Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

St. Johnstone 3–0 St. Mirren

Saturday 3 September 2022, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 6 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Colin Steven · Attendance 3,640

St. Johnstone Clark 26', Wright 66', Carey 86' (pen)

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren
Goals30
xG2.250.81
Non-penalty xG1.460.81
Expected Points2.450.38

St. Johnstone 76%Draw 17%St. Mirren 7%

Most likely score 2–0, 15%. Final score 3–0, 12%.

St. Mirren goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+1%1%8%9%3%6%1%4%1%4%4%1%15%15%12%11%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTPhillips on for Murphy, Bair on for May, and McLennan on for Clark, 77'Gordon on for Hallberg, 83'Tanser on for Tait, Henderson on for Strain, and Brophy on for Main, 59'Greive on for Erhahon, 70'Clark 26'Wright 66'Carey 86' (pen)St. Johnstone 2.25St. Mirren 0.8101230153045607590HTPhillips on for Murphy, Bair on for May, and McLennan on for Clark, 77'Gordon on for Hallberg, 83'Tanser on for Tait, Henderson on for Strain, and Brophy on for Main, 59'Greive on for Erhahon, 70'Clark 26'Wright 66'Carey 86' (pen)2.250.81St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren

2.25 +1.76xG0.81 −0.54
1.46Non-penalty xG0.81
3.06 +2.58xG on target0.17 −1.09
9 +2.2Shots10 −1.8
4 +1.8Shots on target2 −1.2
4 +3.4Big chances1 −1.4
45% +7Possession55% +20
349 +55Passes397 +150
68% +4Pass accuracy71% +12
21% −6Field tilt79% +41
26 +5Final-third entries50 +21
5 −1.8Box entries10 −2.4
20.5 +5Passes per defensive action12.0 −7
1 −2.8Corners9 +3.2
13 −5Tackles8 −6
15 +2.6Interceptions9 +2.6
40 +16Clearances4 −19
2 −0.4Saves1 −1.4
4 −8Fouls15 +3
2 +0.4Offsides2 +0.8

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Johnstone

Clark 24', 0.40 xGWright 80', 0.04 xGMcLennan 90+2', 0.04 xGMay 28', 0.03 xGMay 10', 0.02 xGHallberg 60', 0.02 xGClark 26', 0.55 xG, goalWright 66', 0.35 xG, goal65%0.95 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.95 xG, 1 goal24%0.35 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.35 xG, 1 goal3%0.04 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals1%0.02 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals7%0.10 xGFurther out: 3 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals

St. Mirren

Ayunga 76', 0.27 xGGallagher 74', 0.12 xGAyunga 14', 0.10 xGGreive 74', 0.09 xGO'Hara 68', 0.08 xGTanser 76', 0.05 xGBaccus 41', 0.04 xGHenderson 61', 0.03 xGAyunga 64', 0.03 xGHenderson 90+3', 0.01 xG10%0.08 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.08 xG, 0 goals81%0.66 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.66 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals9%0.07 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren

1.46 8 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.73 9 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.08 1 shot, 0 goals
0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
26 min (28%) · St. Johnstone 0.97, St. Mirren 0.10 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
67 min (72%) · St. Johnstone 1.27, St. Mirren 0.71 xG

Line-ups

113541422231937297MatthewsMcGowanMitchellConsidineWrightHallbergCareyMontgomeryClarkMurphyMayYellow cardGoalGoalYellow cardGoal83'77'77'77'St. Johnstone 3-4-2-1Callum Davidson123223118217166710CarsonStrainFraserGallagherDunneTaitBaccusErhahonO'HaraAyungaMainYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow card59'59'70'59'St. Mirren 5-3-2Steve Robinson

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 77' McLennan for Clark
  • 77' Phillips for Murphy
  • 77' Bair for May
  • 83' Gordon for Hallberg

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 59' Brophy for Main
  • 59' Henderson for Strain
  • 59' Tanser for Tait
  • 70' Greive for Erhahon

Players

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MatthewsGK900.000.0000.0430
McGowanCB900.000.0000.03612
Mitchell CB900.000.0000.01115
ConsidineCB900.000.0000.08715
WrightRWB9010.400.0610.28114
HallbergCM830.020.0110.0473
Carey CM9010.790.0310.09105
MontgomeryLWB9010.000.0010.0126
ClarkAM7710.950.011−0.0221
MurphyAM770.000.0000.0022
MayST7710.050.0110.0333
McLennanFW130.040.0100.0011
PhillipsMF130.000.0000.0110
BairFW130.000.000−0.0102
GordonDF70.000.0000.0002

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
CarsonGK900.000.0000.0440
StrainRWB590.000.0400.0344
Fraser CB900.000.0300.1560
Gallagher CB900.120.0600.1483
Dunne CB900.000.0200.0434
TaitLWB590.000.0200.0851
BaccusCM900.040.0300.0463
Erhahon CM700.000.0100.0442
O'HaraCM900.080.112−0.0180
Ayunga ST900.400.040−0.0333
MainST590.000.1210.1621
BrophyFW310.000.0010.0000
HendersonMF310.040.0910.2850
TanserDF310.050.1920.0021
GreiveFW200.090.001−0.0100

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Matthews and Wright: 4 passesMitchell and Wright: 4 passesCarey and Clark: 4 passesMcGowan and Carey: 5 passesMitchell and Carey: 5 passesWright and Carey: 5 passesClark and May: 5 passesConsidine and Hallberg: 6 passesConsidine and Murphy: 6 passesWright and Clark: 6 passesCarey and Murphy: 6 passesCarey and Hallberg: 7 passesMcGowan and Hallberg: 8 passesMatthews and Considine: 9 passesMontgomery and Carey: 9 passesMatthews and Mitchell: 10 passesMcGowan and Wright: 10 passesMcGowan and Mitchell: 12 passesConsidine and Montgomery: 13 passesWright and Hallberg: 13 passesConsidine and Carey: 14 passesMitchell and Considine: 16 passesMatthews: 22 completed passesMcGowan: 26 completed passesMitchell: 29 completed passesConsidine: 41 completed passesWright: 26 completed passesMontgomery: 15 completed passesCarey: 27 completed passesHallberg: 21 completed passesMurphy: 11 completed passesClark: 8 completed passesMay: 8 completed passes113541419232229377MatthewsMcGowanMitchellConsidineWrightMontgomeryCareyHallbergMurphyClarkMayStarters until 77' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

St. Mirren

Tait and Erhahon: 4 passesTait and Main: 4 passesBaccus and Erhahon: 4 passesO'Hara and Erhahon: 4 passesO'Hara and Main: 4 passesGallagher and Tait: 5 passesStrain and Erhahon: 5 passesO'Hara and Ayunga: 5 passesErhahon and Main: 5 passesAyunga and Main: 5 passesCarson and Dunne: 6 passesCarson and Gallagher: 6 passesStrain and Ayunga: 6 passesTait and Ayunga: 6 passesBaccus and Ayunga: 6 passesBaccus and Main: 6 passesFraser and Gallagher: 7 passesFraser and Baccus: 7 passesBaccus and O'Hara: 7 passesDunne and Tait: 8 passesFraser and Erhahon: 9 passesStrain and Baccus: 9 passesFraser and Strain: 10 passesTait and O'Hara: 14 passesCarson: 9 completed passesDunne: 14 completed passesFraser: 23 completed passesGallagher: 17 completed passesStrain: 17 completed passesTait: 21 completed passesBaccus: 20 completed passesO'Hara: 23 completed passesErhahon: 22 completed passesAyunga: 13 completed passesMain: 14 completed passes118223123217616710CarsonDunneFraserGallagherStrainTaitBaccusO'HaraErhahonAyungaMainStarters until 59' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
ConsidineMontgomery10
MontgomeryCarey10
McGowanWright9
MitchellConsidine9
ConsidineCarey8

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
FraserGallagher10
O'HaraTait9
DunneCarson8
GallagherCarson7
GallagherFraser7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

10+4.811+2.815−1.280.012+4.89+2.212+3.85−3.67−2.69+2.86−1.45+0.28+4.44−1.66−3.24−0.83+1.01−1.45+2.42−0.22+1.40−0.41+0.20−1.00−1.21+1.000.00−0.20−0.62−4.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 5 matches

St. Mirren

3−1.43−4.44−4.02−2.03−4.86−1.22−3.24−3.25−1.28+1.89+6.05+1.43−1.68+3.04+0.66+3.23+0.24+1.64+2.42−0.84+2.21−0.61−0.64+1.00−2.20−1.02+0.810.010.04−9.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 5 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

0.010.040.010.030.010.030.050.030.040.040.030.010.040.010.050.02−0.010.16LessMore

St. Mirren

0.010.010.010.030.040.020.010.080.040.020.010.020.050.020.070.080.05−0.04−0.020.01−0.01−0.01−0.05−0.030.160.36LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.20AttackSt. Johnstone0.82 → 0.85St. Mirren0.94 → 0.92Defence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.39 → 1.34St. Mirren1.31 → 1.34

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
Top six6%9%+3
11th24%21%−3
Bottom28%21%−7
St. Mirren
Top six36%28%−8
11th8%11%+3
Bottom4%6%+2
Hibernian
Top six63%64%+1

From the forecast before the match (3 September 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren
Expected goals1.071.01
Win36%33%
Expected Points1.391.30
Clean sheet37%34%

St. Johnstone 36%Draw 32%St. Mirren 33%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 42%.

St. Mirren goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+6%2%7%2%7%7%4%1%3%3%1%13%12%13%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 3 September 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Johnstone winDrawSt. Mirren win
St. Johnstone
Top six6%9%4%3%
11th24%21%25%26%
Bottom28%21%30%34%
St. Mirren
Top six36%28%33%46%
11th8%11%8%4%
Bottom4%6%4%2%
Hibernian
Top six63%64%65%61%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. L2–328 AugHearts (A)xG 0.77–2.74
  2. L0–120 AugAberdeen (H)xG 0.34–1.05
  3. L0–413 AugRangers (A)xG 0.33–2.32
  4. W2–16 AugMotherwell (A)xG 0.87–0.67
  5. L0–130 JulHibernian (H)xG 0.15–0.78
  6. L0–415 MayHibernian (A)xG 0.51–1.99

St. Mirren

  1. W1–027 AugHibernian (H)xG 1.37–0.80
  2. W3–020 AugDundee United (A)xG 1.84–1.25
  3. W1–013 AugRoss County (H)xG 0.25–0.35
  4. L1–46 AugAberdeen (A)xG 0.93–3.37
  5. L0–131 JulMotherwell (H)xG 2.38–1.16
  6. D0–015 MayAberdeen (A)xG 0.37–1.16

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren
Position10th6th
Played55
Won, drawn, lost1–⁠0–⁠43–⁠0–⁠2
Points3 (0.60 per game)9 (1.80 per game)
Expected Points per game0.661.40
Goals4–⁠106–⁠5
xG per game0.49–⁠1.511.35–⁠1.39
Home: points, xG per game0.00, 0.24–⁠0.922.00, 1.33–⁠0.77
Away: points, xG per game1.00, 0.66–⁠1.911.50, 1.39–⁠2.31
ManagerCallum Davidson (81)Steve Robinson (9)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.20AttackSt. Johnstone0.82, 12thSt. Mirren0.94, 10thDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.39, 10thSt. Mirren1.31, 7th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSt. Johnstone attack: 0.82St. Mirren attack: 0.940.940.82St. MirrenSt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSt. Johnstone defence: 1.39St. Mirren defence: 1.311.391.31

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−71%+19%−17%+4%
Counter-attacks−97%−55%+294%−47%
Set pieces−4%−6%−21%−35%
Penalties−91%+37%+24%+145%
Headers−40%+18%+25%−15%
Left side−63%−9%−19%+11%
Centre−57%−15%+5%−18%
Right side−51%+73%−9%−6%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−63%−6%Centre−57%−18%Right side−51%+11%Open play−71%+4%Counter-attacks−97%−47%Set pieces−4%−35%Headers−40%−15%

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−19%+73%Centre+5%−15%Right side−9%−9%Open play−17%+19%Counter-attacks+294%−55%Set pieces−21%−6%Headers+25%+18%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren

0.49xG1.35
1.51xG against1.39
38%Possession35%
6.8Shots11.8
18.4Shots against12.8
2.2Shots on target3.2
0.6Big chances2.4
294Passes247
64%Pass accuracy60%
3.8Corners5.8
27%Field tilt38%
21.4Final-third entries29.0
6.8Box entries12.4
15.8Passes per defensive action19.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level490.441.30
Ahead160.191.11
Behind250.792.18

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level321.371.59
Ahead351.300.80
Behind231.412.01

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.040.161–0
16–300.100.151–1
31–450.010.320–2
46–600.180.171–1
61–750.040.230–1
76–900.120.501–5

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.111–0
16–300.160.280–1
31–450.280.361–3
46–600.340.293–0
61–750.110.120–0
76–900.370.221–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTMatthews 5McGowan 5Mitchell 5Considine 5Wright 5Hallberg 5Brown 1MacPherson 2Phillips 1Davidson 1Montgomery 3Brown 1Phillips 1Carey 5Murphy 5Bair 4May 13-4-2-1 in 4 of 5 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (4), 3-4-1-2 (1)

St. Mirren

GKRWBCBCBCBLWBCMCMCMSTSTCarson 5Strain 5Gallagher 4Fraser 3Shaughne… 3ShaughnessyDunne 5Tait 4Tanser 1Baccus 5Erhahon 5O'Hara 3Kiltie 2Ayunga 5Main 4Greive 15-3-2 in every start

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
30 April 2022St. Johnstone0–1St. MirrenxG 0.25–0.87
9 February 2022St. Mirren2–1St. JohnstonexG 2.22–1.02
6 November 2021St. Johnstone0–0St. MirrenxG 0.18–0.76
29 August 2021St. Mirren0–0St. JohnstonexG 1.72–0.81
16 January 2021St. Johnstone1–0St. MirrenxG 1.06–0.30
19 December 2020St. Mirren3–2St. JohnstonexG 1.07–1.03

7 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 2, St. Mirren won 3, and 2 were drawn. Goals 5–6 and xG 1.03–1.03 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
May141,466320.190.08
Hallberg191,520040.020.13
Crawford242,118300.070.08
MacPherson131,315010.030.09

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Greive10937310.380.03
Brophy232,003710.310.01
Tanser312,623240.060.21
Main201,971410.210.03

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.