Matches › 2022/23

Dundee United 0–2 Celtic

Sunday 29 January 2023, 16:00 · Tannadice Park · Round 23 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Don Robertson · Attendance 12,448

Celtic Jota 51', Mooy 56' (pen)

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Dundee United	Celtic
Goals	0	2
xG	0.33	2.91
Non-penalty xG	0.33	2.12
Expected Points	0.08	2.86

Dundee United 1%Draw 5%Celtic 94%

Most likely score 0–3, 21%. Final score 0–2, 19%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedCeltic

0.33 −0.50xG2.91 +0.44

0.33Non-penalty xG2.12

0.04 −0.87xG on target1.81 −0.74

4 −6Shots18 −1

2 −1.7Shots on target6 −1.5

0 −0.9Big chances4 +0.5

7 −10Touches in the opposition box35 −6

27% −18Possession73% +2

278 −86Passes784 +141

68% −3Pass accuracy88% +2

15% −30Field tilt85% +5

23 −12Final-third entries103 +22

1 −8.2Box entries25 +0.8

34.8 +17.8Passes per defensive action9.6 0.0

1 −4.0Corners3 −4.8

16 +2Tackles14 0

8 −0.9Interceptions11 +3.2

26 +3Clearances14 −1

4 +0.9Saves2 +0.3

7 −3Fouls12 +2

2 +0.6Offsides0 −2.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Dundee United

Celtic

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedCeltic

0.19 2 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.92 16 shots, 1 goal

0.14 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.21 1 shot, 0 goals

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–00–2

Level: 51 min (53%) · Dundee United 0.07, Celtic 0.98 xG
Celtic ahead: 45 min (47%) · Dundee United 0.26, Celtic 1.93 xG

Line-ups

Dundee United substitutes

60' McGrath for Harkes · yellow card 84'
74' Djoum for Levitt
74' Pawlett for Middleton
74' MacLeod for Fletcher

Celtic substitutes

67' Turnbull for Mooy
67' O'Riley for Hatate
67' Maeda for Jota
82' Haksabanovic for Abada
82' Oh for Furuhashi

Players

Dundee United

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Birighitti	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.03	4	1
Freeman	RWB	90	0.15	0.00	0	0.03	3	7
Smith	CB	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.02	1	11
Edwards	CB	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.02	2	6
McMann	CB	90	0.00	0.06	1	0.03	1	6
Behich	LWB	90	0.00	0.08	0	0.10	6	3
Harkes	CM	60	0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	1
Sibbald	CM	90	0.00	0.01	0	0.01	2	10
Levitt	CM	74	0.00	0.04	1	0.05	1	3
Fletcher	ST	74	0.18	0.02	0	0.03	2	1
Middleton	ST	74	0.00	0.04	1	−0.01	0	1
McGrath	FW	30	0.00	0.00	0	−0.05	0	2
Djoum	MF	16	0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	0
Pawlett	MF	16	0.00	0.02	0	−0.05	1	0
MacLeod	MF	16	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1

Celtic

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Hart	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	1	2
Johnston	RB	90			0.04	0.31	2	0.20	15	4
Carter-Vickers	CB	90			0.00	0.03	0	0.27	17	4
Starfelt	CB	90			0.00	0.02	0	0.18	7	9
Taylor	LB	90			0.02	0.13	3	0.14	4	2
Mooy	CM	67	1	1	0.95	0.14	3	0.11	5	0
McGregor	CM	90			0.00	0.10	1	0.11	3	8
Hatate	CM	67			0.06	0.09	1	0.02	4	1
Abada	RW	82			0.03	0.12	0	0.17	7	2
Furuhashi	ST	82			0.48	0.00	0	−0.01	0	0
Jota	LW	67	1		0.44	0.21	1	0.07	8	1
Turnbull	MF	23			0.00	0.01	0	−0.01	2	0
O'Riley	MF	23			0.08	0.18	2	0.01	3	3
Maeda	FW	23			0.82	0.14	0	0.17	2	3
Haksabanovic	MF	8			0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	0
Oh	FW	8			0.00	0.32	1	0.19	2	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee United

Celtic

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

From	To	Passes
Fletcher	Middleton	7
Smith	Fletcher	5
Levitt	Middleton	5
Freeman	Sibbald	5
McMann	Behich	5

Celtic

From	To	Passes
Starfelt	Carter-Vickers	54
Carter-Vickers	Starfelt	42
Carter-Vickers	Johnston	41
Starfelt	Taylor	32
Johnston	Carter-Vickers	28

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

Against its average of 21 matches

Celtic

Against its average of 22 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee United

Celtic

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Dundee United
Top six	5%	3%	−2
11th	17%	18%	+1
Bottom	13%	14%	+1
Celtic
Title	94%	95%	+1
Rangers
Title	6%	5%	−1
Ross County
11th	27%	27%	0
Bottom	42%	41%	−1

From the forecast before the match (29 January 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Dundee United	Celtic
Expected goals	0.63	2.35
Win	8%	76%
Expected Points	0.40	2.44
Clean sheet	10%	53%

Dundee United 8%Draw 17%Celtic 76%

Most likely score 0–2, 14%. Both sides score 43%.

From the forecast as it stood on 29 January 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Dundee United win	Draw	Celtic win
Dundee United
Top six	5%	13%	6%	3%
11th	17%	12%	15%	18%
Bottom	13%	6%	10%	14%
Celtic
Title	94%	85%	91%	95%
Rangers
Title	6%	15%	9%	5%
Ross County
11th	27%	28%	28%	27%
Bottom	42%	47%	44%	41%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

Celtic

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Dundee United	Celtic
Position	10th	1st
Played	21	22
Won, drawn, lost	5–⁠5–⁠11	20–⁠1–⁠1
Points	20 (0.95 per game)	61 (2.77 per game)
Expected Points per game	0.96	2.41
Goals	25–⁠37	69–⁠17
xG per game	0.83–⁠1.54	2.47–⁠0.67
Home: points, xG per game	1.18, 0.89–⁠1.57	3.00, 2.55–⁠0.54
Away: points, xG per game	0.70, 0.77–⁠1.52	2.55, 2.39–⁠0.80
Manager	Liam Fox (16)	Ange Postecoglou (60)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Dundee United		Celtic
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−35%	+28%	+129%	−60%
Counter-attacks	−14%	+143%	+76%	−80%
Set pieces	−48%	−6%	+58%	−46%
Penalties	−29%	−29%	−55%	+14%
Headers	−44%	+2%	+65%	−39%
Left side	−25%	+57%	+66%	−53%
Centre	−39%	+17%	+156%	−54%
Right side	−47%	average	+75%	−68%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdCeltic concededLeft side−25%−68%Centre−39%−54%Right side−47%−53%Open play−35%−60%Counter-attacks−14%−80%Set pieces−48%−46%Headers−44%−39%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdDundee United concededLeft side+66%averageCentre+156%+17%Right side+75%+57%Open play+129%+28%Counter-attacks+76%+143%Set pieces+58%−6%Headers+65%+2%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedCeltic

0.83xG2.47

1.54xG against0.67

45%Possession71%

10.1Shots19.4

14.8Shots against6.8

3.7Shots on target7.5

0.9Big chances3.5

17.3Touches in the opposition box40.9

364Passes643

70%Pass accuracy87%

5.0Corners7.8

45%Field tilt80%

35.4Final-third entries80.7

9.2Box entries24.2

17.0Passes per defensive action9.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	35	0.69	1.54
Ahead	23	0.81	1.28
Behind	32	1.00	1.73

Celtic

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	28	2.56	0.55
Ahead	57	2.46	0.71
Behind	5	2.14	0.83

xG by period

Dundee United

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.15	0.23	5–5
16–30	0.10	0.16	4–2
31–45	0.15	0.34	3–10
46–60	0.11	0.31	3–9
61–75	0.18	0.17	5–1
76–90	0.13	0.34	5–10

Celtic

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.41	0.09	14–1
16–30	0.24	0.08	5–0
31–45	0.48	0.15	14–4
46–60	0.40	0.17	12–7
61–75	0.26	0.11	6–2
76–90	0.68	0.08	18–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (9), 5-3-2 (3), 4-3-3 (3), 3-4-1-2 (2), 3-5-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

Celtic

Formations: 4-3-3 (20), 4-2-3-1 (2)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
5 November 2022	Celtic	4–2	Dundee United	xG 3.07–1.05
28 August 2022	Dundee United	0–9	Celtic	xG 0.22–5.53
11 May 2022	Dundee United	1–1	Celtic	xG 0.87–1.30
29 January 2022	Celtic	1–0	Dundee United	xG 3.43–0.56
5 December 2021	Dundee United	0–3	Celtic	xG 0.21–4.36
26 September 2021	Celtic	1–1	Dundee United	xG 2.65–0.98

9 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 0, Celtic won 6, and 3 were drawn. Goals 4–23 and xG 0.63–3.02 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Fletcher	14	1,152	4	2	0.39	0.08
Watt	12	1,018	4	1	0.24	0.08
Middleton	16	1,370	2	2	0.12	0.16
McGrath	14	1,178	2	2	0.10	0.13

Celtic

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Abada	8	953	8	3	0.60	0.45
Giakoumakis	4	685	6	1	0.87	0.09
Furuhashi	18	1,310	17	1	0.83	0.03
Forrest	5	469	4	2	0.58	0.26

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.