Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Celtic 4–2 Dundee United

Saturday 5 November 2022, 15:00 · Celtic Park · Round 14 · Half-time 2–1 · Referee David Dickinson · Attendance 58,696

Celtic Haksabanovic 6', 34', Furuhashi 90', Abada 90+2'

Dundee United Fletcher 12' (pen), Levitt 87'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

CelticDundee United
Goals42
xG3.071.05
Non-penalty xG3.070.26
Expected Points2.600.27

Celtic 82%Draw 13%Dundee United 5%

Most likely score 3–1, 17%. Final score 4–2, 3%.

Dundee United goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+2%2%8%2%4%4%4%5%3%3%2%7%2%4%15%17%13%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

012340153045607590HTTaylor on for Bernabei, 46'Abada on for Haksabanovic and Furuhashi on for Giakoumakis, 65'Forrest on for Jota, 76'Maeda on for Turnbull, 88'Levitt on for Djoum, 64'Middleton on for Fletcher, 71'Watt on for Harkes and Meekison on for McGrath, 76'Haksabanovic 6'Haksabanovic 34'Furuhashi 90'Abada 90+2'Fletcher 12' (pen)Levitt 87'Celtic 3.07Dundee United 1.05012340153045607590HTTaylor on for Bernabei, 46'Abada on for Haksabanovic and Furuhashi on for Giakoumakis, 65'Forrest on for Jota, 76'Maeda on for Turnbull, 88'Levitt on for Djoum, 64'Middleton on for Fletcher, 71'Watt on for Harkes and Meekison on for McGrath, 76'Haksabanovic 6'Haksabanovic 34'Furuhashi 90'Abada 90+2'Fletcher 12' (pen)Levitt 87'3.071.05CelticDundee United

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticDundee United

3.07 +0.46xG1.05 +0.15
3.07Non-penalty xG0.26
3.20 +0.44xG on target1.37 +0.54
24 +6Shots6 −5
12 +4.6Shots on target3 −0.7
4 +0.3Big chances2 +1.2
51 +16Touches in the opposition box8 −15
74% +5Possession26% −22
697 +93Passes243 −134
90% +5Pass accuracy65% −6
88% +12Field tilt12% −35
95 +21Final-third entries18 −21
29 +7Box entries2 −8
11.4 +1Passes per defensive action19.9 +4
11 +3.8Corners2 −4.0
10 −3Tackles24 +10
5 −1.7Interceptions13 +4.1
9 −6Clearances38 +17
0 −2.1Saves8 +4.8
9 −2Fouls9 −1
0 −3.2Offsides1 −0.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Celtic

Giakoumakis 48', 0.29 xGO'Riley 61', 0.18 xGGiakoumakis 19', 0.15 xGTurnbull 45+5', 0.12 xGTurnbull 54', 0.12 xGGiakoumakis 57', 0.12 xGGiakoumakis 45+6', 0.11 xGO'Riley 50', 0.10 xGTurnbull 58', 0.08 xGCarter-Vickers 89', 0.07 xGJota 5', 0.06 xGRalston 34', 0.04 xGGiakoumakis 50', 0.04 xGHaksabanovic 56', 0.03 xGForrest 81', 0.03 xGO'Riley 82', 0.03 xGO'Riley 45+1', 0.02 xGFuruhashi 75', 0.02 xGForrest 85', 0.01 xGJota 4', 0.00 xGFuruhashi 90', 0.56 xG, goalHaksabanovic 6', 0.43 xG, goalAbada 90+2', 0.41 xG, goalHaksabanovic 34', 0.04 xG, goal42%1.29 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 1.29 xG, 2 goals32%0.99 xGCentral box: 10 shots, 0.99 xG, 0 goals18%0.55 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.55 xG, 2 goals8%0.23 xGEdge of the box: 7 shots, 0.23 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Dundee United

Edwards 79', 0.07 xGFletcher 8', 0.06 xGMiddleton 79', 0.05 xGFletcher 39', 0.03 xGLevitt 87', 0.05 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals50%0.13 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals31%0.08 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGEdge of the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals19%0.05 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 1 goal

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticDundee United

2.27 19 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.05 1 shot, 1 goal
0.80 5 shots, 2 goalsSet pieces0.21 4 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
31 min (31%) · Celtic 1.35, Dundee United 0.00 xG
Celtic ahead
70 min (69%) · Celtic 1.72, Dundee United 1.05 xG

Line-ups

156206251433419717HartRalstonCarter-VickersJenzBernabeiTurnbullO'RileyHatateHaksabanovicGiakoumakisJotaYellow cardYellow cardGoalGoal46'88'65'65'76'Celtic 4-3-3Ange Postecoglou121232223101416189BirighittiSmithEdwardsMcMannFreemanHarkesDjoumSibbaldBehichMcGrathFletcherYellow cardGoal76'64'76'71'Dundee United 3-5-1-1Liam Fox

Celtic substitutes

  • 46' Taylor for Bernabei
  • 65' Furuhashi for Giakoumakis · goal 90'
  • 65' Abada for Haksabanovic · goal 90+2', yellow card 90+2'
  • 76' Forrest for Jota
  • 88' Maeda for Turnbull

Dundee United substitutes

  • 64' Levitt for Djoum · goal 87', yellow card 90+5'
  • 71' Middleton for Fletcher
  • 76' Meekison for McGrath
  • 76' Watt for Harkes

Players

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
HartGK900.000.0000.0101
RalstonRB9010.040.6650.4883
Carter-VickersCB900.070.0310.30112
Jenz CB900.000.0100.1251
Bernabei LB460.000.0710.1632
TurnbullCM880.330.1210.0522
O'RileyCM9010.330.4030.31136
HatateCM900.000.1100.0123
HaksabanovicRW6520.500.3420.2282
GiakoumakisST6510.720.0310.0401
JotaLW7610.060.7760.70121
TaylorDF440.000.2330.16111
FuruhashiFW2510.580.0000.1100
Abada FW2510.410.0810.1030
ForrestFW140.030.0300.0230
MaedaFW20.000.0000.0000

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
BirighittiGK900.000.0000.0561
SmithCB900.000.0000.0239
EdwardsCB900.070.0010.12418
McMannCB900.000.0400.04211
Freeman RWB900.000.0000.0105
HarkesCM760.000.0000.0117
DjoumCM640.000.0000.0113
SibbaldCM900.000.0000.0009
BehichLWB9010.000.0110.0435
McGrathAM760.000.0210.0012
FletcherST7110.880.0000.0215
Levitt MF2610.050.0110.0121
MiddletonFW190.050.0300.0530
MeekisonMF140.000.071−0.0201
WattFW140.000.000−0.0102

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

Hart and Bernabei: 4 passesTurnbull and Jota: 4 passesHart and Carter-Vickers: 5 passesRalston and Jenz: 5 passesJenz and O'Riley: 5 passesCarter-Vickers and Bernabei: 5 passesHart and Ralston: 6 passesHart and Jenz: 6 passesJenz and Jota: 6 passesO'Riley and Haksabanovic: 6 passesCarter-Vickers and O'Riley: 7 passesJenz and Hatate: 9 passesBernabei and O'Riley: 9 passesO'Riley and Hatate: 9 passesCarter-Vickers and Turnbull: 10 passesBernabei and Turnbull: 10 passesHatate and Jota: 11 passesRalston and Haksabanovic: 12 passesBernabei and Hatate: 13 passesRalston and Turnbull: 16 passesBernabei and Jota: 16 passesRalston and O'Riley: 19 passesJenz and Bernabei: 24 passesRalston and Carter-Vickers: 30 passesJenz and Carter-Vickers: 31 passesHart: 15 completed passesRalston: 47 completed passesJenz: 49 completed passesCarter-Vickers: 47 completed passesBernabei: 45 completed passesO'Riley: 31 completed passesHatate: 23 completed passesTurnbull: 24 completed passesHaksabanovic: 12 completed passesGiakoumakis: 6 completed passesJota: 19 completed passes156620253341149717HartRalstonJenzCarter-VickersBernabeiO'RileyHatateTurnbullHaksabanovicGiakoumakisJotaStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Dundee United

Smith and Fletcher: 3 passesDjoum and Harkes: 3 passesDjoum and Fletcher: 3 passesSibbald and McGrath: 3 passesSmith and Harkes: 4 passesBehich and Sibbald: 4 passesMcMann and Behich: 5 passesFreeman and Harkes: 5 passesDjoum and Sibbald: 5 passesMcGrath and Fletcher: 5 passesBehich and McGrath: 8 passesBirighitti and Fletcher: 10 passesBirighitti: 11 completed passesEdwards: 4 completed passesMcMann: 7 completed passesSmith: 8 completed passesFreeman: 7 completed passesBehich: 13 completed passesDjoum: 11 completed passesHarkes: 9 completed passesSibbald: 9 completed passesMcGrath: 11 completed passesFletcher: 7 completed passes112322216102314189BirighittiEdwardsMcMannSmithFreemanBehichDjoumHarkesSibbaldMcGrathFletcherStarters until 64' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

FromToPasses
Carter-VickersRalston25
JenzCarter-Vickers22
RalstonO'Riley22
Carter-VickersJenz21
TurnbullRalston20

Dundee United

FromToPasses
BirighittiFletcher10
McMannBehich7
BehichMcGrath5
HarkesFreeman4
DjoumSibbald4

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

6+3.44+0.44−4.84−2.81−4.66+0.82−1.23−1.27+1.06−1.13−1.71−3.25+1.76+0.19+2.08+3.81−1.82−0.210+7.81−4.95+1.45+3.81−1.04+1.51−1.20−1.30−0.80−0.70−1.00−1.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 12 matches

Dundee United

6+1.28+1.627+13.29+2.93−3.59+4.29+4.812+4.610+3.88+2.27+2.810+5.51−2.91−3.58+1.66+1.00−3.40−1.91−2.80−3.11−0.70−1.52+0.91−0.91−0.51+0.50−0.20−0.60−0.50−1.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 13 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

0.010.010.020.020.030.020.020.110.050.040.050.130.120.070.070.130.210.270.110.100.170.250.340.45LessMore

Dundee United

0.010.020.030.010.010.020.010.020.01−0.020.010.010.010.04−0.010.010.02−0.01−0.01−0.020.02−0.01−0.020.020.070.10LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.21AttackCeltic2.32 → 2.34Dundee United0.98 → 0.98Defence (lower is better)Celtic0.65 → 0.66Dundee United1.40 → 1.43

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Celtic
Title76%78%+2
Dundee United
Top six3%2%−1
11th28%29%+1
Bottom23%24%+1
Rangers
Title24%22%−2
Ross County
Top six1%1%0
11th24%24%0
Bottom53%52%−1

From the forecast before the match (5 November 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

CelticDundee United
Expected goals3.210.48
Win89%3%
Expected Points2.750.17
Clean sheet62%4%

Celtic 89%Draw 8%Dundee United 3%

Most likely score 3–0, 14%. Both sides score 37%.

Dundee United goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+3%1%8%4%6%1%7%2%5%1%7%3%7%3%13%14%11%

From the forecast as it stood on 5 November 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowCeltic winDrawDundee United win
Celtic
Title76%78%67%67%
Dundee United
Top six3%2%4%6%
11th28%29%26%21%
Bottom23%24%16%9%
Rangers
Title24%22%33%33%
Ross County
Top six1%1%<1%1%
11th24%24%20%21%
Bottom53%52%58%61%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Celtic

  1. W3–030 OctLivingston (A)xG 2.47–0.24
  2. W4–322 OctHearts (A)xG 2.82–2.90
  3. W6–115 OctHibernian (H)xG 2.74–0.44
  4. W2–18 OctSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.66–0.43
  5. W2–11 OctMotherwell (H)xG 3.50–0.35
  6. L0–218 SepSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.18–0.82

Dundee United

  1. L0–129 OctMotherwell (H)xG 0.75–0.92
  2. L1–222 OctSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.70–1.29
  3. D1–115 OctRoss County (A)xG 1.64–0.35
  4. W1–011 OctHibernian (H)xG 0.56–1.31
  5. W4–08 OctAberdeen (H)xG 2.25–0.89
  6. L1–21 OctSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.30–0.72

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

CelticDundee United
Position1st11th
Played1213
Won, drawn, lost11–⁠0–⁠12–⁠3–⁠8
Points33 (2.75 per game)9 (0.69 per game)
Expected Points per game2.451.03
Goals42–⁠911–⁠26
xG per game2.61–⁠0.650.90–⁠1.66
Home: points, xG per game3.00, 2.51–⁠0.420.86, 0.98–⁠1.73
Away: points, xG per game2.57, 2.68–⁠0.810.50, 0.81–⁠1.58
ManagerAnge Postecoglou (50)Liam Fox (8)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.21AttackCeltic2.32, 1stDundee United0.98, 8thDefence (lower is better)Celtic0.65, 1stDundee United1.40, 11th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctNovCeltic attack: 2.32Dundee United attack: 0.982.320.98Dundee UnitedCelticDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctNovCeltic defence: 0.65Dundee United defence: 1.401.400.65

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

CelticDundee United
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+140%−59%−30%+37%
Counter-attacks+89%−100%−14%+276%
Set pieces+71%−32%−39%+4%
Penalties−47%+7%−1%−51%
Headers+78%−37%−48%−7%
Left side+51%−38%−14%+69%
Centre+205%−59%−36%+37%
Right side+65%−67%−42%+12%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdDundee United concededLeft side+51%+12%Centre+205%+37%Right side+65%+69%Open play+140%+37%Counter-attacks+89%+276%Set pieces+71%+4%Headers+78%−7%

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdCeltic concededLeft side−14%−67%Centre−36%−59%Right side−42%−38%Open play−30%−59%Counter-attacks−14%−100%Set pieces−39%−32%Headers−48%−37%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticDundee United

2.61xG0.90
0.65xG against1.66
69%Possession48%
18.2Shots11.0
7.5Shots against15.0
7.4Shots on target3.7
3.7Big chances0.8
34.7Touches in the opposition box22.6
604Passes377
86%Pass accuracy71%
7.2Corners6.0
76%Field tilt47%
73.8Final-third entries39.2
21.8Box entries10.3
10.1Passes per defensive action15.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level252.890.50
Ahead612.510.67
Behind52.371.18

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level360.711.71
Ahead140.971.29
Behind401.051.74

xG by period

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.480.069–0
16–300.260.092–0
31–450.490.178–3
46–600.400.148–4
61–750.300.113–1
76–900.680.0812–1

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.110.271–4
16–300.070.200–1
31–450.190.413–7
46–600.120.312–7
61–750.250.203–1
76–900.160.272–6

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWHart 12Juranovic 7Ralston 5Carter-Vickers 10Welsh 4Jenz 8Starfelt 2Taylor 9Bernabéi 3O'Riley 11Mooy 4McGregor 8Haksabanovic 1Hatate 8Turnbull 4Abada 4Forrest 3Jota 3Furuhashi 9Giakoumakis 3Maeda 5Jota 5Haksabanovic 24-3-3 in 10 of 12 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (10), 4-2-3-1 (2)

Dundee United

GKRWBCBCBCBLWBCMCMCMSTSTEriksson 9Birighitti 4Smith 6Freeman 6Niskanen 1Smith 7Edwards 13Middleton 2Cudjoe 2Graham 6McMann 5Mulgrew 4Behich 7McMann 3McGrath 1McGrath 8Behich 3Middleton 1Harkes 7Sibbald 6Djoum 1Levitt 11Watt 11McGrath 2Anaku 1Fletcher 7Middleton 55-3-2 in 3 of 13 starts

Formations: 5-3-2 (3), 4-3-3 (3), 3-4-1-2 (2), 3-4-2-1 (2), 3-5-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
28 August 2022Dundee United0–9CelticxG 0.22–5.53
11 May 2022Dundee United1–1CelticxG 0.87–1.30
29 January 2022Celtic1–0Dundee UnitedxG 3.43–0.56
5 December 2021Dundee United0–3CelticxG 0.21–4.36
26 September 2021Celtic1–1Dundee UnitedxG 2.65–0.98
7 March 2021Dundee United0–0CelticxG 0.51–1.77

8 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 5, Dundee United won 0, and 3 were drawn. Goals 19–2 and xG 3.02–0.57 per game.

Key players

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Abada4499620.830.35
Furuhashi9625810.990.04
Giakoumakis3468600.810.06
Jota8692550.410.45

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Fletcher7601210.390.11
Watt11876310.240.08
McGrath11921110.100.16
Middleton9776010.140.12

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.