Matches › 2022/23

Celtic 4–1 St. Johnstone

Saturday 24 December 2022, 12:30 · Celtic Park · Round 18 · Half-time 3–0 · Referee Kevin Clancy · Attendance 58,635

Celtic Hatate 14', 52', Furuhashi 17', 40' · Turnbull sent off 90+6'

St. Johnstone Wright 67'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Celtic	St. Johnstone
Goals	4	1
xG	2.89	1.03
Expected Points	2.48	0.37

Celtic 78%Draw 15%St. Johnstone 7%

Most likely score 3–1, 12%. Final score 4–1, 8%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticSt. Johnstone

2.89 +0.42xG1.03 +0.15

3.75 +1.19xG on target1.00 +0.10

20 +0.2Shots7 −2.9

10 +2.3Shots on target3 −0.1

6 +2.8Big chances3 +1.8

50 +8Touches in the opposition box7 −9

76% +5Possession24% −19

820 +192Passes263 −68

92% +5Pass accuracy70% +4

90% +9Field tilt10% −25

109 +29Final-third entries19 −8

34 +9.2Box entries3 −4.7

7.5 −2Passes per defensive action34.5 +18

9 +1.2Corners1 −2.2

14 +1Tackles17 0

12 +5.2Interceptions11 −0.1

7 −7Clearances19 −8

2 +0.4Saves6 +3.6

12 +1Fouls4 −7

2 −0.6Offsides2 +0.8

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Celtic

St. Johnstone

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticSt. Johnstone

2.60 17 shots, 4 goalsOpen play0.96 5 shots, 1 goal

0.09 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

0.20 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.07 2 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–02–03–04–04–1

Level: 14 min (14%) · Celtic 0.40, St. Johnstone 0.04 xG
Celtic ahead: 85 min (86%) · Celtic 2.48, St. Johnstone 0.99 xG

Line-ups

Celtic substitutes

63' Jota for Maeda
63' Abada for Forrest
63' Haksabanovic for O'Riley
68' Giakoumakis for Furuhashi
79' Turnbull for Mooy · red card 90+6'

St. Johnstone substitutes

62' Mitchell for Hallberg
62' MacPherson for Phillips
62' McLennan for Clark
79' Crawford for Carey
87' Bair for May

Players

Celtic

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Hart	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	0
Hatate	RB	90	2		0.43	0.24	1	0.22	10	2
Carter-Vickers	CB	90			0.00	0.03	0	0.14	14	5
Starfelt	CB	90			0.05	0.05	1	0.23	12	7
Taylor	LB	90			0.00	0.30	1	0.28	19	2
O'Riley	CM	63		1	0.19	0.68	1	0.16	7	4
McGregor	CM	90		1	0.11	0.22	3	0.28	16	4
Mooy	CM	79		1	0.03	0.12	3	−0.08	6	0
Forrest	RW	63		1	0.22	0.68	2	0.31	12	2
Furuhashi	ST	68	2		1.14	0.01	0	0.16	1	2
Maeda	LW	63			0.00	0.10	1	0.12	6	3
Jota	FW	27			0.13	0.14	1	−0.03	3	1
Abada	FW	27			0.24	0.79	3	0.29	4	1
Haksabanovic	FW	27			0.00	0.05	0	0.02	4	0
Giakoumakis	FW	22			0.34	0.02	0	0.00	0	1
Turnbull	MF	11			0.00	0.10	2	0.04	3	1

St. Johnstone

Player	Pos	Min	G	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Matthews	GK	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	1
Wright	RWB	90	1	0.80	0.01	0	0.03	5	6
McGowan	CB	90		0.00	0.01	1	0.01	0	10
Gordon	CB	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.03	2	6
Considine	CB	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.03	4	6
Brown	LWB	90		0.00	0.01	0	0.03	2	6
Carey	CM	79		0.04	0.08	1	0.00	1	2
Phillips	CM	62		0.00	0.00	0	−0.02	0	2
Hallberg	CM	62		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	4
Clark	ST	62		0.00	0.02	0	0.01	1	2
May	ST	87		0.17	0.01	1	0.00	2	0
Mitchell	DF	28		0.00	0.01	1	0.04	2	2
MacPherson	MF	28		0.03	0.00	0	0.02	1	2
McLennan	MF	28		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	1	1
Crawford	MF	11		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Bair	FW	3		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

St. Johnstone

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

From	To	Passes
Starfelt	Carter-Vickers	40
Starfelt	Taylor	37
Carter-Vickers	Starfelt	35
Taylor	Starfelt	30
Carter-Vickers	Hatate	27

St. Johnstone

From	To	Passes
Phillips	Considine	7
Carey	Considine	6
McGowan	Wright	6
Considine	Carey	5
Wright	McGowan	5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

Against its average of 17 matches

St. Johnstone

Against its average of 17 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

St. Johnstone

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Celtic
Title	91%	92%	+1
St. Johnstone
Top six	53%	50%	−3
11th	2%	2%	0
Rangers
Title	9%	8%	−1
Motherwell
Top six	24%	24%	0
11th	6%	6%	0
Bottom	2%	2%	0

From the forecast before the match (24 December 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Celtic	St. Johnstone
Expected goals	2.84	0.46
Win	86%	4%
Expected Points	2.68	0.22
Clean sheet	63%	6%

Celtic 86%Draw 11%St. Johnstone 4%

Most likely score 2–0, 15%. Both sides score 35%.

From the forecast as it stood on 24 December 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Celtic win	Draw	St. Johnstone win
Celtic
Title	91%	92%	87%	80%
St. Johnstone
Top six	53%	50%	62%	74%
11th	2%	2%	1%	1%
Rangers
Title	9%	8%	13%	20%
Motherwell
Top six	24%	24%	22%	17%
11th	6%	6%	7%	6%
Bottom	2%	2%	2%	4%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Celtic

St. Johnstone

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Celtic	St. Johnstone
Position	1st	5th
Played	17	17
Won, drawn, lost	16–⁠0–⁠1	7–⁠3–⁠7
Points	48 (2.82 per game)	24 (1.41 per game)
Expected Points per game	2.45	1.18
Goals	53–⁠14	21–⁠22
xG per game	2.47–⁠0.62	0.88–⁠1.11
Home: points, xG per game	3.00, 2.44–⁠0.53	1.38, 0.82–⁠0.92
Away: points, xG per game	2.67, 2.50–⁠0.69	1.44, 0.93–⁠1.28
Manager	Ange Postecoglou (55)	Callum Davidson (93)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Celtic		St. Johnstone
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	+131%	−66%	−28%	+1%
Counter-attacks	+134%	−99%	−57%	−100%
Set pieces	+55%	−43%	−37%	−14%
Penalties	−68%	+28%	−36%	−68%
Headers	+80%	−49%	−47%	+14%
Left side	+58%	−49%	−35%	−17%
Centre	+169%	−65%	−24%	−17%
Right side	+83%	−71%	−36%	+23%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side+58%+23%Centre+169%−17%Right side+83%−17%Open play+131%+1%Counter-attacks+134%−100%Set pieces+55%−14%Headers+80%+14%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdCeltic concededLeft side−35%−71%Centre−24%−65%Right side−36%−49%Open play−28%−66%Counter-attacks−57%−99%Set pieces−37%−43%Headers−47%−49%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticSt. Johnstone

2.47xG0.88

0.62xG against1.11

71%Possession43%

19.8Shots9.9

6.5Shots against14.3

7.7Shots on target3.1

3.2Big chances1.2

41.5Touches in the opposition box16.1

628Passes331

86%Pass accuracy66%

7.8Corners3.2

81%Field tilt35%

80.1Final-third entries26.8

24.8Box entries7.7

10.0Passes per defensive action16.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	30	2.61	0.47
Ahead	56	2.39	0.67
Behind	4	2.63	0.97

St. Johnstone

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	42	0.93	1.09
Ahead	24	0.71	0.88
Behind	24	0.93	1.39

xG by period

Celtic

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.43	0.10	11–1
16–30	0.26	0.07	3–0
31–45	0.43	0.14	10–4
46–60	0.40	0.15	8–5
61–75	0.28	0.08	5–1
76–90	0.68	0.08	16–3

St. Johnstone

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.08	0.18	3–1
16–30	0.19	0.12	3–2
31–45	0.13	0.17	3–7
46–60	0.14	0.15	1–2
61–75	0.10	0.21	3–2
76–90	0.25	0.29	8–8

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

Formations: 4-3-3 (15), 4-2-3-1 (2)

St. Johnstone

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (6), 5-3-2 (5), 3-4-1-2 (4), 3-1-4-2 (2)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
8 October 2022	St. Johnstone	1–2	Celtic	xG 0.43–1.66
9 April 2022	Celtic	7–0	St. Johnstone	xG 4.73–0.06
26 December 2021	St. Johnstone	1–3	Celtic	xG 0.26–2.57
23 October 2021	Celtic	2–0	St. Johnstone	xG 2.70–0.13
12 May 2021	Celtic	4–0	St. Johnstone	xG 2.22–1.53
14 February 2021	St. Johnstone	1–2	Celtic	xG 0.30–1.44

8 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 7, St. Johnstone won 0, and 1 was a draw. Goals 23–4 and xG 2.35–0.58 per game.

Key players

Celtic

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Abada	6	739	7	3	0.70	0.46
Furuhashi	13	942	11	1	0.94	0.04
Giakoumakis	4	601	6	1	0.84	0.07
Haksabanovic	5	465	3	1	0.18	0.59

St. Johnstone

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Clark	11	931	4	0	0.32	0.03
May	10	941	3	4	0.19	0.13
Carey	11	940	3	0	0.24	0.06
Wright	16	1,379	2	0	0.11	0.05

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.