Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Dundee United 3–0 Ross County

Saturday 9 November 2024, 15:00 · CalForth Construction Arena at Tannadice Park · Round 12 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee John Beaton · Attendance 8,349

Dundee United Stephenson 57', Dalby 68', Stirton 90+2'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee UnitedRoss County
Goals30
xG1.930.89
Expected Points2.160.61

Dundee United 64%Draw 23%Ross County 13%

Most likely score 2–1, 14%. Final score 3–0, 8%.

Ross County goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+3%3%1%5%1%7%1%8%8%3%2%2%1%11%12%13%14%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTOdada on for Stephenson and Thomson on for van der Sande, 79'Fotheringham on for Babunski, 88'Stirton on for Dalby, 90+1'Brophy on for Denholm, 66'Chilvers on for Leak, 77'Allardice on for Randall, 78'Samuel on for Hale and Telfer on for Nisbet, 87'Stephenson 57'Dalby 68'Stirton 90+2'Dundee United 1.93Ross County 0.8901230153045607590HTOdada on for Stephenson and Thomson on for van der Sande, 79'Fotheringham on for Babunski, 88'Stirton on for Dalby, 90+1'Brophy on for Denholm, 66'Chilvers on for Leak, 77'Allardice on for Randall, 78'Samuel on for Hale and Telfer on for Nisbet, 87'Stephenson 57'Dalby 68'Stirton 90+2'1.930.89Dundee UnitedRoss County

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedRoss County

1.93 +0.64xG0.89 0.00
2.52 +1.12xG on target0.00 −0.81
15 +4Shots9 −1
4 +0.5Shots on target0 −3.4
3 +1.2Big chances1 0.0
38 +15Touches in the opposition box18 +4
57% +14Possession43% +3
411 +95Passes319 +11
74% +7Pass accuracy68% +3
59% +16Field tilt41% +5
41 +11Final-third entries29 −2
22 +12.7Box entries8 +1.4
9.1 −6Passes per defensive action12.9 −3
5 +0.8Corners3 −0.2
13 −7Tackles16 −1
10 +2.7Interceptions13 +1.8
30 −1Clearances64 +32
0 −2.5Saves1 −1.7
11 0Fouls10 −1
0 −0.8Offsides2 +1.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee United

Dalby 38', 0.08 xGDalby 29', 0.07 xGAdegboyega 67', 0.07 xGStrain 90', 0.07 xGAdegboyega 83', 0.06 xGBabunski 87', 0.05 xGBabunski 2', 0.04 xGBabunski 38', 0.04 xGSevelj 49', 0.04 xGDalby 11', 0.03 xGDalby 62', 0.03 xGSevelj 18', 0.02 xGDalby 68', 0.60 xG, goalStirton 90+2', 0.53 xG, goalStephenson 57', 0.20 xG, goal31%0.59 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.59 xG, 1 goal60%1.16 xGCentral box: 8 shots, 1.16 xG, 2 goals4%0.07 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals5%0.09 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals1%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Ross County

Hale 75', 0.20 xGWhite 8', 0.19 xGRandall 32', 0.15 xGDenholm 2', 0.10 xGHale 84', 0.08 xGBrophy 72', 0.07 xGBrophy 90+4', 0.07 xGCampbell 30', 0.03 xGAllardice 90+4', 0.02 xG21%0.19 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.19 xG, 0 goals48%0.43 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.43 xG, 0 goals19%0.17 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals11%0.10 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedRoss County

1.57 9 shots, 3 goalsOpen play0.54 6 shots, 0 goals
0.04 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.33 5 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.35 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
57 min (61%) · Dundee United 0.52, Ross County 0.46 xG
Dundee United ahead
37 min (39%) · Dundee United 1.41, Ross County 0.43 xG

Line-ups

116314251020171911WaltonAdegboyegaGallagherHoltStrainSeveljBabunskivan der SandeStephensonDalbyFerryYellow cardGoalGoal88'79'79'90+1'Dundee United 3-4-3Jim Goodwin1420328231915926LaidlawWrightLopataLeakBrownRandallNisbetCampbellDenholmHaleWhiteYellow card77'78'87'66'87'Ross County 3-4-1-2Don Cowie

Dundee United substitutes

  • 79' Thomson for van der Sande
  • 79' Odada for Stephenson
  • 88' Fotheringham for Babunski
  • 90+1' Stirton for Dalby · goal 90+2'

Ross County substitutes

  • 66' Brophy for Denholm
  • 77' Chilvers for Leak
  • 78' Allardice for Randall
  • 87' Telfer for Nisbet
  • 87' Samuel for Hale

Players

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
WaltonGK900.000.0000.0332
AdegboyegaCB900.130.0400.0766
GallagherCB900.000.0100.0797
HoltCB900.000.1410.23138
StrainRWB900.070.020−0.0155
SeveljCM900.050.1200.13612
BabunskiCM8810.130.3820.2483
van der Sande LWB790.000.1730.0120
StephensonRW7910.200.2400.2444
DalbyST9010.820.101−0.1323
FerryLW9010.000.3020.2185
ThomsonMF110.000.0000.0000
OdadaMF110.000.0210.0121
FotheringhamMF20.000.000––0
StirtonFW010.530.0000.0000

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0000.0331
Wright CB900.000.0000.03311
LopataCB900.000.0100.07718
LeakCB770.000.0000.03315
BrownRWB900.000.2530.38167
RandallCM780.150.0100.0229
NisbetCM870.000.0310.0427
CampbellLWB900.030.2720.0119
DenholmAM660.100.0700.0943
HaleST870.280.0100.0022
WhiteST900.190.5510.0226
BrophyFW240.140.000−0.0201
ChilversMF130.000.0000.0001
AllardiceMF120.020.0200.0317
TelferMF30.000.0000.0000
SamuelFW30.000.0110.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee United

Walton and Gallagher: 6 passesFerry and Stephenson: 6 passesFerry and Dalby: 6 passesSevelj and Stephenson: 6 passesWalton and Holt: 7 passesGallagher and Strain: 7 passesGallagher and Ferry: 7 passesGallagher and Babunski: 7 passesHolt and Gallagher: 8 passesHolt and van der Sande: 8 passesFerry and Sevelj: 8 passesFerry and van der Sande: 8 passesAdegboyega and Gallagher: 9 passesHolt and Sevelj: 9 passesStrain and Sevelj: 9 passesFerry and Babunski: 9 passesStrain and Babunski: 10 passesAdegboyega and Strain: 12 passesHolt and Ferry: 12 passesStrain and Dalby: 12 passesHolt and Babunski: 14 passesStrain and Stephenson: 14 passesWalton: 16 completed passesAdegboyega: 25 completed passesHolt: 39 completed passesGallagher: 30 completed passesStrain: 38 completed passesFerry: 30 completed passesSevelj: 30 completed passesBabunski: 30 completed passesStephenson: 27 completed passesDalby: 15 completed passesvan der Sande: 15 completed passes116431211510171920WaltonAdegboyegaHoltGallagherStrainFerrySeveljBabunskiStephensonDalbyvan der SandeStarters until 79' · lines join pairs with 6+ passes

Ross County

Laidlaw and White: 4 passesLopata and Randall: 4 passesLopata and White: 4 passesWright and Hale: 4 passesNisbet and Campbell: 4 passesNisbet and Denholm: 4 passesNisbet and Hale: 4 passesRandall and Campbell: 4 passesDenholm and White: 4 passesLeak and White: 5 passesBrown and Randall: 5 passesDenholm and Hale: 5 passesLaidlaw and Wright: 6 passesWright and Nisbet: 6 passesCampbell and Hale: 6 passesLopata and Leak: 7 passesWright and Brown: 7 passesLeak and Campbell: 7 passesCampbell and Denholm: 7 passesBrown and Denholm: 8 passesRandall and Hale: 8 passesBrown and Nisbet: 9 passesBrown and Hale: 11 passesLopata and Wright: 12 passesLaidlaw: 11 completed passesLopata: 20 completed passesWright: 22 completed passesLeak: 15 completed passesBrown: 22 completed passesNisbet: 20 completed passesRandall: 15 completed passesCampbell: 15 completed passesDenholm: 14 completed passesHale: 19 completed passesWhite: 12 completed passes1204322381915926LaidlawLopataWrightLeakBrownNisbetRandallCampbellDenholmHaleWhiteStarters until 66' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

FromToPasses
StrainAdegboyega10
HoltBabunski9
DalbyStrain9
BabunskiHolt8
HoltFerry8

Ross County

FromToPasses
BrownNisbet9
WrightLopata9
BrownHale8
NisbetBrown7
HaleBrown7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

3−1.05−1.913−4.411+1.410+3.52−3.560.011+4.47−0.29+2.96+1.63−1.08+1.99+3.71−2.62−1.11−1.43+0.32−1.83+0.55+3.72+1.21−0.11−0.90−1.20−0.33+2.30−0.50−1.01−5.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 11 matches

Ross County

8+2.25−1.336+18.115+6.04−1.88+0.36−1.97+0.56−1.06−0.63−2.96+1.84+0.86+2.64−2.03−0.43−0.24+1.94+1.24+1.02−0.43+1.20−1.30−1.20−2.22+1.41+0.81+0.300.00−0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 12 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee United

0.010.010.010.040.020.020.010.030.010.010.050.050.120.040.110.04−0.040.060.130.010.07−0.05−0.150.090.200.18LessMore

Ross County

0.010.030.020.010.020.020.020.020.030.010.040.040.020.070.110.01−0.010.020.24LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackDundee United1.12 → 1.16Ross County1.01 → 1.00Defence (lower is better)Dundee United1.47 → 1.44Ross County1.54 → 1.57

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee United
Top six50%60%+10
11th6%4%−2
Bottom4%2%−2
Ross County
Top six11%6%−5
11th20%21%+1
Bottom24%29%+5

From the forecast before the match (9 November 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee UnitedRoss County
Expected goals1.521.01
Win49%24%
Expected Points1.731.00
Clean sheet37%22%

Dundee United 49%Draw 27%Ross County 24%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 50%.

Ross County goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+9%7%4%1%6%2%5%2%5%5%2%2%2%12%13%9%9%

From the forecast as it stood on 9 November 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee United winDrawRoss County win
Dundee United
Top six50%60%45%36%
11th6%4%7%10%
Bottom4%2%5%8%
Ross County
Top six11%6%11%19%
11th20%21%21%15%
Bottom24%29%23%15%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

  1. D1–13 NovHibernian (A)xG 1.31–1.09
  2. L1–230 OctMotherwell (H)xG 1.43–1.06
  3. L0–126 OctAberdeen (A)xG 0.38–1.41
  4. W3–219 OctHibernian (H)xG 1.79–0.71
  5. W1–05 OctSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.97–1.07
  6. D3–328 SepKilmarnock (A)xG 2.73–2.31

Ross County

  1. D0–02 NovSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.71–1.25
  2. D0–030 OctHibernian (H)xG 0.50–0.50
  3. W2–126 OctKilmarnock (H)xG 0.82–0.72
  4. L0–319 OctSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.26–3.16
  5. L1–26 OctCeltic (H)xG 0.97–1.51
  6. D1–128 SepHearts (A)xG 0.84–1.94

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee UnitedRoss County
Position4th9th
Played1112
Won, drawn, lost4–⁠4–⁠32–⁠6–⁠4
Points16 (1.45 per game)12 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game1.251.16
Goals15–⁠1310–⁠18
xG per game1.29–⁠1.410.89–⁠1.41
Home: points, xG per game1.40, 1.23–⁠1.351.29, 1.18–⁠0.80
Away: points, xG per game1.50, 1.33–⁠1.460.60, 0.47–⁠2.26
ManagerJim Goodwin (23)Don Cowie (27)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackDundee United1.12, 8thRoss County1.01, 12thDefence (lower is better)Dundee United1.47, 9thRoss County1.54, 11th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDundee United attack: 1.12Ross County attack: 1.011.121.01Ross CountyDundee UnitedDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDundee United defence: 1.47Ross County defence: 1.541.541.47

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee UnitedRoss County
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−10%+3%−60%+23%
Counter-attacks+76%−33%−37%+18%
Set pieces−27%+12%−29%−23%
Penalties+20%+20%+120%−45%
Headers−7%+32%−46%−22%
Left side−8%+8%−37%−17%
Centre−1%+10%−50%+17%
Right side−20%−22%−58%+19%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdRoss County concededLeft side−8%+19%Centre−1%+17%Right side−20%−17%Open play−10%+23%Counter-attacks+76%+18%Set pieces−27%−23%Headers−7%−22%

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdDundee United concededLeft side−37%−22%Centre−50%+10%Right side−58%+8%Open play−60%+3%Counter-attacks−37%−33%Set pieces−29%+12%Headers−46%+32%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedRoss County

1.29xG0.89
1.41xG against1.41
43%Possession40%
10.8Shots10.4
13.2Shots against13.3
3.5Shots on target3.4
1.8Big chances1.0
23.3Touches in the opposition box13.8
316Passes308
68%Pass accuracy65%
4.2Corners3.2
43%Field tilt36%
30.2Final-third entries31.5
9.3Box entries6.6
14.7Passes per defensive action16.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level491.341.45
Ahead200.801.65
Behind211.611.08

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level530.911.15
Ahead170.801.17
Behind200.902.31

xG by period

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.180.101–1
16–300.270.253–3
31–450.160.281–1
46–600.220.182–2
61–750.130.291–3
76–900.330.307–3

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.080.201–0
16–300.110.281–2
31–450.280.253–4
46–600.030.200–3
61–750.160.161–2
76–900.220.324–7

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTWalton 11Adegboyega 10Gallagher 11Holt 6Graham 6Stephenson 8Sevelj 2Strain 1Sibbald 7Holt 2Sevelj 2Babunski 6Ferry 3Docherty 2Ferry 8Babunski 1Stephenson 1Middleton 4Babunski 3Sevelj 3Trapanovski 7Dalby 1Moult 1van der Sande 6Dalby 53-4-2-1 in 7 of 11 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (7), 3-4-3 (3), 3-5-2 (1)

Ross County

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTLaidlaw 12Wright 12Efete 2Lopata 9Leak 8Nightingale 3Campbell 2Brown 7Efete 3Grieves 1Chilvers 5Denholm 3Loturi 2Randall 11White 2Harmon 2Nisbet 6Allardice 2Grieves 1Campbell 4Harmon 3Grieves 1White 6Brophy 3Chilvers 2Hale 11Grieves 1Denholm 13-5-2 in 5 of 12 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (5), 3-4-1-2 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 3-4-2-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
10 August 2024Ross County1–1Dundee UnitedxG 2.23–1.34
13 May 2023Dundee United1–3Ross CountyxG 2.19–3.37
25 February 2023Ross County4–0Dundee UnitedxG 2.57–0.60
28 December 2022Dundee United3–0Ross CountyxG 0.85–0.98
15 October 2022Ross County1–1Dundee UnitedxG 0.35–1.64
14 May 2022Ross County1–2Dundee UnitedxG 0.52–2.93

13 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 7, Ross County won 3, and 3 were drawn. Goals 18–16 and xG 1.48–1.45 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Trapanovski7531110.360.20
Dalby6547300.410.04
Stephenson9783220.180.12
Babunski10804100.140.14

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Hale11906400.390.02
White8760200.250.02
Chilvers7549010.090.16
Denholm6534010.030.12

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.