Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Celtic 5–0 Ross County

Saturday 30 November 2024, 15:00 · Celtic Park · Round 14 · Half-time 5–0 · Referee Calum Scott · Attendance 58,436

Celtic Scales 10', McCowan 27', Bernardo 35', McGregor 36', Idah 40'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

CelticRoss County
Goals50
xG3.090.10
Expected Points2.910.05

Celtic 96%Draw 4%Ross County <1%

Most likely score 3–0, 23%. Final score 5–0, 10%.

Ross County goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+3%11%1%2%2%2%10%1%6%20%23%18%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

012340153045607590HTYang on for Maeda, 46'Engels on for McGregor and Ralston on for Johnston, 61'Hatate on for McCowan, 70'Taylor on for Valle, 80'Hamilton on for Laidlaw, 45+3'Efete on for Brown and Allardice on for White, 46'Loturi on for Chilvers, 61'Samuel on for Hale, 73'Scales 10'McCowan 27'Bernardo 35'McGregor 36'Idah 40'Celtic 3.09Ross County 0.10012340153045607590HTYang on for Maeda, 46'Engels on for McGregor and Ralston on for Johnston, 61'Hatate on for McCowan, 70'Taylor on for Valle, 80'Hamilton on for Laidlaw, 45+3'Efete on for Brown and Allardice on for White, 46'Loturi on for Chilvers, 61'Samuel on for Hale, 73'Scales 10'McCowan 27'Bernardo 35'McGregor 36'Idah 40'3.090.10CelticRoss County

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticRoss County

3.09 +0.36xG0.10 −0.84
3.56 +0.67xG on target0.01 −0.79
25 +4Shots2 −9
9 +1.3Shots on target1 −2.2
6 +1.0Big chances0 −1.1
39 0Touches in the opposition box7 −8
76% +3Possession24% −16
757 +40Passes243 −62
90% +2Pass accuracy66% 0
89% +8Field tilt11% −26
86 +12Final-third entries17 −14
24 +2.6Box entries4 −2.9
9.0 0.0Passes per defensive action67.3 +51.6
19 +10.3Corners0 −3.8
13 −2Tackles11 −6
4 −2.9Interceptions7 −4.6
15 −3Clearances57 +23
1 −1.2Saves4 +1.5
11 +1.4Fouls6 −5.3
0 −1.2Offsides1 0.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Celtic

Valle 59', 0.57 xGIdah 88', 0.26 xGBernardo 45+2', 0.22 xGForrest 34', 0.21 xGScales 55', 0.19 xGBernardo 35', 0.14 xGIdah 67', 0.14 xGIdah 72', 0.14 xGIdah 55', 0.11 xGTaylor 85', 0.10 xGRalston 85', 0.06 xGForrest 68', 0.05 xGScales 75', 0.05 xGYang 89', 0.05 xGForrest 2', 0.03 xGIdah 12', 0.03 xGIdah 36', 0.03 xGMcCowan 40', 0.03 xGValle 42', 0.03 xGEngels 89', 0.03 xGBernardo 35', 0.32 xG, goalScales 10', 0.12 xG, goalMcCowan 27', 0.12 xG, goalIdah 40', 0.04 xG, goalMcGregor 36', 0.02 xG, goal36%1.12 xGSix-yard box: 6 shots, 1.12 xG, 2 goals39%1.20 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 1.20 xG, 0 goals16%0.50 xGWide in the box: 6 shots, 0.50 xG, 1 goal9%0.27 xGEdge of the box: 8 shots, 0.27 xG, 2 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Ross County

Telfer 25', 0.08 xGSamuel 80', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals80%0.08 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.08 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals20%0.02 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticRoss County

2.44 19 shots, 4 goalsOpen play0.10 2 shots, 0 goals
0.05 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.60 5 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
10 min (11%) · Celtic 0.15, Ross County 0.00 xG
Celtic ahead
83 min (89%) · Celtic 2.94, Ross County 0.10 xG

Line-ups

122051114422849938SchmeichelJohnstonCarter-VickersScalesValleMcCowanMcGregorBernardoForrestIdahMaedaGoalGoalGoalGoalGoal61'80'70'61'46'Celtic 4-3-3Brendan Rodgers14193221231610269LaidlawWrightCampbellLeakBrownTelferNisbetHarmonChilversWhiteHaleYellow card45+3'46'61'46'73'Ross County 3-4-1-2Don Cowie

Celtic substitutes

  • 46' Yang for Maeda
  • 61' Ralston for Johnston
  • 61' Engels for McGregor
  • 70' Hatate for McCowan
  • 80' Taylor for Valle

Ross County substitutes

  • 45+3' Hamilton for Laidlaw
  • 46' Efete for Brown
  • 46' Allardice for White
  • 61' Loturi for Chilvers
  • 73' Samuel for Hale

Players

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SchmeichelGK900.000.0000.0300
JohnstonRB610.000.0300.0753
Carter-VickersCB900.000.0200.20106
ScalesCB90110.360.2810.38166
ValleLB800.590.0500.1085
McCowanCM70130.161.0780.1692
McGregorCM6110.020.0200.0221
BernardoCM9010.690.0830.0423
ForrestRW900.280.1510.21131
IdahST9010.750.020−0.1310
MaedaLW460.000.9430.3322
YangFW440.050.0500.0551
RalstonDF290.060.010−0.0110
EngelsMF290.030.2410.0011
HatateMF200.000.0400.0340
TaylorDF100.100.1020.1711

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK450.000.0000.0443
WrightCB900.000.000−0.0109
CampbellCB900.000.0000.00011
LeakCB900.000.0000.03316
Brown RWB460.000.0000.0306
TelferCM900.080.000−0.0108
NisbetCM900.000.000−0.0116
HarmonLWB900.000.000−0.01011
ChilversAM610.000.0100.0023
WhiteST460.000.0300.0002
HaleST730.000.0310.0301
HamiltonGK450.000.0000.0122
EfeteDF440.000.0300.0616
AllardiceMF440.000.0100.0331
LoturiMF290.000.0000.0122
SamuelFW170.020.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

Schmeichel and Valle: 4 passesScales and Idah: 4 passesCarter-Vickers and McGregor: 4 passesMcCowan and McGregor: 4 passesJohnston and Scales: 6 passesScales and Maeda: 6 passesCarter-Vickers and Valle: 6 passesCarter-Vickers and McCowan: 6 passesScales and McCowan: 8 passesValle and McCowan: 8 passesBernardo and McCowan: 8 passesMcCowan and Idah: 8 passesJohnston and Forrest: 9 passesScales and Bernardo: 9 passesJohnston and McCowan: 10 passesValle and McGregor: 11 passesSchmeichel and Carter-Vickers: 12 passesValle and Maeda: 13 passesScales and McGregor: 14 passesCarter-Vickers and Forrest: 14 passesMcCowan and Forrest: 15 passesSchmeichel and Scales: 16 passesValle and Bernardo: 17 passesScales and Carter-Vickers: 26 passesJohnston and Carter-Vickers: 28 passesScales and Valle: 52 passesSchmeichel: 19 completed passesJohnston: 30 completed passesScales: 75 completed passesCarter-Vickers: 51 completed passesValle: 59 completed passesBernardo: 23 completed passesMcCowan: 35 completed passesMcGregor: 19 completed passesForrest: 21 completed passesIdah: 6 completed passesMaeda: 13 completed passes125201128144249938SchmeichelJohnstonScalesCarter-VickersValleBernardoMcCowanMcGregorForrestIdahMaedaStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Ross County

Leak and Telfer: 3 passesBrown and Nisbet: 3 passesBrown and Telfer: 3 passesTelfer and Chilvers: 3 passesWhite and Hale: 3 passesLaidlaw and Campbell: 4 passesLaidlaw and White: 4 passesWright and Leak: 4 passesWright and Telfer: 4 passesLeak and Brown: 4 passesTelfer and Hale: 4 passesBrown and Chilvers: 5 passesLaidlaw: 5 completed passesWright: 5 completed passesCampbell: 10 completed passesLeak: 10 completed passesBrown: 7 completed passesHarmon: 2 completed passesNisbet: 5 completed passesTelfer: 10 completed passesChilvers: 7 completed passesWhite: 3 completed passesHale: 8 completed passes14193216232110269LaidlawWrightCampbellLeakBrownHarmonNisbetTelferChilversWhiteHaleStarters until 45+3' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

FromToPasses
ValleScales45
ScalesValle40
ScalesCarter-Vickers32
Carter-VickersScales27
Carter-VickersForrest21

Ross County

FromToPasses
AllardiceLeak9
WrightLeak5
LeakWright5
LeakHamilton5
ChilversBrown4

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

1−2.00−2.98+3.14+1.24−1.14−1.44−1.15−2.36−1.11−3.23−0.71−1.94−0.94−1.87+3.71−3.13+1.34+0.82−2.28+5.56+4.14+2.42−1.23+1.01−0.60−0.72+0.91−0.22+0.94−6.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 12 matches

Ross County

4−1.712+5.827+7.614+5.13−2.69+1.36−1.612+5.415+8.070.02−3.91−3.44+0.61−3.04−1.84+0.730.01−1.21−2.11−2.22−0.43+1.12+0.80−1.10−2.00−0.90−0.30−0.60−0.10−0.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 14 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

0.010.010.030.030.050.040.070.030.070.040.030.110.040.020.100.180.030.030.11−0.05−0.010.200.240.25LessMore

Ross County

0.010.020.01−0.010.01−0.01−0.01−0.01−0.020.030.020.050.040.05LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackCeltic2.46 → 2.47Ross County1.03 → 1.00Defence (lower is better)Celtic0.74 → 0.73Ross County1.53 → 1.56

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Celtic
Title99%99%0
Ross County
Top six11%10%−1
11th19%19%0
Bottom21%22%+1

From the forecast before the match (30 November 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

CelticRoss County
Expected goals3.290.51
Win89%3%
Expected Points2.750.17
Clean sheet60%4%

Celtic 89%Draw 8%Ross County 3%

Most likely score 3–0, 13%. Both sides score 39%.

Ross County goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+2%1%7%4%1%6%2%7%2%6%1%7%4%7%4%12%13%11%

From the forecast as it stood on 30 November 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowCeltic winDrawRoss County win
Celtic
Title99%99%96%97%
Ross County
Top six11%10%18%25%
11th19%19%16%12%
Bottom21%22%17%8%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Celtic

  1. W4–123 NovHearts (A)xG 3.87–0.85
  2. W2–010 NovKilmarnock (A)xG 2.12–2.22
  3. W2–030 OctDundee FC (H)xG 4.62–0.16
  4. W3–027 OctMotherwell (A)xG 1.45–0.71
  5. D2–219 OctAberdeen (H)xG 3.21–1.10
  6. W2–16 OctRoss County (A)xG 1.51–0.97

Ross County

  1. W2–123 NovMotherwell (H)xG 1.59–0.63
  2. L0–39 NovDundee United (A)xG 0.89–1.93
  3. D0–02 NovSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.71–1.25
  4. D0–030 OctHibernian (H)xG 0.50–0.50
  5. W2–126 OctKilmarnock (H)xG 0.82–0.72
  6. L0–319 OctSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.26–3.16

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

CelticRoss County
Position1st8th
Played1214
Won, drawn, lost11–⁠1–⁠03–⁠6–⁠5
Points34 (2.83 per game)15 (1.07 per game)
Expected Points per game2.441.19
Goals35–⁠412–⁠22
xG per game2.73–⁠0.710.94–⁠1.39
Home: points, xG per game2.60, 3.07–⁠0.651.50, 1.23–⁠0.78
Away: points, xG per game3.00, 2.48–⁠0.760.50, 0.54–⁠2.21
ManagerBrendan Rodgers (50)Don Cowie (29)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackCeltic2.46, 1stRoss County1.03, 12thDefence (lower is better)Celtic0.74, 1stRoss County1.53, 11th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovCeltic attack: 2.46Ross County attack: 1.032.461.03Ross CountyCelticDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovCeltic defence: 0.74Ross County defence: 1.531.530.74

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

CelticRoss County
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+142%−41%−55%+15%
Counter-attacks+183%−36%−33%average
Set pieces−29%−72%−23%−17%
Penalties+58%−47%+81%−55%
Headers−12%−72%−45%+1%
Left side+108%−28%−18%−27%
Centre+90%−55%−51%+21%
Right side+111%−59%−51%+3%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdRoss County concededLeft side+108%+3%Centre+90%+21%Right side+111%−27%Open play+142%+15%Counter-attacks+183%averageSet pieces−29%−17%Headers−12%+1%

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdCeltic concededLeft side−18%−59%Centre−51%−55%Right side−51%−28%Open play−55%−41%Counter-attacks−33%−36%Set pieces−23%−72%Headers−45%−72%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticRoss County

2.73xG0.94
0.71xG against1.39
73%Possession40%
20.5Shots10.7
7.6Shots against13.1
7.7Shots on target3.2
5.0Big chances1.1
39.0Touches in the opposition box14.6
717Passes305
88%Pass accuracy66%
8.7Corners3.8
81%Field tilt37%
74.4Final-third entries30.6
21.4Box entries6.9
9.0Passes per defensive action15.7

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level353.110.85
Ahead522.540.65
Behind31.390.19

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level530.991.08
Ahead180.801.12
Behind200.932.49

xG by period

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.440.082–0
16–300.300.126–0
31–450.460.197–1
46–600.580.147–2
61–750.380.075–0
76–900.580.138–1

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.181–0
16–300.110.251–2
31–450.280.233–4
46–600.080.202–4
61–750.180.181–3
76–900.200.354–9

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWSchmeichel 12Johnston 11Ralston 1Carter-Vickers 7Trusty 7Scales 10Taylor 9Valle 3Engels 7Bernardo 5O'Riley 2McGregor 10Hatate 10McCowan 2Kühn 9Forrest 2Yang 1Furuhashi 9Idah 3Maeda 9Forrest 2Palma 14-3-3 in 11 of 12 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (11), 4-4-1-1 (1)

Ross County

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTLaidlaw 14Wright 14Efete 2Lopata 11Leak 10Nightingale 3Campbell 2Brown 9Efete 3Denholm 1Chilvers 6Denholm 4Campbell 2Randall 13Harmon 3White 2Nisbet 6Allardice 2Loturi 2Campbell 4Harmon 3Nisbet 3White 8Brophy 3Chilvers 2Hale 13Denholm 1Grieves 13-5-2 in 5 of 14 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (5), 3-4-1-2 (4), 4-4-2 (2), 3-4-2-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
6 October 2024Ross County1–2CelticxG 0.97–1.51
27 January 2024Celtic1–0Ross CountyxG 2.02–1.08
4 November 2023Ross County0–3CelticxG 0.26–3.40
5 August 2023Celtic4–2Ross CountyxG 4.15–1.13
2 April 2023Ross County0–2CelticxG 0.40–3.30
12 November 2022Celtic2–1Ross CountyxG 1.88–0.84

14 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 13, Ross County won 1, and 0 were drawn. Goals 35–7 and xG 2.67–0.62 per game.

Key players

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Furuhashi9780531.040.05
Kühn9729560.640.28
Engels7546200.400.33
Hatate10836300.250.23

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Hale131,074500.430.02
White10940200.220.07
Chilvers8652010.110.16
Denholm7609010.040.12

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.