Matches › 2024/25

Rangers 1–0 Hibernian

Sunday 29 September 2024, 12:00 · Ibrox Stadium · Round 6 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Nick Walsh · Attendance 48,217

Rangers Lawrence 34'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Rangers	Hibernian
Goals	1	0
xG	1.78	2.16
Non-penalty xG	1.78	1.37
Expected Points	1.09	1.64

Rangers 28%Draw 27%Hibernian 46%

Most likely score 2–2, 12%. Final score 1–0, 2%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

RangersHibernian

1.78 −0.21xG2.16 +1.24

1.78Non-penalty xG1.37

1.99 +0.01xG on target1.05 +0.27

18 +4Shots18 +7

4 −2.0Shots on target3 +0.4

2 −2.0Big chances1 −0.2

22 −8Touches in the opposition box25 +4

67% +4Possession33% −14

579 +30Passes272 −48

87% +2Pass accuracy78% +10

66% +2Field tilt34% −17

57 +10Final-third entries29 −1

14 −2.6Box entries5 −3.4

11.1 0Passes per defensive action15.6 +1

4 −1.2Corners7 +1.4

29 +14Tackles19 +5

5 −4.6Interceptions13 +6.0

29 +8Clearances23 0

4 +2.4Saves3 +0.6

11 0Fouls12 +1

1 +0.4Offsides1 −0.6

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Rangers

Hibernian

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

RangersHibernian

1.42 15 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.39 9 shots, 0 goals

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.03 1 shot, 0 goals

0.36 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.95 7 shots, 0 goals

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–0

Level: 34 min (35%) · Rangers 0.30, Hibernian 0.16 xG
Rangers ahead: 64 min (65%) · Rangers 1.48, Hibernian 1.99 xG

Line-ups

Rangers substitutes

46' Dowell for Raskin · yellow card 76'
46' Bajrami for McCausland
56' Dessers for Igamane
68' Sterling for Cerny
85' Kasanwirjo for Lawrence

Hibernian substitutes

68' Gayle for Kukharevych
68' Youan for Hoilett
77' Levitt for Kwon
77' McKirdy for Campbell
80' Moriah-Welsh for Triantis

Players

Rangers

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Butland	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	1
Tavernier	RB	90			0.07	0.20	4	0.03	5	7
Souttar	CB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.12	6	11
Propper	CB	90			0.34	0.01	0	0.14	6	8
Jefte	LB	90			0.02	0.23	2	0.19	15	11
Barron	DM	90			0.00	0.03	0	0.06	5	8
Raskin	DM	46			0.00	0.02	0	−0.01	0	5
Cerny	RW	68			0.25	0.05	0	0.01	2	1
Lawrence	AM	85	1		0.09	0.02	1	0.04	3	5
McCausland	LW	46		1	0.02	0.03	2	0.01	2	0
Igamane	ST	56			0.13	0.01	1	−0.01	1	4
Dowell	FW	44			0.00	0.03	1	0.05	2	1
Bajrami	FW	44			0.06	0.46	2	0.25	6	6
Dessers	FW	34			0.68	0.01	1	−0.01	0	0
Sterling	DF	22			0.14	0.02	0	0.04	1	0
Kasanwirjo	DF	5			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	0

Hibernian

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Bursik	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.03	3	0
Miller	RB	90	0.02	0.07	1	0.15	8	7
Ekpiteta	CB	90	0.18	0.06	0	0.04	2	14
O'Hora	CB	90	0.00	0.18	1	0.14	1	11
Obita	LB	90	0.00	0.01	0	0.06	5	11
Cadden	RM	90	0.12	0.12	2	0.06	2	2
Kwon	CM	77	0.15	0.01	0	−0.01	2	1
Triantis	CM	80	0.00	0.05	3	0.10	8	4
Hoilett	LM	68	0.10	0.33	4	0.02	1	7
Campbell	ST	77	0.33	0.01	0	0.00	1	0
Kukharevych	ST	68	1.18	0.00	0	0.00	0	2
Gayle	FW	22	0.06	0.00	0	−0.03	0	1
Youan	FW	22	0.01	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Levitt	MF	13	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	2	0
McKirdy	MF	13	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	2
Moriah-Welsh	MF	10	0.00	0.01	0	0.02	2	1

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Rangers

Hibernian

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Rangers

From	To	Passes
Propper	Jefte	25
Souttar	Propper	23
Propper	Souttar	21
Barron	Propper	20
Souttar	Tavernier	19

Hibernian

From	To	Passes
Miller	Cadden	10
Obita	Hoilett	8
Bursik	O'Hora	7
Bursik	Miller	7
Triantis	Hoilett	6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Rangers

Against its average of 5 matches

Hibernian

Against its average of 5 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Rangers

Hibernian

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Rangers
Title	8%	9%	+1
Hibernian
Top six	51%	49%	−2
11th	5%	6%	+1
Bottom	3%	3%	0
Celtic
Title	92%	91%	−1

From the forecast before the match (29 September 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Rangers	Hibernian
Expected goals	2.50	0.70
Win	76%	8%
Expected Points	2.45	0.40
Clean sheet	50%	8%

Rangers 76%Draw 16%Hibernian 8%

Most likely score 2–0, 13%. Both sides score 47%.

From the forecast as it stood on 29 September 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Rangers win	Draw	Hibernian win
Rangers
Title	8%	9%	5%	3%
Hibernian
Top six	51%	49%	56%	67%
11th	5%	6%	4%	3%
Bottom	3%	3%	2%	1%
Celtic
Title	92%	91%	95%	97%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Rangers

Hibernian

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Rangers	Hibernian
Position	3rd	9th
Played	5	5
Won, drawn, lost	3–⁠1–⁠1	1–⁠2–⁠2
Points	10 (2.00 per game)	5 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.93	1.11
Goals	9–⁠4	5–⁠8
xG per game	1.99–⁠0.83	0.92–⁠1.49
Home: points, xG per game	3.00, 3.53–⁠0.47	1.33, 0.86–⁠1.23
Away: points, xG per game	1.33, 0.96–⁠1.06	0.50, 1.01–⁠1.87
Manager	Philippe Clement (35)	David Gray (7)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Rangers		Hibernian
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	+85%	−49%	−28%	−15%
Counter-attacks	+95%	+3%	−58%	+157%
Set pieces	−11%	−15%	+6%	−2%
Penalties	−65%	−91%	−89%	+17%
Headers	+7%	−26%	−61%	−39%
Left side	+18%	−11%	−27%	−9%
Centre	+77%	−52%	−32%	+13%
Right side	+69%	−22%	+1%	+7%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdHibernian concededLeft side+18%+7%Centre+77%+13%Right side+69%−9%Open play+85%−15%Counter-attacks+95%+157%Set pieces−11%−2%Headers+7%−39%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdRangers concededLeft side−27%−22%Centre−32%−52%Right side+1%−11%Open play−28%−49%Counter-attacks−58%+3%Set pieces+6%−15%Headers−61%−26%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

RangersHibernian

1.99xG0.92

0.83xG against1.49

63%Possession47%

13.6Shots11.4

9.8Shots against11.4

6.0Shots on target2.6

4.0Big chances1.2

30.2Touches in the opposition box21.4

549Passes320

84%Pass accuracy68%

5.2Corners5.6

64%Field tilt51%

46.6Final-third entries29.8

16.6Box entries8.4

10.9Passes per defensive action14.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Rangers

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	30	2.32	1.00
Ahead	45	2.08	0.40
Behind	15	1.02	1.75

Hibernian

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	37	1.13	1.49
Ahead	20	1.06	1.58
Behind	33	0.61	1.42

xG by period

Rangers

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.58	0.12	2–0
16–30	0.35	0.13	2–2
31–45	0.17	0.15	1–1
46–60	0.33	0.16	1–0
61–75	0.34	0.20	2–1
76–90	0.22	0.07	1–0

Hibernian

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.13	0.46	0–2
16–30	0.10	0.12	0–1
31–45	0.18	0.05	2–0
46–60	0.07	0.21	1–1
61–75	0.33	0.27	2–0
76–90	0.12	0.37	0–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Rangers

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (3), 4-3-3 (2)

Hibernian

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (4), 4-3-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
30 March 2024	Rangers	3–1	Hibernian	xG 2.82–0.50
24 January 2024	Hibernian	0–3	Rangers	xG 0.93–2.09
21 October 2023	Rangers	4–0	Hibernian	xG 2.69–0.45
21 May 2023	Hibernian	1–3	Rangers	xG 1.19–1.91
8 March 2023	Hibernian	1–4	Rangers	xG 0.48–4.02
15 December 2022	Rangers	3–2	Hibernian	xG 2.31–0.62

14 league meetings since 2020/21: Rangers won 12, Hibernian won 0, and 2 were drawn. Goals 33–11 and xG 2.19–0.69 per game.

Key players

Rangers

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Danilo	5	553	5	1	1.01	0.09
Dessers	32	2,687	19	5	0.74	0.10
Tavernier	43	3,861	17	12	0.39	0.33
Matondo	9	794	7	5	0.42	0.20

Hibernian

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Youan	24	2,190	4	8	0.17	0.19
Vente	28	2,092	5	3	0.25	0.08
Boyle	32	2,866	7	4	0.20	0.14
Campbell	12	1,085	3	1	0.11	0.08

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.