Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

Rangers 5–0 Hearts

Saturday 24 February 2024, 15:00 · Ibrox Stadium · Round 27 · Half-time 3–0 · Referee Nick Walsh · Attendance 50,354

Rangers Diomande 2', Cortés 37', Dessers 44', 48', Silva 65'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

RangersHearts
Goals50
xG1.470.60
Expected Points2.050.67

Rangers 59%Draw 28%Hearts 13%

Most likely score 1–0, 19%. Final score 5–0, <1%.

Hearts goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+11%6%2%4%10%3%6%4%1%2%1%19%14%15%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTMcCausland on for Sterling and Silva on for Lawrence, 56'Raskin on for Diomande and Wright on for Cortés, 71'Roofe on for Dessers, 79'Forrest on for Rowles, 46'Devlin on for Baningime, 61'Tagawa on for Vargas, 62'Fraser on for Shankland, 79'Tait on for Nieuwenhof, 82'Diomande 2'Cortés 37'Dessers 44'Dessers 48'Silva 65'Rangers 1.47Hearts 0.6000.511.520153045607590HTMcCausland on for Sterling and Silva on for Lawrence, 56'Raskin on for Diomande and Wright on for Cortés, 71'Roofe on for Dessers, 79'Forrest on for Rowles, 46'Devlin on for Baningime, 61'Tagawa on for Vargas, 62'Fraser on for Shankland, 79'Tait on for Nieuwenhof, 82'Diomande 2'Cortés 37'Dessers 44'Dessers 48'Silva 65'1.470.60RangersHearts

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

RangersHearts

1.47 −0.96xG0.60 −0.64
4.06 +1.79xG on target0.66 −0.69
17 −4Shots11 −2
12 +4.7Shots on target5 +0.5
2 −1.7Big chances0 −1.3
30 −5Touches in the opposition box19 −7
53% −11Possession47% −9
492 −59Passes449 −12
86% +4Pass accuracy78% +3
52% −20Field tilt48% −8
59 −1Final-third entries36 −8
18 −1Box entries9 −4
10.0 −1Passes per defensive action26.2 +13
4 −3.2Corners2 −4.8
18 +2Tackles18 +4
6 −1.5Interceptions6 −0.3
20 +5Clearances22 0
5 +3.2Saves7 +4.4
17 +7Fouls9 −2
4 +2.0Offsides2 +1.1

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Rangers

Dessers 15', 0.12 xGDessers 59', 0.06 xGSterling 18', 0.05 xGRaskin 90+5', 0.04 xGTavernier 90+2', 0.03 xGLundstram 15', 0.02 xGTavernier 16', 0.02 xGYilmaz 18', 0.02 xGLundstram 53', 0.02 xGYilmaz 57', 0.02 xGTavernier 23', 0.01 xGSilva 87', 0.01 xGDessers 44', 0.35 xG, goalDessers 48', 0.35 xG, goalSilva 65', 0.16 xG, goalCortés 37', 0.12 xG, goalDiomande 2', 0.05 xG, goal24%0.35 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.35 xG, 1 goal24%0.35 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.35 xG, 1 goal22%0.32 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.32 xG, 1 goal28%0.41 xGEdge of the box: 9 shots, 0.41 xG, 2 goals3%0.05 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals

Hearts

Fraser 83', 0.12 xGVargas 51', 0.11 xGShankland 54', 0.08 xGForrest 76', 0.06 xGTagawa 84', 0.06 xGGrant 80', 0.05 xGGrant 60', 0.03 xGShankland 68', 0.03 xGShankland 24', 0.02 xGGrant 40', 0.02 xGShankland 61', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals43%0.26 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.26 xG, 0 goals13%0.08 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals40%0.24 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.24 xG, 0 goals3%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

RangersHearts

1.27 13 shots, 5 goalsOpen play0.33 6 shots, 0 goals
0.12 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.06 1 shot, 0 goals
0.07 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.21 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
2 min (2%) · Rangers 0.05, Hearts 0.00 xG
Rangers ahead
95 min (98%) · Rangers 1.42, Hearts 0.60 xG

Line-ups

126534242111169ButlandTavernierGoldsonSouttarYilmazDiomandeLundstramSterlingLawrenceCortésDessersYellow cardGoalGoalGoalGoal71'56'56'71'79'Rangers 4-2-3-1Philippe Clement2832151386719977ClarkKingsleyKentRowlesAtkinsonNieuwenhofBaningimeGrantCochraneShanklandVargasYellow card46'82'61'79'62'Hearts 3-5-2Steven Naismith

Rangers substitutes

  • 56' McCausland for Sterling
  • 56' Silva for Lawrence · goal 65'
  • 71' Raskin for Diomande · yellow card 78'
  • 71' Wright for Cortés
  • 79' Roofe for Dessers

Hearts substitutes

  • 46' Forrest for Rowles
  • 61' Devlin for Baningime
  • 62' Tagawa for Vargas
  • 79' Fraser for Shankland
  • 82' Tait for Nieuwenhof · yellow card 88'

Players

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ButlandGK900.000.0000.0100
TavernierRB900.060.1020.15116
GoldsonCB900.000.0100.07611
Souttar CB9010.000.1210.28118
YilmazLB900.040.2000.2867
DiomandeDM7110.050.011−0.0140
LundstramDM9010.040.2140.1894
SterlingRW560.050.0200.0350
LawrenceAM5610.000.0510.0423
CortésLW71110.120.0410.0842
DessersST7920.880.081−0.1020
McCauslandMF340.000.0200.0323
SilvaFW3410.170.0900.0330
Raskin MF190.040.0000.0221
WrightFW190.000.091−0.0120
RoofeFW110.000.0000.0010

Hearts

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ClarkGK900.000.0000.0210
KingsleyCB900.000.0100.0469
KentCB900.000.0100.06610
RowlesCB460.000.0000.0566
AtkinsonRWB900.000.0510.1033
NieuwenhofCM820.000.0400.0455
BaningimeCM610.000.0110.0346
GrantCM900.100.1620.0961
CochraneLWB900.000.1800.1743
Shankland ST790.160.1010.0250
VargasST620.110.0200.0121
ForrestMF440.060.0320.0630
DevlinMF290.000.010−0.0112
TagawaFW280.060.030−0.0300
FraserMF110.120.0000.0002
Tait MF80.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Rangers

Butland and Yilmaz: 4 passesSouttar and Diomande: 4 passesSouttar and Cortés: 4 passesYilmaz and Lawrence: 4 passesTavernier and Souttar: 5 passesLundstram and Sterling: 6 passesSterling and Lawrence: 7 passesTavernier and Diomande: 8 passesTavernier and Lawrence: 8 passesYilmaz and Cortés: 8 passesLundstram and Lawrence: 8 passesLundstram and Cortés: 8 passesLawrence and Cortés: 8 passesGoldson and Lundstram: 10 passesTavernier and Sterling: 13 passesSouttar and Lundstram: 13 passesLundstram and Diomande: 14 passesTavernier and Goldson: 17 passesYilmaz and Lundstram: 17 passesGoldson and Souttar: 19 passesSouttar and Yilmaz: 20 passesTavernier and Lundstram: 21 passesButland: 7 completed passesTavernier: 42 completed passesGoldson: 28 completed passesSouttar: 38 completed passesYilmaz: 31 completed passesLundstram: 54 completed passesDiomande: 21 completed passesSterling: 13 completed passesLawrence: 18 completed passesCortés: 11 completed passesDessers: 4 completed passes126534422111169ButlandTavernierGoldsonSouttarYilmazLundstramDiomandeSterlingLawrenceCortésDessersStarters until 56' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Hearts

Clark and Shankland: 3 passesRowles and Atkinson: 3 passesRowles and Baningime: 3 passesKent and Nieuwenhof: 3 passesAtkinson and Grant: 3 passesCochrane and Shankland: 3 passesRowles and Nieuwenhof: 4 passesKingsley and Baningime: 4 passesNieuwenhof and Baningime: 4 passesClark and Rowles: 5 passesClark and Kent: 5 passesClark and Kingsley: 5 passesRowles and Kingsley: 5 passesRowles and Cochrane: 5 passesKent and Kingsley: 5 passesNieuwenhof and Grant: 5 passesBaningime and Grant: 5 passesKingsley and Nieuwenhof: 7 passesAtkinson and Shankland: 7 passesRowles and Kent: 9 passesKingsley and Atkinson: 10 passesRowles and Grant: 15 passesAtkinson and Nieuwenhof: 17 passesCochrane and Grant: 17 passesClark: 17 completed passesRowles: 24 completed passesKent: 16 completed passesKingsley: 19 completed passesAtkinson: 21 completed passesCochrane: 16 completed passesNieuwenhof: 20 completed passesBaningime: 13 completed passesGrant: 27 completed passesVargas: 5 completed passesShankland: 9 completed passes2815231319867779ClarkRowlesKentKingsleyAtkinsonCochraneNieuwenhofBaningimeGrantVargasShanklandStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Rangers

FromToPasses
SouttarGoldson23
SouttarYilmaz17
TavernierLundstram17
GoldsonTavernier16
GoldsonSouttar16

Hearts

FromToPasses
AtkinsonNieuwenhof12
NieuwenhofAtkinson9
GrantCochrane9
KingsleyKent9
GrantRowles8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Rangers

2−1.54−0.512+3.82−2.48+4.04−2.06+1.43−1.33−4.111+2.670.03−2.31−2.66−0.34−2.93−2.24−0.40−3.314+10.414+9.53+0.44+1.42+0.24+1.72−0.50−0.90−0.70−0.81+0.50−1.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 26 matches

Hearts

5−0.54−3.722+6.89+2.41−3.38+0.311+5.56+1.75−2.04−2.54−1.611+6.01−3.73−2.62−4.12−1.95+1.22−0.83−0.32−2.51−0.91−0.60−1.22+0.70−2.42+1.20−0.80−0.70−0.70−0.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 26 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Rangers

0.010.010.020.020.020.020.010.140.050.030.100.050.070.010.030.030.110.050.100.080.01−0.15−0.030.010.29LessMore

Hearts

0.010.010.010.010.010.040.020.020.010.010.050.010.020.01−0.010.030.020.090.04−0.070.040.04−0.010.010.21LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.28AttackRangers2.31 → 2.30Hearts1.34 → 1.32Defence (lower is better)Rangers0.66 → 0.67Hearts1.18 → 1.21

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Rangers
Title73%76%+3
Celtic
Title27%24%−3

From the forecast before the match (24 February 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

RangersHearts
Expected goals2.520.63
Win78%7%
Expected Points2.500.35
Clean sheet54%8%

Rangers 78%Draw 15%Hearts 7%

Most likely score 2–0, 14%. Both sides score 43%.

Hearts goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+5%2%7%2%9%3%7%2%7%5%1%4%2%2%1%10%14%11%

From the forecast as it stood on 24 February 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRangers winDrawHearts win
Rangers
Title73%76%65%59%
Celtic
Title27%24%35%41%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Rangers

  1. W3–018 FebSt. Johnstone (A)xG 2.96–0.21
  2. W3–114 FebRoss County (H)xG 4.94–0.54
  3. W2–16 FebAberdeen (H)xG 2.12–0.53
  4. W3–03 FebLivingston (H)xG 2.68–0.00
  5. W1–027 JanSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.34–0.61
  6. W3–024 JanHibernian (A)xG 2.09–0.93

Hearts

  1. W2–017 FebMotherwell (H)xG 1.71–0.46
  2. W1–07 FebSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.70–0.45
  3. W3–23 FebDundee FC (A)xG 1.76–1.69
  4. W2–027 JanAberdeen (H)xG 1.58–0.93
  5. W3–223 JanDundee FC (H)xG 2.21–0.69
  6. W2–12 JanLivingston (A)xG 1.94–1.66

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

RangersHearts
Position1st3rd
Played2626
Won, drawn, lost21–⁠1–⁠416–⁠3–⁠7
Points64 (2.46 per game)51 (1.96 per game)
Expected Points per game2.441.38
Goals56–⁠1335–⁠22
xG per game2.43–⁠0.561.24–⁠1.36
Home: points, xG per game2.54, 2.58–⁠0.621.85, 1.39–⁠1.20
Away: points, xG per game2.38, 2.28–⁠0.512.08, 1.09–⁠1.52
ManagerPhilippe Clement (18)Steven Naismith (22)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.28AttackRangers2.31, 1stHearts1.34, 3rdDefence (lower is better)Rangers0.66, 1stHearts1.18, 3rd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanFebRangers attack: 2.31Hearts attack: 1.342.311.34HeartsRangersDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanFebRangers defence: 0.66Hearts defence: 1.181.180.66

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

RangersHearts
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+96%−61%−10%−4%
Counter-attacks+59%−44%−3%−36%
Set pieces+28%−44%−10%+13%
Penalties+114%−81%−3%+17%
Headers+45%−63%−30%+4%
Left side+78%−47%−7%−13%
Centre+66%−61%−21%−7%
Right side+88%−53%+10%+21%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdHearts concededLeft side+78%+21%Centre+66%−7%Right side+88%−13%Open play+96%−4%Counter-attacks+59%−36%Set pieces+28%+13%Headers+45%+4%

Hearts attacking

Hearts createdRangers concededLeft side−7%−53%Centre−21%−61%Right side+10%−47%Open play−10%−61%Counter-attacks−3%−44%Set pieces−10%−44%Headers−30%−63%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

RangersHearts

2.43xG1.24
0.56xG against1.36
64%Possession56%
21.3Shots13.5
6.7Shots against13.2
7.3Shots on target4.5
3.7Big chances1.3
35.3Touches in the opposition box25.8
551Passes461
82%Pass accuracy76%
7.2Corners6.8
72%Field tilt55%
59.7Final-third entries43.7
19.2Box entries13.3
11.1Passes per defensive action12.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level262.300.71
Ahead502.440.49
Behind142.620.57

Hearts

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level461.271.10
Ahead270.911.59
Behind171.691.67

xG by period

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.290.096–3
16–300.340.1112–2
31–450.440.0611–3
46–600.330.122–2
61–750.420.079–2
76–900.610.1116–1

Hearts

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.173–2
16–300.170.255–4
31–450.100.181–2
46–600.240.277–4
61–750.310.1310–4
76–900.280.369–6

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTButland 26Tavernier 26Goldson 23Souttar 14Balogun 11Davies 4Yilmaz 13Barisic 12Sterling 1Raskin 8Cifuentes 6Lawrence 4Lundstram 19Cantwell 5Jack 4McCausland 11Wright 4Lammers 4Cantwell 11Lammers 6Lundstram 3Sima 15Matondo 5Wright 1Dessers 17Danilo 4Silva 34-2-3-1 in 18 of 26 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (18), 4-3-3 (6), 4-3-1-2 (2)

Hearts

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTClark 26Kingsley 13Sibbick 5Atkinson 5Kent 26Halkett 4Rowles 21Oda 7Forrest 5Atkinson 5Nieuwen… 18NieuwenhofDevlin 7Denholm 6Baningime 16Boyce 3Shankland 2Grant 8Lowry 7Haring 5Cochrane 14Forrest 4Vargas 3Shankland 24Kingsley 6Cochrane 5Vargas 53-5-2 in 13 of 26 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (13), 4-2-3-1 (11), 3-4-2-1 (1), 4-3-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
6 December 2023Hearts0–1RangersxG 1.03–2.53
29 October 2023Rangers2–1HeartsxG 4.03–0.24
24 May 2023Rangers2–2HeartsxG 2.85–1.17
1 February 2023Hearts0–3RangersxG 0.86–3.07
9 November 2022Rangers1–0HeartsxG 1.82–0.50
1 October 2022Hearts0–4RangersxG 0.41–1.85

10 league meetings since 2020/21: Rangers won 8, Hearts won 0, and 2 were drawn. Goals 24–5 and xG 2.73–0.69 per game.

Key players

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Danilo5529410.980.09
Dessers171,3921020.790.11
Tavernier262,3311280.420.33
Sima151,3801020.450.15

Hearts

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Shankland262,3401810.460.13
Boyce7631130.360.20
Vargas111,170410.230.11
Lowry10733010.110.23

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.