Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Dundee United 1–2 Motherwell

Wednesday 30 October 2024, 19:45 · CalForth Construction Arena at Tannadice Park · Round 10 · Half-time 1–1 · Referee Lloyd Wilson · Attendance 8,415

Dundee United Dalby 36'

Motherwell Maswanhise 23', 74'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee UnitedMotherwell
Goals12
xG1.431.06
Expected Points1.611.09

Dundee United 43%Draw 31%Motherwell 26%

Most likely score 1–1, 18%. Final score 1–2, 8%.

Motherwell goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+6%9%4%1%9%8%2%7%12%6%1%3%5%2%2%18%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTvan der Sande on for Trapanovski and Strain on for Middleton, 61'Odada on for Babunski and Thomson on for Stephenson, 83'Blaney on for O'Donnell, 34'Robinson on for Stamatelopoulos, 70'Halliday on for Sparrow, 71'Tavares on for Maswanhise and Koutroumbis on for Kaleta, 86'Dalby 36'Maswanhise 23'Maswanhise 74'Dundee United 1.43Motherwell 1.0600.511.50153045607590HTvan der Sande on for Trapanovski and Strain on for Middleton, 61'Odada on for Babunski and Thomson on for Stephenson, 83'Blaney on for O'Donnell, 34'Robinson on for Stamatelopoulos, 70'Halliday on for Sparrow, 71'Tavares on for Maswanhise and Koutroumbis on for Kaleta, 86'Dalby 36'Maswanhise 23'Maswanhise 74'1.431.06Dundee UnitedMotherwell

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedMotherwell

1.43 +0.16xG1.06 −0.23
2.15 +0.76xG on target1.80 +0.50
17 +7Shots9 −2
5 +1.4Shots on target3 −0.8
3 +1.3Big chances2 +0.3
32 +9Touches in the opposition box17 −3
58% +16Possession42% +4
429 +123Passes311 +11
76% +9Pass accuracy71% +2
74% +33Field tilt26% −6
31 0Final-third entries26 +2
13 +3.9Box entries7 −0.7
12.0 −3Passes per defensive action18.3 −2
11 +7.3Corners3 −3.6
10 −11Tackles14 −2
7 −0.8Interceptions3 −5.9
27 −3Clearances48 +21
1 −1.6Saves3 −1.1
11 −0.3Fouls12 +2.3
0 −0.9Offsides1 −1.3

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee United

Trapanovski 38', 0.19 xGFerry 39', 0.18 xGGallagher 31', 0.10 xGDalby 15', 0.08 xGTrapanovski 19', 0.08 xGStephenson 72', 0.08 xGHolt 89', 0.06 xGGallagher 31', 0.05 xGMiddleton 45+4', 0.05 xGStephenson 82', 0.05 xGBabunski 15', 0.04 xGTrapanovski 32', 0.04 xGBabunski 69', 0.04 xGThomson 89', 0.04 xGThomson 85', 0.01 xGAdegboyega 90+3', 0.01 xGDalby 36', 0.31 xG, goal35%0.50 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.50 xG, 1 goal29%0.42 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.42 xG, 0 goals13%0.18 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.18 xG, 0 goals23%0.33 xGEdge of the box: 8 shots, 0.33 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Motherwell

Casey 55', 0.09 xGStamatelopoulos 57', 0.08 xGCasey 77', 0.08 xGMaswanhise 49', 0.06 xGMaswanhise 59', 0.02 xGStamatelopoulos 62', 0.02 xGCasey 29', 0.01 xGMaswanhise 74', 0.52 xG, goalMaswanhise 23', 0.18 xG, goal8%0.08 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.08 xG, 0 goals90%0.95 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.95 xG, 2 goals1%0.01 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGEdge of the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals2%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedMotherwell

0.99 9 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.60 3 shots, 1 goal
0.44 8 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.46 6 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
65 min (67%) · Dundee United 0.74, Motherwell 0.97 xG
Motherwell ahead
32 min (33%) · Dundee United 0.68, Motherwell 0.09 xG

Line-ups

116314175101171519WaltonAdegboyegaGallagherHoltStephensonSeveljBabunskiFerryTrapanovskiMiddletonDalbyYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardGoal83'83'61'61'Dundee United 3-4-2-1Jim Goodwin132515213823371455OxboroughO'DonnellBalmerCaseyKaletaMillerWilsonSeddonSparrowStamatelopoulosMaswanhiseYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardGoalGoal34'86'71'70'86'Motherwell 3-4-1-2Stuart Kettlewell

Dundee United substitutes

  • 61' Strain for Middleton
  • 61' van der Sande for Trapanovski
  • 83' Thomson for Stephenson
  • 83' Odada for Babunski

Motherwell substitutes

  • 34' Blaney for O'Donnell · yellow card 45+3'
  • 70' Robinson for Stamatelopoulos
  • 71' Halliday for Sparrow
  • 86' Koutroumbis for Kaleta
  • 86' Tavares for Maswanhise

Players

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
WaltonGK900.000.0000.0112
Adegboyega CB900.010.0210.10113
GallagherCB900.150.0100.0966
HoltCB900.060.1120.1127
Stephenson RWB830.130.010−0.0302
SeveljCM900.000.0700.0117
BabunskiCM830.080.2000.0625
Ferry LWB900.180.1900.1493
TrapanovskiAM6110.320.5310.2530
MiddletonAM610.050.0710.1842
DalbyST9010.390.0620.0604
StrainDF290.000.0510.0632
van der SandeFW290.000.0610.0321
ThomsonMF70.050.001−0.0200
OdadaMF70.000.0000.0000

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
OxboroughGK900.000.0000.0111
O'DonnellCB340.000.0000.0123
BalmerCB900.000.0110.07613
CaseyCB9010.180.1310.22514
Kaleta RWB860.000.0000.0333
MillerCM900.000.1410.0159
Wilson CM900.000.0110.0349
SeddonLWB900.000.0810.19127
SparrowAM710.000.0710.0402
Stamatelopoulos ST700.100.0200.0202
MaswanhiseST8620.780.0100.0732
Blaney DF560.000.0000.0116
RobinsonFW200.000.0000.0002
HallidayMF190.000.0000.0000
KoutroumbisDF40.000.0000.0000
TavaresMF40.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee United

Walton and Adegboyega: 3 passesAdegboyega and Sevelj: 3 passesHolt and Middleton: 3 passesWalton and Gallagher: 4 passesHolt and Sevelj: 4 passesFerry and Sevelj: 4 passesAdegboyega and Babunski: 5 passesAdegboyega and Trapanovski: 5 passesGallagher and Stephenson: 5 passesSevelj and Babunski: 5 passesBabunski and Trapanovski: 5 passesBabunski and Dalby: 5 passesWalton and Ferry: 6 passesAdegboyega and Dalby: 6 passesGallagher and Babunski: 6 passesStephenson and Middleton: 6 passesAdegboyega and Stephenson: 7 passesWalton and Holt: 8 passesDalby and Middleton: 8 passesFerry and Middleton: 9 passesHolt and Babunski: 10 passesFerry and Babunski: 11 passesAdegboyega and Gallagher: 12 passesGallagher and Ferry: 12 passesGallagher and Holt: 22 passesHolt and Ferry: 33 passesWalton: 16 completed passesAdegboyega: 23 completed passesGallagher: 34 completed passesHolt: 42 completed passesStephenson: 12 completed passesFerry: 37 completed passesSevelj: 14 completed passesBabunski: 24 completed passesTrapanovski: 10 completed passesDalby: 8 completed passesMiddleton: 16 completed passes116314171151071915WaltonAdegboyegaGallagherHoltStephensonFerrySeveljBabunskiTrapanovskiDalbyMiddletonStarters until 61' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Motherwell

Casey and O'Donnell: 3 passesBalmer and Miller: 3 passesWilson and Seddon: 3 passesMiller and Sparrow: 3 passesMiller and Maswanhise: 3 passesCasey and Miller: 4 passesCasey and Wilson: 5 passesO'Donnell and Miller: 6 passesO'Donnell and Balmer: 7 passesCasey and Seddon: 11 passesCasey and Balmer: 13 passesOxborough: 1 completed passesCasey: 20 completed passesO'Donnell: 12 completed passesBalmer: 14 completed passesKaleta: 3 completed passesWilson: 6 completed passesMiller: 12 completed passesSeddon: 8 completed passesSparrow: 2 completed passesStamatelopoulos: 2 completed passesMaswanhise: 1 completed passes131525212338371455OxboroughCaseyO'DonnellBalmerKaletaWilsonMillerSeddonSparrowStamatelopoulosMaswanhiseStarters until 34' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

FromToPasses
HoltFerry20
FerryHolt19
HoltGallagher15
BabunskiHolt10
GallagherHolt10

Motherwell

FromToPasses
CaseyBalmer12
BalmerCasey9
SeddonWilson8
CaseySeddon7
BalmerBlaney7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

4+0.113−4.49−0.43−3.34−1.65−1.73−2.910+3.64−2.15+0.77+3.67+1.02−3.61−3.05+1.92−0.26+3.45+1.20−3.01−0.43+2.31−0.21−1.10−1.40−0.30−0.80−0.410.01−6.12−5.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 9 matches

Motherwell

2−0.97+2.034+17.19+0.23−3.13−2.77−0.37+1.310+4.09+0.27+2.87+3.41−2.26+1.03−3.40−3.73−0.15+2.92−1.03−0.73+0.61−1.110.01−0.13+1.01+0.40−0.60−0.70−0.21+0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 9 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee United

0.010.020.010.020.010.020.030.060.010.040.040.03−0.010.010.070.09−0.010.040.060.030.04−0.080.060.180.26LessMore

Motherwell

0.010.010.010.010.030.010.070.010.030.020.050.010.010.010.07−0.01−0.020.100.010.120.14LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackDundee United1.12 → 1.12Motherwell1.24 → 1.24Defence (lower is better)Dundee United1.50 → 1.49Motherwell1.39 → 1.38

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee United
Top six54%42%−12
11th6%8%+2
Bottom4%6%+2
Motherwell
Top six68%80%+12
11th3%1%−2
Bottom2%1%−1
Ross County
Top six13%15%+2
11th19%18%−1
Bottom22%22%0

From the forecast before the match (30 October 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee UnitedMotherwell
Expected goals1.361.25
Win39%34%
Expected Points1.441.29
Clean sheet29%26%

Dundee United 39%Draw 28%Motherwell 34%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 54%.

Motherwell goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+8%9%6%2%8%3%1%7%8%5%2%3%4%2%1%1%1%9%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 30 October 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee United winDrawMotherwell win
Dundee United
Top six54%65%54%42%
11th6%4%6%8%
Bottom4%2%5%6%
Motherwell
Top six68%59%67%80%
11th3%4%2%1%
Bottom2%3%1%1%
Ross County
Top six13%12%14%15%
11th19%18%20%18%
Bottom22%24%21%22%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

  1. L0–126 OctAberdeen (A)xG 0.38–1.41
  2. W3–219 OctHibernian (H)xG 1.79–0.71
  3. W1–05 OctSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.97–1.07
  4. D3–328 SepKilmarnock (A)xG 2.73–2.31
  5. L0–115 SepRangers (H)xG 0.31–0.99
  6. W1–01 SepHearts (A)xG 1.26–0.63

Motherwell

  1. L0–327 OctCeltic (H)xG 0.71–1.45
  2. L0–119 OctDundee FC (H)xG 0.56–0.84
  3. W2–15 OctHibernian (A)xG 1.23–1.35
  4. W2–128 SepSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.07–2.33
  5. L1–214 SepAberdeen (A)xG 1.67–1.85
  6. W2–131 AugSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.89–0.74

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee UnitedMotherwell
Position4th5th
Played99
Won, drawn, lost4–⁠3–⁠24–⁠1–⁠4
Points15 (1.67 per game)13 (1.44 per game)
Expected Points per game1.181.32
Goals13–⁠1011–⁠12
xG per game1.27–⁠1.481.29–⁠1.42
Home: points, xG per game1.75, 1.18–⁠1.431.40, 1.42–⁠1.11
Away: points, xG per game1.60, 1.34–⁠1.531.50, 1.12–⁠1.81
ManagerJim Goodwin (21)Stuart Kettlewell (61)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackDundee United1.12, 8thMotherwell1.24, 5thDefence (lower is better)Dundee United1.50, 9thMotherwell1.39, 7th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctDundee United attack: 1.12Motherwell attack: 1.241.241.12MotherwellDundee UnitedDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctDundee United defence: 1.50Motherwell defence: 1.391.501.39

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee UnitedMotherwell
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−11%+11%−8%+28%
Counter-attacks+96%−26%−62%−50%
Set pieces−25%+1%+24%−20%
Penalties−17%+66%−17%−17%
Headers−6%+30%+63%+16%
Left side−10%−5%−42%+45%
Centre+4%+19%+23%−5%
Right side−22%−18%−28%−5%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdMotherwell concededLeft side−10%−5%Centre+4%−5%Right side−22%+45%Open play−11%+28%Counter-attacks+96%−50%Set pieces−25%−20%Headers−6%+16%

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdDundee United concededLeft side−42%−18%Centre+23%+19%Right side−28%−5%Open play−8%+11%Counter-attacks−62%−26%Set pieces+24%+1%Headers+63%+30%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedMotherwell

1.27xG1.29
1.48xG against1.42
42%Possession38%
10.4Shots11.0
13.4Shots against14.1
3.6Shots on target3.8
1.7Big chances1.7
23.1Touches in the opposition box20.2
306Passes300
67%Pass accuracy69%
3.7Corners6.6
41%Field tilt32%
30.7Final-third entries24.4
9.1Box entries7.7
15.1Passes per defensive action20.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level501.421.43
Ahead240.801.65
Behind161.491.38

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level421.341.40
Ahead201.141.50
Behind291.311.41

xG by period

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.200.111–1
16–300.320.253–1
31–450.100.310–1
46–600.240.192–2
61–750.150.281–2
76–900.270.356–3

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.180.311–2
16–300.370.193–3
31–450.070.231–1
46–600.160.302–2
61–750.150.140–2
76–900.350.244–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTWalton 9Adegboyega 8Gallagher 9Graham 6Holt 4Stephenson 7Sevelj 2Sibbald 7Holt 2Docherty 2Babunski 4Ferry 2Ferry 7Babunski 1Thomson 1Babunski 3Sevelj 2Thomson 2Trapanovski 6Middleton 2Dalby 1van der Sande 6Dalby 33-4-2-1 in 6 of 9 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (6), 3-4-3 (2), 3-5-2 (1)

Motherwell

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTOxborough 9McGinn 6O'Donnell 1Gordon 9Casey 7Balmer 3Blaney 1O'Donnell 8Kaleta 1Zdravkovski 7Halliday 9Miller 1Seddon 1Wilson 8Miller 1Miller 7Zdravkovski 2Maswanhise 3Robinson 2Ebiye 2Robinson 5Stamatelopoulos 3Sparrow 13-4-2-1 in 4 of 9 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (4), 3-5-2 (3), 5-4-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
28 May 2023Motherwell3–2Dundee UnitedxG 2.15–2.81
15 April 2023Motherwell1–2Dundee UnitedxG 2.47–1.53
29 October 2022Dundee United0–1MotherwellxG 0.75–0.92
3 September 2022Motherwell0–0Dundee UnitedxG 3.28–0.36
30 April 2022Dundee United1–0MotherwellxG 0.38–0.77
9 February 2022Dundee United2–0MotherwellxG 1.53–1.11

12 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 5, Motherwell won 4, and 3 were drawn. Goals 14–12 and xG 1.05–1.63 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Trapanovski6458100.360.13
Stephenson7610220.210.12
Graham6507200.220.05
Babunski8631100.130.15

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Miller9793230.290.26
Halliday9656110.190.10
Robinson7495000.190.03
Casey7580110.200.00

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.