Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Ross County 3–3 St. Johnstone

Saturday 21 September 2024, 15:00 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 15 · Half-time 1–1 · Referee Dan McFarlane · Attendance 3,063

Ross County Hale 19', Samuel 87', Wright 90+7'

St. Johnstone Wright 44', Clark 60', 84'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Ross CountySt. Johnstone
Goals33
xG1.280.55
Expected Points2.000.69

Ross County 57%Draw 30%St. Johnstone 13%

Most likely score 1–0, 24%. Final score 3–3, <1%.

St. Johnstone goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+12%6%2%16%4%15%9%3%4%3%24%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTEfete on for Brown, 61'Brophy on for White and Denholm on for Randall, 71'Samuel on for Chilvers and Grieves on for Lopata, 82'Keltjens on for Raymond, 66'Carey on for Smith, 67'McPake on for Kirk, 80'MacPherson on for Sprangler, 83'Hale 19'Samuel 87'Wright 90+7'Wright 44'Clark 60'Clark 84'Ross County 1.28St. Johnstone 0.5500.511.50153045607590HTEfete on for Brown, 61'Brophy on for White and Denholm on for Randall, 71'Samuel on for Chilvers and Grieves on for Lopata, 82'Keltjens on for Raymond, 66'Carey on for Smith, 67'McPake on for Kirk, 80'MacPherson on for Sprangler, 83'Hale 19'Samuel 87'Wright 90+7'Wright 44'Clark 60'Clark 84'1.280.55Ross CountySt. Johnstone

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Ross CountySt. Johnstone

1.28 +0.23xG0.55 −0.48
1.11 +0.06xG on target1.11 +0.43
14 +4.2Shots8 −3.0
6 +2.2Shots on target3 −0.2
2 +0.6Big chances0 −1.2
19 +6Touches in the opposition box10 −7
52% +12Possession48% −6
398 +99Passes366 −11
74% +11Pass accuracy68% −4
52% +15Field tilt48% −2
41 +10Final-third entries29 −11
10 +3.8Box entries5 −5.2
10.9 −5Passes per defensive action12.1 0
1 −1.8Corners3 −3.6
16 −3Tackles18 +3
13 +3.6Interceptions17 +10.2
11 −19Clearances21 −10
0 −2.4Saves3 +0.6
13 +1Fouls15 +2
2 +1.0Offsides4 +3.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Ross County

Hale 40', 0.18 xGLeak 39', 0.17 xGLeak 81', 0.05 xGDenholm 90+3', 0.05 xGSamuel 89', 0.04 xGChilvers 32', 0.03 xGRandall 51', 0.03 xGHale 2', 0.02 xGChilvers 40', 0.02 xGWright 56', 0.01 xGChilvers 74', 0.01 xGSamuel 87', 0.59 xG, goalHale 19', 0.06 xG, goalWright 90+7', 0.03 xG, goal46%0.59 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.59 xG, 1 goal31%0.40 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.40 xG, 0 goals10%0.13 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.13 xG, 2 goals12%0.15 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals1%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

St. Johnstone

Sanders 44', 0.09 xGSmith 43', 0.08 xGWright 43', 0.08 xGRaymond 11', 0.04 xGRaymond 43', 0.02 xGClark 60', 0.13 xG, goalClark 84', 0.06 xG, goalWright 44', 0.05 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals45%0.25 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.25 xG, 0 goals4%0.02 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals44%0.24 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.24 xG, 3 goals7%0.04 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Ross CountySt. Johnstone

1.02 10 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.18 3 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.04 1 shot, 0 goals
0.26 4 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.33 4 shots, 3 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
36 min (37%) · Ross County 0.12, St. Johnstone 0.27 xG
Ross County ahead
25 min (26%) · Ross County 0.40, St. Johnstone 0.23 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
37 min (38%) · Ross County 0.77, St. Johnstone 0.06 xG

Line-ups

1420322381019269LaidlawWrightLopataLeakBrownNisbetRandallChilversCampbellWhiteHaleGoalYellow cardYellow cardGoal82'61'71'82'71'Ross County 3-5-2Don Cowie20654147232232710SinclairNeilsonSandersCameronWrightHoltSpranglerSmithRaymondKirkClarkGoalYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardGoalGoal83'67'66'80'St. Johnstone 3-5-2Andy Kirk

Ross County substitutes

  • 61' Efete for Brown
  • 71' Denholm for Randall · 1 assist
  • 71' Brophy for White
  • 82' Grieves for Lopata · 1 assist
  • 82' Samuel for Chilvers · goal 87'

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 66' Keltjens for Raymond
  • 67' Carey for Smith
  • 80' McPake for Kirk
  • 83' MacPherson for Sprangler · yellow card 90+6'

Players

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0400.1470
WrightCB9010.040.0200.0643
Lopata CB820.000.0100.0754
Leak CB900.220.0100.13137
BrownRWB610.000.0610.0923
NisbetCM9010.000.0540.0756
RandallCM710.030.0210.07610
ChilversCM820.060.1020.0162
CampbellLWB900.000.0800.0317
WhiteST710.000.010−0.0201
HaleST9010.250.0200.0430
EfeteMF290.000.061−0.0120
DenholmMF1910.050.2410.1811
BrophyFW190.000.000−0.0200
GrievesMF810.000.0710.0710
SamuelFW810.630.0000.0110

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SinclairGK900.000.0000.0111
NeilsonCB900.000.0100.0576
SandersCB900.090.0100.03110
CameronCB900.000.0600.1266
WrightRWB9010.130.0210.0216
Holt CM900.000.0200.0545
Sprangler CM830.000.011−0.01111
SmithCM670.080.3810.0351
RaymondLWB660.060.0000.0422
Kirk ST800.000.101−0.0311
ClarkST9020.190.0100.0023
KeltjensMF240.000.0000.0012
CareyMF230.000.0000.0122
McPakeFW100.000.0000.0011
MacPherson MF70.000.0000.0001

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Ross County

Laidlaw and White: 4 passesLeak and White: 4 passesCampbell and White: 4 passesRandall and Chilvers: 4 passesRandall and White: 4 passesWright and Randall: 5 passesLeak and Randall: 5 passesLeak and Hale: 5 passesNisbet and Chilvers: 5 passesLaidlaw and Wright: 6 passesLeak and Chilvers: 6 passesNisbet and Randall: 6 passesLopata and Chilvers: 8 passesLaidlaw and Leak: 9 passesLopata and Wright: 9 passesLeak and Campbell: 10 passesBrown and Randall: 11 passesCampbell and Chilvers: 11 passesBrown and Nisbet: 12 passesLaidlaw and Lopata: 13 passesWright and Brown: 15 passesLopata and Leak: 20 passesLaidlaw: 19 completed passesLopata: 32 completed passesWright: 23 completed passesLeak: 31 completed passesBrown: 22 completed passesCampbell: 18 completed passesNisbet: 17 completed passesRandall: 21 completed passesChilvers: 20 completed passesHale: 5 completed passesWhite: 12 completed passes1204321923810926LaidlawLopataWrightLeakBrownCampbellNisbetRandallChilversHaleWhiteStarters until 61' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

St. Johnstone

Sinclair and Cameron: 4 passesSanders and Smith: 4 passesNeilson and Cameron: 4 passesNeilson and Clark: 4 passesCameron and Sprangler: 4 passesWright and Holt: 4 passesWright and Clark: 4 passesRaymond and Clark: 4 passesSanders and Sprangler: 5 passesNeilson and Holt: 5 passesHolt and Smith: 5 passesSanders and Wright: 6 passesWright and Smith: 6 passesNeilson and Sprangler: 8 passesSprangler and Smith: 8 passesSinclair and Sanders: 9 passesSanders and Cameron: 9 passesNeilson and Wright: 9 passesCameron and Holt: 9 passesSanders and Holt: 10 passesSanders and Neilson: 12 passesRaymond and Holt: 13 passesSinclair: 13 completed passesSanders: 29 completed passesNeilson: 26 completed passesCameron: 22 completed passesWright: 18 completed passesRaymond: 16 completed passesSprangler: 23 completed passesHolt: 29 completed passesSmith: 17 completed passesKirk: 8 completed passesClark: 10 completed passes20564143237222710SinclairSandersNeilsonCameronWrightRaymondSpranglerHoltSmithKirkClarkStarters until 66' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Ross County

FromToPasses
LopataLeak12
CampbellLeak10
LeakLopata10
LeakLaidlaw9
LaidlawLopata8

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
NeilsonSanders8
SandersSinclair7
SpranglerSmith7
HoltRaymond7
SandersNeilson7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Ross County

4−1.41−4.65−3.25−1.45−3.25−1.27+1.69+2.49+2.03−4.45+0.43−0.22−1.06+0.43−1.06+3.22−0.63−0.20−3.26+3.41−1.44+3.20−1.42−0.61+0.41+0.61+0.400.00−1.211−6.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 5 matches

St. Johnstone

3−2.45+0.217+0.83−3.07+1.29+2.414+9.69+3.211+4.69+1.67+0.48+4.63+0.47+2.64−3.22−1.61−1.420.01−1.43−1.28+6.61−1.20−1.00−2.23+1.61+0.60−0.21+0.20−1.010.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 5 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Ross County

0.030.010.020.040.080.060.020.020.010.040.050.040.020.03−0.020.01−0.020.110.040.080.06−0.020.060.17LessMore

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.030.020.040.010.010.010.020.010.020.030.020.06−0.03−0.020.06−0.02−0.06−0.02−0.010.12LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.33AttackRoss County1.04 → 1.06St. Johnstone0.98 → 0.98Defence (lower is better)Ross County1.52 → 1.52St. Johnstone1.55 → 1.58

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Ross County
Top six18%15%−3
11th18%19%+1
Bottom17%18%+1
St. Johnstone
Top six7%6%−1
11th20%21%+1
Bottom35%34%−1

From the forecast before the match (21 September 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Ross CountySt. Johnstone
Expected goals1.441.01
Win47%26%
Expected Points1.671.05
Clean sheet36%24%

Ross County 47%Draw 28%St. Johnstone 26%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 49%.

St. Johnstone goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+9%8%4%1%6%2%9%9%5%2%4%4%2%2%2%12%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 21 September 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRoss County winDrawSt. Johnstone win
Ross County
Top six18%23%15%11%
11th18%15%19%20%
Bottom17%12%18%26%
St. Johnstone
Top six7%5%6%11%
11th20%21%21%19%
Bottom35%41%34%23%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Ross County

  1. W2–014 SepDundee FC (H)xG 1.43–0.66
  2. L0–131 AugAberdeen (H)xG 1.05–0.35
  3. L0–624 AugRangers (A)xG 0.24–3.76
  4. D1–110 AugDundee United (H)xG 2.23–1.34
  5. D0–03 AugMotherwell (A)xG 0.31–1.20
  6. D2–219 MayAberdeen (H)xG 2.30–1.30

St. Johnstone

  1. L0–214 SepHibernian (A)xG 0.25–1.61
  2. L1–231 AugMotherwell (H)xG 0.74–0.89
  3. L0–224 AugDundee United (A)xG 1.58–0.41
  4. W3–011 AugKilmarnock (A)xG 1.79–1.74
  5. L1–25 AugAberdeen (H)xG 0.81–1.79
  6. W2–119 MayMotherwell (A)xG 1.82–2.48

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Ross CountySt. Johnstone
Position9th10th
Played55
Won, drawn, lost1–⁠2–⁠21–⁠0–⁠4
Points5 (1.00 per game)3 (0.60 per game)
Expected Points per game1.361.20
Goals3–⁠85–⁠8
xG per game1.05–⁠1.461.03–⁠1.29
Home: points, xG per game1.33, 1.57–⁠0.780.00, 0.78–⁠1.34
Away: points, xG per game0.50, 0.28–⁠2.481.00, 1.21–⁠1.25
ManagerDon Cowie (20)Andy Kirk (0)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.33AttackRoss County1.04, 11thSt. Johnstone0.98, 12thDefence (lower is better)Ross County1.52, 10thSt. Johnstone1.55, 12th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepRoss County attack: 1.04St. Johnstone attack: 0.981.040.98St. JohnstoneRoss CountyDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepRoss County defence: 1.52St. Johnstone defence: 1.551.551.52

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Ross CountySt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−53%+16%−23%−5%
Counter-attacks−41%+83%−71%−49%
Set pieces−37%−1%−23%+69%
Penalties+236%−85%+15%−83%
Headers−49%−1%−19%+15%
Left side−37%−3%−13%+50%
Centre−52%+41%−31%−3%
Right side−49%−8%−35%−9%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−37%−9%Centre−52%−3%Right side−49%+50%Open play−53%−5%Counter-attacks−41%−49%Set pieces−37%+69%Headers−49%+15%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdRoss County concededLeft side−13%−8%Centre−31%+41%Right side−35%−3%Open play−23%+16%Counter-attacks−71%+83%Set pieces−23%−1%Headers−19%−1%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Ross CountySt. Johnstone

1.05xG1.03
1.46xG against1.29
40%Possession54%
9.8Shots11.0
11.6Shots against13.6
3.8Shots on target3.2
1.4Big chances1.2
12.6Touches in the opposition box17.4
299Passes377
63%Pass accuracy72%
2.8Corners6.6
37%Field tilt49%
31.4Final-third entries39.6
6.2Box entries10.2
15.6Passes per defensive action12.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level501.170.97
Ahead171.080.71
Behind230.773.11

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level321.181.53
Ahead171.701.80
Behind400.630.87

xG by period

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.120.161–0
16–300.190.420–1
31–450.300.121–1
46–600.040.210–2
61–750.230.300–2
76–900.170.261–2

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.081–1
16–300.080.210–1
31–450.370.211–1
46–600.110.160–1
61–750.100.301–2
76–900.270.322–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Ross County

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTLaidlaw 5Wright 5Efete 2Lopata 2Nightingale 3Leak 2Campbell 1Brown 3Denholm 1Grieves 1Nisbet 2Loturi 2Denholm 1Randall 5Harmon 2Chilvers 1Grieves 1Harmon 3Denholm 1Grieves 1White 3Brophy 2Hale 53-5-2 in 2 of 5 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 5-3-2 (1)

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTRae 3Sinclair 2Neilson 4Wright 1Essel 1Sanders 3McClelland 1Cameron 5Wright 4Smith 1Smith 3Neilson 1Holt 1MacPhers… 3MacPhersonRaymond 2Sprangler 1Essel 4Raymond 3Smith 1Carey 1Sidibeh 3Clark 2Kimpioka 53-5-2 in 3 of 5 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (3), 4-4-2 (2)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
15 May 2024St. Johnstone1–1Ross CountyxG 0.58–0.47
3 February 2024Ross County0–1St. JohnstonexG 0.58–0.54
11 November 2023St. Johnstone1–0Ross CountyxG 0.69–0.21
12 August 2023Ross County2–0St. JohnstonexG 2.60–0.49
24 May 2023Ross County3–3St. JohnstonexG 2.29–2.53
8 April 2023St. Johnstone0–2Ross CountyxG 0.86–0.91

14 league meetings since 2020/21: Ross County won 5, St. Johnstone won 4, and 5 were drawn. Goals 16–12 and xG 0.84–1.12 per game.

Key players

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
White282,542630.300.04
Brophy131,249320.260.04
Brown292,583120.050.14
Harmon161,485130.090.08

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Sidibeh141,200700.470.05
Clark181,534700.320.03
Kimpioka121,114500.310.03
Carey302,863290.040.18

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.