Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
St. JohnstoneKilmarnock
1.02 −0.14xG0.45 −0.96
1.25 +0.25xG on target0.67 −0.39
10 −1Shots12 −1
4 +0.7Shots on target1 −2.2
2 +0.6Big chances0 −2.0
21 +4Touches in the opposition box22 +2
51% −3Possession49% +7
389 −48Passes345 +45
72% −4Pass accuracy67% +1
47% −2Field tilt53% +14
27 −11Final-third entries38 +7
8 −1.2Box entries9 −0.3
14.3 0Passes per defensive action13.7 −2
4 −0.7Corners14 +9.3
14 0Tackles14 −1
3 −5.4Interceptions3 −5.1
62 +34Clearances45 +16
1 −1.5Saves4 +1.0
11 0Fouls10 −1
1 −0.5Offsides0 −1.5
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
St. Johnstone
Kilmarnock
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
53'
0–01–0
0'HTFT
Level
53 min (57%) · St. Johnstone 0.44, Kilmarnock 0.22 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
40 min (43%) · St. Johnstone 0.58, Kilmarnock 0.23 xG
Line-ups
St. Johnstone substitutes
61'Neilson for Carey
61'Sidibeh for Clark
76'Cameron for Mikulic
76'Essel for Kirk
Kilmarnock substitutes
46'Murray for Watson
69'Anderson for Watkins
69'Mackay-Steven for Armstrong
89'McKenzie for Lyons
89'Cameron for Wright
Players
St. Johnstone
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Rae
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
2
1
Wright
RB
90
0.05
0.19
1
0.07
6
7
Sanders
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.04
7
18
Mikulic
CB
76
0.00
0.00
0
0.04
3
17
Raymond
LB
90
1
0.00
0.07
1
0.19
5
4
Carey
CM
61
0.03
0.26
2
0.25
5
7
Sprangler
CM
90
0.00
0.02
0
0.03
4
15
Holt
CM
90
0.00
0.19
2
0.03
2
2
Clark
AM
61
0.00
0.02
0
−0.01
1
3
Kirk
ST
76
1
0.35
0.01
0
−0.02
1
3
Kimpioka
ST
90
0.06
0.03
2
−0.01
2
1
Neilson
DF
29
0.00
0.02
0
0.05
1
5
Sidibeh
FW
29
0.51
0.01
0
0.03
1
0
Cameron
DF
14
0.01
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Essel
MF
14
0.00
0.01
0
0.00
1
2
Kilmarnock
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
McCrorie
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.06
7
1
Ndaba
RB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.00
3
3
Wright
CB
89
0.05
0.05
0
0.02
3
13
Mayo
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.03
5
11
Deas
LB
90
0.06
0.02
1
0.10
10
12
Armstrong
RM
69
0.03
0.27
3
0.05
3
2
Donnelly
CM
84
0.07
0.11
0
0.04
6
5
Watson
CM
46
0.00
0.05
1
−0.08
0
0
Lyons
LM
89
0.02
0.09
0
0.04
2
3
Vassell
ST
90
0.08
0.02
0
0.04
3
5
Watkins
ST
69
0.11
0.01
0
0.04
0
1
Murray
MF
44
0.03
0.04
1
0.06
7
3
Anderson
FW
21
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
Mackay-Steven
FW
21
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
0
2
McKenzie
MF
1
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
Cameron
FW
1
0.00
0.00
0
–
–
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
St. Johnstone
Kilmarnock
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
St. Johnstone
From
To
Passes
Wright
Sanders
9
Raymond
Mikulic
8
Holt
Raymond
8
Sanders
Rae
7
Sprangler
Wright
7
Kilmarnock
From
To
Passes
Mayo
Deas
11
Deas
Ndaba
9
Deas
Murray
9
Lyons
Armstrong
8
Mayo
McCrorie
8
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
St. Johnstone
Against its average of 13 matches
Kilmarnock
Against its average of 12 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
St. Johnstone
Kilmarnock
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
St. Johnstone
Top six
6%
10%
+4
11th
22%
20%
−2
Bottom
27%
18%
−9
Kilmarnock
Top six
48%
37%
−11
11th
4%
6%
+2
Bottom
3%
4%
+1
Ross County
Top six
6%
7%
+1
11th
22%
20%
−2
Bottom
30%
32%
+2
Hibernian
Top six
15%
16%
+1
11th
14%
15%
+1
Bottom
13%
15%
+2
From the forecast before the match (23 November 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
St. Johnstone
Kilmarnock
Expected goals
1.25
1.28
Win
35%
36%
Expected Points
1.34
1.37
Clean sheet
28%
29%
St. Johnstone 35%Draw 28%Kilmarnock 36%
Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 52%.
From the forecast as it stood on 23 November 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
St. Johnstone win
Draw
Kilmarnock win
St. Johnstone
Top six
6%
10%
5%
3%
11th
22%
20%
22%
24%
Bottom
27%
18%
28%
35%
Kilmarnock
Top six
48%
37%
47%
58%
11th
4%
6%
5%
3%
Bottom
3%
4%
3%
1%
Ross County
Top six
6%
7%
6%
6%
11th
22%
20%
24%
23%
Bottom
30%
32%
29%
28%
Hibernian
Top six
15%
16%
15%
13%
11th
14%
15%
14%
14%
Bottom
13%
15%
14%
11%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
St. Johnstone
Kilmarnock
Position
10th
8th
Played
13
12
Won, drawn, lost
3–1–9
3–3–6
Points
10 (0.77 per game)
12 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.20
1.27
Goals
16–27
15–25
xG per game
1.16–1.40
1.41–1.55
Home: points, xG per game
0.60, 1.28–1.55
1.00, 1.89–1.64
Away: points, xG per game
0.88, 1.08–1.30
1.00, 1.06–1.49
Manager
Simo Valakari (6)
Derek McInnes (88)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
St. Johnstone
Kilmarnock
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−19%
+22%
−3%
+14%
Counter-attacks
−70%
+22%
−56%
−9%
Set pieces
−14%
−14%
+49%
+1%
Penalties
+38%
−100%
−50%
+50%
Headers
−35%
+21%
+21%
−34%
Left side
−17%
+29%
−4%
−7%
Centre
−18%
+7%
+9%
+16%
Right side
−36%
+2%
+13%
+7%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Matchups
St. Johnstone attacking
St. Johnstone createdKilmarnock concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−17%+7%Centre−18%+16%Right side−36%−7%Open play−19%+14%Counter-attacks−70%−9%Set pieces−14%+1%Headers−35%−34%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
St. JohnstoneKilmarnock
1.16xG1.41
1.40xG against1.55
54%Possession42%
10.8Shots13.2
14.0Shots against15.2
3.3Shots on target3.2
1.4Big chances2.0
17.4Touches in the opposition box20.1
437Passes300
76%Pass accuracy66%
4.7Corners4.7
49%Field tilt39%
38.2Final-third entries31.4
9.2Box entries9.3
13.9Passes per defensive action16.1
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
St. Johnstone
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
31
1.36
1.94
Ahead
16
1.60
1.15
Behind
42
0.84
1.10
Kilmarnock
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
42
1.35
1.37
Ahead
10
1.22
2.39
Behind
38
1.51
1.55
xG by period
St. Johnstone
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.14
0.17
2–2
16–30
0.12
0.26
1–5
31–45
0.24
0.25
3–6
46–60
0.18
0.16
2–4
61–75
0.13
0.18
3–3
76–90
0.35
0.38
5–7
Kilmarnock
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.16
0.19
1–2
16–30
0.16
0.23
1–4
31–45
0.24
0.30
2–6
46–60
0.16
0.26
3–3
61–75
0.32
0.27
3–3
76–90
0.36
0.32
5–7
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Digressive Celts