4.5
29 +2Clearances28 +1
3 +0.7Saves6 +2.5
16 +4Fouls15 +4
0 −2.1Offsides2 0.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Mirren

Kiltie 7', 0.12 xGGogic 33', 0.08 xGPhillips 3', 0.06 xGTanser 47', 0.06 xGMcMenamin 71', 0.06 xGMcMenamin 5', 0.04 xGKiltie 9', 0.04 xGMcMenamin 28', 0.03 xGMandron 68', 0.03 xGMcMenamin 48', 0.02 xGTanser 11', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals40%0.22 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.22 xG, 0 goals24%0.13 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals29%0.16 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals7%0.04 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

Motherwell

Watt 62', 0.26 xGTavares 45', 0.23 xGSeddon 64', 0.13 xGStamatelopoulos 71', 0.10 xGWatt 90+3', 0.05 xGSeddon 42', 0.02 xGTavares 57', 0.02 xGCasey 86', 0.02 xGWatt 90+4', 0.90 xG, goal66%1.14 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 1.14 xG, 1 goal25%0.43 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.43 xG, 0 goals9%0.15 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGEdge of the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals1%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. MirrenMotherwell

0.37 7 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.45 5 shots, 0 goals
0.18 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces1.29 4 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
94 min (99%) · St. Mirren 0.55, Motherwell 1.74 xG
Motherwell ahead
1 min (1%) · St. Mirren 0.00, Motherwell 0.00 xG

Line-ups

122135428863102011BalcombeFraserGogicTaylorBwomonoPhillipsO'HaraTanserMcMenaminOlusanyaKiltieYellow cardSent off, second yellowYellow cardYellow cardYellow card84'68'67'St. Mirren 3-4-3Stephen Robinson13154209011233385214OxboroughCaseyGordonBlaneyTavaresHallidayWilsonSeddonMillerWattStamatelopoulosYellow cardYellow cardGoalYellow card77'83'72'77'Motherwell 3-4-1-2Stuart Kettlewell

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 67' Idowu for Kiltie
  • 68' Mandron for Olusanya
  • 84' Ayunga for Bwomono

Motherwell substitutes

  • 72' Paton for Wilson
  • 77' Kaleta for Tavares
  • 77' Ebiye for Stamatelopoulos
  • 83' Nicholson for Halliday

Players

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
BalcombeGK900.000.0000.0111
FraserCB900.000.1920.08811
Gogic CB900.080.010−0.0277
Taylor CB900.000.0000.07103
BwomonoRWB840.000.0200.10102
PhillipsCM900.060.0100.0413
O'HaraCM900.000.3110.0135
TanserLWB900.070.0710.1848
McMenaminRW900.150.1010.2284
Olusanya ST680.000.0100.0032
Kiltie LW670.150.022−0.0111
IdowuMF230.000.0000.0310
MandronFW220.030.030−0.0103
AyungaFW60.000.0000.0000

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
OxboroughGK900.000.0000.0113
CaseyCB900.020.0100.03310
GordonCB900.000.0000.02410
Blaney CB900.000.0100.0248
TavaresRWB770.250.2320.1522
HallidayCM830.000.0810.0343
WilsonCM720.000.000−0.0101
Seddon LWB900.150.0200.04312
MillerAM9010.000.5420.0127
WattST9011.210.0810.1426
Stamatelopoulos ST770.100.1120.1511
PatonMF180.000.0100.0200
KaletaMF130.000.0210.0911
EbiyeFW130.000.0000.0000
NicholsonDF70.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Mirren

Taylor and Kiltie: 4 passesBwomono and Phillips: 4 passesBwomono and O'Hara: 4 passesTanser and Olusanya: 4 passesTanser and Kiltie: 4 passesO'Hara and Kiltie: 4 passesMcMenamin and Kiltie: 4 passesBalcombe and Fraser: 5 passesGogic and O'Hara: 5 passesFraser and Phillips: 5 passesFraser and McMenamin: 5 passesBwomono and Olusanya: 5 passesTanser and O'Hara: 5 passesGogic and Taylor: 6 passesGogic and Fraser: 6 passesPhillips and O'Hara: 6 passesOlusanya and Kiltie: 6 passesBalcombe and Taylor: 7 passesFraser and O'Hara: 7 passesTaylor and O'Hara: 9 passesPhillips and McMenamin: 12 passesBwomono and McMenamin: 13 passesBalcombe: 13 completed passesGogic: 20 completed passesTaylor: 20 completed passesFraser: 21 completed passesBwomono: 18 completed passesTanser: 10 completed passesPhillips: 19 completed passesO'Hara: 24 completed passesMcMenamin: 16 completed passesOlusanya: 10 completed passesKiltie: 10 completed passes113522423886102011BalcombeGogicTaylorFraserBwomonoTanserPhillipsO'HaraMcMenaminOlusanyaKiltieStarters until 67' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Motherwell

Oxborough and Blaney: 3 passesOxborough and Casey: 3 passesBlaney and Gordon: 3 passesBlaney and Halliday: 3 passesBlaney and Wilson: 3 passesCasey and Gordon: 3 passesTavares and Seddon: 3 passesTavares and Watt: 3 passesHalliday and Watt: 3 passesWilson and Watt: 3 passesOxborough and Watt: 4 passesBlaney and Miller: 4 passesCasey and Tavares: 4 passesGordon and Miller: 4 passesMiller and Halliday: 4 passesTavares and Stamatelopoulos: 4 passesHalliday and Seddon: 4 passesOxborough and Gordon: 5 passesCasey and Miller: 5 passesCasey and Stamatelopoulos: 5 passesSeddon and Watt: 5 passesBlaney and Seddon: 7 passesStamatelopoulos and Watt: 7 passesMiller and Seddon: 8 passesWilson and Seddon: 9 passesOxborough: 7 completed passesBlaney: 15 completed passesCasey: 15 completed passesGordon: 12 completed passesMiller: 15 completed passesTavares: 7 completed passesHalliday: 14 completed passesWilson: 8 completed passesSeddon: 19 completed passesStamatelopoulos: 10 completed passesWatt: 11 completed passes13201543890112331452OxboroughBlaneyCaseyGordonMillerTavaresHallidayWilsonSeddonStamatelopoulosWattStarters until 72' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
BwomonoMcMenamin10
PhillipsMcMenamin8
McMenaminPhillips7
O'HaraFraser6
BalcombeTaylor6

Motherwell

FromToPasses
SeddonMiller7
SeddonWilson6
GordonOxborough5
MillerSeddon5
CaseyStamatelopoulos4

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Mirren

4−0.78+1.36−1.611+5.96−1.59+3.13−1.57+1.110+1.26−0.12−2.16+2.14−0.36−0.52−2.03−0.74+1.32−0.54−0.25+2.70−1.71+0.12+1.31−0.90−0.50−0.51−0.10−0.41+0.58−6.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 15 matches

Motherwell

8+4.18+2.312−5.413+4.99+2.56+0.11−6.14−1.56−0.18−0.19+4.03−0.63−0.211+6.315+9.49+5.44+0.90−2.11−2.14−0.22−0.61−1.010.04+2.51−0.60−0.91+0.41+0.20−0.10−0.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 14 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Mirren

0.010.010.010.020.020.010.020.120.010.040.040.040.030.020.020.010.040.07−0.010.010.09−0.05−0.26−0.020.050.220.17LessMore

Motherwell

0.010.010.010.010.040.020.010.010.020.010.010.010.090.020.100.020.080.05−0.03−0.010.20LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackSt. Mirren1.11 → 1.07Motherwell1.21 → 1.23Defence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.46 → 1.48Motherwell1.43 → 1.38

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Mirren
Top six38%25%−13
11th9%12%+3
Bottom7%10%+3
Motherwell
Top six57%71%+14
11th4%2%−2
Bottom2%1%−1
Hibernian
Top six20%20%0
11th12%13%+1
Bottom10%10%0

From the forecast before the match (7 December 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. MirrenMotherwell
Expected goals1.411.17
Win42%31%
Expected Points1.531.20
Clean sheet31%24%

St. Mirren 42%Draw 28%Motherwell 31%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 53%.

Motherwell goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+8%8%5%2%7%3%8%9%5%2%4%4%2%1%1%1%10%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 7 December 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Mirren winDrawMotherwell win
St. Mirren
Top six38%50%33%25%
11th9%6%9%12%
Bottom7%4%8%10%
Motherwell
Top six57%48%57%71%
11th4%6%4%2%
Bottom2%4%2%1%
Hibernian
Top six20%19%22%20%
11th12%12%12%13%
Bottom10%11%10%10%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Mirren

  1. L0–230 NovDundee United (A)xG 0.35–3.22
  2. W2–123 NovAberdeen (H)xG 1.56–1.38
  3. W2–19 NovHibernian (A)xG 2.18–2.28
  4. D0–02 NovRoss County (H)xG 1.25–0.71
  5. W3–130 OctSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.93–0.73
  6. L1–227 OctRangers (A)xG 0.63–2.29

Motherwell

  1. L1–44 DecDundee FC (A)xG 1.97–0.60
  2. L0–330 NovHibernian (H)xG 0.75–3.15
  3. L1–223 NovRoss County (A)xG 0.63–1.59
  4. W2–19 NovSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.44–1.18
  5. W2–130 OctDundee United (A)xG 1.06–1.43
  6. L0–327 OctCeltic (H)xG 0.71–1.45

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. MirrenMotherwell
Position7th6th
Played1514
Won, drawn, lost5–⁠3–⁠76–⁠1–⁠7
Points18 (1.20 per game)19 (1.36 per game)
Expected Points per game1.151.25
Goals19–⁠2517–⁠23
xG per game1.15–⁠1.581.25–⁠1.48
Home: points, xG per game1.75, 1.11–⁠1.101.43, 1.32–⁠1.41
Away: points, xG per game0.57, 1.20–⁠2.141.29, 1.17–⁠1.55
ManagerStephen Robinson (48)Stuart Kettlewell (66)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackSt. Mirren1.11, 10thMotherwell1.21, 7thDefence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.46, 9thMotherwell1.43, 7th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecSt. Mirren attack: 1.11Motherwell attack: 1.211.211.11MotherwellSt. MirrenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecSt. Mirren defence: 1.46Motherwell defence: 1.431.461.43

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. MirrenMotherwell
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−35%−4%−17%+13%
Counter-attacks−7%+25%−29%−37%
Set piecesaverage+13%+22%+6%
Penalties+30%+117%−53%−7%
Headers−9%−13%+53%+4%
Left side−22%−12%−35%+34%
Centre−30%−2%+8%−13%
Right side−9%+34%−14%+21%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdMotherwell concededLeft side−22%+21%Centre−30%−13%Right side−9%+34%Open play−35%+13%Counter-attacks−7%−37%Set piecesaverage+6%Headers−9%+4%

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−35%+34%Centre+8%−2%Right side−14%−12%Open play−17%−4%Counter-attacks−29%+25%Set pieces+22%+13%Headers+53%−13%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. MirrenMotherwell

1.15xG1.25
1.58xG against1.48
42%Possession41%
11.6Shots11.6
12.3Shots against14.0
3.6Shots on target3.8
2.1Big chances1.9
20.5Touches in the opposition box20.6
305Passes314
66%Pass accuracy70%
4.7Corners5.8
40%Field tilt36%
30.2Final-third entries27.1
9.1Box entries8.4
16.4Passes per defensive action19.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level471.121.27
Ahead211.301.85
Behind221.071.99

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level421.301.39
Ahead201.091.50
Behind281.271.62

xG by period

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.080.263–5
16–300.160.195–3
31–450.420.185–3
46–600.230.162–4
61–750.110.260–4
76–900.150.534–6

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.231–3
16–300.370.216–4
31–450.080.382–3
46–600.180.332–6
61–750.180.131–4
76–900.300.215–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Mirren

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWBalcombe 15Fraser 13Phillips 2Gogic 14Iacovitti 2Taylor 10Dunne 4Bwomono 7Rooney 6Fraser 2Phillips 10Boyd-Munce 2Adeniran 2O'Hara 11Idowu 3Gogic 1Tanser 11Brown 3Taylor 1Boyd-Munce 5McMenamin 3Scott 3Olusanya 11van Veen 2Scott 1Kiltie 6Olusanya 4Mandron 33-4-3 in 6 of 15 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (6), 3-5-2 (6), 4-3-3 (2), 3-1-4-2 (1)

Motherwell

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTOxborough 14Balmer 8McGinn 6O'Donnell 2Gordon 11Casey 12Seddon 2Blaney 1O'Donnell 8Kaleta 5Wilson 1Halliday 10Gordon 1Paton 1Zdravkovski 7Miller 5Wilson 3Wilson 9Seddon 2Miller 1Miller 8Zdravkovski 3Halliday 2Maswanhise 4Stamatelopoulos 2Robinson 2Stamatelopoulos 7Robinson 5Maswanhise 13-4-2-1 in 5 of 14 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (5), 3-5-2 (4), 3-4-1-2 (2), 3-4-3 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
28 September 2024Motherwell2–1St. MirrenxG 2.07–2.33
30 March 2024Motherwell1–1St. MirrenxG 1.84–1.32
16 December 2023St. Mirren0–0MotherwellxG 1.25–1.00
16 September 2023Motherwell0–1St. MirrenxG 1.18–0.55
15 February 2023Motherwell2–1St. MirrenxG 0.48–0.46
28 January 2023St. Mirren1–0MotherwellxG 0.60–0.40

14 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Mirren won 3, Motherwell won 5, and 6 were drawn. Goals 12–15 and xG 1.26–1.35 per game.

Key players

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Olusanya151,082500.380.01
O'Hara131,144220.150.13
Kiltie7540000.170.08
Phillips12957110.150.08

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Miller141,243240.200.24
Stamatelopoulos9580200.310.03
Maswanhise6562310.270.02
Halliday12868110.160.11

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.