Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
Dundee UnitedSt. Mirren
1.12 +0.22xG1.75 +0.65
1.12Non-penalty xG0.97
11 +1Shots16 +4
2 −1.5Shots on target3 −0.2
2 +1.1Big chances2 +0.4
19 +2Touches in the opposition box28 +8
42% −4Possession58% +20
313 −48Passes428 +152
66% −4Pass accuracy73% +11
44% −1Field tilt56% +17
38 +2Final-third entries48 +17
7 −2.0Box entries12 +2.5
17.9 +1Passes per defensive action9.9 −7
1 −4.0Corners4 −1.5
13 −3Tackles16 +1
11 +2.2Interceptions7 −2.1
56 +31Clearances21 −2
1 −2.2Saves1 −1.2
11 +1Fouls9 −4
1 −0.4Offsides4 +2.9
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Dundee United
St. Mirren
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
3'73'
1–01–1
0'HTFT
Level
32 min (31%) · Dundee United 0.92, St. Mirren 0.34 xG
Dundee United ahead
70 min (69%) · Dundee United 0.20, St. Mirren 1.42 xG
Line-ups
Dundee United substitutes
59'Djoum for Pawlett
59'Fotheringham for McGrath
88'Niskanen for Harkes
88'Cudjoe for McMann
90+5'Freeman for Smith
St. Mirren substitutes
74'Small for Tanser
83'Flynn for Strain
89'Shaughnessy for Kiltie
90+9'Boyd-Munce for R. Taylor
Players
Dundee United
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Birighitti
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
3
1
Ayina
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.05
3
23
Edwards
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.03
2
16
McMann
CB
88
0.05
0.00
0
0.04
3
5
Smith
RWB
90
0.07
0.07
1
0.06
7
9
Harkes
CM
88
0.00
0.01
0
0.01
3
5
Sibbald
CM
90
0.08
0.01
0
0.01
2
7
Behich
LWB
90
0.11
0.02
0
0.08
9
7
Pawlett
AM
59
0.00
0.00
1
0.00
1
2
McGrath
AM
59
0.00
0.16
2
0.00
3
4
Fletcher
ST
90
1
0.11
0.06
0
0.05
3
1
Djoum
MF
31
0.00
0.19
0
0.22
2
6
Fotheringham
MF
31
0.13
0.01
1
0.02
1
0
Niskanen
DF
2
0.43
0.05
0
−0.16
1
0
Cudjoe
FW
2
0.14
0.02
0
0.06
1
0
Freeman
DF
0
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
St. Mirren
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Carson
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.06
5
0
Strain
RWB
83
0.04
0.02
0
0.09
9
5
Fraser
CB
90
0.00
0.02
0
0.11
13
2
Gogic
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.05
4
9
R. Taylor
CB
90
0.07
0.03
0
0.16
16
10
Tanser
LWB
74
0.03
0.32
4
0.27
7
1
Kiltie
CM
89
0.06
0.09
1
0.06
0
3
Baccus
CM
90
0.11
0.14
1
0.09
3
4
O'Hara
CM
90
1
1.04
0.01
0
0.00
2
4
Greive
ST
90
0.20
0.04
1
−0.01
0
0
Main
ST
90
0.13
0.08
2
0.10
3
2
Small
FW
16
0.06
0.05
1
0.10
3
2
Flynn
MF
7
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
1
Shaughnessy
DF
1
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
2
Boyd-Munce
MF
0
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Dundee United
St. Mirren
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Dundee United
From
To
Passes
Behich
McGrath
13
McGrath
Behich
10
Smith
Harkes
8
Birighitti
Fletcher
8
Harkes
Smith
7
St. Mirren
From
To
Passes
Strain
Fraser
15
Fraser
Gogic
15
Fraser
Baccus
13
Gogic
R. Taylor
12
R. Taylor
Gogic
12
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Dundee United
Against its average of 28 matches
St. Mirren
Against its average of 28 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Dundee United
St. Mirren
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Dundee United
11th
30%
29%
−1
Bottom
46%
50%
+4
St. Mirren
Top six
61%
59%
−2
Livingston
Top six
52%
54%
+2
Ross County
11th
33%
33%
0
Bottom
26%
24%
−2
From the forecast before the match (18 March 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Dundee United
St. Mirren
Expected goals
1.20
1.10
Win
38%
33%
Expected Points
1.42
1.28
Clean sheet
33%
30%
Dundee United 38%Draw 30%St. Mirren 33%
Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 47%.
From the forecast as it stood on 18 March 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Dundee United win
Draw
St. Mirren win
Dundee United
11th
30%
32%
29%
28%
Bottom
46%
33%
50%
57%
St. Mirren
Top six
61%
46%
59%
80%
Livingston
Top six
52%
59%
54%
44%
Ross County
11th
33%
31%
33%
36%
Bottom
26%
31%
24%
20%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Dundee United
St. Mirren
Position
12th
6th
Played
28
28
Won, drawn, lost
5–6–17
10–7–11
Points
21 (0.75 per game)
37 (1.32 per game)
Expected Points per game
0.99
1.20
Goals
29–53
30–41
xG per game
0.90–1.59
1.10–1.31
Home: points, xG per game
0.93, 0.95–1.56
1.87, 1.17–1.06
Away: points, xG per game
0.57, 0.85–1.61
0.69, 1.02–1.59
Manager
Jim Goodwin (2)
Stephen Robinson (21)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Dundee United
St. Mirren
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−33%
+28%
−24%
−12%
Counter-attacks
−36%
+115%
−17%
−19%
Set pieces
−41%
+8%
average
−12%
Penalties
−6%
−25%
−6%
+89%
Headers
−39%
+29%
+15%
−7%
Left side
−22%
+52%
−12%
+3%
Centre
−36%
+18%
−21%
−17%
Right side
−45%
+14%
−18%
−20%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
St. Mirren createdDundee United concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−12%+14%Centre−21%+18%Right side−18%+52%Open play−24%+28%Counter-attacks−17%+115%Set piecesaverage+8%Headers+15%+29%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
Dundee UnitedSt. Mirren
0.90xG1.10
1.59xG against1.31
46%Possession38%
10.4Shots11.9
15.4Shots against11.6
3.5Shots on target3.2
0.9Big chances1.6
17.5Touches in the opposition box20.0
362Passes276
70%Pass accuracy62%
5.0Corners5.5
44%Field tilt40%
35.7Final-third entries31.4
9.0Box entries9.5
16.5Passes per defensive action16.9
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Dundee United
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
35
0.75
1.53
Ahead
20
0.82
1.23
Behind
36
1.09
1.84
St. Mirren
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
44
1.09
1.17
Ahead
23
1.28
1.22
Behind
24
0.95
1.65
xG by period
Dundee United
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.16
0.22
6–8
16–30
0.12
0.15
4–2
31–45
0.18
0.30
3–12
46–60
0.10
0.36
4–12
61–75
0.19
0.20
6–4
76–90
0.14
0.35
6–15
St. Mirren
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.12
0.16
5–5
16–30
0.12
0.18
2–5
31–45
0.21
0.25
6–6
46–60
0.19
0.20
7–7
61–75
0.18
0.21
2–9
76–90
0.28
0.30
8–9
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Digressive Celts