Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Motherwell 0–3 Celtic

Sunday 27 October 2024, 15:00 · Fir Park · Round 9 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee David Dickinson · Attendance 8,692

Motherwell Gordon sent off 90+6'

Celtic McCowan 27', Johnston 56', Idah 88'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

MotherwellCeltic
Goals03
xG0.711.45
Expected Points0.791.92

Motherwell 17%Draw 29%Celtic 54%

Most likely score 0–1, 16%. Final score 0–3, 6%.

Celtic goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+11%6%2%8%10%4%1%3%4%4%1%16%12%14%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTGordon (Motherwell), red card 90+6'Robinson on for Stamatelopoulos, Maswanhise on for Zdravkovski, and Watt on for Halliday, 65'Casey on for Kaleta, 68'Ebiye on for Sparrow, 80'Kühn on for Forrest and Carter-Vickers on for Valle, 68'Engels on for McCowan and Idah on for Furuhashi, 76'Palma on for Maeda, 86'McCowan 27'Johnston 56'Idah 88'Celtic 1.45Motherwell 0.7100.511.520153045607590HTGordon (Motherwell), red card 90+6'Robinson on for Stamatelopoulos, Maswanhise on for Zdravkovski, and Watt on for Halliday, 65'Casey on for Kaleta, 68'Ebiye on for Sparrow, 80'Kühn on for Forrest and Carter-Vickers on for Valle, 68'Engels on for McCowan and Idah on for Furuhashi, 76'Palma on for Maeda, 86'McCowan 27'Johnston 56'Idah 88'1.450.71MotherwellCeltic

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

MotherwellCeltic

0.71 −0.65xG1.45 −1.14
0.39 −1.03xG on target3.32 +0.53
9 −2Shots20 −2
2 −2.0Shots on target10 +2.2
0 −1.9Big chances3 −2.0
16 −5Touches in the opposition box34 −8
22% −18Possession78% +4
215 −95Passes769 +53
66% −4Pass accuracy89% +1
16% −18Field tilt84% +1
18 −7Final-third entries90 +18
6 −1.9Box entries17 −6.2
31.1 +12.0Passes per defensive action7.3 −1.5
3 −4.0Corners10 +0.4
12 −5Tackles19 +4
15 +6.9Interceptions9 +1.1
32 +6Clearances17 +2
6 +2.1Saves2 +0.1
11 +1.5Fouls9 −0.5
5 +3.0Offsides1 −0.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Motherwell

Miller 21', 0.18 xGEbiye 84', 0.13 xGMiller 9', 0.11 xGMiller 5', 0.08 xGSparrow 23', 0.07 xGWilson 53', 0.05 xGMiller 11', 0.04 xGZdravkovski 29', 0.03 xGEbiye 82', 0.01 xG37%0.26 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.26 xG, 0 goals31%0.22 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.22 xG, 0 goals7%0.05 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals20%0.14 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals6%0.04 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

Celtic

Furuhashi 66', 0.19 xGPalma 90+6', 0.10 xGHatate 73', 0.09 xGFuruhashi 45', 0.07 xGFuruhashi 52', 0.07 xGMcCowan 73', 0.07 xGKühn 73', 0.07 xGIdah 76', 0.06 xGMaeda 14', 0.04 xGHatate 90+4', 0.04 xGMcCowan 13', 0.03 xGScales 2', 0.02 xGMcCowan 15', 0.02 xGValle 38', 0.02 xGFuruhashi 54', 0.02 xGHatate 67', 0.02 xGHatate 84', 0.01 xGIdah 88', 0.20 xG, goalJohnston 56', 0.17 xG, goalMcCowan 27', 0.15 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals77%1.12 xGCentral box: 11 shots, 1.12 xG, 3 goals11%0.16 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals11%0.16 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals1%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

MotherwellCeltic

0.38 5 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.41 17 shots, 3 goals
0.32 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.05 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
27 min (28%) · Motherwell 0.48, Celtic 0.25 xG
Celtic ahead
69 min (72%) · Motherwell 0.22, Celtic 1.21 xG

Line-ups

13245213861123714OxboroughO'DonnellGordonBalmerKaletaMillerZdravkovskiHallidayWilsonSparrowStamatelopoulosYellow cardSent off68'65'65'80'65'Motherwell 3-5-2Stuart Kettlewell12651114284149838SchmeichelJohnstonTrustyScalesValleMcCowanBernardoHatateForrestFuruhashiMaedaGoalYellow cardGoalYellow card68'76'68'76'86'Celtic 4-3-3Brendan Rodgers

Motherwell substitutes

  • 65' Maswanhise for Zdravkovski
  • 65' Watt for Halliday
  • 65' Robinson for Stamatelopoulos
  • 68' Casey for Kaleta
  • 80' Ebiye for Sparrow

Celtic substitutes

  • 68' Carter-Vickers for Valle
  • 68' Kühn for Forrest · 1 assist
  • 76' Engels for McCowan
  • 76' Idah for Furuhashi · goal 88'
  • 86' Palma for Maeda

Players

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
OxboroughGK900.000.0000.0221
O'Donnell CB900.000.0200.0769
Gordon CB900.000.0000.00012
BalmerCB900.000.0010.01212
KaletaRWB680.000.0400.0823
MillerCM900.410.3200.0987
ZdravkovskiCM650.030.0000.0015
HallidayCM650.000.0710.0112
WilsonLWB900.050.0000.0006
SparrowST800.070.010−0.0203
StamatelopoulosST650.000.033−0.0601
MaswanhiseFW250.000.0000.0012
WattFW250.000.0210.0812
RobinsonFW250.000.000−0.0100
CaseyDF220.000.0000.0021
EbiyeFW100.150.0000.0200

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SchmeichelGK900.000.0000.0111
Johnston RB9010.170.5520.47158
TrustyCB900.000.0410.31104
ScalesCB900.020.0200.131010
ValleLB6810.020.2920.2563
McCowanCM7610.270.1310.0332
Bernardo CM900.000.0520.0242
HatateCM900.160.1610.16124
ForrestRW680.000.1930.0544
FuruhashiST760.350.020−0.0712
MaedaLW860.040.020−0.0211
Carter-VickersDF220.000.0000.0124
KühnFW2210.070.3430.2241
EngelsMF140.000.0000.0111
IdahFW1410.260.0210.0310
PalmaFW40.100.0110.0210

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Motherwell

Oxborough and Stamatelopoulos: 3 passesZdravkovski and Sparrow: 3 passesMiller and Halliday: 3 passesHalliday and Stamatelopoulos: 3 passesStamatelopoulos and Sparrow: 3 passesO'Donnell and Zdravkovski: 4 passesBalmer and Stamatelopoulos: 4 passesKaleta and Sparrow: 4 passesMiller and Stamatelopoulos: 5 passesMiller and Sparrow: 5 passesHalliday and Sparrow: 5 passesGordon and Balmer: 6 passesO'Donnell and Halliday: 6 passesBalmer and Miller: 6 passesGordon and O'Donnell: 8 passesO'Donnell and Kaleta: 8 passesOxborough: 8 completed passesGordon: 8 completed passesO'Donnell: 16 completed passesBalmer: 14 completed passesKaleta: 10 completed passesWilson: 1 completed passesZdravkovski: 8 completed passesMiller: 13 completed passesHalliday: 12 completed passesStamatelopoulos: 9 completed passesSparrow: 7 completed passes13425212363811147OxboroughGordonO'DonnellBalmerKaletaWilsonZdravkovskiMillerHallidayStamatelopoulosSparrowStarters until 65' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Celtic

Schmeichel and Valle: 5 passesBernardo and Forrest: 5 passesSchmeichel and Scales: 8 passesSchmeichel and Trusty: 9 passesTrusty and Hatate: 9 passesTrusty and McCowan: 10 passesValle and Bernardo: 10 passesHatate and Maeda: 10 passesHatate and Bernardo: 11 passesScales and Bernardo: 12 passesScales and Hatate: 15 passesJohnston and Bernardo: 16 passesTrusty and Bernardo: 16 passesBernardo and McCowan: 16 passesValle and Maeda: 19 passesTrusty and Valle: 20 passesTrusty and Forrest: 21 passesJohnston and Forrest: 22 passesValle and Hatate: 25 passesMcCowan and Forrest: 26 passesJohnston and McCowan: 29 passesScales and Valle: 50 passesScales and Trusty: 53 passesJohnston and Trusty: 65 passesSchmeichel: 19 completed passesJohnston: 72 completed passesScales: 78 completed passesTrusty: 103 completed passesValle: 73 completed passesHatate: 36 completed passesBernardo: 48 completed passesMcCowan: 44 completed passesForrest: 38 completed passesFuruhashi: 0 completed passesMaeda: 17 completed passes12561141281449838SchmeichelJohnstonScalesTrustyValleHatateBernardoMcCowanForrestFuruhashiMaedaStarters until 68' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Motherwell

FromToPasses
BalmerGordon6
KaletaO'Donnell5
BalmerMiller5
GordonO'Donnell5
O'DonnellCasey5

Celtic

FromToPasses
TrustyJohnston40
TrustyScales39
ScalesTrusty38
ValleScales26
JohnstonTrusty25

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Motherwell

3+0.110+5.624+8.09+0.29+3.26+0.411+4.11−5.210+4.57−2.02−2.51−2.91−2.58+3.41−6.11−3.02−1.21−1.21−2.22−1.92−0.53+1.00−1.11−0.14+2.20−0.60−0.62+1.50−0.20−0.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 8 matches

Celtic

4+1.21−1.615+6.85+0.61−1.51−4.96+0.87+2.28+0.44−3.94−0.51−2.90−3.22−2.86−0.47+3.56+1.50−2.030.05+0.55+2.61−0.92+0.44+1.00−2.81−0.60−0.810.00−1.40−1.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 8 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Motherwell

0.010.020.010.030.020.03−0.010.010.010.020.040.010.01−0.010.01−0.010.03−0.06−0.020.15LessMore

Celtic

0.010.010.020.030.010.040.010.020.120.050.060.010.060.120.070.070.060.020.10−0.030.01−0.050.090.010.200.250.26LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackMotherwell1.26 → 1.24Celtic2.45 → 2.43Defence (lower is better)Motherwell1.38 → 1.39Celtic0.74 → 0.73

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Motherwell
Top six71%68%−3
11th2%3%+1
Bottom1%1%0
Celtic
Title93%94%+1
Rangers
Title7%6%−1

From the forecast before the match (27 October 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

MotherwellCeltic
Expected goals0.812.27
Win11%70%
Expected Points0.532.28
Clean sheet10%44%

Motherwell 11%Draw 19%Celtic 70%

Most likely score 0–2, 12%. Both sides score 50%.

Celtic goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+5%5%2%1%3%7%4%2%1%2%3%4%3%2%1%10%12%9%9%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 27 October 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowMotherwell winDrawCeltic win
Motherwell
Top six71%83%75%68%
11th2%1%2%3%
Bottom1%<1%1%1%
Celtic
Title93%91%91%94%
Rangers
Title7%9%9%6%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Motherwell

  1. L0–119 OctDundee FC (H)xG 0.56–0.84
  2. W2–15 OctHibernian (A)xG 1.23–1.35
  3. W2–128 SepSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.07–2.33
  4. L1–214 SepAberdeen (A)xG 1.67–1.85
  5. W2–131 AugSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.89–0.74
  6. W3–125 AugHearts (H)xG 2.54–0.62

Celtic

  1. D2–219 OctAberdeen (H)xG 3.21–1.10
  2. W2–16 OctRoss County (A)xG 1.51–0.97
  3. W6–028 SepSt. Johnstone (A)xG 3.38–0.32
  4. W2–014 SepHearts (H)xG 2.88–0.65
  5. W3–01 SepRangers (H)xG 1.55–1.14
  6. W3–025 AugSt. Mirren (A)xG 2.46–0.15

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

MotherwellCeltic
Position5th2nd
Played88
Won, drawn, lost4–⁠1–⁠37–⁠1–⁠0
Points13 (1.62 per game)22 (2.75 per game)
Expected Points per game1.382.52
Goals11–⁠924–⁠3
xG per game1.36–⁠1.422.59–⁠0.58
Home: points, xG per game1.75, 1.59–⁠1.022.50, 2.69–⁠0.77
Away: points, xG per game1.50, 1.12–⁠1.813.00, 2.49–⁠0.39
ManagerStuart Kettlewell (60)Brendan Rodgers (46)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackMotherwell1.26, 5thCeltic2.45, 1stDefence (lower is better)Motherwell1.38, 5thCeltic0.74, 1st

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctMotherwell attack: 1.26Celtic attack: 2.452.451.26CelticMotherwellDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctMotherwell defence: 1.38Celtic defence: 0.741.380.74

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

MotherwellCeltic
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−2%+22%+139%−50%
Counter-attacks−58%−43%+154%−88%
Set pieces+27%−13%average−78%
Penalties−10%−10%−10%−10%
Headers+78%+20%−2%−70%
Left side−41%+42%+152%−59%
Centre+31%−4%+66%−60%
Right side−28%−9%+129%−67%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdCeltic concededLeft side−41%−67%Centre+31%−60%Right side−28%−59%Open play−2%−50%Counter-attacks−58%−88%Set pieces+27%−78%Headers+78%−70%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdMotherwell concededLeft side+152%−9%Centre+66%−4%Right side+129%+42%Open play+139%+22%Counter-attacks+154%−43%Set piecesaverage−13%Headers−2%+20%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

MotherwellCeltic

1.36xG2.59
1.42xG against0.58
40%Possession74%
11.2Shots22.4
13.4Shots against6.5
4.0Shots on target7.8
1.9Big chances5.0
20.8Touches in the opposition box42.4
310Passes716
70%Pass accuracy88%
7.0Corners9.6
34%Field tilt83%
25.1Final-third entries72.0
7.9Box entries23.2
19.1Passes per defensive action8.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level431.311.44
Ahead221.141.50
Behind241.641.31

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level303.340.60
Ahead562.280.59
Behind41.390.19

xG by period

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.180.341–2
16–300.380.203–2
31–450.080.241–1
46–600.170.312–1
61–750.170.110–2
76–900.380.224–1

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.390.052–0
16–300.400.055–0
31–450.590.166–1
46–600.470.133–2
61–750.260.063–0
76–900.490.135–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Motherwell

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTOxborough 8McGinn 6Balmer 2Gordon 8Casey 7Blaney 1O'Donnell 8Zdravkovski 6Halliday 8Miller 1Seddon 1Wilson 7Miller 1Miller 6Zdravkovski 2Maswanhise 3Robinson 2Ebiye 2Robinson 5Stamatelopoulos 33-4-2-1 in 4 of 8 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (4), 3-5-2 (2), 5-4-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1)

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWSchmeichel 8Johnston 8Carter-Vickers 5Trusty 3Scales 8Taylor 6Valle 2Engels 4Bernardo 3O'Riley 2McGregor 8Hatate 7Kühn 7Forrest 1Furuhashi 6Idah 2Maeda 6Forrest 24-3-3 in 7 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (7), 4-4-1-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
25 February 2024Motherwell1–3CelticxG 0.69–2.87
25 November 2023Celtic1–1MotherwellxG 3.25–0.48
30 September 2023Motherwell1–2CelticxG 0.82–1.68
22 April 2023Celtic1–1MotherwellxG 2.04–0.81
9 November 2022Motherwell1–2CelticxG 0.47–1.43
1 October 2022Celtic2–1MotherwellxG 3.50–0.35

13 league meetings since 2020/21: Motherwell won 0, Celtic won 11, and 2 were drawn. Goals 8–33 and xG 0.64–2.31 per game.

Key players

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Miller8703230.270.25
Halliday8591110.220.10
Robinson7470000.200.03
Casey7558110.200.00

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Furuhashi6512430.940.07
Kühn7558340.590.28
Hatate7538300.350.22
Johnston8684220.090.33

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.