Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Celtic 1–0 Dundee United

Saturday 29 January 2022, 15:00 · Celtic Park · Round 24 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Euan Anderson · Attendance 58,188

Celtic Abada 90' · Bitton sent off 81'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

CelticDundee United
Goals10
xG3.430.56
Expected Points2.840.10

Celtic 93%Draw 6%Dundee United 2%

Most likely score 3–0, 14%. Final score 1–0, 4%.

Dundee United goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+4%3%7%2%9%2%8%2%8%5%1%5%3%10%14%13%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

012340153045607590HTBitton (Celtic), second yellow card 81'Jota on for Forrest and Juranovic on for Scales, 46'Doak on for Ralston and Taylor on for Hatate, 68'McCarthy on for Giakoumakis, 83'Graham on for McMann, 50'McNulty on for Clark, 62'Pawlett on for Watt and Glass on for Meekison, 79'Abada 90'Celtic 3.43Dundee United 0.56012340153045607590HTBitton (Celtic), second yellow card 81'Jota on for Forrest and Juranovic on for Scales, 46'Doak on for Ralston and Taylor on for Hatate, 68'McCarthy on for Giakoumakis, 83'Graham on for McMann, 50'McNulty on for Clark, 62'Pawlett on for Watt and Glass on for Meekison, 79'Abada 90'3.430.56CelticDundee United

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticDundee United

3.43 +0.90xG0.56 −0.38
3.26 +0.86xG on target0.00 −1.12
21 −1Shots7 −4
8 +1.0Shots on target0 −3.9
6 +2.5Big chances0 −1.2
49 +12Touches in the opposition box9 −7
76% +5Possession24% −23
717 +61Passes239 −140
85% −2Pass accuracy53% −16
89% +9Field tilt11% −36
70 −5Final-third entries15 −21
31 +8.1Box entries4 −3.8
9.5 0Passes per defensive action25.6 +10
14 +4.5Corners2 −2.6
11 −1Tackles17 +3
13 +5.2Interceptions15 +5.0
3 −12Clearances38 +18
0 −1.5Saves7 +4.2
10 −2Fouls7 −5
1 −0.8Offsides2 +0.6

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Celtic

Giakoumakis 65', 0.66 xGO'Riley 40', 0.45 xGGiakoumakis 33', 0.27 xGAbada 89', 0.27 xGAbada 27', 0.22 xGStarfelt 74', 0.21 xGCarter-Vickers 70', 0.14 xGJuranovic 85', 0.13 xGGiakoumakis 71', 0.11 xGGiakoumakis 67', 0.10 xGO'Riley 86', 0.08 xGO'Riley 76', 0.06 xGForrest 10', 0.05 xGO'Riley 48', 0.05 xGO'Riley 37', 0.03 xGCarter-Vickers 45', 0.03 xGRalston 60', 0.03 xGJuranovic 67', 0.03 xGHatate 14', 0.02 xGDoak 90+5', 0.02 xGAbada 90', 0.46 xG, goal22%0.75 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 0.75 xG, 0 goals62%2.14 xGCentral box: 9 shots, 2.14 xG, 1 goal11%0.38 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.38 xG, 0 goals3%0.12 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals1%0.05 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals

Dundee United

Clark 2', 0.18 xGHarkes 82', 0.14 xGClark 6', 0.11 xGClark 42', 0.04 xGNiskanen 78', 0.04 xGSporle 6', 0.03 xGWatt 6', 0.02 xG32%0.18 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.18 xG, 0 goals30%0.17 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals5%0.03 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals32%0.18 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.18 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticDundee United

2.93 15 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.23 3 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.15 2 shots, 0 goals
0.50 6 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.18 2 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
90 min (95%) · Celtic 3.41, Dundee United 0.56 xG
Celtic ahead
5 min (5%) · Celtic 0.02, Dundee United 0.00 xG

Line-ups

155620453364111749HartRalstonCarter-VickersStarfeltScalesO'RileyBittonHatateAbadaGiakoumakisForrestYellow cardSent off, second yellowGoalYellow card68'46'68'83'46'Celtic 4-3-3Ange Postecoglou1201833717192331032SiegristNeilsonButcherMcMannNiskanenMeekisonLevittHarkesSporleClarkWattYellow card50'79'62'79'Dundee United 3-5-2Tam Courts

Celtic substitutes

  • 46' Juranovic for Scales
  • 46' Jota for Forrest · 1 assist
  • 68' Taylor for Hatate
  • 68' Doak for Ralston
  • 83' McCarthy for Giakoumakis

Dundee United substitutes

  • 50' Graham for McMann
  • 62' McNulty for Clark
  • 79' Glass for Meekison · yellow card 90+2'
  • 79' Pawlett for Watt

Players

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
HartGK900.000.0000.0320
RalstonRB680.030.0700.0744
Carter-VickersCB900.170.0300.1576
StarfeltCB900.210.0200.1133
ScalesLB460.000.0500.1180
O'RileyCM900.670.5340.25138
Bitton CM810.000.1000.0752
HatateCM680.020.1810.1042
Abada RW9010.950.3910.2484
GiakoumakisST831.140.0000.0010
ForrestLW460.050.0720.0950
JuranovicDF440.170.2820.3081
JotaFW4410.000.5530.3750
TaylorDF220.000.0110.0450
DoakFW220.020.0810.1240
McCarthyMF70.000.0000.0000

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SiegristGK900.000.0000.0112
NeilsonCB900.000.0000.0219
Butcher CB900.000.0000.02217
McMannCB500.000.0000.0134
NiskanenRWB900.040.0000.0519
MeekisonCM790.000.0000.0104
LevittCM900.000.1010.0434
HarkesCM900.140.0410.0732
SporleLWB900.030.1510.20310
ClarkST620.330.000−0.1613
WattST790.020.0110.0111
GrahamDF400.000.0000.0228
McNultyFW280.000.0000.0102
Glass MF110.000.0100.0200
PawlettMF110.000.000−0.0100

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

Ralston and Starfelt: 5 passesCarter-Vickers and Scales: 6 passesCarter-Vickers and O'Riley: 6 passesStarfelt and Bitton: 7 passesStarfelt and Forrest: 7 passesO'Riley and Abada: 7 passesBitton and Forrest: 7 passesRalston and O'Riley: 8 passesScales and O'Riley: 9 passesO'Riley and Bitton: 9 passesHart and Starfelt: 10 passesHart and Carter-Vickers: 12 passesScales and Bitton: 13 passesBitton and Hatate: 13 passesRalston and Abada: 15 passesHatate and Forrest: 15 passesStarfelt and Hatate: 16 passesRalston and Bitton: 17 passesCarter-Vickers and Bitton: 18 passesScales and Hatate: 20 passesScales and Forrest: 20 passesStarfelt and Scales: 28 passesStarfelt and Carter-Vickers: 31 passesRalston and Carter-Vickers: 32 passesHart: 17 completed passesRalston: 44 completed passesStarfelt: 56 completed passesCarter-Vickers: 59 completed passesScales: 53 completed passesO'Riley: 28 completed passesBitton: 45 completed passesHatate: 34 completed passesAbada: 9 completed passesGiakoumakis: 2 completed passesForrest: 26 completed passes155642053364111749HartRalstonStarfeltCarter-VickersScalesO'RileyBittonHatateAbadaGiakoumakisForrestStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Dundee United

Butcher and McMann: 3 passesNiskanen and Harkes: 3 passesHarkes and Clark: 3 passesMcMann and Harkes: 4 passesSporle and Watt: 4 passesHarkes and Watt: 4 passesMcMann and Watt: 5 passesLevitt and Clark: 5 passesMcMann and Levitt: 6 passesSporle and Harkes: 6 passesMcMann and Sporle: 7 passesSiegrist: 3 completed passesButcher: 5 completed passesMcMann: 20 completed passesNeilson: 5 completed passesNiskanen: 7 completed passesSporle: 9 completed passesHarkes: 11 completed passesMeekison: 2 completed passesLevitt: 10 completed passesClark: 5 completed passesWatt: 6 completed passes1183320732317191032SiegristButcherMcMannNeilsonNiskanenSporleHarkesMeekisonLevittClarkWattStarters until 50' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

FromToPasses
StarfeltCarter-Vickers23
Carter-VickersStarfelt23
Carter-VickersRalston22
StarfeltScales18
RalstonCarter-Vickers18

Dundee United

FromToPasses
McMannSporle6
SporleWatt6
GrahamWatt5
LevittClark4
NiskanenHarkes4

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

5+1.13−1.43−5.40−4.21−4.116+10.37+2.38+4.07+0.97−0.511+6.09+5.04+0.51−4.52−4.03−2.02−1.81−1.34−0.23−2.95+3.06+4.63+1.11−0.93+0.10−0.50−0.52+1.50−0.61+0.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 22 matches

Dundee United

7+2.610+3.731+15.410+1.96−1.07+0.86+0.36+0.611+3.89+1.27+2.150.01−2.80−6.02−4.23−1.72−1.40−2.63−0.56+2.11−1.60−1.62+0.71−0.23+0.70−0.90−0.31+0.51+0.61+0.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 22 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

0.010.020.020.020.030.010.030.060.060.060.050.080.070.090.070.070.08−0.030.030.040.170.240.230.250.26LessMore

Dundee United

0.010.010.010.010.010.010.030.010.020.010.040.010.010.020.010.010.04−0.010.07−0.150.17LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.13AttackCeltic2.01 → 2.02Dundee United0.91 → 0.91Defence (lower is better)Celtic0.72 → 0.73Dundee United1.30 → 1.30

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Celtic
Title42%44%+2
Dundee United
Top six27%25%−2
11th3%3%0
Bottom1%1%0
Rangers
Title58%56%−2
Motherwell
Top six77%78%+1

From the forecast before the match (29 January 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

CelticDundee United
Expected goals2.640.55
Win82%5%
Expected Points2.580.29
Clean sheet58%7%

Celtic 82%Draw 13%Dundee United 5%

Most likely score 2–0, 14%. Both sides score 39%.

Dundee United goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+4%2%6%2%8%2%7%2%8%5%1%4%2%3%2%11%14%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 29 January 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowCeltic winDrawDundee United win
Celtic
Title42%44%35%29%
Dundee United
Top six27%25%34%51%
11th3%3%2%1%
Bottom1%1%<1%<1%
Rangers
Title58%56%65%71%
Motherwell
Top six77%78%75%69%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Celtic

  1. W2–126 JanHearts (A)xG 1.70–1.22
  2. W2–017 JanHibernian (H)xG 2.94–0.57
  3. W3–126 DecSt. Johnstone (A)xG 2.57–0.26
  4. D0–022 DecSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.68–0.29
  5. W2–115 DecRoss County (A)xG 2.72–0.65
  6. W1–012 DecMotherwell (H)xG 2.45–0.75

Dundee United

  1. W2–126 JanRoss County (H)xG 2.96–1.19
  2. L1–218 JanSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.49–1.46
  3. L1–326 DecHibernian (H)xG 0.54–1.80
  4. L0–118 DecRangers (A)xG 0.33–2.27
  5. L0–111 DecLivingston (H)xG 0.87–1.22
  6. L0–35 DecCeltic (H)xG 0.21–4.36

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

CelticDundee United
Position2nd7th
Played2222
Won, drawn, lost16–⁠3–⁠38–⁠4–⁠10
Points51 (2.32 per game)28 (1.27 per game)
Expected Points per game2.441.11
Goals46–⁠1319–⁠26
xG per game2.53–⁠0.620.94–⁠1.39
Home: points, xG per game2.60, 3.09–⁠0.501.50, 1.02–⁠1.44
Away: points, xG per game2.08, 2.07–⁠0.721.00, 0.85–⁠1.33
ManagerAnge Postecoglou (22)Tam Courts (22)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.13AttackCeltic2.01, 1stDundee United0.91, 9thDefence (lower is better)Celtic0.72, 2ndDundee United1.30, 10th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctNovDecJanCeltic attack: 2.01Dundee United attack: 0.912.010.91Dundee UnitedCelticDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctNovDecJanCeltic defence: 0.72Dundee United defence: 1.301.300.72

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

CelticDundee United
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+137%−51%−16%+12%
Counter-attacks+129%−62%average−15%
Set pieces+63%−47%−24%+21%
Penalties+34%−33%−66%+34%
Headers+68%−20%average+20%
Left side+92%−58%−14%average
Centre+164%−46%−14%+31%
Right side+54%−50%−28%−9%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdDundee United concededLeft side+92%−9%Centre+164%+31%Right side+54%averageOpen play+137%+12%Counter-attacks+129%−15%Set pieces+63%+21%Headers+68%+20%

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdCeltic concededLeft side−14%−50%Centre−14%−46%Right side−28%−58%Open play−16%−51%Counter-attacksaverage−62%Set pieces−24%−47%Headersaverage−20%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticDundee United

2.53xG0.94
0.62xG against1.39
71%Possession47%
21.7Shots11.0
6.8Shots against13.6
7.0Shots on target3.9
3.5Big chances1.2
37.4Touches in the opposition box15.9
656Passes379
88%Pass accuracy70%
9.5Corners4.6
80%Field tilt46%
74.6Final-third entries35.7
22.9Box entries7.8
10.0Passes per defensive action15.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level392.300.46
Ahead452.810.79
Behind61.950.39

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level510.841.23
Ahead120.581.44
Behind271.301.67

xG by period

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.360.116–1
16–300.480.0915–3
31–450.460.106–2
46–600.290.096–2
61–750.340.164–4
76–900.610.089–1

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.150–2
16–300.100.131–6
31–450.190.335–4
46–600.150.183–4
61–750.200.295–3
76–900.210.305–7

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWHart 19Bain 2Barkas 1Ralston 15Juranovic 6Welsh 1Carter-Vickers 17Bitton 1Starfelt 18Welsh 8Taylor 8Juranovic 8Scales 3Rogic 11Christie 2Forrest 1McGregor 18Bitton 8McCarthy 4Turnbull 16Hatate 2Johnston 1Abada 14Forrest 2Rogic 2Furuhashi 9Abada 3Ajeti 3Jota 11Forrest 3Furuhashi 34-3-3 in 18 of 22 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (18), 4-1-4-1 (2), 4-3-1-2 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

Dundee United

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMCMLMSTSiegrist 18Carson 4Freeman 13Smith 5Smith 2Edwards 19Neilson 1Smith 1Mulgrew 20McMann 1Butcher 1McMann 15Robson 4Sporle 2Pawlett 11Niskanen 3Chalmers 2Fuchs 16Mochrie 2Levitt 8Butcher 5Glass 5Harkes 18Meekison 2Hoti 2Niskanen 11Pawlett 4Sporle 3Clark 11McNulty 6Appere 24-5-1 in 7 of 22 starts

Formations: 4-5-1 (7), 4-3-3 (4), 4-4-1-1 (4), 4-4-2 (2), 5-3-2 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-3-2-1 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
5 December 2021Dundee United0–3CelticxG 0.21–4.36
26 September 2021Celtic1–1Dundee UnitedxG 2.65–0.98
7 March 2021Dundee United0–0CelticxG 0.51–1.77
30 December 2020Celtic3–0Dundee UnitedxG 2.09–0.95
22 August 2020Dundee United0–1CelticxG 0.29–3.00

5 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 3, Dundee United won 0, and 2 were drawn. Goals 8–1 and xG 2.77–0.59 per game.

Key players

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Furuhashi12949800.810.16
Abada171,467630.470.33
Forrest6505010.560.22
Turnbull181,586540.280.43

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
McNulty6495000.380.09
Clark171,527410.250.07
Pawlett181,538200.140.14
Niskanen141,153130.080.14

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.