Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Motherwell 0–3 Hibernian

Saturday 30 November 2024, 15:00 · Fir Park · Round 14 · Half-time 0–2 · Referee Grant Irvine · Attendance 5,212

Hibernian Hoilett 26', Kukharevych 38', Campbell 81'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

MotherwellHibernian
Goals03
xG0.753.15
Expected Points0.132.79

Motherwell 2%Draw 8%Hibernian 90%

Most likely score 1–3, 13%. Final score 0–3, 13%.

Hibernian goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+3%9%4%2%3%4%2%1%4%4%3%1%10%13%10%13%10%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

012340153045607590HTWatt on for Stamatelopoulos and Robinson on for Halliday, 46'Ebiye on for Balmer and Paton on for Zdravkovski, 71'Seddon on for Wilson, 82'Gayle on for Kukharevych and Campbell on for Hoilett, 69'Boyle on for Youan and Kwon on for Newell, 82'Miller on for C. Cadden, 89'Hoilett 26'Kukharevych 38'Campbell 81'Hibernian 3.15Motherwell 0.75012340153045607590HTWatt on for Stamatelopoulos and Robinson on for Halliday, 46'Ebiye on for Balmer and Paton on for Zdravkovski, 71'Seddon on for Wilson, 82'Gayle on for Kukharevych and Campbell on for Hoilett, 69'Boyle on for Youan and Kwon on for Newell, 82'Miller on for C. Cadden, 89'Hoilett 26'Kukharevych 38'Campbell 81'3.150.75MotherwellHibernian

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

MotherwellHibernian

0.75 −0.48xG3.15 +1.89
0.38 −0.98xG on target3.77 +2.63
7 −4Shots17 +4
3 −0.7Shots on target8 +4.7
2 +0.2Big chances7 +5.4
15 −5Touches in the opposition box25 +3
56% +16Possession44% −4
400 +92Passes308 −31
68% −3Pass accuracy66% −7
38% +4Field tilt62% +9
27 0Final-third entries38 +2
9 +1.2Box entries13 +3.7
17.4 −2Passes per defensive action14.0 0
3 −2.7Corners4 −1.9
15 −1Tackles10 −3
9 +0.2Interceptions7 −0.3
20 −8Clearances38 +12
5 +1.3Saves3 +0.6
10 0Fouls14 +2
1 −1.0Offsides0 −1.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Motherwell

Balmer 25', 0.34 xGRobinson 61', 0.26 xGEbiye 87', 0.06 xGCasey 61', 0.05 xGKaleta 49', 0.02 xGWatt 90+2', 0.02 xGMiller 42', 0.01 xG34%0.26 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.26 xG, 0 goals62%0.47 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.47 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals4%0.03 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.03 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Hibernian

Kukharevych 38', 0.42 xGO'Hora 38', 0.23 xGTriantis 90+1', 0.19 xGYouan 38', 0.13 xGYouan 32', 0.11 xGKukharevych 47', 0.08 xGTriantis 48', 0.07 xGN. Cadden 48', 0.06 xGN. Cadden 37', 0.05 xGN. Cadden 90+4', 0.05 xGHoilett 16', 0.04 xGBoyle 86', 0.04 xGN. Cadden 56', 0.03 xGYouan 31', 0.02 xGKukharevych 38', 0.93 xG, goalHoilett 26', 0.60 xG, goalCampbell 81', 0.10 xG, goal73%2.30 xGSix-yard box: 5 shots, 2.30 xG, 2 goals16%0.52 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.52 xG, 1 goal4%0.14 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals5%0.15 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals2%0.05 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

MotherwellHibernian

0.08 2 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.24 9 shots, 2 goals
0.67 5 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces1.92 8 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
26 min (28%) · Motherwell 0.34, Hibernian 0.64 xG
Hibernian ahead
68 min (72%) · Motherwell 0.42, Hibernian 2.52 xG

Line-ups

1315452163823551411OxboroughCaseyGordonBalmerKaletaZdravkovskiMillerWilsonMaswanhiseStamatelopoulosHalliday71'71'82'46'46'Motherwell 3-4-3Stuart Kettlewell13533151226111923997SmithO'HoraBushiriIredaleC. CaddenTriantisNewellN. CaddenHoilettKukharevychYouanYellow cardGoalGoal89'82'69'69'82'Hibernian 3-4-1-2David Gray

Motherwell substitutes

  • 46' Watt for Stamatelopoulos
  • 46' Robinson for Halliday
  • 71' Paton for Zdravkovski
  • 71' Ebiye for Balmer
  • 82' Seddon for Wilson

Hibernian substitutes

  • 69' Campbell for Hoilett · goal 81'
  • 69' Gayle for Kukharevych · 1 assist
  • 82' Kwon for Newell
  • 82' Boyle for Youan
  • 89' Miller for C. Cadden

Players

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
OxboroughGK900.000.0000.0330
CaseyCB900.050.0110.02412
GordonCB900.000.0300.0857
BalmerCB710.340.0100.04710
KaletaRWB900.020.1410.2052
ZdravkovskiCM710.000.0100.0234
MillerCM900.010.1120.0154
WilsonLWB820.000.0000.0123
MaswanhiseRW900.000.0700.1451
StamatelopoulosST460.000.010−0.0220
HallidayLW460.000.010−0.0201
WattFW440.020.0000.0221
RobinsonFW440.260.0000.0100
PatonMF190.000.0000.0332
EbiyeFW190.060.000−0.0100
SeddonDF80.000.0610.0951

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SmithGK900.000.0200.0531
O'HoraCB900.230.0110.07610
BushiriCB900.000.0000.0225
IredaleCB900.000.0210.10812
C. CaddenRWB890.000.1720.3478
TriantisCM900.270.0410.0135
NewellCM820.000.0100.0134
N. Cadden LWB9010.190.5330.40105
HoilettAM6910.640.0400.0544
KukharevychST6911.420.051−0.1200
YouanST820.260.0520.1060
CampbellMF2110.100.0000.0001
GayleFW2110.000.0610.0930
KwonMF80.000.0000.0001
BoyleFW80.040.1910.1800
MillerDF10.000.0000.0010

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Motherwell

Oxborough and Casey: 3 passesOxborough and Gordon: 3 passesOxborough and Balmer: 3 passesCasey and Balmer: 3 passesGordon and Miller: 3 passesBalmer and Wilson: 3 passesBalmer and Maswanhise: 3 passesZdravkovski and Halliday: 3 passesZdravkovski and Stamatelopoulos: 3 passesStamatelopoulos and Maswanhise: 3 passesCasey and Halliday: 4 passesBalmer and Halliday: 4 passesKaleta and Miller: 4 passesCasey and Stamatelopoulos: 5 passesKaleta and Zdravkovski: 5 passesBalmer and Miller: 6 passesMiller and Maswanhise: 6 passesBalmer and Zdravkovski: 7 passesMiller and Stamatelopoulos: 7 passesCasey and Miller: 8 passesZdravkovski and Miller: 8 passesCasey and Zdravkovski: 9 passesGordon and Balmer: 10 passesCasey and Gordon: 12 passesOxborough: 6 completed passesCasey: 25 completed passesGordon: 17 completed passesBalmer: 22 completed passesKaleta: 7 completed passesZdravkovski: 22 completed passesHalliday: 8 completed passesWilson: 5 completed passesMiller: 24 completed passesStamatelopoulos: 12 completed passesMaswanhise: 5 completed passes1315452161123381455OxboroughCaseyGordonBalmerKaletaZdravkovskiHallidayWilsonMillerStamatelopoulosMaswanhiseStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Hibernian

Smith and O'Hora: 4 passesIredale and Bushiri: 4 passesIredale and Triantis: 4 passesTriantis and N. Cadden: 4 passesN. Cadden and Kukharevych: 4 passesIredale and Youan: 5 passesC. Cadden and Kukharevych: 5 passesTriantis and Youan: 5 passesIredale and Newell: 6 passesIredale and Hoilett: 7 passesHoilett and Youan: 7 passesO'Hora and C. Cadden: 8 passesO'Hora and Triantis: 8 passesC. Cadden and Hoilett: 8 passesNewell and Hoilett: 9 passesIredale and N. Cadden: 13 passesN. Cadden and Youan: 20 passesSmith: 11 completed passesIredale: 24 completed passesBushiri: 12 completed passesO'Hora: 21 completed passesC. Cadden: 17 completed passesTriantis: 17 completed passesNewell: 19 completed passesN. Cadden: 27 completed passesHoilett: 18 completed passesYouan: 18 completed passesKukharevych: 9 completed passes13153351226111923799SmithIredaleBushiriO'HoraC. CaddenTriantisNewellN. CaddenHoilettYouanKukharevychStarters until 69' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Motherwell

FromToPasses
CaseyGordon10
CaseyZdravkovski8
GordonCasey8
MillerCasey8
GordonBalmer7

Hibernian

FromToPasses
YouanN. Cadden12
N. CaddenYouan9
IredaleN. Cadden8
N. CaddenIredale7
O'HoraC. Cadden5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Motherwell

10+6.86+0.25−3.211+4.87+1.213+6.24−1.64−2.15−3.250.01−2.93−0.32−2.94−1.65+1.73−0.11−1.23−0.140.01−1.73+1.22+1.02+0.80−1.810.00−0.50−0.80−0.21+0.712−6.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 12 matches

Hibernian

7+2.66+0.118+2.64−3.83−1.47+0.65+0.65−0.912+6.09+2.84−1.21−2.43−0.511+6.63−2.02−2.18+4.62−0.62−1.33−1.61−0.91−0.11+0.13+2.15+2.62+1.42+1.70−1.02+1.81+0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 14 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Motherwell

0.010.020.040.020.020.010.010.030.020.010.030.010.020.020.010.05−0.030.020.01−0.01−0.010.030.090.20LessMore

Hibernian

0.030.010.010.020.020.060.010.010.010.020.010.070.030.010.040.050.030.060.030.06−0.11−0.050.190.220.240.20LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackMotherwell1.22 → 1.18Hibernian1.20 → 1.26Defence (lower is better)Motherwell1.40 → 1.46Hibernian1.43 → 1.38

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Motherwell
Top six75%64%−11
11th2%3%+1
Bottom1%2%+1
Hibernian
Top six7%13%+6
11th19%16%−3
Bottom25%16%−9
St. Johnstone
Top six10%11%+1
11th18%19%+1
Bottom22%24%+2

From the forecast before the match (30 November 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

MotherwellHibernian
Expected goals1.541.13
Win46%27%
Expected Points1.651.08
Clean sheet32%21%

Motherwell 46%Draw 27%Hibernian 27%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 54%.

Hibernian goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+8%7%4%2%7%3%8%5%2%4%5%3%1%2%2%1%10%13%9%

From the forecast as it stood on 30 November 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowMotherwell winDrawHibernian win
Motherwell
Top six75%83%71%64%
11th2%1%2%3%
Bottom1%<1%1%2%
Hibernian
Top six7%4%7%13%
11th19%21%19%16%
Bottom25%30%25%16%
St. Johnstone
Top six10%9%11%11%
11th18%18%18%19%
Bottom22%21%23%24%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Motherwell

  1. L1–223 NovRoss County (A)xG 0.63–1.59
  2. W2–19 NovSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.44–1.18
  3. W2–130 OctDundee United (A)xG 1.06–1.43
  4. L0–327 OctCeltic (H)xG 0.71–1.45
  5. L0–119 OctDundee FC (H)xG 0.56–0.84
  6. W2–15 OctHibernian (A)xG 1.23–1.35

Hibernian

  1. D3–326 NovAberdeen (H)xG 2.21–1.61
  2. L1–423 NovDundee FC (A)xG 0.76–2.22
  3. L1–29 NovSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.28–2.18
  4. D1–13 NovDundee United (H)xG 1.09–1.31
  5. D0–030 OctRoss County (A)xG 0.50–0.50
  6. D1–127 OctHearts (H)xG 1.97–1.17

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

MotherwellHibernian
Position5th12th
Played1214
Won, drawn, lost6–⁠1–⁠51–⁠6–⁠7
Points19 (1.58 per game)9 (0.64 per game)
Expected Points per game1.251.21
Goals16–⁠1615–⁠25
xG per game1.23–⁠1.421.26–⁠1.52
Home: points, xG per game1.67, 1.42–⁠1.120.88, 1.44–⁠1.40
Away: points, xG per game1.50, 1.03–⁠1.710.33, 1.02–⁠1.67
ManagerStuart Kettlewell (64)David Gray (16)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackMotherwell1.22, 5thHibernian1.20, 7thDefence (lower is better)Motherwell1.40, 6thHibernian1.43, 8th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovMotherwell attack: 1.22Hibernian attack: 1.201.221.20HibernianMotherwellDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovMotherwell defence: 1.40Hibernian defence: 1.431.431.40

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

MotherwellHibernian
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−14%+15%−29%−4%
Counter-attacks−50%−42%−78%+125%
Set pieces+16%−19%+41%+9%
Penalties−47%+5%+35%−10%
Headers+58%+5%−16%+7%
Left side−42%+26%−14%−7%
Centre+10%−17%−14%+19%
Right side−19%+14%−16%+8%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdHibernian concededLeft side−42%+8%Centre+10%+19%Right side−19%−7%Open play−14%−4%Counter-attacks−50%+125%Set pieces+16%+9%Headers+58%+7%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdMotherwell concededLeft side−14%+14%Centre−14%−17%Right side−16%+26%Open play−29%+15%Counter-attacks−78%−42%Set pieces+41%−19%Headers−16%+5%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

MotherwellHibernian

1.23xG1.26
1.42xG against1.52
40%Possession48%
10.9Shots13.2
14.2Shots against12.4
3.7Shots on target3.3
1.8Big chances1.6
19.7Touches in the opposition box21.8
308Passes339
71%Pass accuracy73%
5.7Corners5.9
35%Field tilt52%
26.5Final-third entries35.6
7.8Box entries9.3
19.5Passes per defensive action14.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level421.281.43
Ahead231.091.50
Behind251.251.32

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level441.141.28
Ahead171.081.86
Behind291.541.66

xG by period

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.261–2
16–300.340.185–3
31–450.060.282–2
46–600.180.352–5
61–750.170.141–2
76–900.320.205–2

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.110.211–2
16–300.140.251–4
31–450.260.154–4
46–600.160.252–3
61–750.330.184–0
76–900.260.473–12

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Motherwell

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTOxborough 12Balmer 6McGinn 6O'Donnell 2Gordon 9Casey 10Seddon 2Blaney 1O'Donnell 8Kaleta 4Miller 12Sparrow 3Wilson 1Zdravkov… 9ZdravkovskiHalliday 9Gordon 1Wilson 10Halliday 1Seddon 1Stamatelopoulos 7Sparrow 1Robinson 7Maswanhise 5Ebiye 23-5-2 in 4 of 12 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (4), 3-4-2-1 (4), 3-4-1-2 (2), 3-5-1-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

Hibernian

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTBursik 13Smith 1Miller 11C. Cadden 3Ekpiteta 12Bushiri 2O'Hora 14Obita 13Iredale 1Kwon 9Campbell 2N. Cadden 1Newell 9Triantis 6Boyle 8C. Cadden 3Youan 2Triantis 4Molotnikov 3Kukharevych 2Hoilett 6N. Cadden 3Molotnikov 3Kukharevych 8Youan 2Hoilett 14-2-3-1 in 7 of 14 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (7), 4-3-3 (5), 4-4-2 (2)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
5 October 2024Hibernian1–2MotherwellxG 1.35–1.23
15 May 2024Hibernian3–0MotherwellxG 1.34–0.85
13 April 2024Motherwell1–1HibernianxG 0.97–1.51
2 January 2024Hibernian2–2MotherwellxG 0.72–1.55
13 August 2023Motherwell2–1HibernianxG 0.60–0.86
1 April 2023Hibernian1–3MotherwellxG 0.90–1.79

14 league meetings since 2020/21: Motherwell won 4, Hibernian won 5, and 5 were drawn. Goals 17–20 and xG 1.11–1.32 per game.

Key players

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Miller121,063240.220.24
Maswanhise5457310.320.01
Halliday11800110.170.11
Stamatelopoulos7466100.230.03

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Kukharevych11887200.390.02
Boyle8774210.290.07
Hoilett8667100.120.23
Youan6482000.150.15

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.