Matches › 2023/24

Dundee FC 4–0 St. Mirren

Saturday 11 November 2023, 15:00 · The Scot Foam Stadium at Dens Park · Round 13 · Half-time 2–0 · Referee Matthew McDermid · Attendance 5,496

Dundee FC Bakayoko 16', 57', Rudden 45+2' (pen), Robinson 85'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Dundee FC	St. Mirren
Goals	4	0
xG	2.62	0.51
Non-penalty xG	1.83	0.51
Expected Points	2.84	0.09

Dundee FC 93%Draw 7%St. Mirren 1%

Most likely score 2–0, 21%. Final score 4–0, 7%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee FCSt. Mirren

2.62 +1.33xG0.51 −0.60

1.83Non-penalty xG0.51

3.13 +1.76xG on target0.00 −1.34

11 −0.5Shots5 −4.9

7 +3.1Shots on target0 −3.5

4 +1.9Big chances1 −1.4

21 +2Touches in the opposition box17 +1

42% +1Possession58% +16

305 −9Passes416 +110

64% −3Pass accuracy73% +9

37% 0Field tilt63% +24

31 +1Final-third entries47 +16

5 −3.9Box entries7 −1.7

10.1 −8Passes per defensive action10.0 −8

7 +2.6Corners4 +0.2

33 +18Tackles9 −5

15 +4.8Interceptions7 −1.3

30 +2Clearances21 −5

0 −3.2Saves3 −0.1

6 −5Fouls12 +1

1 −0.6Offsides1 −0.9

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Dundee FC

St. Mirren

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee FCSt. Mirren

0.64 4 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.51 5 shots, 0 goals

0.99 2 shots, 1 goalCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

0.20 4 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–02–03–04–0

Level: 16 min (17%) · Dundee FC 0.40, St. Mirren 0.00 xG
Dundee FC ahead: 79 min (83%) · Dundee FC 2.22, St. Mirren 0.51 xG

Line-ups

Dundee FC substitutes

81' Robinson for Rudden · goal 85'
89' Kerr for McGhee
89' Howley for Cameron
90+3' Pineda for Bakayoko

St. Mirren substitutes

46' Dunne for Taylor
46' Greive for Kiltie
46' Jamieson for McMenamin
46' Olusanya for Mandron
71' Small for Boyd-Munce

Players

Dundee FC

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Carson	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Portales	CB	90			0.04	0.01	0	−0.06	6	4
Shaughnessy	CB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.00	0	16
Lamie	CB	90			0.02	0.08	0	−0.02	4	14
McGhee	RWB	89			0.00	0.02	0	0.03	4	9
Cameron	CM	89			0.00	0.02	1	0.00	4	7
Boateng	CM	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.04	4	5
McCowan	CM	90		1	0.04	0.24	2	0.26	3	7
Beck	LWB	90			0.00	0.29	2	0.03	3	12
Bakayoko	ST	90	2		1.17	0.01	1	0.02	2	3
Rudden	ST	81	1		1.14	0.02	1	0.07	4	1
Robinson	FW	9	1		0.21	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Kerr	DF	1			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Howley	MF	1			0.00	0.00	0	–	–	0
Pineda	FW	0			0.00	0.00	0	–	–	0

St. Mirren

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Hemming	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	0
Fraser	CB	90	0.00	0.07	0	0.13	8	5
Gogic	CB	90	0.00	0.01	0	0.06	3	6
Taylor	CB	46	0.00	0.01	0	0.08	7	5
Strain	RWB	90	0.00	0.06	0	0.09	13	1
Baccus	CM	90	0.00	0.04	0	0.03	4	3
Boyd-Munce	CM	71	0.02	0.03	0	0.03	4	1
Tanser	LWB	90	0.00	0.10	1	0.13	8	9
McMenamin	RW	46	0.03	0.01	0	−0.03	3	0
Mandron	ST	46	0.00	0.01	0	−0.03	0	1
Kiltie	LW	46	0.00	0.02	1	0.01	1	0
Dunne	DF	44	0.00	0.01	0	0.08	4	5
Greive	FW	44	0.00	0.08	1	0.10	2	1
Jamieson	FW	44	0.13	0.63	1	0.20	3	0
Olusanya	FW	44	0.34	0.00	0	−0.02	0	0
Small	FW	19	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee FC

St. Mirren

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee FC

From	To	Passes
Boateng	Cameron	9
Portales	Boateng	7
Lamie	Beck	7
McGhee	Portales	7
Beck	Lamie	7

St. Mirren

From	To	Passes
Fraser	Strain	15
Strain	Fraser	12
Baccus	Strain	11
Strain	Baccus	10
Dunne	Tanser	9

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee FC

Against its average of 11 matches

St. Mirren

Against its average of 11 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee FC

St. Mirren

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Dundee FC
Top six	20%	28%	+8
11th	16%	12%	−4
Bottom	14%	9%	−5
St. Mirren
Top six	75%	66%	−9
11th	2%	3%	+1
Bottom	1%	1%	0
Livingston
11th	20%	20%	0
Bottom	19%	21%	+2

From the forecast before the match (11 November 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Dundee FC	St. Mirren
Expected goals	1.30	1.21
Win	38%	34%
Expected Points	1.42	1.30
Clean sheet	30%	27%

Dundee FC 38%Draw 28%St. Mirren 34%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 52%.

From the forecast as it stood on 11 November 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Dundee FC win	Draw	St. Mirren win
Dundee FC
Top six	20%	28%	18%	12%
11th	16%	12%	16%	21%
Bottom	14%	9%	14%	19%
St. Mirren
Top six	75%	66%	75%	85%
11th	2%	3%	1%	0%
Bottom	1%	1%	<1%	<1%
Livingston
11th	20%	20%	21%	20%
Bottom	19%	21%	20%	17%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee FC

St. Mirren

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Dundee FC	St. Mirren
Position	6th	3rd
Played	11	11
Won, drawn, lost	3–⁠5–⁠3	5–⁠4–⁠2
Points	14 (1.27 per game)	19 (1.73 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.20	1.18
Goals	10–⁠15	18–⁠14
xG per game	1.29–⁠1.97	1.11–⁠1.52
Home: points, xG per game	1.50, 1.17–⁠2.11	1.83, 1.33–⁠1.34
Away: points, xG per game	1.00, 1.43–⁠1.79	1.60, 0.84–⁠1.73
Manager	Tony Docherty (11)	Stephen Robinson (6)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Dundee FC		St. Mirren
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−14%	+42%	−30%	+1%
Counter-attacks	−61%	+52%	+32%	−1%
Set pieces	+39%	+29%	−43%	−10%
Penalties	−44%	+69%	+69%	+125%
Headers	+2%	+80%	average	−18%
Left side	+14%	+37%	−33%	−5%
Centre	+2%	+48%	−36%	+4%
Right side	−30%	+24%	−11%	−12%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side+14%−12%Centre+2%+4%Right side−30%−5%Open play−14%+1%Counter-attacks−61%−1%Set pieces+39%−10%Headers+2%−18%

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdDundee FC concededLeft side−33%+24%Centre−36%+48%Right side−11%+37%Open play−30%+42%Counter-attacks+32%+52%Set pieces−43%+29%Headersaverage+80%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee FCSt. Mirren

1.29xG1.11

1.97xG against1.52

41%Possession42%

11.5Shots9.9

15.5Shots against12.6

3.9Shots on target3.5

2.1Big chances2.4

19.0Touches in the opposition box15.7

314Passes306

67%Pass accuracy63%

4.4Corners3.8

37%Field tilt38%

30.3Final-third entries31.0

8.9Box entries8.7

17.7Passes per defensive action17.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee FC

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	56	1.08	1.44
Ahead	12	1.18	2.59
Behind	22	1.87	2.95

St. Mirren

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	44	0.92	1.38
Ahead	32	1.08	1.79
Behind	14	1.73	1.33

xG by period

Dundee FC

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.09	0.20	0–2
16–30	0.14	0.33	1–1
31–45	0.22	0.26	1–2
46–60	0.30	0.32	2–2
61–75	0.24	0.29	3–3
76–90	0.30	0.57	3–5

St. Mirren

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.27	0.05	4–1
16–30	0.12	0.30	1–3
31–45	0.14	0.24	3–1
46–60	0.26	0.15	4–0
61–75	0.12	0.31	1–4
76–90	0.21	0.47	5–5

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee FC

Formations: 3-5-2 (3), 4-1-4-1 (2), 5-3-2 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 3-5-1-1 (1), 4-3-3 (1)

St. Mirren

Formations: 3-4-3 (7), 3-4-2-1 (3), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
12 August 2023	St. Mirren	2–1	Dundee FC	xG 1.28–2.31
7 May 2022	St. Mirren	2–0	Dundee FC	xG 1.83–0.95
9 March 2022	Dundee FC	0–1	St. Mirren	xG 0.49–1.09
30 October 2021	St. Mirren	0–1	Dundee FC	xG 0.79–0.66
31 July 2021	Dundee FC	2–2	St. Mirren	xG 1.11–1.81

5 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee FC won 1, St. Mirren won 3, and 1 was a draw. Goals 4–7 and xG 1.10–1.36 per game.

Key players

Dundee FC

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Robinson	6	495	0	0	0.56	0.04
Bakayoko	10	908	1	2	0.26	0.07
McCowan	11	981	2	1	0.13	0.16
Beck	11	990	0	1	0.04	0.15

St. Mirren

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Olusanya	6	527	1	1	0.28	0.08
Mandron	5	472	3	1	0.24	0.06
O'Hara	8	720	2	1	0.23	0.08
Kiltie	11	884	2	3	0.22	0.05

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.