Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Dundee FC 0–0 Hibernian

Wednesday 2 March 2022, 19:45 · Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park · Round 29 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee David Munro · Attendance 5,237

Hibernian Bushiri sent off 58'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee FCHibernian
Goals00
xG0.200.58
Expected Points0.851.61

Dundee FC 10%Draw 55%Hibernian 35%

Most likely score 0–0, 48%. Final score 0–0, 48%.

Hibernian goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+26%7%1%9%6%1%48%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.750153045607590HTBushiri (Hibernian), red card 58'Byrne on for Adam, 65'Ashcroft on for McGinn, 80'Daley-Campbell on for Marshall, 81'Jasper on for Henderson, 61'Melkersen on for Doidge and Hauge on for Wright, 77'Hibernian 0.58Dundee FC 0.2000.250.50.750153045607590HTBushiri (Hibernian), red card 58'Byrne on for Adam, 65'Ashcroft on for McGinn, 80'Daley-Campbell on for Marshall, 81'Jasper on for Henderson, 61'Melkersen on for Doidge and Hauge on for Wright, 77'0.580.20Dundee FCHibernian

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee FCHibernian

0.20 −0.55xG0.58 −0.61
0.06 −0.67xG on target0.46 −0.70
5 −4.5Shots12 +0.5
1 −2.4Shots on target4 +0.5
0 −0.7Big chances1 −0.5
14 −1Touches in the opposition box16 −2
42% +2Possession58% +4
340 +49Passes477 +57
73% +12Pass accuracy80% +5
48% +12Field tilt52% −1
31 +6Final-third entries46 +7
4 −4.0Box entries12 +1.0
17.3 +1Passes per defensive action12.7 0
3 −1.7Corners8 +2.6
17 +4Tackles12 −3
13 +3.6Interceptions12 +2.5
15 −8Clearances18 +1
4 +0.4Saves1 −1.7
8 −6Fouls12 0
4 +2.1Offsides0 −2.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee FC

McGhee 8', 0.07 xGAdam 54', 0.04 xGMcGhee 90+4', 0.04 xGMcGinn 67', 0.03 xGMcMullan 80', 0.03 xG33%0.07 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.07 xG, 0 goals19%0.04 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals14%0.03 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals19%0.04 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals14%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Hibernian

Cadden 42', 0.12 xGDoig 75', 0.09 xGWright 43', 0.07 xGJasper 75', 0.06 xGCadden 4', 0.04 xGHenderson 13', 0.04 xGCadden 57', 0.04 xGJasper 89', 0.04 xGCampbell 19', 0.03 xGJasper 84', 0.02 xGBushiri 38', 0.01 xGJasper 66', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals60%0.35 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.35 xG, 0 goals12%0.07 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals28%0.16 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee FCHibernian

0.14 4 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.36 10 shots, 0 goals
0.07 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.21 2 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
94 min (100%) · Dundee FC 0.20, Hibernian 0.58 xG

Line-ups

21265318242677910LawlorKerrMcGheeSweeneyMarshallMcMullanAndersonAdamMcGinnMullenMcGowanYellow cardYellow card81'65'80'Dundee FC 4-4-2Mark McGhee213351627223238089DabrowskiBushiriPorteousStevensonCaddenDoyle-HayesCampbellDoigHendersonWrightDoidgeSent offYellow cardYellow card61'77'77'Hibernian 3-4-2-1Shaun Maloney

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 65' Byrne for Adam
  • 80' Ashcroft for McGinn
  • 81' Daley-Campbell for Marshall

Hibernian substitutes

  • 61' Jasper for Henderson
  • 77' Hauge for Wright · yellow card 82'
  • 77' Melkersen for Doidge

Players

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LawlorGK900.000.0000.0331
KerrRB900.000.0600.1488
McGhee CB900.110.010−0.0108
SweeneyCB900.000.0000.06312
MarshallLB810.000.0100.0126
McMullanRM900.030.0200.0672
Anderson CM900.000.0500.0726
AdamCM650.040.0000.0022
McGinnLM800.030.2210.0662
MullenST900.000.0200.0511
McGowanST900.000.0310.0230
ByrneMF250.000.0300.0221
AshcroftDF100.000.0000.0111
Daley-CampbellDF90.000.0610.0921

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
DabrowskiGK900.000.0000.0010
Bushiri CB580.010.0110.0641
PorteousCB900.000.0100.04611
StevensonCB900.000.0200.1383
CaddenRWB900.200.2600.40153
Doyle-Hayes CM900.000.0430.0138
Campbell CM900.030.1110.0125
DoigLWB900.090.0100.0139
HendersonAM610.040.1830.1951
WrightAM770.070.012−0.0110
DoidgeST770.000.010−0.0510
JasperFW290.130.0400.0832
Hauge MF130.000.0000.0000
MelkersenFW130.000.0110.0420

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee FC

Lawlor and Adam: 3 passesKerr and Mullen: 3 passesAdam and McGowan: 3 passesLawlor and Marshall: 4 passesKerr and Adam: 4 passesSweeney and McGinn: 4 passesMcMullan and Mullen: 4 passesLawlor and Kerr: 5 passesKerr and McGhee: 5 passesMarshall and Adam: 5 passesMcMullan and Anderson: 5 passesSweeney and McGhee: 6 passesMarshall and McGowan: 6 passesMcMullan and McGowan: 6 passesMcGinn and McGowan: 6 passesKerr and McGowan: 7 passesSweeney and Marshall: 7 passesKerr and McMullan: 13 passesMarshall and McGinn: 13 passesLawlor: 9 completed passesKerr: 21 completed passesSweeney: 15 completed passesMcGhee: 9 completed passesMarshall: 18 completed passesMcMullan: 12 completed passesAdam: 17 completed passesAnderson: 7 completed passesMcGinn: 17 completed passesMullen: 4 completed passesMcGowan: 14 completed passes21256318262477910LawlorKerrSweeneyMcGheeMarshallMcMullanAdamAndersonMcGinnMullenMcGowanStarters until 65' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Hibernian

Bushiri and Stevenson: 5 passesStevenson and Doyle-Hayes: 5 passesPorteous and Cadden: 5 passesPorteous and Doyle-Hayes: 5 passesPorteous and Campbell: 5 passesDoig and Henderson: 5 passesHenderson and Doidge: 5 passesDabrowski and Stevenson: 6 passesDabrowski and Porteous: 7 passesBushiri and Henderson: 7 passesDoig and Wright: 7 passesDoyle-Hayes and Henderson: 7 passesBushiri and Campbell: 11 passesCadden and Doyle-Hayes: 12 passesDoig and Campbell: 12 passesBushiri and Cadden: 13 passesStevenson and Campbell: 14 passesCadden and Henderson: 14 passesStevenson and Doig: 15 passesBushiri and Doyle-Hayes: 18 passesBushiri and Porteous: 23 passesStevenson and Porteous: 36 passesDabrowski: 14 completed passesBushiri: 43 completed passesStevenson: 45 completed passesPorteous: 47 completed passesCadden: 28 completed passesDoig: 25 completed passesDoyle-Hayes: 30 completed passesCampbell: 29 completed passesWright: 11 completed passesHenderson: 19 completed passesDoidge: 7 completed passes213316527322328809DabrowskiBushiriStevensonPorteousCaddenDoigDoyle-HayesCampbellWrightHendersonDoidgeStarters until 58' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
KerrMcMullan13
KerrMcGowan10
MarshallMcGinn8
SweeneyMarshall8
McGheeKerr8

Hibernian

FromToPasses
PorteousStevenson26
Doyle-HayesCadden18
StevensonPorteous15
StevensonDoig12
BushiriPorteous12

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee FC

5−0.45−2.011−3.53−4.96−1.15−2.28+1.76+0.26−3.010+2.86−0.313+8.73−0.35−0.64−1.72−1.38+4.41−1.11−2.13−0.50−1.91−0.91−0.50−1.22+0.32+1.30−0.31+0.11+0.70−0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 27 matches

Hibernian

3−1.817+5.39+3.66+1.36−1.46+0.712+3.811+4.12−3.84−1.52−1.66−0.95−0.44−1.72−1.50−2.27+3.75+0.72−0.30−1.42+1.10−1.12−0.42+0.90−0.10−0.91+0.80−0.90−4.91−5.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 28 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee FC

0.010.010.010.040.020.010.04−0.010.020.030.060.010.020.040.010.070.010.030.010.010.020.010.13LessMore

Hibernian

0.010.010.020.010.010.020.030.010.030.030.020.050.130.040.030.10−0.01−0.03−0.020.070.05−0.05−0.010.180.18LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.16AttackDundee FC0.81 → 0.78Hibernian1.12 → 1.09Defence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.44 → 1.39Hibernian0.98 → 0.96

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee FC
11th28%28%0
Bottom67%66%−1
Hibernian
Top six81%75%−6
St. Johnstone
11th57%57%0
Bottom31%31%0
Livingston
Top six46%48%+2

From the forecast before the match (2 March 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee FCHibernian
Expected goals0.781.32
Win21%49%
Expected Points0.941.76
Clean sheet27%46%

Dundee FC 21%Draw 30%Hibernian 49%

Most likely score 0–1, 16%. Both sides score 40%.

Hibernian goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+11%5%2%9%8%4%1%4%5%3%1%1%1%13%16%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 2 March 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee FC winDrawHibernian win
Dundee FC
11th28%39%28%23%
Bottom67%51%66%73%
Hibernian
Top six81%64%75%92%
St. Johnstone
11th57%42%57%63%
Bottom31%46%31%25%
Livingston
Top six46%50%48%43%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee FC

  1. L0–426 FebLivingston (H)xG 0.49–2.72
  2. L2–320 FebCeltic (A)xG 0.36–2.64
  3. W2–19 FebHearts (A)xG 0.86–1.76
  4. L1–25 FebRoss County (H)xG 1.12–1.78
  5. D0–01 FebDundee United (H)xG 0.87–0.69
  6. D0–026 JanSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.22–0.67

Hibernian

  1. D0–027 FebCeltic (H)xG 0.13–0.94
  2. W2–019 FebRoss County (H)xG 1.00–0.19
  3. L0–29 FebRangers (A)xG 0.81–2.45
  4. L0–15 FebSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.22–0.38
  5. D0–01 FebHearts (H)xG 1.02–1.37
  6. L2–329 JanLivingston (H)xG 1.32–1.88

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee FCHibernian
Position12th4th
Played2728
Won, drawn, lost5–⁠6–⁠169–⁠8–⁠11
Points21 (0.78 per game)35 (1.25 per game)
Expected Points per game0.881.44
Goals23–⁠4928–⁠30
xG per game0.75–⁠1.561.19–⁠1.07
Home: points, xG per game1.00, 0.89–⁠1.391.47, 1.13–⁠0.99
Away: points, xG per game0.57, 0.62–⁠1.731.00, 1.25–⁠1.16
ManagerMark McGhee (2)Shaun Maloney (10)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.16AttackDundee FC0.81, 12thHibernian1.12, 4thDefence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.44, 11thHibernian0.98, 3rd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebDundee FC attack: 0.81Hibernian attack: 1.121.120.81HibernianDundee FCDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebDundee FC defence: 1.44Hibernian defence: 0.981.440.98

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee FCHibernian
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−43%+46%−1%−15%
Counter-attacks−67%−48%+60%+17%
Set pieces−9%−4%−34%−6%
Penalties−71%+15%+39%−17%
Headers−28%+7%−12%+2%
Left side−48%+7%+1%−7%
Centre−33%+42%−13%−7%
Right side−30%+29%−2%−27%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdHibernian concededLeft side−48%−27%Centre−33%−7%Right side−30%−7%Open play−43%−15%Counter-attacks−67%+17%Set pieces−9%−6%Headers−28%+2%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdDundee FC concededLeft side+1%+29%Centre−13%+42%Right side−2%+7%Open play−1%+46%Counter-attacks+60%−48%Set pieces−34%−4%Headers−12%+7%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee FCHibernian

0.75xG1.19
1.56xG against1.07
40%Possession54%
9.5Shots11.5
15.0Shots against10.9
3.4Shots on target3.5
0.7Big chances1.5
15.4Touches in the opposition box18.5
291Passes420
61%Pass accuracy76%
4.7Corners5.4
37%Field tilt52%
25.3Final-third entries38.6
8.0Box entries11.0
16.3Passes per defensive action12.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level440.661.38
Ahead130.971.15
Behind330.781.98

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level481.170.94
Ahead191.091.01
Behind231.301.39

xG by period

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.134–4
16–300.090.335–10
31–450.090.363–12
46–600.180.285–9
61–750.130.223–8
76–900.110.233–6

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.160.142–6
16–300.130.203–6
31–450.200.147–3
46–600.200.216–6
61–750.240.164–3
76–900.250.216–6

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee FC

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWLegzdins 24Lawlor 3Kerr 17Elliot 5Daley-Campbell 4Fontaine 15Ashcroft 12Rossi 2Sweeney 19McGhee 5Marshall 18Kerr 6McGhee 1Anderson 18McGhee 11McMullan 2Byrne 14McGowan 10Robertson 1Adam 16Mulligan 3McMullan 15McCowan 3McGowan 3Mullen 11Griffiths 7Rudden 2McCowan 10McMullan 4McGowan 34-3-3 in 8 of 27 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (8), 3-5-2 (4), 4-2-3-1 (4), 4-4-1-1 (3), 4-5-1 (3), 5-3-2 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 5-4-1 (1)

Hibernian

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTMacey 26Dabrowski 2McGinn 11Boyle 9Bushiri 7Porteous 23Wood 1Hanlon 18Stevenson 6McGregor 5Cadden 18McGinn 9Doig 1Doyle-Hayes 24Cadden 2Stevenson 1Newell 17Campbell 6Gogic 3Doig 19Stevenson 5Mitchell 2Campbell 9Allan 4Magennis 4Nisbet 25Scott 2Boyle 11Murphy 8Doidge 43-4-1-2 in 12 of 28 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (12), 4-2-3-1 (8), 3-4-2-1 (2), 4-4-1-1 (2), 3-5-2 (2), 4-5-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
14 December 2021Hibernian1–0Dundee FCxG 1.14–0.62
22 August 2021Dundee FC2–2HibernianxG 0.76–2.47

2 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee FC won 0, Hibernian won 1, and 1 was a draw. Goals 2–3 and xG 0.69–1.81 per game.

Key players

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Cummings4607300.410.09
Mullen131,205500.300.03
McMullan242,073070.080.19
Griffiths9828200.200.04

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Boyle201,781730.310.21
Murphy8801210.320.19
Doidge4576200.390.07
Magennis7580210.240.15

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.