Matches › 2021/22

St. Mirren 1–2 Dundee United

Saturday 19 March 2022, 15:00 · The SMISA Stadium · Round 31 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Nick Walsh · Attendance 5,710

St. Mirren Henderson 3' · Alnwick sent off 89'

Dundee United Levitt 57', McNulty 90+6'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	St. Mirren	Dundee United
Goals	1	2
xG	0.34	1.51
Expected Points	0.45	2.30

St. Mirren 7%Draw 25%Dundee United 69%

Most likely score 0–1, 24%. Final score 1–2, 7%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. MirrenDundee United

0.34 −0.52xG1.51 +0.56

0.61 −0.20xG on target2.17 +1.13

10 0Shots14 +4

1 −2.5Shots on target5 +1.7

0 −1.0Big chances1 −0.2

10 −6Touches in the opposition box19 +3

45% −1Possession55% +9

297 −47Passes371 −1

60% −7Pass accuracy64% −4

32% −10Field tilt68% +24

28 −2Final-third entries30 −4

4 −4.6Box entries8 −0.1

28.0 +12Passes per defensive action12.4 −2

10 +5.0Corners9 +4.4

8 −5Tackles15 0

16 +6.6Interceptions10 −0.3

31 +11Clearances18 −5

2 −1.8Saves0 −2.9

8 −3Fouls8 −4

1 −1.5Offsides1 −0.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

St. Mirren

Dundee United

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. MirrenDundee United

0.11 6 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.82 7 shots, 2 goals

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.03 1 shot, 0 goals

0.23 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.65 6 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

1–01–1

Level: 42 min (43%) · St. Mirren 0.07, Dundee United 0.81 xG
St. Mirren ahead: 54 min (56%) · St. Mirren 0.27, Dundee United 0.70 xG
Dundee United ahead: 1 min (1%) · St. Mirren 0.00, Dundee United 0.00 xG

Line-ups

St. Mirren substitutes

66' McCarthy for Henderson
66' Greive for Kiltie · off 90'
82' Erhahon for Power
82' Main for Brophy
90' Lyness for Greive

Dundee United substitutes

46' Graham for McMann
46' Clark for Thomson

Players

St. Mirren

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Alnwick	GK	89			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	3
Fraser	RB	90			0.03	0.14	2	0.18	4	8
Shaughnessy	CB	90			0.03	0.00	0	0.03	3	5
Dunne	CB	90			0.12	0.00	0	0.06	7	14
Tait	LB	90			0.00	0.01	2	0.04	1	6
Ronan	CM	90		1	0.00	0.04	2	0.07	5	5
Power	CM	82			0.00	0.01	0	0.02	4	5
Gogic	CM	90			0.02	0.01	0	0.00	2	7
Henderson	RW	66	1		0.02	0.16	1	0.10	2	2
Brophy	ST	82			0.09	0.00	0	0.07	1	2
Kiltie	LW	66			0.02	0.00	0	0.00	2	0
McCarthy	DF	24			0.02	0.00	0	0.02	1	2
Greive	FW	24			0.00	0.01	1	−0.02	0	0
Erhahon	MF	8			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Main	FW	8			0.00	0.01	0	0.02	1	0
Lyness	GK	0			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

Dundee United

Player	Pos	Min	G	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Siegrist	GK	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.02	3	1
Smith	RB	90		0.08	0.01	0	0.01	3	6
Edwards	CB	90		0.39	0.02	0	0.06	8	6
Mulgrew	CB	90		0.06	0.01	0	0.07	7	9
McMann	LB	46		0.00	0.01	0	0.03	3	4
Thomson	RM	46		0.00	0.02	1	0.05	1	1
Levitt	CM	90	1	0.04	0.50	2	0.08	6	2
Butcher	CM	90		0.02	0.05	0	0.02	4	7
Niskanen	LM	90		0.03	0.02	0	0.02	1	3
Watt	ST	90		0.00	0.14	2	0.15	8	2
McNulty	ST	90	1	0.51	0.04	2	0.01	1	2
Graham	DF	44		0.00	0.01	0	0.00	0	3
Clark	MF	44		0.39	0.02	0	0.02	1	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Mirren

Dundee United

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Mirren

From	To	Passes
Ronan	Henderson	8
Ronan	Shaughnessy	7
Henderson	Ronan	5
Dunne	Shaughnessy	5
Kiltie	Tait	5

Dundee United

From	To	Passes
Smith	Butcher	8
Mulgrew	Levitt	8
McMann	Niskanen	7
McMann	Mulgrew	7
Levitt	Edwards	7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Mirren

Against its average of 30 matches

Dundee United

Against its average of 30 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Mirren

Dundee United

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
St. Mirren
Top six	28%	5%	−23
11th	1%	2%	+1
Dundee United
Top six	46%	79%	+33
11th	1%	<1%	−1
Motherwell
Top six	42%	38%	−4
Hibernian
Top six	78%	75%	−3

From the forecast before the match (19 March 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	St. Mirren	Dundee United
Expected goals	1.11	0.96
Win	38%	30%
Expected Points	1.46	1.23
Clean sheet	38%	33%

St. Mirren 38%Draw 31%Dundee United 30%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 42%.

From the forecast as it stood on 19 March 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	St. Mirren win	Draw	Dundee United win
St. Mirren
Top six	28%	54%	18%	5%
11th	1%	<1%	1%	2%
Dundee United
Top six	46%	20%	45%	79%
11th	1%	1%	<1%	<1%
Motherwell
Top six	42%	42%	46%	38%
Hibernian
Top six	78%	78%	80%	75%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Mirren

Dundee United

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	St. Mirren	Dundee United
Position	9th	7th
Played	30	30
Won, drawn, lost	8–⁠12–⁠10	9–⁠9–⁠12
Points	36 (1.20 per game)	36 (1.20 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.05	1.11
Goals	27–⁠40	26–⁠33
xG per game	0.86–⁠1.48	0.95–⁠1.47
Home: points, xG per game	1.14, 0.87–⁠1.20	1.53, 1.04–⁠1.54
Away: points, xG per game	1.25, 0.85–⁠1.73	0.87, 0.85–⁠1.40
Manager	Stephen Robinson (4)	Tam Courts (30)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	St. Mirren		Dundee United
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−40%	+32%	−20%	+27%
Counter-attacks	−13%	+7%	−9%	−32%
Set pieces	+1%	+3%	−24%	+28%
Penalties	−25%	+25%	−25%	average
Headers	+9%	+9%	−9%	+19%
Left side	−25%	+30%	−17%	+10%
Centre	−22%	+20%	−16%	+41%
Right side	−43%	+22%	−33%	+6%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdDundee United concededLeft side−25%+6%Centre−22%+41%Right side−43%+10%Open play−40%+27%Counter-attacks−13%−32%Set pieces+1%+28%Headers+9%+19%

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−17%+22%Centre−16%+20%Right side−33%+30%Open play−20%+32%Counter-attacks−9%+7%Set pieces−24%+3%Headers−9%+9%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. MirrenDundee United

0.86xG0.95

1.48xG against1.47

46%Possession46%

10.5Shots10.3

15.0Shots against14.5

3.5Shots on target3.3

1.0Big chances1.2

16.1Touches in the opposition box16.0

344Passes372

66%Pass accuracy68%

5.0Corners4.6

42%Field tilt44%

29.7Final-third entries34.5

8.6Box entries8.1

16.0Passes per defensive action14.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Mirren

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	50	0.85	1.33
Ahead	16	0.92	1.46
Behind	24	0.84	1.82

Dundee United

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	54	0.90	1.36
Ahead	14	0.65	1.71
Behind	22	1.25	1.58

xG by period

St. Mirren

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.07	0.20	5–4
16–30	0.09	0.21	1–7
31–45	0.14	0.24	5–7
46–60	0.21	0.34	4–8
61–75	0.13	0.34	5–10
76–90	0.22	0.16	7–4

Dundee United

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.14	0.13	2–3
16–30	0.10	0.15	3–8
31–45	0.17	0.31	5–4
46–60	0.18	0.19	6–4
61–75	0.15	0.37	5–3
76–90	0.20	0.32	5–11

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Mirren

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 3-4-2-1 (6), 3-4-1-2 (6), 5-4-1 (4), 3-1-4-2 (4), 3-5-1-1 (2), 4-5-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1)

Dundee United

Formations: 4-5-1 (7), 3-5-2 (6), 4-3-3 (4), 4-4-1-1 (4), 4-4-2 (3), 3-4-1-2 (2), 5-3-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-3-2-1 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
18 January 2022	Dundee United	1–2	St. Mirren	xG 1.49–1.46
11 September 2021	St. Mirren	0–0	Dundee United	xG 0.72–1.20
16 May 2021	St. Mirren	0–0	Dundee United	xG 0.62–1.22
27 January 2021	Dundee United	1–5	St. Mirren	xG 1.23–3.25
6 November 2020	St. Mirren	0–0	Dundee United	xG 1.38–0.20
19 September 2020	Dundee United	2–1	St. Mirren	xG 1.82–1.16

6 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Mirren won 2, Dundee United won 1, and 3 were drawn. Goals 8–4 and xG 1.43–1.19 per game.

Key players

St. Mirren

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Brophy	19	1,611	6	0	0.31	0.01
Tanser	25	2,121	2	4	0.06	0.20
Jones	8	658	0	0	0.08	0.17
McGrath	18	1,588	2	1	0.10	0.15

Dundee United

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
McNulty	12	1,070	1	0	0.31	0.08
Watt	8	644	1	1	0.16	0.22
Clark	21	1,945	5	2	0.28	0.09
Pawlett	19	1,652	2	0	0.13	0.16

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.