Matches › 2024/25

Kilmarnock 0–3 St. Johnstone

Sunday 11 August 2024, 15:00 · The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park · Round 2 · Half-time 0–2 · Referee Chris Graham · Attendance 4,843

Kilmarnock Wright sent off 16'

St. Johnstone Sidibeh 3', 33', Kimpioka 81' (pen)

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Kilmarnock	St. Johnstone
Goals	0	3
xG	1.74	1.79
Non-penalty xG	1.74	1.00
Expected Points	1.31	1.41

Kilmarnock 34%Draw 28%St. Johnstone 37%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Final score 0–3, 2%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

KilmarnockSt. Johnstone

1.74 +1.54xG1.79 +0.98

1.74Non-penalty xG1.00

0.63 +0.54xG on target2.30 +1.93

14 +9.0Shots12 −3.0

2 0.0Shots on target7 +5.0

4 +4.0Big chances3 +3.0

22 +13.0Touches in the opposition box18 −12.0

41% +23Possession59% +8

253 +77Passes386 +46

59% +3Pass accuracy72% +2

40% +31Field tilt60% +2

28 +10Final-third entries41 −3

9 +5.0Box entries10 −2.0

16.6 −10Passes per defensive action12.8 +3

4 +3.0Corners4 −8.0

8 +1.0Tackles10 −7.0

6 −8Interceptions7 −4

31 −11Clearances38 +17

4 −3.0Saves2 −2.0

14 +3Fouls14 +4

1 0.0Offsides0 0.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Kilmarnock

St. Johnstone

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

KilmarnockSt. Johnstone

0.69 6 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.47 7 shots, 1 goal

1.05 8 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.53 4 shots, 1 goal

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–10–20–3

Level: 3 min (3%) · Kilmarnock 0.00, St. Johnstone 0.15 xG
St. Johnstone ahead: 92 min (97%) · Kilmarnock 1.74, St. Johnstone 1.64 xG

Line-ups

Kilmarnock substitutes

20' Mayo for McKenzie
46' Kennedy for Vassell · yellow card 83'
68' Watkins for Cameron
82' Wales for Murray
83' Mackay-Steven for Armstrong

St. Johnstone substitutes

78' Carey for Raymond
85' Clark for MacPherson
85' Kirk for Sidibeh
90+2' McPake for M. Smith

Players

Kilmarnock

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
McCrorie	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.04	3	1
Wright	CB	16	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	0
Findlay	CB	90	0.36	0.00	0	0.05	5	12
Deas	CB	90	0.00	0.02	0	0.11	6	11
Armstrong	RWB	83	0.04	0.31	3	0.10	5	2
Watson	CM	90	0.00	0.03	0	0.04	3	3
Lyons	CM	90	0.25	0.03	1	−0.06	1	5
McKenzie	LWB	20	0.00	0.00	0	−0.02	0	0
Murray	AM	82	0.14	0.16	1	0.17	5	3
Cameron	ST	68	0.00	0.00	1	−0.01	0	1
Vassell	ST	46	0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	0
Mayo	DF	70	0.09	0.01	2	0.02	3	9
Kennedy	MF	44	0.02	0.00	0	0.06	7	0
Watkins	FW	22	0.73	0.00	0	0.11	0	0
Wales	FW	8	0.13	0.28	2	0.07	1	1
Mackay-Steven	FW	7	0.00	0.10	1	0.19	2	0

St. Johnstone

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Rae	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	1
Neilson	CB	90			0.00	0.03	0	0.12	7	3
Sanders	CB	90			0.23	0.01	0	0.05	3	13
Cameron	CB	90			0.00	0.09	0	0.16	9	10
Wright	RWB	90			0.05	0.03	1	0.01	4	3
MacPherson	CM	85			0.04	0.24	3	0.03	3	3
Essel	CM	90		1	0.00	0.21	1	0.15	2	12
M. Smith	CM	90			0.06	0.07	0	0.07	4	4
Raymond	LWB	78		1	0.00	0.11	3	0.12	5	4
Sidibeh	ST	85	2		0.49	0.04	1	−0.05	2	1
Kimpioka	ST	90	1		0.91	0.03	1	0.09	2	1
Carey	MF	12			0.00	0.01	0	0.00	1	1
Clark	MF	5			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1
Kirk	FW	5			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
McPake	FW	0			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	1

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Kilmarnock

From	To	Passes
Findlay	Deas	9
Deas	Kennedy	9
Murray	Vassell	6
Armstrong	Watson	6
Murray	Lyons	5

St. Johnstone

From	To	Passes
Neilson	MacPherson	12
Neilson	Sanders	10
Cameron	Essel	9
MacPherson	Neilson	9
Sanders	Neilson	8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Kilmarnock

Against its average of 1 match

St. Johnstone

Against its average of 1 match

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Kilmarnock

St. Johnstone

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Kilmarnock
Top six	45%	35%	−10
11th	6%	9%	+3
Bottom	4%	7%	+3
St. Johnstone
Top six	7%	12%	+5
11th	22%	21%	−1
Bottom	33%	23%	−10

From the forecast before the match (11 August 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Kilmarnock	St. Johnstone
Expected goals	1.65	0.89
Win	55%	20%
Expected Points	1.90	0.84
Clean sheet	41%	19%

Kilmarnock 55%Draw 26%St. Johnstone 20%

Most likely score 1–0, 12%. Both sides score 48%.

From the forecast as it stood on 11 August 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Kilmarnock win	Draw	St. Johnstone win
Kilmarnock
Top six	45%	50%	41%	35%
11th	6%	5%	7%	9%
Bottom	4%	3%	5%	7%
St. Johnstone
Top six	7%	5%	8%	12%
11th	22%	23%	22%	21%
Bottom	33%	37%	31%	23%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Kilmarnock

St. Johnstone

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Kilmarnock	St. Johnstone
Position	11th	10th
Played	1	1
Won, drawn, lost	0–⁠0–⁠1	0–⁠0–⁠1
Points	0 (0.00 per game)	0 (0.00 per game)
Expected Points per game	0.07	0.66
Goals	0–⁠4	1–⁠2
xG per game	0.20–⁠3.11	0.81–⁠1.79
Home: points, xG per game	–⁠	0.00, 0.81–⁠1.79
Away: points, xG per game	0.00, 0.20–⁠3.11	–⁠
Manager	Derek McInnes (77)	Craig Levein (29)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Kilmarnock		St. Johnstone
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−33%	+32%	−34%	+21%
Counter-attacks	average	−25%	−66%	+16%
Set pieces	+7%	+3%	−3%	+39%
Penalties	−46%	−35%	−78%	−13%
Headers	+4%	−27%	average	+34%
Left side	−21%	−1%	−33%	+44%
Centre	−21%	+24%	−26%	+6%
Right side	−18%	+25%	−32%	+50%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Kilmarnock attacking

Kilmarnock createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−21%+50%Centre−21%+6%Right side−18%+44%Open play−33%+21%Counter-attacksaverage+16%Set pieces+7%+39%Headers+4%+34%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdKilmarnock concededLeft side−33%+25%Centre−26%+24%Right side−32%−1%Open play−34%+32%Counter-attacks−66%−25%Set pieces−3%+3%Headersaverage−27%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

KilmarnockSt. Johnstone

0.20xG0.81

3.11xG against1.79

18%Possession51%

5.0Shots15.0

32.0Shots against21.0

2.0Shots on target2.0

0.0Big chances0.0

9.0Touches in the opposition box30.0

176Passes340

56%Pass accuracy70%

1.0Corners12.0

9%Field tilt58%

18.0Final-third entries44.0

4.0Box entries12.0

26.4Passes per defensive action10.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Kilmarnock

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	17	0.11	1.80
Ahead	0	–	–
Behind	73	0.22	3.43

St. Johnstone

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	22	1.10	4.17
Ahead	0	–	–
Behind	68	0.71	1.02

xG by period

Kilmarnock

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.02	0.11	0–0
16–30	0.11	0.49	0–1
31–45	0.00	1.29	0–1
46–60	0.00	0.28	0–1
61–75	0.07	0.57	0–0
76–90	0.00	0.37	0–1

St. Johnstone

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.27	0.14	0–0
16–30	0.00	0.90	0–1
31–45	0.12	0.16	0–0
46–60	0.01	0.04	0–0
61–75	0.08	0.48	0–1
76–90	0.33	0.07	1–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Kilmarnock

St. Johnstone

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
13 April 2024	St. Johnstone	0–2	Kilmarnock	xG 1.22–3.51
23 December 2023	Kilmarnock	2–1	St. Johnstone	xG 1.37–1.37
1 November 2023	St. Johnstone	2–1	Kilmarnock	xG 1.74–1.30
20 May 2023	Kilmarnock	0–1	St. Johnstone	xG 1.48–1.62
18 March 2023	Kilmarnock	1–1	St. Johnstone	xG 1.31–0.57
29 October 2022	St. Johnstone	1–0	Kilmarnock	xG 0.39–0.38

10 league meetings since 2020/21: Kilmarnock won 3, St. Johnstone won 6, and 1 was a draw. Goals 11–13 and xG 1.31–1.22 per game.

Key players

Kilmarnock

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Armstrong	37	3,105	6	10	0.24	0.28
Vassell	33	2,659	9	3	0.27	0.06
Kennedy	31	2,823	3	3	0.16	0.16
Watson	25	2,391	5	2	0.13	0.09

St. Johnstone

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Sidibeh	12	1,031	5	0	0.50	0.05
Clark	16	1,375	7	0	0.35	0.03
Kimpioka	8	755	3	0	0.23	0.02
Carey	29	2,737	2	9	0.03	0.19

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.