Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Dundee United 2–0 St. Mirren

Saturday 30 November 2024, 15:00 · CalForth Construction Arena at Tannadice Park · Round 14 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Matthew McDermid · Attendance 8,868

Dundee United Holt 79' (pen), Adegboyega 90+3'

St. Mirren Fraser sent off 90+1'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee UnitedSt. Mirren
Goals20
xG3.220.35
Non-penalty xG1.640.35
Expected Points2.920.05

Dundee United 96%Draw 3%St. Mirren 1%

Most likely score 3–0, 24%. Final score 2–0, 15%.

St. Mirren goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+4%2%15%5%9%1%6%1%7%3%2%24%17%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

012340153045607590HTFraser (St. Mirren), red card 90+1'Thomson on for Babunski, 60'Moult on for Dalby, 72'van der Sande on for Middleton, 73'Mandron on for McMenamin, 64'Ayunga on for Olusanya, 72'Idowu on for Kiltie and John on for Tanser, 80'Holt 79' (pen)Adegboyega 90+3'Dundee United 3.22St. Mirren 0.35012340153045607590HTFraser (St. Mirren), red card 90+1'Thomson on for Babunski, 60'Moult on for Dalby, 72'van der Sande on for Middleton, 73'Mandron on for McMenamin, 64'Ayunga on for Olusanya, 72'Idowu on for Kiltie and John on for Tanser, 80'Holt 79' (pen)Adegboyega 90+3'3.220.35Dundee UnitedSt. Mirren

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedSt. Mirren

3.22 +1.92xG0.35 −0.86
1.64Non-penalty xG0.35
3.04 +1.63xG on target0.01 −1.23
15 +4Shots10 −2
6 +2.6Shots on target1 −2.8
6 +4.1Big chances0 −2.3
22 −1Touches in the opposition box20 0
46% +3Possession54% +12
327 +8Passes352 +50
65% −3Pass accuracy62% −4
38% −4Field tilt62% +23
25 −5Final-third entries46 +17
10 +0.2Box entries7 −2.3
30.9 +16Passes per defensive action15.2 −1
4 0.0Corners8 +3.6
24 +5Tackles11 −5
9 +1.2Interceptions6 −2.6
54 +21Clearances17 −11
1 −1.7Saves4 +1.8
5 −6Fouls12 0
1 +0.3Offsides1 −1.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee United

Ferry 29', 0.17 xGBabunski 52', 0.15 xGHolt 90+3', 0.15 xGDalby 8', 0.12 xGHolt 56', 0.09 xGMoult 83', 0.07 xGBabunski 4', 0.06 xGStrain 20', 0.06 xGDalby 62', 0.06 xGBabunski 47', 0.04 xGMiddleton 19', 0.03 xGGallagher 72', 0.01 xGAdegboyega 90+3', 0.63 xG, goal38%0.63 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.63 xG, 1 goal29%0.47 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.47 xG, 0 goals18%0.29 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.29 xG, 0 goals15%0.25 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.25 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

St. Mirren

McMenamin 40', 0.07 xGOlusanya 63', 0.07 xGMandron 74', 0.06 xGTanser 33', 0.03 xGPhillips 38', 0.03 xGBwomono 14', 0.02 xGFraser 37', 0.02 xGPhillips 70', 0.02 xGKiltie 70', 0.02 xGO'Hara 40', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals40%0.14 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals54%0.19 xGEdge of the box: 7 shots, 0.19 xG, 0 goals6%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedSt. Mirren

0.45 5 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.21 5 shots, 0 goals
0.21 2 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.98 6 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.14 5 shots, 0 goals
1.58 2 shots, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
79 min (84%) · Dundee United 1.58, St. Mirren 0.35 xG
Dundee United ahead
15 min (16%) · Dundee United 1.64, St. Mirren 0.00 xG

Line-ups

116314251011171915WaltonAdegboyegaGallagherHoltStrainSeveljBabunskiFerryStephensonDalbyMiddletonYellow cardGoalGoalYellow card60'72'73'Dundee United 3-4-3Jim Goodwin122135428863102011BalcombeFraserGogicTaylorBwomonoPhillipsO'HaraTanserMcMenaminOlusanyaKiltieSent offYellow cardYellow card80'64'72'80'St. Mirren 3-4-3Stephen Robinson

Dundee United substitutes

  • 60' Thomson for Babunski
  • 72' Moult for Dalby
  • 73' van der Sande for Middleton

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 64' Mandron for McMenamin
  • 72' Ayunga for Olusanya
  • 80' John for Tanser
  • 80' Idowu for Kiltie

Players

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
Walton GK900.000.0000.0453
AdegboyegaCB9010.630.0000.05411
GallagherCB900.010.0000.01117
HoltCB9011.810.0110.05313
StrainRWB900.060.0400.00211
SeveljCM900.000.0200.01010
BabunskiCM600.250.0100.0222
Ferry LWB900.170.4140.29510
StephensonRW900.000.0700.09610
DalbyST720.180.0420.0124
MiddletonLW730.030.2130.1752
ThomsonMF300.000.0000.0000
MoultFW180.070.000−0.0100
van der SandeFW170.000.000−0.0100

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
BalcombeGK900.000.0000.0422
Fraser CB900.020.0810.2085
GogicCB900.000.0300.1298
TaylorCB900.000.1010.16106
Bwomono RWB900.020.0300.0234
PhillipsCM900.040.0910.2792
O'HaraCM900.010.070−0.0121
TanserLWB800.030.0200.0465
McMenaminRW640.070.010−0.0110
OlusanyaST720.070.000−0.0302
Kiltie LW800.020.0700.0100
MandronFW260.060.000−0.0500
AyungaFW180.000.000−0.0100
JohnMF100.000.0100.0230
IdowuMF100.000.0000.0001

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee United

Gallagher and Sevelj: 3 passesFerry and Middleton: 3 passesStephenson and Middleton: 3 passesMiddleton and Babunski: 3 passesWalton and Gallagher: 4 passesWalton and Holt: 4 passesWalton and Dalby: 4 passesHolt and Babunski: 4 passesStrain and Dalby: 4 passesDalby and Babunski: 4 passesGallagher and Strain: 5 passesFerry and Dalby: 5 passesMiddleton and Dalby: 5 passesGallagher and Stephenson: 6 passesAdegboyega and Stephenson: 7 passesGallagher and Holt: 7 passesFerry and Babunski: 7 passesStrain and Middleton: 8 passesFerry and Sevelj: 8 passesAdegboyega and Gallagher: 9 passesStrain and Stephenson: 9 passesAdegboyega and Strain: 10 passesHolt and Ferry: 10 passesAdegboyega and Sevelj: 11 passesWalton: 11 completed passesAdegboyega: 25 completed passesGallagher: 22 completed passesHolt: 14 completed passesStrain: 19 completed passesFerry: 19 completed passesSevelj: 22 completed passesStephenson: 17 completed passesMiddleton: 11 completed passesDalby: 10 completed passesBabunski: 11 completed passes116314211517151910WaltonAdegboyegaGallagherHoltStrainFerrySeveljStephensonMiddletonDalbyBabunskiStarters until 60' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

St. Mirren

Balcombe and Taylor: 3 passesBalcombe and Tanser: 3 passesGogic and Fraser: 3 passesGogic and Phillips: 3 passesGogic and McMenamin: 3 passesGogic and Olusanya: 3 passesFraser and Tanser: 3 passesFraser and O'Hara: 3 passesBwomono and Kiltie: 3 passesTaylor and Phillips: 4 passesTanser and Phillips: 4 passesTanser and Kiltie: 4 passesPhillips and Olusanya: 4 passesO'Hara and McMenamin: 4 passesTaylor and Tanser: 5 passesFraser and Olusanya: 5 passesBwomono and Phillips: 5 passesPhillips and McMenamin: 5 passesGogic and Taylor: 6 passesTaylor and O'Hara: 6 passesFraser and Phillips: 7 passesFraser and McMenamin: 7 passesFraser and Bwomono: 8 passesTanser and O'Hara: 8 passesPhillips and O'Hara: 9 passesBwomono and McMenamin: 10 passesBalcombe: 6 completed passesGogic: 19 completed passesTaylor: 17 completed passesFraser: 26 completed passesBwomono: 14 completed passesTanser: 13 completed passesPhillips: 28 completed passesO'Hara: 19 completed passesMcMenamin: 12 completed passesOlusanya: 5 completed passesKiltie: 5 completed passes113522423886102011BalcombeGogicTaylorFraserBwomonoTanserPhillipsO'HaraMcMenaminOlusanyaKiltieStarters until 64' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

FromToPasses
HoltFerry8
WaltonDalby7
StephensonStrain7
AdegboyegaStrain7
StrainAdegboyega7

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
PhillipsBwomono8
O'HaraTanser7
O'HaraPhillips7
O'HaraTaylor7
BwomonoFraser6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

9+5.013+5.331+12.76−4.35−1.614+8.77+0.511+5.213+5.513+5.85−1.05+0.52−1.94−1.96+0.12−1.42−0.90−2.41−1.61−2.53+0.50−1.50−0.91−0.10−1.80−1.10−0.20−0.90−0.40−0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 13 matches

St. Mirren

3−1.83−4.07−0.62−3.33−4.84−2.05+0.64−2.03−6.23−3.45+0.92−2.12−2.46−0.59+5.47+3.63+0.43+0.54−0.23+0.81−0.81+0.10−0.72+0.10−0.50−0.52+1.00−0.41+0.56−9.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 14 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee United

0.010.030.010.030.010.020.040.080.040.010.010.020.050.010.07−0.020.060.010.010.010.050.18LessMore

St. Mirren

0.020.010.010.010.010.020.040.070.010.020.040.070.010.060.02−0.010.10−0.04−0.02−0.050.030.140.19LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackDundee United1.15 → 1.21St. Mirren1.15 → 1.11Defence (lower is better)Dundee United1.44 → 1.39St. Mirren1.41 → 1.46

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee United
Top six66%76%+10
11th3%2%−1
Bottom2%1%−1
St. Mirren
Top six49%39%−10
11th6%7%+1
Bottom3%4%+1

From the forecast before the match (30 November 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee UnitedSt. Mirren
Expected goals1.421.11
Win44%29%
Expected Points1.591.14
Clean sheet33%24%

Dundee United 44%Draw 28%St. Mirren 29%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 51%.

St. Mirren goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+9%8%5%2%7%3%8%9%5%2%4%4%2%1%2%11%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 30 November 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee United winDrawSt. Mirren win
Dundee United
Top six66%76%64%54%
11th3%2%4%5%
Bottom2%1%2%3%
St. Mirren
Top six49%39%50%62%
11th6%7%6%3%
Bottom3%4%3%1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

  1. D1–123 NovRangers (A)xG 0.78–2.60
  2. W3–09 NovRoss County (H)xG 1.93–0.89
  3. D1–13 NovHibernian (A)xG 1.31–1.09
  4. L1–230 OctMotherwell (H)xG 1.43–1.06
  5. L0–126 OctAberdeen (A)xG 0.38–1.41
  6. W3–219 OctHibernian (H)xG 1.79–0.71

St. Mirren

  1. W2–123 NovAberdeen (H)xG 1.56–1.38
  2. W2–19 NovHibernian (A)xG 2.18–2.28
  3. D0–02 NovRoss County (H)xG 1.25–0.71
  4. W3–130 OctSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.93–0.73
  5. L1–227 OctRangers (A)xG 0.63–2.29
  6. L0–419 OctHearts (A)xG 0.24–1.73

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee UnitedSt. Mirren
Position4th6th
Played1314
Won, drawn, lost5–⁠5–⁠35–⁠3–⁠6
Points20 (1.54 per game)18 (1.29 per game)
Expected Points per game1.251.22
Goals19–⁠1419–⁠23
xG per game1.30–⁠1.461.21–⁠1.47
Home: points, xG per game1.67, 1.35–⁠1.271.75, 1.11–⁠1.10
Away: points, xG per game1.43, 1.25–⁠1.620.67, 1.34–⁠1.95
ManagerJim Goodwin (25)Stephen Robinson (47)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackDundee United1.15, 9thSt. Mirren1.15, 10thDefence (lower is better)Dundee United1.44, 9thSt. Mirren1.41, 7th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDundee United attack: 1.15St. Mirren attack: 1.151.151.15St. MirrenDundee UnitedDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDundee United defence: 1.44St. Mirren defence: 1.411.441.41

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee UnitedSt. Mirren
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−6%+10%−32%−1%
Counter-attacks+46%−42%−5%+13%
Set pieces−29%+9%+8%+5%
Penalties−3%−3%+35%+35%
Headers+14%+25%−6%−15%
Left side−18%+18%−20%−8%
Centre+5%+8%−26%−7%
Right side−25%−17%−3%+36%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−18%+36%Centre+5%−7%Right side−25%−8%Open play−6%−1%Counter-attacks+46%+13%Set pieces−29%+5%Headers+14%−15%

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdDundee United concededLeft side−20%−17%Centre−26%+8%Right side−3%+18%Open play−32%+10%Counter-attacks−5%−42%Set pieces+8%+9%Headers−6%+25%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedSt. Mirren

1.30xG1.21
1.46xG against1.47
43%Possession42%
10.7Shots11.7
14.1Shots against12.1
3.4Shots on target3.8
1.9Big chances2.3
23.1Touches in the opposition box20.5
318Passes302
68%Pass accuracy67%
4.0Corners4.4
42%Field tilt38%
29.9Final-third entries29.1
9.8Box entries9.3
14.7Passes per defensive action16.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level511.221.44
Ahead221.221.82
Behind181.611.08

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level441.211.21
Ahead231.301.85
Behind231.111.60

xG by period

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.111–1
16–300.240.233–3
31–450.190.272–1
46–600.210.203–2
61–750.170.322–4
76–900.330.338–3

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.273–5
16–300.170.195–3
31–450.430.195–3
46–600.250.152–4
61–750.110.280–4
76–900.160.404–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTWalton 13Adegboyega 11Dalby 1Gallagher 13Holt 8Graham 6Stephenson 8Strain 3Sevelj 2Sibbald 7Sevelj 3Holt 2Babunski 7Ferry 4Docherty 2Ferry 8Stephenson 2Babunski 1Middleton 5Sevelj 4Babunski 3Trapanovski 7Dalby 1Ferry 1Dalby 6van der Sande 6Babunski 13-4-2-1 in 7 of 13 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (7), 3-4-3 (4), 4-4-2 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

St. Mirren

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTBalcombe 14Fraser 12Kiltie 1Idowu 1Gogic 13Iacovitti 2Taylor 9Dunne 4Bwomono 6Rooney 6Fraser 2Phillips 11Adeniran 2Boyd-Mun… 7Boyd-MunceScott 3McMena… 2McMenaminO'Hara 12Idowu 3Gogic 1Tanser 10Brown 3Taylor 1Olusanya 14van Veen 2Scott 1Kiltie 5Mandron 4Ayunga 23-5-2 in 6 of 14 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (6), 3-4-3 (5), 4-3-3 (2), 3-1-4-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
5 October 2024St. Mirren0–1Dundee UnitedxG 1.07–0.97
18 March 2023Dundee United1–1St. MirrenxG 1.12–1.75
22 October 2022St. Mirren2–1Dundee UnitedxG 1.29–0.70
20 August 2022Dundee United0–3St. MirrenxG 1.25–1.84
19 March 2022St. Mirren1–2Dundee UnitedxG 0.34–1.51
18 January 2022Dundee United1–2St. MirrenxG 1.49–1.46

11 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 3, St. Mirren won 4, and 4 were drawn. Goals 9–15 and xG 1.16–1.35 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Trapanovski7531110.360.20
Dalby8715500.450.05
Babunski12955110.150.15
Stephenson11952320.160.13

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Olusanya141,010500.400.01
O'Hara121,054220.160.13
Kiltie6460000.190.08
Phillips11867110.160.08

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.