Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Ross County 2–1 Motherwell

Saturday 23 November 2024, 15:15 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 13 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Chris Graham · Attendance 3,410

Ross County Hale 47', Nisbet 54'

Motherwell Robinson 83'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Ross CountyMotherwell
Goals21
xG1.590.63
Expected Points2.120.61

Ross County 62%Draw 26%Motherwell 12%

Most likely score 1–0, 18%. Final score 2–1, 11%.

Motherwell goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+8%5%1%4%11%3%7%5%1%2%1%18%15%15%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTCampbell on for Leak, 46'Efete on for Lopata, 76'Denholm on for Harmon and Samuel on for Hale, 81'Grieves on for Chilvers, 90+7'Maswanhise on for Halliday and Paton on for Seddon, 57'Robinson on for Stamatelopoulos and Ebiye on for Sparrow, 69'Tavares on for Kaleta, 90'Hale 47'Nisbet 54'Robinson 83'Ross County 1.59Motherwell 0.6300.511.520153045607590HTCampbell on for Leak, 46'Efete on for Lopata, 76'Denholm on for Harmon and Samuel on for Hale, 81'Grieves on for Chilvers, 90+7'Maswanhise on for Halliday and Paton on for Seddon, 57'Robinson on for Stamatelopoulos and Ebiye on for Sparrow, 69'Tavares on for Kaleta, 90'Hale 47'Nisbet 54'Robinson 83'1.590.63Ross CountyMotherwell

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Ross CountyMotherwell

1.59 +0.70xG0.63 −0.65
1.48 +0.74xG on target1.15 −0.23
16 +6Shots8 −3
4 +0.8Shots on target3 −0.7
2 +1.0Big chances1 −0.9
21 +7Touches in the opposition box16 −4
41% +1Possession59% +21
258 −51Passes383 +82
71% +6Pass accuracy78% +8
43% +7Field tilt57% +24
24 −7Final-third entries32 +6
10 +3.3Box entries6 −2.0
13.4 −2Passes per defensive action14.1 −6
12 +8.8Corners3 −2.9
15 −2Tackles17 +1
16 +4.7Interceptions10 +1.3
34 0Clearances20 −8
2 −0.5Saves2 −1.8
18 +7Fouls13 +3
0 −1.1Offsides0 −2.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Ross County

Hale 38', 0.18 xGChilvers 26', 0.17 xGRandall 68', 0.12 xGRandall 26', 0.10 xGHale 38', 0.06 xGChilvers 32', 0.05 xGLopata 63', 0.05 xGLopata 34', 0.04 xGHale 53', 0.04 xGWhite 67', 0.04 xGHale 68', 0.04 xGHale 23', 0.03 xGChilvers 53', 0.03 xGChilvers 47', 0.01 xGHale 47', 0.57 xG, goalNisbet 54', 0.06 xG, goal8%0.12 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.12 xG, 0 goals74%1.17 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 1.17 xG, 1 goal13%0.20 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.20 xG, 0 goals6%0.09 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.09 xG, 1 goal1%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Motherwell

Stamatelopoulos 50', 0.12 xGSeddon 43', 0.07 xGMiller 14', 0.05 xGCasey 18', 0.05 xGSparrow 18', 0.05 xGMiller 49', 0.03 xGPaton 90+5', 0.02 xGRobinson 83', 0.25 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals84%0.53 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.53 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals11%0.07 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals5%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Ross CountyMotherwell

1.00 8 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.27 4 shots, 0 goals
0.23 2 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.37 6 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.37 4 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
47 min (48%) · Ross County 1.22, Motherwell 0.22 xG
Ross County ahead
50 min (52%) · Ross County 0.38, Motherwell 0.41 xG

Line-ups

1420328231610269LaidlawWrightLopataLeakBrownRandallNisbetHarmonChilversWhiteHaleYellow cardGoalGoal76'46'81'90+7'81'Ross County 3-4-1-2Don Cowie131553217384231114OxboroughCaseyBalmerSeddonKaletaSparrowMillerGordonWilsonHallidayStamatelopoulosYellow card57'90'69'57'69'Motherwell 3-5-1-1Stuart Kettlewell

Ross County substitutes

  • 46' Campbell for Leak
  • 76' Efete for Lopata
  • 81' Denholm for Harmon
  • 81' Samuel for Hale
  • 90+7' Grieves for Chilvers

Motherwell substitutes

  • 57' Paton for Seddon
  • 57' Maswanhise for Halliday
  • 69' Ebiye for Sparrow
  • 69' Robinson for Stamatelopoulos · goal 83'
  • 90' Tavares for Kaleta

Players

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0000.0340
WrightCB900.000.0320.05311
LopataCB760.090.0000.0009
LeakCB460.000.0000.0456
BrownRWB900.000.1010.2152
Randall CM900.220.0100.01314
NisbetCM9010.060.0110.0323
HarmonLWB810.000.2220.2966
ChilversAM900.260.1630.4191
WhiteST900.040.001−0.0104
HaleST8110.930.0100.0020
CampbellDF440.000.0000.0003
EfeteMF140.000.0000.0115
DenholmMF90.000.000––0
SamuelFW90.000.000−0.0102
GrievesMF00.000.000−0.0100

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
OxboroughGK900.000.0000.0220
CaseyCB900.050.1810.1857
BalmerCB900.000.0220.05711
SeddonCB570.070.0000.0255
KaletaRWB900.000.0300.0941
SparrowCM690.050.0600.0002
Miller CM9010.090.3710.0457
GordonCM900.000.0600.201810
WilsonLWB900.000.101−0.0202
HallidayAM570.000.150−0.0220
StamatelopoulosST690.120.0410.0411
PatonMF330.020.0100.0336
MaswanhiseFW330.000.0000.0121
EbiyeMF210.000.0000.0001
RobinsonFW2110.250.000−0.0601
TavaresMF00.000.0000.0010

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Ross County

Laidlaw and White: 3 passesLopata and Brown: 3 passesWright and Chilvers: 3 passesBrown and Randall: 3 passesNisbet and Randall: 3 passesNisbet and Harmon: 3 passesHarmon and Hale: 3 passesLaidlaw and Lopata: 4 passesBrown and Chilvers: 4 passesHarmon and Chilvers: 4 passesLopata and Wright: 5 passesLeak and Randall: 5 passesHarmon and White: 5 passesWright and Brown: 6 passesBrown and White: 6 passesLaidlaw and Leak: 8 passesLeak and Harmon: 8 passesLopata and Leak: 9 passesBrown and Nisbet: 10 passesLaidlaw: 14 completed passesLopata: 13 completed passesWright: 10 completed passesLeak: 16 completed passesBrown: 16 completed passesNisbet: 13 completed passesRandall: 10 completed passesHarmon: 18 completed passesChilvers: 9 completed passesHale: 4 completed passesWhite: 7 completed passes1204322381610926LaidlawLopataWrightLeakBrownNisbetRandallHarmonChilversHaleWhiteStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Motherwell

Seddon and Miller: 4 passesSeddon and Stamatelopoulos: 4 passesKaleta and Gordon: 4 passesWilson and Halliday: 4 passesSparrow and Stamatelopoulos: 4 passesBalmer and Wilson: 5 passesKaleta and Wilson: 5 passesKaleta and Stamatelopoulos: 5 passesMiller and Sparrow: 5 passesMiller and Stamatelopoulos: 5 passesMiller and Halliday: 5 passesOxborough and Casey: 6 passesOxborough and Balmer: 6 passesCasey and Kaleta: 6 passesSeddon and Gordon: 6 passesBalmer and Gordon: 6 passesGordon and Stamatelopoulos: 6 passesCasey and Miller: 7 passesKaleta and Halliday: 7 passesWilson and Miller: 7 passesSeddon and Balmer: 8 passesBalmer and Halliday: 8 passesCasey and Halliday: 9 passesGordon and Miller: 11 passesCasey and Gordon: 12 passesGordon and Halliday: 12 passesOxborough: 14 completed passesCasey: 22 completed passesSeddon: 14 completed passesBalmer: 23 completed passesKaleta: 16 completed passesWilson: 15 completed passesGordon: 34 completed passesMiller: 28 completed passesSparrow: 8 completed passesStamatelopoulos: 11 completed passesHalliday: 25 completed passes131535212343871411OxboroughCaseySeddonBalmerKaletaWilsonGordonMillerSparrowStamatelopoulosHallidayStarters until 57' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Ross County

FromToPasses
LopataLeak8
BrownWright7
NisbetBrown7
BrownNisbet7
HarmonWhite6

Motherwell

FromToPasses
GordonHalliday9
CaseyGordon9
CaseyMiller8
MillerGordon8
GordonCasey8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Ross County

3−2.96−0.221+1.74−1.78+0.36−1.87+0.58+1.113+6.59+3.35+0.64+0.79+5.45−0.82−1.41−2.12−0.26+3.15+1.92−0.41−0.91−0.21−0.120.03+2.30−0.30−0.71+1.00−0.81−8.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 13 matches

Motherwell

4+0.911+5.616−2.610+4.13−3.12−5.33−2.88+2.17−1.46+1.14+0.14+0.75+0.12−3.91−2.52−1.23+0.82−1.25+1.15+2.50−2.010.01−0.30−1.90−1.10−0.61+0.30−0.21+0.72−6.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 11 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Ross County

0.010.010.010.010.040.040.020.020.010.010.010.040.040.030.010.030.02−0.020.030.010.050.090.170.36LessMore

Motherwell

0.020.010.010.010.010.020.020.020.040.030.060.030.01−0.010.100.020.010.01−0.010.010.080.05−0.17−0.020.27LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackRoss County1.00 → 1.03Motherwell1.24 → 1.22Defence (lower is better)Ross County1.56 → 1.52Motherwell1.37 → 1.40

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Ross County
Top six6%10%+4
11th22%21%−1
Bottom30%21%−9
Motherwell
Top six83%75%−8
11th1%1%0
St. Johnstone
Top six6%6%0
11th22%21%−1
Bottom27%31%+4
Dundee FC
Top six15%16%+1
11th17%16%−1
Bottom16%18%+2

From the forecast before the match (23 November 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Ross CountyMotherwell
Expected goals1.211.31
Win34%38%
Expected Points1.291.43
Clean sheet27%30%

Ross County 34%Draw 28%Motherwell 38%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 52%.

Motherwell goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+9%7%3%1%9%8%4%1%6%8%5%2%2%3%2%10%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 23 November 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRoss County winDrawMotherwell win
Ross County
Top six6%10%5%3%
11th22%21%24%23%
Bottom30%21%31%36%
Motherwell
Top six83%75%82%90%
11th1%1%1%<1%
St. Johnstone
Top six6%6%6%5%
11th22%21%23%22%
Bottom27%31%25%25%
Dundee FC
Top six15%16%15%14%
11th17%16%17%18%
Bottom16%18%16%14%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Ross County

  1. L0–39 NovDundee United (A)xG 0.89–1.93
  2. D0–02 NovSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.71–1.25
  3. D0–030 OctHibernian (H)xG 0.50–0.50
  4. W2–126 OctKilmarnock (H)xG 0.82–0.72
  5. L0–319 OctSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.26–3.16
  6. L1–26 OctCeltic (H)xG 0.97–1.51

Motherwell

  1. W2–19 NovSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.44–1.18
  2. W2–130 OctDundee United (A)xG 1.06–1.43
  3. L0–327 OctCeltic (H)xG 0.71–1.45
  4. L0–119 OctDundee FC (H)xG 0.56–0.84
  5. W2–15 OctHibernian (A)xG 1.23–1.35
  6. W2–128 SepSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.07–2.33

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Ross CountyMotherwell
Position9th5th
Played1311
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠6–⁠56–⁠1–⁠4
Points12 (0.92 per game)19 (1.73 per game)
Expected Points per game1.111.31
Goals10–⁠2115–⁠14
xG per game0.89–⁠1.451.28–⁠1.40
Home: points, xG per game1.29, 1.18–⁠0.801.67, 1.42–⁠1.12
Away: points, xG per game0.50, 0.54–⁠2.211.80, 1.11–⁠1.73
ManagerDon Cowie (28)Stuart Kettlewell (63)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackRoss County1.00, 12thMotherwell1.24, 5thDefence (lower is better)Ross County1.56, 11thMotherwell1.37, 5th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovRoss County attack: 1.00Motherwell attack: 1.241.241.00MotherwellRoss CountyDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovRoss County defence: 1.56Motherwell defence: 1.371.561.37

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Ross CountyMotherwell
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−59%+27%−6%+19%
Counter-attacks−47%+3%−48%−58%
Set pieces−27%−21%+14%−23%
Penalties+85%−54%−45%+9%
Headers−43%−6%+54%+10%
Left side−36%−18%−37%+26%
Centre−48%+24%+12%−10%
Right side−61%+13%−8%−4%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdMotherwell concededLeft side−36%−4%Centre−48%−10%Right side−61%+26%Open play−59%+19%Counter-attacks−47%−58%Set pieces−27%−23%Headers−43%+10%

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdRoss County concededLeft side−37%+13%Centre+12%+24%Right side−8%−18%Open play−6%+27%Counter-attacks−48%+3%Set pieces+14%−21%Headers+54%−6%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Ross CountyMotherwell

0.89xG1.28
1.45xG against1.40
40%Possession38%
10.3Shots11.2
13.5Shots against14.0
3.2Shots on target3.7
1.0Big chances1.9
14.1Touches in the opposition box20.0
309Passes302
66%Pass accuracy70%
3.2Corners5.9
37%Field tilt33%
31.2Final-third entries26.0
6.7Box entries8.0
15.9Passes per defensive action19.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level530.901.12
Ahead160.801.17
Behind210.932.49

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level411.371.34
Ahead251.091.50
Behind231.311.41

xG by period

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.191–0
16–300.100.271–2
31–450.270.243–4
46–600.030.200–4
61–750.170.201–3
76–900.210.354–8

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.160.281–2
16–300.360.175–3
31–450.060.272–2
46–600.190.322–3
61–750.180.131–2
76–900.330.224–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Ross County

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTLaidlaw 13Wright 13Efete 2Lopata 10Leak 9Nightingale 3Campbell 2Brown 8Efete 3Denholm 1Chilvers 5Denholm 4Campbell 2Randall 12White 2Harmon 2Nisbet 6Allardice 2Loturi 2Campbell 4Harmon 3Nisbet 2White 7Brophy 3Chilvers 2Hale 12Denholm 1Grieves 13-5-2 in 5 of 13 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (5), 3-4-1-2 (3), 4-4-2 (2), 3-4-2-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

Motherwell

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTOxborough 11McGinn 6O'Donnell 2Gordon 9Balmer 5Casey 9Seddon 1Blaney 1O'Donnell 8Kaleta 3Miller 11Sparrow 2Wilson 1Zdravkov… 9ZdravkovskiHalliday 9Wilson 9Halliday 1Seddon 1Robinson 7Sparrow 1Stamatelopoulos 6Maswanhise 5Ebiye 23-5-2 in 4 of 11 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (4), 3-4-2-1 (4), 3-4-1-2 (2), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
3 August 2024Motherwell0–0Ross CountyxG 1.20–0.31
11 May 2024Ross County1–5MotherwellxG 1.21–1.65
6 February 2024Motherwell5–0Ross CountyxG 2.91–1.05
5 December 2023Ross County3–0MotherwellxG 1.43–1.18
28 October 2023Motherwell3–3Ross CountyxG 2.34–1.92
20 May 2023Motherwell1–0Ross CountyxG 1.47–0.29

17 league meetings since 2020/21: Ross County won 5, Motherwell won 9, and 3 were drawn. Goals 17–33 and xG 1.11–1.57 per game.

Key players

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Hale12993400.380.02
White9850200.240.08
Chilvers7562010.090.16
Denholm7600010.040.12

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Miller11973230.230.23
Halliday10743110.180.10
Robinson7515000.180.02
Casey9760120.170.02

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.