Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Dundee United 0–3 St. Mirren

Saturday 20 August 2022, 15:00 · Tannadice Park · Round 4 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Matthew McDermid · Attendance 7,540

St. Mirren Main 40', 51', Greive 90+1'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee UnitedSt. Mirren
Goals03
xG1.251.84
Expected Points0.911.81

Dundee United 21%Draw 28%St. Mirren 51%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Final score 0–3, 4%.

St. Mirren goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+2%7%8%4%1%3%7%2%2%8%10%4%1%3%3%2%14%14%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTCudjoe on for McGrath, 46'Niskanen on for Behich and Clark on for Watt, 61'Kiltie on for Baccus, 72'Brophy on for Ayunga, 77'Greive on for Main, 86'Main 40'Main 51'Greive 90+1'St. Mirren 1.84Dundee United 1.2500.511.520153045607590HTCudjoe on for McGrath, 46'Niskanen on for Behich and Clark on for Watt, 61'Kiltie on for Baccus, 72'Brophy on for Ayunga, 77'Greive on for Main, 86'Main 40'Main 51'Greive 90+1'1.841.25Dundee UnitedSt. Mirren

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedSt. Mirren

1.25 +0.55xG1.84 +0.65
0.48 −0.47xG on target1.26 −0.17
13 +4.0Shots12 +1.0
3 −0.7Shots on target5 +2.0
2 +1.7Big chances3 +1.0
69% +16Possession31% −7
471 +38Passes200 −80
81% +7Pass accuracy54% −10
70% +22Field tilt30% −11
59 +19Final-third entries24 −9
8 −1.0Box entries14 +1.7
7.6 −6Passes per defensive action21.8 +3
6 +1.0Corners7 +1.0
12 −3Tackles6 −9
4 −6.3Interceptions6 −1.0
20 +3Clearances33 +16
2 −3.3Saves3 +0.3
10 −1Fouls17 +6
2 +1.7Offsides2 +1.3

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee United

Fletcher 5', 0.48 xGSmith 21', 0.20 xGNiskanen 76', 0.10 xGMiddleton 38', 0.07 xGFletcher 47', 0.07 xGMulgrew 38', 0.06 xGHarkes 62', 0.06 xGFletcher 82', 0.05 xGMulgrew 58', 0.04 xGLevitt 24', 0.03 xGCudjoe 60', 0.03 xGNiskanen 84', 0.03 xGFletcher 86', 0.03 xG38%0.48 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.48 xG, 0 goals46%0.57 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 0.57 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals13%0.16 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals3%0.04 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

St. Mirren

O'Hara 55', 0.18 xGAyunga 1', 0.14 xGO'Hara 30', 0.13 xGO'Hara 32', 0.07 xGTait 56', 0.07 xGBaccus 9', 0.03 xGAyunga 45', 0.03 xGStrain 43', 0.02 xGMain 83', 0.02 xGGreive 90+1', 0.74 xG, goalMain 40', 0.25 xG, goalMain 51', 0.17 xG, goal4%0.07 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.07 xG, 0 goals41%0.76 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.76 xG, 2 goals11%0.20 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.20 xG, 0 goals4%0.07 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals40%0.74 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.74 xG, 1 goal

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedSt. Mirren

1.01 9 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.93 8 shots, 2 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.74 1 shot, 1 goal
0.24 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.16 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
40 min (43%) · Dundee United 0.84, St. Mirren 0.61 xG
St. Mirren ahead
52 min (57%) · Dundee United 0.41, St. Mirren 1.22 xG

Line-ups

1321241623191815932ErikssonSmithEdwardsMulgrewBehichHarkesLevittMcGrathMiddletonFletcherWattYellow cardYellow card61'46'61'Dundee United 4-3-3Jack Ross123223118217616107CarsonStrainFraserGallagherDunneTaitBaccusO'HaraErhahonMainAyungaYellow cardYellow cardGoalGoal72'86'77'St. Mirren 5-3-2Steve Robinson

Dundee United substitutes

  • 46' Cudjoe for McGrath · yellow card 79'
  • 61' Niskanen for Behich
  • 61' Clark for Watt

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 72' Kiltie for Baccus
  • 77' Brophy for Ayunga · 1 assist
  • 86' Greive for Main · goal 90+1'

Players

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ErikssonGK900.000.0000.0321
SmithRB900.200.3010.51182
EdwardsCB900.000.0000.0738
MulgrewCB900.110.0300.1689
Behich LB610.000.0000.0233
HarkesCM900.060.4510.0422
Levitt CM900.030.1810.0654
McGrathCM460.000.0000.0133
MiddletonRW900.070.3420.35111
FletcherST900.630.0330.0014
WattLW610.000.0100.0130
Cudjoe FW440.030.000−0.0111
NiskanenDF290.140.0400.1041
ClarkFW290.000.000−0.0100

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
CarsonGK900.000.0100.0541
StrainRWB900.020.1530.1364
FraserCB900.000.1010.1037
GallagherCB900.000.0300.0859
DunneCB900.000.0000.01111
TaitLWB900.070.0100.0354
Baccus CM720.030.0210.0413
O'Hara CM900.370.010−0.0355
ErhahonCM900.000.0110.0224
MainST8620.440.0300.0121
AyungaST7710.160.1620.2371
KiltieMF180.000.0000.0320
BrophyFW1310.000.0010.0110
GreiveFW410.740.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee United

Eriksson and Levitt: 3 passesMulgrew and Fletcher: 3 passesMcGrath and Watt: 3 passesFletcher and Watt: 3 passesEriksson and Edwards: 4 passesSmith and Mulgrew: 4 passesSmith and Harkes: 4 passesHarkes and Levitt: 4 passesHarkes and Fletcher: 4 passesEriksson and Mulgrew: 5 passesEdwards and Mulgrew: 5 passesBehich and McGrath: 5 passesEdwards and Levitt: 6 passesMulgrew and Levitt: 6 passesMulgrew and McGrath: 7 passesBehich and Levitt: 7 passesBehich and Watt: 7 passesSmith and Edwards: 10 passesSmith and Middleton: 13 passesSmith and Levitt: 14 passesMulgrew and Behich: 20 passesEriksson: 12 completed passesSmith: 27 completed passesEdwards: 14 completed passesMulgrew: 27 completed passesBehich: 27 completed passesMcGrath: 7 completed passesHarkes: 7 completed passesLevitt: 21 completed passesMiddleton: 6 completed passesFletcher: 5 completed passesWatt: 9 completed passes1321241618231915932ErikssonSmithEdwardsMulgrewBehichMcGrathHarkesLevittMiddletonFletcherWattStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

St. Mirren

Carson and Gallagher: 3 passesGallagher and Main: 3 passesStrain and O'Hara: 3 passesTait and O'Hara: 3 passesTait and Ayunga: 3 passesO'Hara and Erhahon: 3 passesFraser and Ayunga: 4 passesStrain and Ayunga: 4 passesBaccus and Main: 4 passesFraser and Strain: 5 passesDunne and Tait: 6 passesStrain and Erhahon: 6 passesStrain and Baccus: 9 passesCarson: 9 completed passesDunne: 13 completed passesGallagher: 12 completed passesFraser: 10 completed passesStrain: 19 completed passesTait: 9 completed passesBaccus: 7 completed passesO'Hara: 7 completed passesErhahon: 12 completed passesMain: 6 completed passesAyunga: 4 completed passes118312223217616107CarsonDunneGallagherFraserStrainTaitBaccusO'HaraErhahonMainAyungaStarters until 72' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

FromToPasses
SmithMiddleton32
MiddletonSmith17
SmithEdwards15
EdwardsSmith15
BehichMulgrew14

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
StrainBaccus6
DunneTait5
FraserAyunga4
StrainFraser3
ErhahonStrain3

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

5+1.34−1.311+1.78−0.311+4.04+0.73−1.35−3.05+0.35−0.74+0.31−3.32−3.07+1.30−3.72−2.09+5.72−2.01−0.33+2.01+0.31−0.30−2.000.000.010.01+0.70−1.04−4.72−5.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 3 matches

St. Mirren

6+2.08+0.721+10.711+5.35+2.06−2.08−0.78+3.37+1.36+0.33−3.73+0.73−1.35−0.73−3.73−0.75+3.30−4.02−1.30−2.31−2.01−1.71−0.70−2.31−2.00−2.01−0.31−0.710.01−0.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 3 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee United

0.010.010.010.020.030.030.030.080.040.020.090.040.130.12−0.010.040.030.07−0.040.070.22−0.11−0.010.38LessMore

St. Mirren

0.010.010.040.040.010.010.010.010.010.010.020.080.020.030.010.020.11−0.010.070.020.040.04−0.070.15LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.19AttackDundee United0.98 → 0.97St. Mirren0.90 → 0.92Defence (lower is better)Dundee United1.33 → 1.36St. Mirren1.36 → 1.33

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee United
Top six19%13%−6
11th15%18%+3
Bottom12%16%+4
St. Mirren
Top six13%21%+8
11th18%14%−4
Bottom17%11%−6

From the forecast before the match (20 August 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee UnitedSt. Mirren
Expected goals1.340.92
Win46%25%
Expected Points1.661.04
Clean sheet40%26%

Dundee United 46%Draw 29%St. Mirren 25%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 45%.

St. Mirren goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+9%4%1%6%2%9%9%4%1%4%4%2%1%1%11%13%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 20 August 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee United winDrawSt. Mirren win
Dundee United
Top six19%24%16%13%
11th15%12%16%18%
Bottom12%9%14%16%
St. Mirren
Top six13%9%13%21%
11th18%21%18%14%
Bottom17%22%16%11%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

  1. L1–414 AugHearts (A)xG 1.21–1.80
  2. L0–17 AugLivingston (H)xG 0.51–0.90
  3. D1–130 JulKilmarnock (A)xG 0.38–1.24
  4. W2–114 MayRoss County (A)xG 2.93–0.52
  5. D1–111 MayCeltic (H)xG 0.87–1.30
  6. L0–28 MayRangers (A)xG 0.06–2.45

St. Mirren

  1. W1–013 AugRoss County (H)xG 0.25–0.35
  2. L1–46 AugAberdeen (A)xG 0.93–3.37
  3. L0–131 JulMotherwell (H)xG 2.38–1.16
  4. D0–015 MayAberdeen (A)xG 0.37–1.16
  5. D0–011 MayLivingston (H)xG 0.64–0.85
  6. W2–07 MayDundee FC (H)xG 1.83–0.95

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee UnitedSt. Mirren
Position10th8th
Played33
Won, drawn, lost0–⁠1–⁠21–⁠0–⁠2
Points1 (0.33 per game)3 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game0.811.13
Goals2–⁠62–⁠5
xG per game0.70–⁠1.311.19–⁠1.63
Home: points, xG per game0.00, 0.51–⁠0.901.50, 1.31–⁠0.75
Away: points, xG per game0.50, 0.79–⁠1.520.00, 0.93–⁠3.37
ManagerJack Ross (3)Steve Robinson (7)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.19AttackDundee United0.98, 8thSt. Mirren0.90, 11thDefence (lower is better)Dundee United1.33, 8thSt. Mirren1.36, 11th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugDundee United attack: 0.98St. Mirren attack: 0.900.980.90St. MirrenDundee UnitedDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugDundee United defence: 1.33St. Mirren defence: 1.361.361.33

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee UnitedSt. Mirren
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−38%+30%−27%+18%
Counter-attacks−42%−30%+52%+23%
Set pieces−34%−6%−23%−23%
Penalties+64%−53%+55%+200%
Headers−33%−12%+17%+1%
Left side−40%−1%−38%+40%
Centre−38%+30%+4%−8%
Right side−36%+20%−51%average

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−40%averageCentre−38%−8%Right side−36%+40%Open play−38%+18%Counter-attacks−42%+23%Set pieces−34%−23%Headers−33%+1%

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdDundee United concededLeft side−38%+20%Centre+4%+30%Right side−51%−1%Open play−27%+30%Counter-attacks+52%−30%Set pieces−23%−6%Headers+17%−12%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedSt. Mirren

0.70xG1.19
1.31xG against1.63
53%Possession38%
9.0Shots11.0
14.0Shots against12.3
3.7Shots on target3.0
0.3Big chances2.0
433Passes280
74%Pass accuracy64%
5.0Corners6.0
48%Field tilt41%
39.9Final-third entries33.3
9.0Box entries12.3
14.0Passes per defensive action18.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level310.191.90
Ahead160.420.90
Behind431.161.04

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level391.301.57
Ahead130.200.74
Behind381.412.01

xG by period

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.010.440–1
16–300.070.170–0
31–450.060.071–0
46–600.110.140–2
61–750.360.301–1
76–900.100.180–2

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.040.030–0
16–300.190.370–1
31–450.330.510–3
46–600.330.282–0
61–750.100.140–0
76–900.180.300–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWBirighitti 3Smith 3Edwards 3Graham 2Mulgrew 1McMann 2Behich 1Harkes 2McGrath 2Levitt 2Mulgrew 1Sibbald 2Cudjoe 2Middleton 1Fletcher 2Watt 1Watt 2Middleton 14-3-3 in 2 of 3 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (2), 4-2-3-1 (1)

St. Mirren

GKRWBCBCBCBLWBCMCMCMSTSTCarson 3Strain 3Gallagher 2Fraser 1Shaughne… 3ShaughnessyDunne 3Tait 2Tanser 1Baccus 3Erhahon 3Kiltie 2O'Hara 1Ayunga 3Main 2Greive 15-3-2 in every start

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
19 March 2022St. Mirren1–2Dundee UnitedxG 0.34–1.51
18 January 2022Dundee United1–2St. MirrenxG 1.49–1.46
11 September 2021St. Mirren0–0Dundee UnitedxG 0.72–1.20
16 May 2021St. Mirren0–0Dundee UnitedxG 0.62–1.22
27 January 2021Dundee United1–5St. MirrenxG 1.23–3.25
6 November 2020St. Mirren0–0Dundee UnitedxG 1.38–0.20

7 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 2, St. Mirren won 2, and 3 were drawn. Goals 6–9 and xG 1.24–1.28 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Clark262,443820.370.09
Watt181,542120.100.19
Niskanen252,297140.070.13
Levitt252,209610.070.12

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Greive10933210.310.03
Brophy231,967700.300.01
Tanser312,623240.060.21
Main181,809210.190.03

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.