Matches › 2024/25

Motherwell 2–1 St. Mirren

Saturday 28 September 2024, 15:00 · Fir Park · Round 6 · Half-time 2–1 · Referee Lloyd Wilson · Attendance 5,214

Motherwell Miller 19' (pen), 44' · Casey sent off 47'

St. Mirren Phillips 9' · Tanser sent off 61'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Motherwell	St. Mirren
Goals	2	1
xG	2.07	2.33
Non-penalty xG	1.28	1.54
Expected Points	1.18	1.53

Motherwell 30%Draw 28%St. Mirren 42%

Most likely score 2–2, 15%. Final score 2–1, 8%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

MotherwellSt. Mirren

2.07 +0.67xG2.33 +1.22

1.28Non-penalty xG1.54

2.17 +0.58xG on target2.61 +1.49

9 −3Shots15 +5

4 0.0Shots on target9 +5.7

3 +1.0Big chances5 +3.3

15 −9Touches in the opposition box21 +3

37% −2Possession63% +21

264 −47Passes459 +165

69% 0Pass accuracy82% +13

31% −6Field tilt69% +35

15 −11Final-third entries43 +15

6 −2.8Box entries9 +0.3

26.2 +7Passes per defensive action15.1 0

9 +1.2Corners6 +3.2

12 −6Tackles10 −7

7 −2.4Interceptions4 −4.5

33 +9Clearances25 −6

7 +3.8Saves2 −0.3

12 +2.4Fouls13 −0.5

2 +0.2Offsides2 −0.3

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Motherwell

St. Mirren

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

MotherwellSt. Mirren

1.14 5 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.62 9 shots, 1 goal

0.03 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

0.11 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.92 5 shots, 0 goals

0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.79 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–00–11–12–1

Level: 34 min (33%) · Motherwell 0.14, St. Mirren 0.44 xG
Motherwell ahead: 59 min (57%) · Motherwell 1.03, St. Mirren 1.89 xG
St. Mirren ahead: 10 min (10%) · Motherwell 0.90, St. Mirren 0.01 xG

Line-ups

Motherwell substitutes

51' Balmer for Ebiye · yellow card 51'
70' Kaleta for O'Donnell
71' Stamatelopoulos for Robinson
71' Watt for Halliday · yellow card 90+4'
84' Sparrow for Zdravkovski

St. Mirren substitutes

66' Brown for Bwomono
66' van Veen for Mandron
74' Idowu for Boyd-Munce
74' Scott for Olusanya
85' Kiltie for O'Hara

Players

Motherwell

Player	Pos	Min	G	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Oxborough	GK	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	1
McGinn	CB	90		0.00	0.48	1	0.22	5	7
Gordon	CB	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	6
Casey	CB	47		0.08	0.00	0	0.03	1	4
O'Donnell	RWB	70		0.00	0.06	0	0.04	5	2
Zdravkovski	CM	84		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	5
Halliday	CM	71		0.00	0.06	1	0.01	0	1
Wilson	LWB	90		0.03	0.34	1	0.22	5	8
Miller	AM	90	2	1.28	0.09	0	0.04	0	2
Ebiye	AM	51		0.08	0.01	1	−0.06	0	3
Robinson	ST	71		0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	5
Balmer	DF	39		0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	2
Kaleta	MF	20		0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	1
Stamatelopoulos	FW	19		0.61	0.00	0	0.00	0	2
Watt	FW	19		0.00	0.00	1	0.01	1	4
Sparrow	MF	6		0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	1

St. Mirren

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Balcombe	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.04	2	2
Fraser	CB	90			0.41	0.26	2	0.34	13	3
Gogic	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.08	1	6
Taylor	CB	90			0.09	0.11	1	0.24	13	7
Bwomono	RWB	66		1	0.00	0.08	1	0.09	5	3
Phillips	CM	90	1		0.62	0.09	1	0.11	7	5
O'Hara	CM	85			0.84	0.08	0	0.02	3	0
Boyd-Munce	CM	74			0.00	0.27	3	0.02	2	4
Tanser	LWB	61			0.00	0.05	2	0.10	6	3
Olusanya	ST	74			0.32	0.00	0	0.01	0	0
Mandron	ST	66			0.05	0.01	1	−0.11	0	6
Brown	DF	24			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	3	1
van Veen	FW	24			0.00	0.00	0	−0.02	0	1
Idowu	MF	16			0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	0
Scott	FW	16			0.00	0.02	1	0.01	0	0
Kiltie	FW	5			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Motherwell

St. Mirren

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Motherwell

From	To	Passes
McGinn	O'Donnell	12
Wilson	Casey	12
Casey	Wilson	11
Gordon	Casey	7
Gordon	McGinn	7

St. Mirren

From	To	Passes
Gogic	Taylor	23
Taylor	Gogic	17
Fraser	Gogic	15
Gogic	Fraser	14
Taylor	Tanser	11

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Motherwell

Against its average of 5 matches

St. Mirren

Against its average of 6 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Motherwell

St. Mirren

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Motherwell
Top six	67%	75%	+8
11th	2%	1%	−1
Bottom	1%	1%	0
St. Mirren
Top six	47%	39%	−8
11th	7%	8%	+1
Bottom	5%	6%	+1

From the forecast before the match (28 September 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Motherwell	St. Mirren
Expected goals	1.58	1.04
Win	49%	24%
Expected Points	1.74	0.99
Clean sheet	35%	21%

Motherwell 49%Draw 26%St. Mirren 24%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 52%.

From the forecast as it stood on 28 September 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Motherwell win	Draw	St. Mirren win
Motherwell
Top six	67%	75%	64%	55%
11th	2%	1%	3%	4%
Bottom	1%	1%	1%	2%
St. Mirren
Top six	47%	39%	48%	60%
11th	7%	8%	7%	4%
Bottom	5%	6%	4%	2%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Motherwell

St. Mirren

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Motherwell	St. Mirren
Position	6th	5th
Played	5	6
Won, drawn, lost	2–⁠1–⁠2	2–⁠2–⁠2
Points	7 (1.40 per game)	8 (1.33 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.51	1.25
Goals	7–⁠6	10–⁠11
xG per game	1.40–⁠1.36	1.11–⁠1.40
Home: points, xG per game	2.00, 1.87–⁠0.46	1.75, 1.01–⁠1.25
Away: points, xG per game	1.00, 1.09–⁠1.96	0.50, 1.32–⁠1.68
Manager	Stuart Kettlewell (57)	Stephen Robinson (39)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Motherwell		St. Mirren
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	+12%	+35%	−27%	+25%
Counter-attacks	−66%	−21%	+48%	−14%
Set pieces	+48%	−30%	−24%	+8%
Penalties	−83%	−83%	+19%	−100%
Headers	+113%	+40%	−43%	+5%
Left side	−30%	+33%	−16%	+5%
Centre	+51%	+12%	−27%	+1%
Right side	−26%	−9%	−1%	+63%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−30%+63%Centre+51%+1%Right side−26%+5%Open play+12%+25%Counter-attacks−66%−14%Set pieces+48%+8%Headers+113%+5%

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdMotherwell concededLeft side−16%−9%Centre−27%+12%Right side−1%+33%Open play−27%+35%Counter-attacks+48%−21%Set pieces−24%−30%Headers−43%+40%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

MotherwellSt. Mirren

1.40xG1.11

1.36xG against1.40

39%Possession42%

12.0Shots10.2

11.8Shots against13.5

4.0Shots on target3.3

2.0Big chances1.7

24.0Touches in the opposition box18.3

311Passes294

69%Pass accuracy69%

7.8Corners2.8

37%Field tilt34%

25.6Final-third entries27.7

8.8Box entries8.7

18.9Passes per defensive action15.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Motherwell

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	40	1.71	1.50
Ahead	24	0.79	0.80
Behind	27	1.47	1.68

St. Mirren

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	41	1.03	1.28
Ahead	27	1.36	1.16
Behind	22	0.96	1.91

xG by period

Motherwell

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.24	0.49	1–1
16–30	0.39	0.14	2–2
31–45	0.09	0.10	0–0
46–60	0.21	0.12	1–0
61–75	0.14	0.16	0–2
76–90	0.33	0.35	3–1

St. Mirren

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.06	0.27	2–2
16–30	0.09	0.24	1–2
31–45	0.58	0.21	4–2
46–60	0.10	0.17	1–2
61–75	0.12	0.31	0–2
76–90	0.17	0.19	2–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Motherwell

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (3), 5-4-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1)

St. Mirren

Formations: 3-5-2 (5), 3-1-4-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
30 March 2024	Motherwell	1–1	St. Mirren	xG 1.84–1.32
16 December 2023	St. Mirren	0–0	Motherwell	xG 1.25–1.00
16 September 2023	Motherwell	0–1	St. Mirren	xG 1.18–0.55
15 February 2023	Motherwell	2–1	St. Mirren	xG 0.48–0.46
28 January 2023	St. Mirren	1–0	Motherwell	xG 0.60–0.40
31 July 2022	St. Mirren	0–1	Motherwell	xG 2.38–1.16

13 league meetings since 2020/21: Motherwell won 4, St. Mirren won 3, and 6 were drawn. Goals 13–11 and xG 1.30–1.18 per game.

Key players

Motherwell

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Vale	9	860	2	2	0.22	0.11
Halliday	13	977	1	2	0.23	0.08
Miller	25	2,202	0	4	0.08	0.12
Wilson	5	450	0	0	0.03	0.16

St. Mirren

Player	Starts	Min	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Rooney	6	517	0	0.02	0.11
Gogic	6	496	0	0.05	0.03
Fraser	6	540	1	0.00	0.05
Balcombe	6	540	0	0.00	0.00

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.