Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Dundee United 0–3 Celtic

Sunday 5 December 2021, 12:00 · Tannadice Park · Round 17 · Half-time 0–2 · Attendance 8,311

Celtic Rogic 19', Turnbull 40', Scales 81'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee UnitedCeltic
Goals03
xG0.214.36
Expected Points0.012.99

Dundee United <1%Draw 1%Celtic 99%

Most likely score 0–4, 20%. Final score 0–3, 16%.

Celtic goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+2%7%2%3%4%4%4%16%20%18%18%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

02460153045607590HTButcher on for Appere, 52'Watson on for Clark, 82'Abada on for Forrest, 46'Bitton on for Rogic, 70'Scales on for Taylor, 75'Rogic 19'Turnbull 40'Scales 81'Celtic 4.36Dundee United 0.2102460153045607590HTButcher on for Appere, 52'Watson on for Clark, 82'Abada on for Forrest, 46'Bitton on for Rogic, 70'Scales on for Taylor, 75'Rogic 19'Turnbull 40'Scales 81'4.360.21Dundee UnitedCeltic

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedCeltic

0.21 −0.69xG4.36 +1.87
0.56 −0.65xG on target3.52 +1.03
6 −4Shots24 +4
2 −2.2Shots on target10 +3.5
0 −1.3Big chances6 +2.1
6 −9Touches in the opposition box58 +23
29% −18Possession71% −1
308 −66Passes744 +73
65% −3Pass accuracy89% 0
20% −28Field tilt80% 0
21 −13Final-third entries84 +9
3 −4.4Box entries31 +9.1
36.8 +22.4Passes per defensive action10.7 +1.2
1 −3.8Corners12 +2.8
17 +3Tackles12 0
15 +5.4Interceptions10 +2.6
21 −1Clearances13 −2
7 +4.4Saves2 +0.2
9 −4Fouls6 −6
1 −0.6Offsides7 +5.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee United

Mulgrew 22', 0.05 xGHarkes 26', 0.05 xGPawlett 50', 0.03 xGPawlett 66', 0.03 xGFuchs 71', 0.03 xGSporle 68', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGCentral box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals10%0.02 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals90%0.18 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.18 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Celtic

Furuhashi 69', 0.55 xGAbada 90+1', 0.44 xGFuruhashi 60', 0.32 xGTurnbull 35', 0.31 xGForrest 37', 0.20 xGJohnston 24', 0.17 xGAbada 87', 0.15 xGFuruhashi 5', 0.14 xGRogic 8', 0.14 xGJohnston 2', 0.13 xGCarter-Vickers 29', 0.11 xGFuruhashi 69', 0.10 xGTurnbull 76', 0.10 xGFuruhashi 77', 0.10 xGTurnbull 33', 0.08 xGStarfelt 29', 0.06 xGBitton 78', 0.04 xGJohnston 2', 0.02 xGTaylor 5', 0.02 xGJohnston 28', 0.02 xGTurnbull 88', 0.02 xGTurnbull 40', 0.99 xG, goalScales 81', 0.10 xG, goalRogic 19', 0.07 xG, goal25%1.10 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 1.10 xG, 1 goal64%2.79 xGCentral box: 15 shots, 2.79 xG, 2 goals3%0.14 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals8%0.33 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.33 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedCeltic

0.16 5 shots, 0 goalsOpen play3.16 15 shots, 3 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.44 1 shot, 0 goals
0.05 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.76 8 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
19 min (21%) · Dundee United 0.00, Celtic 0.52 xG
Celtic ahead
72 min (79%) · Dundee United 0.20, Celtic 3.85 xG

Line-ups

12212437823662710SiegristFreemanEdwardsMulgrewSporleNiskanenPawlettHarkesFuchsAppereClark52'82'Dundee United 4-5-1Tam Courts1588204349421918814HartJuranovicCarter-VickersStarfeltTaylorForrestMcGregorJohnstonRogicFuruhashiTurnbullYellow cardGoalGoal75'46'70'Celtic 4-3-3Ange Postecoglou

Dundee United substitutes

  • 52' Butcher for Appere · yellow card 61'
  • 82' Watson for Clark

Celtic substitutes

  • 46' Abada for Forrest · 1 assist
  • 70' Bitton for Rogic
  • 75' Scales for Taylor · goal 81'

Players

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SiegristGK900.000.0000.0111
FreemanRB900.000.0100.0135
EdwardsCB900.000.0000.0445
MulgrewCB900.050.0000.0449
SporleLB900.020.0000.0129
NiskanenRM900.000.1130.1334
PawlettCM900.060.0100.0114
HarkesCM900.050.0100.0026
FuchsCM900.030.0000.01110
AppereLM520.000.011−0.0112
ClarkST820.000.011−0.0101
Butcher DF380.000.0100.0122
WatsonFW80.000.000−0.0100

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
HartGK900.000.0000.0220
JuranovicRB900.000.0510.0770
Carter-VickersCB9010.110.0210.17136
Starfelt CB900.060.0100.1138
TaylorLB750.020.1030.1168
ForrestCM460.200.0600.0771
McGregorCM9010.000.8430.24112
JohnstonCM900.330.1210.1674
RogicRW7010.210.7300.3483
FuruhashiST901.200.5530.3130
TurnbullLW9011.500.8170.4894
AbadaFW4410.580.3220.3552
BittonDF200.040.0200.0540
ScalesDF1510.100.0110.0010

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee United

Harkes and Pawlett: 3 passesPawlett and Clark: 3 passesMulgrew and Fuchs: 4 passesMulgrew and Appere: 4 passesSporle and Appere: 4 passesHarkes and Appere: 4 passesMulgrew and Sporle: 5 passesMulgrew and Harkes: 5 passesFuchs and Pawlett: 5 passesFreeman and Niskanen: 7 passesMulgrew and Pawlett: 7 passesFreeman and Pawlett: 10 passesSiegrist: 3 completed passesFreeman: 16 completed passesEdwards: 3 completed passesMulgrew: 16 completed passesSporle: 11 completed passesNiskanen: 7 completed passesFuchs: 10 completed passesHarkes: 11 completed passesPawlett: 16 completed passesAppere: 7 completed passesClark: 5 completed passes12212437662382710SiegristFreemanEdwardsMulgrewSporleNiskanenFuchsHarkesPawlettAppereClarkStarters until 52' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Celtic

Juranovic and Starfelt: 4 passesJohnston and Forrest: 4 passesRogic and Furuhashi: 4 passesJuranovic and Forrest: 6 passesCarter-Vickers and Rogic: 6 passesForrest and Turnbull: 6 passesJuranovic and Rogic: 7 passesStarfelt and Johnston: 7 passesCarter-Vickers and Forrest: 7 passesForrest and Rogic: 7 passesHart and Carter-Vickers: 8 passesJohnston and McGregor: 8 passesMcGregor and Forrest: 8 passesMcGregor and Rogic: 9 passesStarfelt and Turnbull: 11 passesJuranovic and Carter-Vickers: 13 passesJuranovic and McGregor: 13 passesCarter-Vickers and McGregor: 13 passesTaylor and Turnbull: 14 passesStarfelt and McGregor: 17 passesTaylor and Johnston: 18 passesJohnston and Turnbull: 18 passesMcGregor and Turnbull: 20 passesTaylor and McGregor: 23 passesStarfelt and Taylor: 30 passesStarfelt and Carter-Vickers: 33 passesHart: 9 completed passesJuranovic: 25 completed passesStarfelt: 56 completed passesCarter-Vickers: 48 completed passesTaylor: 46 completed passesJohnston: 29 completed passesMcGregor: 56 completed passesForrest: 16 completed passesRogic: 16 completed passesFuruhashi: 5 completed passesTurnbull: 39 completed passes1588420319424918814HartJuranovicStarfeltCarter-VickersTaylorJohnstonMcGregorForrestRogicFuruhashiTurnbullStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

FromToPasses
FreemanPawlett10
MulgrewHarkes9
PawlettFreeman7
SporleMulgrew7
FreemanNiskanen5

Celtic

FromToPasses
StarfeltCarter-Vickers29
Carter-VickersStarfelt26
TaylorStarfelt20
McGregorTaylor19
Carter-VickersJuranovic19

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

5+0.611+5.522+5.916+7.65−1.49+3.58+2.411+3.68+0.13−2.22−2.83−0.95−1.15−1.04−0.41−2.53+0.63−0.61−3.13+0.35+3.60−1.21−0.41−1.41−0.12+1.80−0.61+0.62+1.11−6.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 16 matches

Celtic

0−3.91−3.75−3.89+5.09+3.73−2.26+1.03−1.36+0.417+9.76+1.15+1.25+1.58+2.56+0.14−0.56+2.11−1.23−1.011+5.91−1.13+1.53+1.13+1.36+3.00−0.42+1.50−0.51+0.42+1.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 15 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee United

0.010.010.010.010.010.030.010.010.030.040.01−0.01−0.010.02−0.020.020.01−0.010.07LessMore

Celtic

0.010.010.010.020.030.010.020.030.030.090.050.070.040.070.180.100.060.100.020.150.060.120.100.110.120.230.140.51LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.19AttackDundee United0.92 → 0.90Celtic2.00 → 2.05Defence (lower is better)Dundee United1.27 → 1.31Celtic0.79 → 0.77

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee United
Top six58%55%−3
11th2%3%+1
Bottom1%1%0
Celtic
Title33%36%+3
Rangers
Title67%64%−3
Hibernian
Top six82%83%+1

From the forecast before the match (5 December 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee UnitedCeltic
Expected goals0.692.03
Win11%68%
Expected Points0.542.26
Clean sheet13%50%

Dundee United 11%Draw 21%Celtic 68%

Most likely score 0–2, 14%. Both sides score 43%.

Celtic goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+7%9%5%2%4%10%9%6%3%1%2%3%3%2%1%13%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 5 December 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee United winDrawCeltic win
Dundee United
Top six58%75%62%55%
11th2%<1%1%3%
Bottom1%<1%<1%1%
Celtic
Title33%22%27%36%
Rangers
Title67%78%73%64%
Hibernian
Top six82%79%80%83%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

  1. L0–130 NovMotherwell (A)xG 0.31–1.72
  2. D1–127 NovRoss County (A)xG 0.47–1.53
  3. W1–020 NovAberdeen (H)xG 0.58–0.69
  4. L2–56 NovHearts (A)xG 0.85–2.14
  5. L0–130 OctSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.84–0.33
  6. D1–127 OctLivingston (A)xG 1.83–0.34

Celtic

  1. W1–02 DecHearts (H)xG 2.86–0.67
  2. W2–128 NovAberdeen (H)xG 2.31–0.85
  3. W4–27 NovDundee FC (A)xG 1.95–0.66
  4. D0–030 OctLivingston (H)xG 1.80–0.10
  5. W3–127 OctHibernian (A)xG 2.86–1.50
  6. W2–023 OctSt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.70–0.13

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee UnitedCeltic
Position4th2nd
Played1615
Won, drawn, lost7–⁠4–⁠510–⁠2–⁠3
Points25 (1.56 per game)32 (2.13 per game)
Expected Points per game1.192.39
Goals15–⁠1533–⁠10
xG per game0.90–⁠1.142.49–⁠0.65
Home: points, xG per game2.14, 0.88–⁠1.032.50, 3.18–⁠0.46
Away: points, xG per game1.11, 0.91–⁠1.231.71, 1.69–⁠0.86
ManagerTam Courts (16)Ange Postecoglou (15)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.19AttackDundee United0.92, 11thCeltic2.00, 1stDefence (lower is better)Dundee United1.27, 7thCeltic0.79, 2nd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctNovDecDundee United attack: 0.92Celtic attack: 2.002.000.92CelticDundee UnitedDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctNovDecDundee United defence: 1.27Celtic defence: 0.791.270.79

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee UnitedCeltic
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−16%−14%+139%−48%
Counter-attacks+39%−63%+107%−53%
Set pieces−36%+24%+36%−42%
Penalties−100%−12%+41%−53%
Headers−9%+21%+70%−11%
Left side−6%−7%+80%−53%
Centre−6%−1%+159%−37%
Right side−57%−15%+41%−60%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdCeltic concededLeft side−6%−60%Centre−6%−37%Right side−57%−53%Open play−16%−48%Counter-attacks+39%−53%Set pieces−36%−42%Headers−9%−11%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdDundee United concededLeft side+80%−15%Centre+159%−1%Right side+41%−7%Open play+139%−14%Counter-attacks+107%−63%Set pieces+36%+24%Headers+70%+21%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedCeltic

0.90xG2.49
1.14xG against0.65
47%Possession72%
10.5Shots20.4
12.8Shots against7.0
4.2Shots on target6.5
1.3Big chances3.9
15.4Touches in the opposition box34.7
374Passes671
68%Pass accuracy88%
4.8Corners9.2
47%Field tilt81%
33.8Final-third entries75.1
7.4Box entries21.9
14.4Passes per defensive action9.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level520.831.09
Ahead170.571.34
Behind211.311.10

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level402.200.47
Ahead412.880.87
Behind91.950.39

xG by period

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.160–1
16–300.110.131–5
31–450.210.275–2
46–600.160.133–2
61–750.170.193–1
76–900.170.263–4

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.330.124–1
16–300.470.1010–3
31–450.400.113–2
46–600.240.106–1
61–750.370.134–2
76–900.680.086–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMCMLMSTSiegrist 13Carson 3Freeman 9Smith 5Smith 2Edwards 15Smith 1Mulgrew 15Reynolds 1McMann 12Robson 4Pawlett 9Niskanen 2Chalmers 2Fuchs 12Levitt 6Butcher 5Glass 4Harkes 14Hoti 2Niskanen 9Pawlett 4Sporle 2Clark 9McNulty 4Appere 24-5-1 in 6 of 16 starts

Formations: 4-5-1 (6), 4-3-3 (3), 4-4-1-1 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-3-2-1 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1)

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWHart 14Bain 1Ralston 13Juranovic 2Carter-Vickers 10Bitton 1Starfelt 12Welsh 7Juranovic 8Taylor 4Bolingoli-Mbo… 2Bolingoli-MbomboRogic 8Christie 2Soro 1McGregor 13McCarthy 3Bitton 3Turnbull 15Abada 12Jota 1Forrest 1Furuhashi 8Ajeti 3Edouard 3Jota 10Furuhashi 2Forrest 14-3-3 in 13 of 15 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (13), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
26 September 2021Celtic1–1Dundee UnitedxG 2.65–0.98
7 March 2021Dundee United0–0CelticxG 0.51–1.77
30 December 2020Celtic3–0Dundee UnitedxG 2.09–0.95
22 August 2020Dundee United0–1CelticxG 0.29–3.00

4 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 0, Celtic won 2, and 2 were drawn. Goals 1–5 and xG 0.68–2.38 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Clark131,121210.220.09
Pawlett141,220200.150.15
Niskanen11834130.080.16
Harkes141,297320.140.07

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Furuhashi10844800.780.12
Abada12960320.340.40
Jota11944540.330.30
Turnbull151,316430.210.40

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.