Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

St. Johnstone 0–1 Aberdeen

Saturday 1 April 2023, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 30 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Colin Steven · Attendance 6,001

St. Johnstone Considine sent off 6'

Aberdeen Matthews 30' (og) · Shinnie sent off 90+1'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. JohnstoneAberdeen
Goals01
xG0.821.00
Expected Points1.181.47

St. Johnstone 27%Draw 35%Aberdeen 37%

Most likely score 1–1, 16%. Final score 0–1, 16%.

Aberdeen goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+8%2%7%2%5%6%3%1%1%16%16%13%16%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTConsidine (St. Johnstone), red card 6'Shinnie (Aberdeen), second yellow card 90+1'Carey on for Rudden, 65'Murphy on for Wotherspoon, 71'Bair on for Phillips, 90'Duncan on for Hayes, 76'Myslovic on for Duk, 84'Watkins on for Miovski, 90'Matthews 30' (og)Aberdeen 1.00St. Johnstone 0.8200.511.50153045607590HTConsidine (St. Johnstone), red card 6'Shinnie (Aberdeen), second yellow card 90+1'Carey on for Rudden, 65'Murphy on for Wotherspoon, 71'Bair on for Phillips, 90'Duncan on for Hayes, 76'Myslovic on for Duk, 84'Watkins on for Miovski, 90'Matthews 30' (og)1.000.82St. JohnstoneAberdeen

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneAberdeen

0.82 −0.08xG1.00 −0.31
1.01 +0.11xG on target0.64 −0.71
14 +4.2Shots12 0.0
6 +3.0Shots on target3 −0.9
0 −1.4Big chances0 −1.9
18 +3Touches in the opposition box14 −6
35% −7Possession65% +17
249 −76Passes475 +113
55% −11Pass accuracy80% +9
32% −6Field tilt68% +29
28 0Final-third entries67 +32
11 +3.4Box entries11 +1.0
18.5 0Passes per defensive action8.0 −8
7 +3.5Corners7 +1.8
25 +9Tackles18 +4
3 −8.1Interceptions10 +1.1
20 −6Clearances22 −2
3 +0.2Saves6 +3.1
6 −5.1Fouls8 −1.8
0 −1.4Offsides2 +0.8

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Johnstone

Hallberg 86', 0.18 xGGordon 2', 0.11 xGMurphy 90+4', 0.09 xGGordon 90+5', 0.09 xGHallberg 74', 0.06 xGMontgomery 90+4', 0.05 xGMay 39', 0.04 xGPhillips 78', 0.04 xGHallberg 82', 0.04 xGMcGowan 2', 0.03 xGRudden 8', 0.03 xGPhillips 76', 0.03 xGWright 45+1', 0.02 xGGordon 90+5', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals65%0.54 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.54 xG, 0 goals16%0.13 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals16%0.13 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals4%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Aberdeen

Miovski 18', 0.18 xGMacDonald 30', 0.13 xGMcCrorie 62', 0.11 xGMiovski 45+2', 0.10 xGDuncan 81', 0.09 xGHayes 7', 0.08 xGRamadani 53', 0.08 xGMacDonald 18', 0.06 xGClarkson 88', 0.06 xGRamadani 9', 0.05 xGMiovski 41', 0.04 xGMacDonald 44', 0.02 xG31%0.31 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.31 xG, 0 goals28%0.28 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.28 xG, 0 goals20%0.20 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.20 xG, 0 goals19%0.19 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.19 xG, 0 goals2%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneAberdeen

0.31 7 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.46 6 shots, 0 goals
0.04 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.05 1 shot, 0 goals
0.48 6 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.49 5 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
30 min (31%) · St. Johnstone 0.17, Aberdeen 0.37 xG
Aberdeen ahead
67 min (69%) · St. Johnstone 0.65, Aberdeen 0.63 xG

Line-ups

113641434221910167MatthewsMcGowanGordonConsidineWrightPhillipsHallbergMontgomeryWotherspoonRuddenMayOwn goalYellow cardSent offYellow card90'71'65'St. Johnstone 3-4-1-2Callum Davidson241827421620617911RoosPollockMacDonaldScalesMcCrorieRamadaniClarksonShinnieHayesMiovskiDukYellow cardYellow cardSent off, second yellowYellow card76'90'84'Aberdeen 3-5-2Barry Robson

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 65' Carey for Rudden · yellow card 81'
  • 71' Murphy for Wotherspoon
  • 90' Bair for Phillips

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 76' Duncan for Hayes
  • 84' Myslovic for Duk
  • 90' Watkins for Miovski

Players

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MatthewsGK900.000.0000.0220
McGowan CB900.030.0000.04212
GordonCB900.230.0000.0348
Considine CB60.000.0000.0110
WrightRWB900.020.0110.0026
PhillipsCM900.060.0310.0845
HallbergCM900.280.0310.0533
MontgomeryLWB900.050.0000.0215
WotherspoonAM710.000.0410.0215
Rudden ST650.030.000−0.0101
MayST900.040.1220.0012
Carey MF250.000.2010.1121
MurphyFW190.090.2120.1761
BairFW00.000.0000.0000

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
RoosGK900.000.0000.0662
PollockCB900.000.0300.16108
MacDonaldCB900.210.0200.0848
ScalesCB900.000.0510.1089
McCrorieRWB900.110.0100.0483
RamadaniCM900.140.0610.1267
Clarkson CM900.060.1320.1682
Shinnie CM900.000.1210.1384
HayesLWB760.080.4350.1172
Miovski ST900.320.010−0.0512
DukST840.000.021−0.0124
DuncanFW140.090.0000.0202
MyslovicMF60.000.0000.0110
WatkinsFW00.000.0100.0100

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Aberdeen

McCrorie and Clarkson: 6 passesHayes and Shinnie: 6 passesShinnie and Miovski: 6 passesHayes and Ramadani: 7 passesScales and Hayes: 8 passesMacDonald and Hayes: 8 passesPollock and Ramadani: 8 passesMcCrorie and Hayes: 9 passesClarkson and Shinnie: 9 passesScales and MacDonald: 10 passesHayes and Clarkson: 10 passesClarkson and Ramadani: 10 passesClarkson and Duk: 11 passesRoos and MacDonald: 12 passesScales and Duk: 12 passesMacDonald and McCrorie: 12 passesMcCrorie and Ramadani: 12 passesScales and Shinnie: 13 passesMacDonald and Ramadani: 13 passesPollock and Shinnie: 13 passesMacDonald and Clarkson: 16 passesPollock and Clarkson: 19 passesScales and Clarkson: 20 passesMacDonald and Pollock: 25 passesScales and Pollock: 26 passesRoos: 16 completed passesScales: 53 completed passesMacDonald: 49 completed passesPollock: 59 completed passesMcCrorie: 26 completed passesHayes: 28 completed passesClarkson: 55 completed passesShinnie: 27 completed passesRamadani: 32 completed passesMiovski: 9 completed passesDuk: 15 completed passes244271821720616911RoosScalesMacDonaldPollockMcCrorieHayesClarksonShinnieRamadaniMiovskiDukStarters until 76' · lines join pairs with 6+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
MontgomeryPhillips7
WrightWotherspoon6
WrightPhillips6
PhillipsMontgomery5
WotherspoonWright5

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
PollockMacDonald14
PollockScales14
ScalesPollock13
ScalesClarkson12
ClarksonScales11

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

10+3.54−4.418+3.03−2.813+4.29+1.23−3.05−4.36−0.14−0.73−0.11−4.34−2.36+2.34+0.51−1.51−1.84−0.16+3.50−1.61+0.52+1.05+2.80−0.71+0.80−0.40−0.40−0.63−5.83−5.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 29 matches

Aberdeen

4−2.619+1.710+3.93−2.89+2.33−3.06−1.07−0.710+4.66+1.02−1.39+3.712+5.34+0.35+0.33+0.64+0.18+4.42+0.63+1.60−1.12+0.84+1.91+0.30−0.20−0.51+0.84+3.40−4.84−5.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 29 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.010.010.040.010.010.020.030.030.030.030.040.020.050.030.050.03−0.060.050.09LessMore

Aberdeen

0.020.010.010.060.020.020.010.010.040.070.030.040.070.01−0.020.080.05−0.01−0.05−0.010.110.120.100.12LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.26AttackSt. Johnstone0.94 → 0.93Aberdeen1.14 → 1.15Defence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.39 → 1.39Aberdeen1.32 → 1.30

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
Top six3%<1%−3
11th1%2%+1
Aberdeen
Top six94%99%+5
Livingston
Top six62%59%−3

From the forecast before the match (1 April 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. JohnstoneAberdeen
Expected goals1.191.14
Win36%34%
Expected Points1.391.32
Clean sheet32%31%

St. Johnstone 36%Draw 29%Aberdeen 34%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 48%.

Aberdeen goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+6%2%8%3%7%8%4%2%3%3%2%10%10%11%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 1 April 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Johnstone winDrawAberdeen win
St. Johnstone
Top six3%8%2%<1%
11th1%1%1%2%
Aberdeen
Top six94%88%95%99%
Livingston
Top six62%62%63%59%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. D1–118 MarKilmarnock (A)xG 0.57–1.31
  2. L0–34 MarHearts (A)xG 1.19–1.63
  3. D1–125 FebSt. Mirren (H)xG 0.39–1.59
  4. W2–118 FebDundee United (A)xG 0.95–1.17
  5. L1–45 FebCeltic (H)xG 0.26–2.02
  6. W2–01 FebMotherwell (A)xG 1.00–0.31

Aberdeen

  1. W3–018 MarHearts (H)xG 2.03–0.52
  2. W3–14 MarDundee United (A)xG 0.78–2.02
  3. W1–025 FebLivingston (H)xG 1.08–0.43
  4. L0–418 FebCeltic (A)xG 0.27–1.50
  5. W3–14 FebMotherwell (H)xG 1.94–0.85
  6. L1–31 FebSt. Mirren (H)xG 0.94–2.21

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneAberdeen
Position8th4th
Played2929
Won, drawn, lost9–⁠5–⁠1513–⁠2–⁠14
Points32 (1.10 per game)41 (1.41 per game)
Expected Points per game1.081.25
Goals33–⁠4846–⁠52
xG per game0.90–⁠1.331.31–⁠1.61
Home: points, xG per game0.92, 0.94–⁠1.182.07, 1.70–⁠1.12
Away: points, xG per game1.25, 0.86–⁠1.450.71, 0.89–⁠2.14
ManagerCallum Davidson (105)Barry Robson (6)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.26AttackSt. Johnstone0.94, 12thAberdeen1.14, 5thDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.39, 7thAberdeen1.32, 6th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarSt. Johnstone attack: 0.94Aberdeen attack: 1.141.140.94AberdeenSt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarSt. Johnstone defence: 1.39Aberdeen defence: 1.321.391.32

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−25%+16%−11%+6%
Counter-attacks−69%−76%+52%+17%
Set pieces−46%−4%−11%+21%
Penalties−28%−46%+61%+115%
Headers−49%+3%+16%+8%
Left side−39%+18%−12%+21%
Centre−28%−3%−17%−1%
Right side−32%+11%+8%+17%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdAberdeen concededLeft side−39%+17%Centre−28%−1%Right side−32%+21%Open play−25%+6%Counter-attacks−69%+17%Set pieces−46%+21%Headers−49%+8%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−12%+11%Centre−17%−3%Right side+8%+18%Open play−11%+16%Counter-attacks+52%−76%Set pieces−11%−4%Headers+16%+3%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneAberdeen

0.90xG1.31
1.33xG against1.61
42%Possession48%
9.8Shots12.0
14.4Shots against14.3
3.0Shots on target3.9
1.4Big chances1.9
15.0Touches in the opposition box20.4
325Passes362
66%Pass accuracy71%
3.5Corners5.2
38%Field tilt40%
27.7Final-third entries35.1
7.6Box entries10.0
18.1Passes per defensive action16.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level390.771.28
Ahead190.690.92
Behind321.171.64

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level381.181.50
Ahead261.641.24
Behind261.172.14

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.264–7
16–300.130.154–5
31–450.160.274–12
46–600.160.173–4
61–750.160.238–6
76–900.230.2610–14

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.234–8
16–300.170.206–5
31–450.310.2810–10
46–600.230.247–7
61–750.280.3310–9
76–900.240.329–13

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKRWBCBCBCBLWBCMCMCMSTSTMatthews 27Parish 2Wright 24Brown 3Carey 2Mitchell 24McGowan 12Gordon 20Wright 1Considine 26Brown 4Montgo… 13MontgomeryBrown 6Carey 3Carey 14Brown 4Montgomery 4Hallberg 23McGowan 9MacPherson 10Phillips 10Murphy 3May 21Bair 6Clark 18Murphy 8McLennan 55-3-2 in 10 of 29 starts

Formations: 5-3-2 (10), 3-4-1-2 (7), 3-4-2-1 (6), 5-4-1 (2), 3-1-4-2 (2), 3-5-2 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTRoos 22Gorter 4Lewis 3McCrorie 16Richardson 9Pollock 3Stewart 21MacDonald 6Scales 21McCrorie 4Pollock 3Duk 13Coulson 11Hayes 2Ramadani 26Barron 7Richardson 3Shinnie 7Clarkson 7McCrorie 6Kennedy 13Besuijen 4Barron 3Clarkson 10Coulson 5Besuijen 5Hayes 10Duk 7Clarkson 6Miovski 294-2-3-1 in 11 of 29 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (11), 3-5-2 (10), 3-1-4-2 (3), 4-4-2 (3), 4-3-3 (2)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
7 January 2023Aberdeen2–0St. JohnstonexG 1.10–0.51
20 August 2022St. Johnstone0–1AberdeenxG 0.34–1.05
11 May 2022St. Johnstone1–0AberdeenxG 0.68–0.28
15 February 2022Aberdeen1–1St. JohnstonexG 2.12–1.17
11 December 2021St. Johnstone0–1AberdeenxG 0.21–0.77
18 September 2021Aberdeen0–1St. JohnstonexG 0.55–0.31

10 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 2, Aberdeen won 6, and 2 were drawn. Goals 4–9 and xG 0.63–0.99 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
May211,871650.220.12
Clark191,486420.250.05
Carey191,540310.210.07
Murphy131,101300.120.09

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Miovski292,2981500.560.02
Besuijen9897310.230.18
Duk211,8811320.300.04
Hayes151,285150.090.19

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.