Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

St. Johnstone 3–0 Ross County

Saturday 19 October 2024, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 8 · Half-time 2–0 · Referee John Beaton · Attendance 3,688

St. Johnstone Kimpioka 16', 45', Kirk 90+4'

Ross County Campbell sent off 31' · Telfer sent off 78'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. JohnstoneRoss County
Goals30
xG3.160.26
Expected Points2.940.04

St. Johnstone 97%Draw 3%Ross County <1%

Most likely score 3–0, 24%. Final score 3–0, 24%.

Ross County goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+6%2%5%7%5%8%2%3%18%24%18%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

012340153045607590HTCampbell (Ross County), second yellow card 31'Telfer (Ross County), red card 78'Kirk on for Sidibeh, 76'Essel on for Sprangler, 80'Carey on for Smith, 83'Reid on for Efete, Denholm on for Nisbet, and Brown on for Brophy, 46'White on for Lopata, 65'Telfer on for Allardice, 75'Kimpioka 16'Kimpioka 45'Kirk 90+4'St. Johnstone 3.16Ross County 0.26012340153045607590HTCampbell (Ross County), second yellow card 31'Telfer (Ross County), red card 78'Kirk on for Sidibeh, 76'Essel on for Sprangler, 80'Carey on for Smith, 83'Reid on for Efete, Denholm on for Nisbet, and Brown on for Brophy, 46'White on for Lopata, 65'Telfer on for Allardice, 75'Kimpioka 16'Kimpioka 45'Kirk 90+4'3.160.26St. JohnstoneRoss County

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneRoss County

3.16 +2.36xG0.26 −0.78
2.59 +1.94xG on target0.01 −1.07
17 +7.5Shots7 −3.5
7 +4.2Shots on target1 −3.0
5 +4.1Big chances0 −1.4
27 +12Touches in the opposition box7 −7
67% +20Possession33% −5
636 +290Passes308 +18
85% +14Pass accuracy67% +4
82% +42Field tilt18% −16
61 +28Final-third entries29 −2
13 +4.9Box entries3 −3.6
11.0 −4Passes per defensive action20.5 +4
5 −0.2Corners3 +0.4
12 −3Tackles14 −4
15 +6.2Interceptions16 +5.0
10 −20Clearances26 −5
1 −2.0Saves4 +1.2
8 −4Fouls12 +1
2 +0.2Offsides0 −1.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Johnstone

Clark 13', 0.42 xGHolt 90+3', 0.20 xGKimpioka 44', 0.19 xGSidibeh 56', 0.09 xGHolt 55', 0.08 xGClark 7', 0.07 xGSidibeh 60', 0.07 xGSidibeh 60', 0.05 xGKirk 86', 0.04 xGKimpioka 72', 0.02 xGCarey 87', 0.02 xGEssel 90+1', 0.02 xGKirk 90+3', 0.02 xGSidibeh 54', 0.01 xGKirk 90+4', 0.94 xG, goalKimpioka 16', 0.58 xG, goalKimpioka 45', 0.36 xG, goal54%1.71 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 1.71 xG, 2 goals39%1.25 xGCentral box: 8 shots, 1.25 xG, 1 goal2%0.05 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals4%0.12 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals1%0.04 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

Ross County

Hale 12', 0.08 xGWhite 76', 0.05 xGReid 77', 0.05 xGTelfer 77', 0.03 xGLeak 77', 0.03 xGHale 33', 0.01 xGHale 88', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals31%0.08 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals69%0.18 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.18 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneRoss County

2.88 12 shots, 3 goalsOpen play0.17 4 shots, 0 goals
0.28 5 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.09 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
16 min (17%) · St. Johnstone 1.07, Ross County 0.08 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
79 min (83%) · St. Johnstone 2.09, Ross County 0.18 xG

Line-ups

201465372223101629SinclairWrightNeilsonSandersRaymondHoltSmithSpranglerClarkSidibehKimpiokaGoalGoal83'80'76'St. Johnstone 4-3-1-2Simo Valakari1420324862319927LaidlawWrightLopataLeakEfeteRandallAllardiceNisbetCampbellHaleBrophyYellow cardSent off, second yellow65'46'75'46'46'Ross County 3-5-2Don Cowie

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 76' Kirk for Sidibeh · goal 90+4'
  • 80' Essel for Sprangler · yellow card 88'
  • 83' Carey for Smith · 1 assist

Ross County substitutes

  • 46' Denholm for Nisbet
  • 46' Brown for Brophy
  • 46' Reid for Efete
  • 65' White for Lopata
  • 75' Telfer for Allardice · red card 78'

Players

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SinclairGK900.000.0000.0100
WrightRB900.000.0400.23313
NeilsonCB900.000.1010.2468
SandersCB900.000.0110.1486
RaymondLB900.000.5120.2884
HoltCM900.280.0300.1275
SmithCM8310.000.3930.2252
SpranglerCM800.000.0200.0036
ClarkAM900.490.031−0.0713
SidibehST7610.220.4610.1532
KimpiokaST9021.140.1530.0510
KirkFW1410.990.0600.0510
Essel MF100.020.0100.0111
CareyMF710.020.6930.2750

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0100.0961
WrightCB900.000.0000.02211
LopataCB650.000.0000.0447
LeakCB900.030.1600.09410
EfeteRWB460.000.0110.0120
RandallCM900.000.0200.0218
AllardiceCM750.000.0100.04510
NisbetCM460.000.0100.0230
Campbell LWB310.000.0000.0013
HaleST900.100.0100.0001
BrophyST460.000.0110.0010
DenholmMF440.000.190−0.0201
BrownMF440.000.000−0.0100
ReidMF440.050.0000.0116
WhiteFW250.050.0000.0210
Telfer MF30.030.0010.0001

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Sinclair and Sprangler: 6 passesSanders and Smith: 6 passesSanders and Clark: 6 passesSinclair and Sanders: 7 passesWright and Sidibeh: 7 passesSanders and Holt: 7 passesSmith and Clark: 7 passesRaymond and Sprangler: 8 passesSprangler and Smith: 8 passesSprangler and Clark: 8 passesSmith and Sidibeh: 8 passesRaymond and Clark: 9 passesNeilson and Sprangler: 11 passesRaymond and Sidibeh: 11 passesWright and Kimpioka: 13 passesWright and Sprangler: 14 passesWright and Clark: 14 passesHolt and Clark: 14 passesWright and Smith: 17 passesSprangler and Holt: 17 passesNeilson and Raymond: 20 passesNeilson and Holt: 20 passesSanders and Sprangler: 23 passesWright and Sanders: 28 passesRaymond and Holt: 33 passesSanders and Neilson: 41 passesSinclair: 13 completed passesWright: 50 completed passesSanders: 64 completed passesNeilson: 58 completed passesRaymond: 48 completed passesSprangler: 53 completed passesHolt: 53 completed passesSmith: 27 completed passesClark: 33 completed passesKimpioka: 16 completed passesSidibeh: 16 completed passes201456323722102916SinclairWrightSandersNeilsonRaymondSpranglerHoltSmithClarkKimpiokaSidibehStarters until 76' · lines join pairs with 6+ passes

Ross County

Lopata and Allardice: 3 passesLeak and Campbell: 3 passesLaidlaw and Lopata: 4 passesWright and Efete: 4 passesLopata and Randall: 5 passesEfete and Allardice: 5 passesAllardice and Hale: 6 passesLopata and Wright: 9 passesLopata and Leak: 11 passesLaidlaw: 6 completed passesLopata: 16 completed passesWright: 13 completed passesLeak: 12 completed passesEfete: 4 completed passesRandall: 7 completed passesAllardice: 12 completed passesCampbell: 7 completed passesNisbet: 3 completed passesHale: 5 completed passesBrophy: 2 completed passes1204324861923927LaidlawLopataWrightLeakEfeteRandallAllardiceCampbellNisbetHaleBrophyStarters until 31' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
SandersNeilson31
NeilsonSanders29
HoltRaymond24
SandersWright24
RaymondNeilson17

Ross County

FromToPasses
WrightLopata8
HaleAllardice6
LeakLopata6
ReidDenholm6
AllardiceEfete5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

3−2.24−1.41−5.04−2.14−3.18+1.95−1.64−2.611+3.54−2.55+0.91−2.04−0.58+1.81−2.45+3.03+1.22+0.26+2.85+2.42+0.43+2.11−0.54+2.80−0.40−0.20−0.60−0.62+1.29−9.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 8 matches

Ross County

2−3.222+2.85−3.56+0.22−5.48+0.69+2.66−0.95−1.56−0.14−0.14+1.05+1.98+1.14+0.84+0.61−1.23−0.18+5.51−1.80−2.03+1.90−1.50−2.20−0.80−0.41+0.500.00−0.90−7.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 8 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.010.030.030.020.010.060.050.030.030.010.160.040.030.010.050.19−0.050.110.040.010.010.220.160.43LessMore

Ross County

0.030.040.050.010.010.010.020.030.010.030.04−0.020.04−0.01−0.110.16LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackSt. Johnstone0.95 → 1.01Ross County1.05 → 1.03Defence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.63 → 1.57Ross County1.53 → 1.59

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
Top six3%5%+2
11th22%23%+1
Bottom45%35%−10
Ross County
Top six14%10%−4
11th19%21%+2
Bottom16%22%+6

From the forecast before the match (19 October 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. JohnstoneRoss County
Expected goals1.281.16
Win38%33%
Expected Points1.441.27
Clean sheet31%28%

St. Johnstone 38%Draw 29%Ross County 33%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 50%.

Ross County goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+9%10%6%2%8%3%7%8%5%2%3%4%2%1%1%11%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 19 October 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Johnstone winDrawRoss County win
St. Johnstone
Top six3%5%3%2%
11th22%23%23%20%
Bottom45%35%47%55%
Ross County
Top six14%10%14%20%
11th19%21%18%16%
Bottom16%22%15%8%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. L0–26 OctRangers (A)xG 0.36–1.57
  2. L0–628 SepCeltic (H)xG 0.32–3.38
  3. D3–321 SepRoss County (A)xG 0.55–1.28
  4. L0–214 SepHibernian (A)xG 0.25–1.61
  5. L1–231 AugMotherwell (H)xG 0.74–0.89
  6. L0–224 AugDundee United (A)xG 1.58–0.41

Ross County

  1. L1–26 OctCeltic (H)xG 0.97–1.51
  2. D1–128 SepHearts (A)xG 0.84–1.94
  3. D3–321 SepSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.28–0.55
  4. W2–014 SepDundee FC (H)xG 1.43–0.66
  5. L0–131 AugAberdeen (H)xG 1.05–0.35
  6. L0–624 AugRangers (A)xG 0.24–3.76

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneRoss County
Position11th7th
Played88
Won, drawn, lost1–⁠1–⁠61–⁠4–⁠3
Points4 (0.50 per game)7 (0.88 per game)
Expected Points per game0.901.30
Goals8–⁠198–⁠14
xG per game0.80–⁠1.581.04–⁠1.41
Home: points, xG per game0.00, 0.62–⁠2.021.00, 1.39–⁠0.88
Away: points, xG per game0.80, 0.91–⁠1.320.67, 0.46–⁠2.30
ManagerSimo Valakari (1)Don Cowie (23)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackSt. Johnstone0.95, 12thRoss County1.05, 11thDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.63, 12thRoss County1.53, 10th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctSt. Johnstone attack: 0.95Ross County attack: 1.051.050.95Ross CountySt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctSt. Johnstone defence: 1.63Ross County defence: 1.531.631.53

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneRoss County
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−42%+27%−55%+17%
Counter-attacks−74%+32%−39%+49%
Set pieces−36%+29%−34%−4%
Penalties−27%−100%+193%−100%
Headers−47%+21%−30%−16%
Left side−31%+59%−28%−19%
Centre−52%+19%−51%+22%
Right side−37%+13%−57%+34%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdRoss County concededLeft side−31%+34%Centre−52%+22%Right side−37%−19%Open play−42%+17%Counter-attacks−74%+49%Set pieces−36%−4%Headers−47%−16%

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−28%+13%Centre−51%+19%Right side−57%+59%Open play−55%+27%Counter-attacks−39%+32%Set pieces−34%+29%Headers−30%+21%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneRoss County

0.80xG1.04
1.58xG against1.41
47%Possession38%
9.5Shots10.5
15.2Shots against13.9
2.8Shots on target4.0
0.9Big chances1.4
14.5Touches in the opposition box14.0
346Passes290
71%Pass accuracy64%
5.2Corners2.6
40%Field tilt34%
32.5Final-third entries30.8
8.1Box entries6.6
14.9Passes per defensive action16.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level330.871.88
Ahead151.311.93
Behind420.571.23

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level471.141.11
Ahead250.841.21
Behind181.072.48

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.091–1
16–300.070.340–2
31–450.290.352–5
46–600.090.151–3
61–750.100.241–3
76–900.190.403–5

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.110.241–0
16–300.150.281–1
31–450.380.163–2
46–600.040.220–3
61–750.140.220–2
76–900.230.293–6

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTSinclair 5Rae 3Neilson 7Essel 2Wright 1Sanders 6McClelland 1Cameron 7Wright 7Smith 1Essel 4MacPhers… 3MacPhersonHolt 2Sprangler 4Raymond 2Clark 1Smith 6Raymond 6Smith 1Carey 1Clark 4Kirk 3Sidibeh 3Kimpioka 63-5-2 in 5 of 8 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (5), 4-4-2 (2), 4-4-1-1 (1)

Ross County

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTLaidlaw 8Wright 8Efete 2Lopata 5Leak 5Nightingale 3Campbell 1Brown 4Efete 2Denholm 1Nisbet 5Loturi 2Denholm 1Randall 8Harmon 2White 1Chilvers 3Grieves 1Allardice 1Campbell 3Harmon 3Denholm 1White 4Brophy 2Chilvers 1Hale 8Denholm 13-5-2 in 3 of 8 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (3), 4-4-2 (2), 3-4-2-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
21 September 2024Ross County3–3St. JohnstonexG 1.28–0.55
15 May 2024St. Johnstone1–1Ross CountyxG 0.58–0.47
3 February 2024Ross County0–1St. JohnstonexG 0.58–0.54
11 November 2023St. Johnstone1–0Ross CountyxG 0.69–0.21
12 August 2023Ross County2–0St. JohnstonexG 2.60–0.49
24 May 2023Ross County3–3St. JohnstonexG 2.29–2.53

15 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 4, Ross County won 5, and 6 were drawn. Goals 15–19 and xG 1.09–0.87 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Kimpioka6535200.320.03
Smith8697000.040.13
Raymond8651010.110.03
Wright8665100.030.08

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Hale8635400.470.01
White5496100.250.02
Leak5525000.040.07
Wright8720200.070.02

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.