Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

St. Mirren 0–1 Dundee United

Saturday 5 October 2024, 15:00 · The SMISA Stadium · Round 7 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Ross Hardie · Attendance 7,166

Dundee United Adegboyega 75'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. MirrenDundee United
Goals01
xG1.070.97
Expected Points1.401.26

St. Mirren 36%Draw 33%Dundee United 31%

Most likely score 1–1, 17%. Final score 0–1, 12%.

Dundee United goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+6%2%7%2%7%8%4%1%2%3%1%12%12%13%17%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTKiltie on for van Veen and Scott on for Idowu, 65'Bwomono on for O'Hara, 81'Mandron on for Dunne, 82'Smyth on for Boyd-Munce, 85'Middleton on for van der Sande, 38'Holt on for Graham, 57'Thomson on for Stephenson, 70'Adegboyega 75'St. Mirren 1.07Dundee United 0.9700.511.50153045607590HTKiltie on for van Veen and Scott on for Idowu, 65'Bwomono on for O'Hara, 81'Mandron on for Dunne, 82'Smyth on for Boyd-Munce, 85'Middleton on for van der Sande, 38'Holt on for Graham, 57'Thomson on for Stephenson, 70'Adegboyega 75'1.070.97St. MirrenDundee United

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. MirrenDundee United

1.07 −0.22xG0.97 −0.41
0.08 −1.26xG on target1.03 −0.46
16 +5Shots12 +1
2 −2.1Shots on target3 −1.2
2 −0.1Big chances2 +0.3
25 +6Touches in the opposition box20 −4
55% +10Possession45% +2
409 +92Passes343 +33
81% +10Pass accuracy71% +5
53% +14Field tilt47% +3
42 +12Final-third entries38 +9
15 +6.3Box entries9 −0.8
28.9 +14Passes per defensive action11.3 −6
3 −0.3Corners3 −0.8
8 −8Tackles23 +4
5 −2.9Interceptions12 +5.0
29 −1Clearances32 +3
2 −0.3Saves2 −0.3
4 −9Fouls6 −5
3 +0.7Offsides0 −0.8

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Mirren

Olusanya 70', 0.22 xGPhillips 21', 0.18 xGTaylor 1', 0.09 xGOlusanya 60', 0.08 xGIdowu 36', 0.07 xGOlusanya 11', 0.06 xGOlusanya 32', 0.06 xGPhillips 79', 0.06 xGTaylor 90+2', 0.06 xGPhillips 67', 0.05 xGBoyd-Munce 59', 0.03 xGOlusanya 67', 0.03 xGIdowu 6', 0.02 xGPhillips 45+1', 0.02 xGScott 78', 0.02 xGSmyth 87', 0.02 xG28%0.30 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.30 xG, 0 goals48%0.52 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.52 xG, 0 goals5%0.05 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals18%0.19 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.19 xG, 0 goals2%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Dundee United

Stephenson 60', 0.19 xGFerry 37', 0.10 xGDalby 43', 0.10 xGMiddleton 43', 0.09 xGStephenson 50', 0.09 xGFerry 64', 0.04 xGDocherty 44', 0.03 xGSevelj 74', 0.03 xGDocherty 75', 0.03 xGFerry 14', 0.02 xGDocherty 37', 0.01 xGAdegboyega 75', 0.24 xG, goal24%0.24 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.24 xG, 1 goal52%0.51 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.51 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals23%0.23 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.23 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. MirrenDundee United

0.49 11 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.37 5 shots, 0 goals
0.58 5 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.61 7 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
76 min (79%) · St. Mirren 0.91, Dundee United 0.97 xG
Dundee United ahead
20 min (21%) · St. Mirren 0.15, Dundee United 0.00 xG

Line-ups

1221318588156129920BalcombeFraserGogicDunneTaylorPhillipsBoyd-MunceO'HaraIdowuvan VeenOlusanya82'85'81'65'65'St. Mirren 4-3-3Stephen Robinson1163161752314112019WaltonAdegboyegaGallagherGrahamStephensonSeveljDochertySibbaldFerryvan der SandeDalbyGoalYellow cardYellow card57'70'38'Dundee United 3-5-2Jim Goodwin

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 65' Kiltie for van Veen
  • 65' Scott for Idowu
  • 81' Bwomono for O'Hara
  • 82' Mandron for Dunne
  • 85' Smyth for Boyd-Munce

Dundee United substitutes

  • 38' Middleton for van der Sande
  • 57' Holt for Graham
  • 70' Thomson for Stephenson · yellow card 90+5'

Players

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
BalcombeGK900.000.0000.0221
FraserRB900.000.4520.41114
GogicCB900.000.1820.14129
DunneCB820.000.0000.0525
TaylorLB900.150.0800.16139
PhillipsCM900.310.142−0.0625
Boyd-MunceCM850.030.1410.0877
O'HaraCM810.000.091−0.0143
IdowuRW650.090.0310.0332
van VeenST650.000.0800.0502
OlusanyaLW900.460.0110.0330
KiltieFW250.000.0410.0820
ScottFW250.020.010−0.0210
BwomonoMF90.000.0000.0230
MandronFW80.000.0000.0000
SmythMF50.020.1110.1840

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
WaltonGK900.000.0000.0223
AdegboyegaCB9010.240.0100.0787
GallagherCB900.000.0110.0766
Graham CB570.000.0400.0846
StephensonRWB700.280.030−0.0932
Sevelj CM900.030.0200.0137
DochertyCM900.070.0300.0216
SibbaldCM900.000.0400.07211
FerryLWB900.160.1220.31613
van der SandeST380.000.000−0.0200
DalbyST900.100.011−0.0203
MiddletonFW520.090.2120.1762
HoltDF330.000.0000.0214
Thomson MF200.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Mirren

Balcombe and Fraser: 4 passesBalcombe and Gogic: 4 passesBalcombe and Dunne: 4 passesFraser and Taylor: 4 passesGogic and van Veen: 4 passesPhillips and Boyd-Munce: 4 passesO'Hara and Olusanya: 4 passesFraser and Dunne: 5 passesGogic and Phillips: 5 passesDunne and O'Hara: 5 passesO'Hara and Idowu: 5 passesIdowu and van Veen: 5 passesFraser and Boyd-Munce: 6 passesDunne and Boyd-Munce: 7 passesPhillips and Idowu: 7 passesFraser and van Veen: 8 passesFraser and Phillips: 9 passesO'Hara and Boyd-Munce: 9 passesFraser and Idowu: 10 passesTaylor and O'Hara: 10 passesGogic and Boyd-Munce: 11 passesDunne and Taylor: 13 passesFraser and Gogic: 18 passesGogic and Dunne: 25 passesBalcombe: 14 completed passesFraser: 36 completed passesGogic: 38 completed passesDunne: 34 completed passesTaylor: 24 completed passesPhillips: 18 completed passesO'Hara: 22 completed passesBoyd-Munce: 19 completed passesIdowu: 12 completed passesvan Veen: 13 completed passesOlusanya: 4 completed passes1221318588615129920BalcombeFraserGogicDunneTaylorPhillipsO'HaraBoyd-MunceIdowuvan VeenOlusanyaStarters until 65' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Dundee United

Adegboyega and Sevelj: 3 passesGallagher and Ferry: 3 passesGallagher and Docherty: 3 passesStephenson and Sibbald: 3 passesFerry and Dalby: 3 passesDocherty and van der Sande: 3 passesWalton and Gallagher: 4 passesStephenson and Docherty: 4 passesFerry and Sibbald: 4 passesAdegboyega and Stephenson: 5 passesGraham and Docherty: 5 passesAdegboyega and Gallagher: 6 passesStephenson and Sevelj: 7 passesWalton and Graham: 8 passesGraham and Ferry: 9 passesFerry and Docherty: 10 passesGallagher and Graham: 11 passesWalton: 15 completed passesAdegboyega: 9 completed passesGallagher: 16 completed passesGraham: 22 completed passesStephenson: 14 completed passesFerry: 15 completed passesSevelj: 9 completed passesSibbald: 4 completed passesDocherty: 13 completed passesvan der Sande: 5 completed passesDalby: 5 completed passes1163161711514232019WaltonAdegboyegaGallagherGrahamStephensonFerrySeveljSibbaldDochertyvan der SandeDalbyStarters until 38' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
DunneGogic22
FraserGogic13
GogicDunne13
DunneTaylor12
GogicFraser11

Dundee United

FromToPasses
FerryDocherty13
WaltonGraham11
GrahamFerry11
DochertyFerry8
GrahamGallagher8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Mirren

7+2.410+1.718+2.480.08+2.96−2.41−4.66+2.43−3.43+0.31−3.14−0.48+1.93−0.60−2.61−1.62−0.43−1.40−1.94+2.32+1.40−0.60−1.90−0.10−0.60−1.60−0.60−0.43−6.41−6.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 7 matches

Dundee United

2−1.55−2.012+3.24−1.55−2.07+0.58+2.56+0.240.01−2.76+0.36+0.55+0.73+0.320.04+1.57+3.35+2.20−0.81+0.53+1.81−1.53+1.50−0.52+1.30−0.71−0.214−3.83−4.04−4.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 6 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Mirren

0.010.010.010.030.030.040.010.010.050.040.070.040.020.030.040.020.040.040.010.040.130.14−0.33−0.010.380.29LessMore

Dundee United

0.010.010.030.020.010.040.020.010.030.030.05−0.010.010.030.050.020.01−0.030.01−0.02−0.01−0.070.270.19LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackSt. Mirren1.15 → 1.14Dundee United1.10 → 1.10Defence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.41 → 1.41Dundee United1.55 → 1.52

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Mirren
Top six43%30%−13
11th7%10%+3
Bottom4%6%+2
Dundee United
Top six33%48%+15
11th11%7%−4
Bottom9%4%−5

From the forecast before the match (5 October 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. MirrenDundee United
Expected goals1.561.05
Win49%25%
Expected Points1.731.01
Clean sheet35%21%

St. Mirren 49%Draw 27%Dundee United 25%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 52%.

Dundee United goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+8%7%4%1%6%2%9%5%2%5%5%3%2%2%1%11%13%9%

From the forecast as it stood on 5 October 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Mirren winDrawDundee United win
St. Mirren
Top six43%52%39%30%
11th7%5%9%10%
Bottom4%3%5%6%
Dundee United
Top six33%25%34%48%
11th11%14%11%7%
Bottom9%12%9%4%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Mirren

  1. L1–228 SepMotherwell (A)xG 2.33–2.07
  2. W2–121 SepHearts (H)xG 1.17–0.39
  3. D2–214 SepKilmarnock (H)xG 1.53–0.59
  4. D2–231 AugDundee FC (A)xG 1.34–1.76
  5. L0–325 AugCeltic (H)xG 0.15–2.46
  6. L1–311 AugAberdeen (A)xG 1.30–1.60

Dundee United

  1. D3–328 SepKilmarnock (A)xG 2.73–2.31
  2. L0–115 SepRangers (H)xG 0.31–0.99
  3. W1–01 SepHearts (A)xG 1.26–0.63
  4. W2–024 AugSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.41–1.58
  5. D1–110 AugRoss County (A)xG 1.34–2.23
  6. D2–24 AugDundee FC (H)xG 2.21–2.42

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. MirrenDundee United
Position6th5th
Played76
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠2–⁠32–⁠3–⁠1
Points8 (1.14 per game)9 (1.50 per game)
Expected Points per game1.291.09
Goals11–⁠139–⁠7
xG per game1.29–⁠1.491.38–⁠1.69
Home: points, xG per game1.75, 1.01–⁠1.251.33, 0.98–⁠1.66
Away: points, xG per game0.33, 1.66–⁠1.811.67, 1.78–⁠1.72
ManagerStephen Robinson (40)Jim Goodwin (18)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackSt. Mirren1.15, 8thDundee United1.10, 10thDefence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.41, 7thDundee United1.55, 11th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepSt. Mirren attack: 1.15Dundee United attack: 1.101.151.10Dundee UnitedSt. MirrenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepSt. Mirren defence: 1.41Dundee United defence: 1.551.551.41

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. MirrenDundee United
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−28%+24%+6%+20%
Counter-attacks+31%−21%+33%−1%
Set piecesaverage−10%−27%+9%
Penalties+55%−22%−10%+81%
Headers−35%+12%−6%+28%
Left side−21%−2%+6%−5%
Centre−22%+3%+5%+36%
Right side+5%+43%−15%−10%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdDundee United concededLeft side−21%−10%Centre−22%+36%Right side+5%−5%Open play−28%+20%Counter-attacks+31%−1%Set piecesaverage+9%Headers−35%+28%

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side+6%+43%Centre+5%+3%Right side−15%−2%Open play+6%+24%Counter-attacks+33%−21%Set pieces−27%−10%Headers−6%+12%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. MirrenDundee United

1.29xG1.38
1.49xG against1.69
45%Possession42%
10.9Shots11.0
12.9Shots against14.2
4.1Shots on target4.2
2.1Big chances1.7
18.7Touches in the opposition box24.3
317Passes310
71%Pass accuracy66%
3.3Corners3.8
39%Field tilt45%
29.8Final-third entries29.3
8.7Box entries9.8
15.0Passes per defensive action16.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level401.051.17
Ahead251.291.56
Behind251.681.94

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level411.731.74
Ahead300.981.76
Behind191.251.48

xG by period

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.060.243–2
16–300.120.331–3
31–450.600.204–3
46–600.250.151–2
61–750.100.310–2
76–900.150.262–1

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.290.121–1
16–300.320.332–1
31–450.050.360–0
46–600.310.212–2
61–750.140.290–1
76–900.270.384–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Mirren

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTBalcombe 7Fraser 7Gogic 6Iacovitti 2Taylor 6Rooney 6Bwomono 1Phillips 4Adeniran 2Boyd-Mun… 6Boyd-MunceO'Hara 5Idowu 3Gogic 1Tanser 4Brown 3Olusanya 7Scott 1Mandron 4Ayunga 23-5-2 in 6 of 7 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (6), 3-1-4-2 (1)

Dundee United

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTWalton 6Adegboyega 5Gallagher 6Graham 5Holt 2Stephenson 4Sevelj 2Sibbald 6Holt 2Docherty 1Babunski 2Ferry 1Ferry 5Babunski 1Babunski 3Thomson 2Holt 1Trapanovski 5Moult 1van der Sande 5Dalby 13-4-2-1 in 5 of 6 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (5), 3-4-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
18 March 2023Dundee United1–1St. MirrenxG 1.12–1.75
22 October 2022St. Mirren2–1Dundee UnitedxG 1.29–0.70
20 August 2022Dundee United0–3St. MirrenxG 1.25–1.84
19 March 2022St. Mirren1–2Dundee UnitedxG 0.34–1.51
18 January 2022Dundee United1–2St. MirrenxG 1.49–1.46
11 September 2021St. Mirren0–0Dundee UnitedxG 0.72–1.20

10 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Mirren won 4, Dundee United won 2, and 4 were drawn. Goals 15–8 and xG 1.38–1.17 per game.

Key players

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Olusanya7495400.500.01
Fraser7630010.060.08
Rooney6517000.020.11
Boyd-Munce6486010.020.07

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Graham5450200.250.05
Babunski6466100.170.12
Ferry6540020.010.24
Sibbald6540100.060.02

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.