Wednesday 9 November 2022, 19:45 · The SMISA Stadium · Round 15 · Half-time 1–1 · Referee Euan Anderson · Attendance 5,387
St. Mirren Kiltie 42', O'Hara 81'
St. Johnstone Carey 33' (pen), Clark 90+6' · Mitchell sent off 63'
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
St. Mirren
St. Johnstone
Goals
2
2
xG
0.87
1.19
Non-penalty xG
0.87
0.40
Expected Points
0.97
1.68
St. Mirren 21%Draw 35%St. Johnstone 45%
Most likely score 1–1, 24%. Final score 2–2, 4%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
St. MirrenSt. Johnstone
0.87 −0.12xG1.19 +0.47
0.87Non-penalty xG0.40
0.54 −0.42xG on target1.52 +0.78
11 +0.2Shots8 −1.2
4 +1.1Shots on target2 −0.9
0 −1.8Big chances1 −0.1
20 +6Touches in the opposition box13 −1
44% +7Possession56% +16
327 +63Passes435 +124
67% +6Pass accuracy75% +10
57% +21Field tilt42% +12
38 +8Final-third entries30 +6
8 −1.2Box entries6 −0.9
23.3 +7Passes per defensive action18.2 +2
6 0.0Corners3 +0.3
15 0Tackles15 −3
5 −4.2Interceptions12 +1.1
14 −8Clearances27 −2
0 −2.5Saves2 −0.6
9 −5Fouls7 −5
1 −0.1Offsides0 −1.5
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
St. Mirren
St. Johnstone
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
33'42'81'90+6'
0–00–11–12–1
0'HTFT
Level
74 min (76%) · St. Mirren 0.78, St. Johnstone 1.06 xG
St. Mirren ahead
15 min (15%) · St. Mirren 0.00, St. Johnstone 0.13 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
9 min (9%) · St. Mirren 0.09, St. Johnstone 0.00 xG
Line-ups
St. Mirren substitutes
75'Brophy for Gallagher
75'Ayunga for Greive
84'Gogic for Kiltie
84'Shaughnessy for Main
St. Johnstone substitutes
64'Gordon for McLennan
67'Crawford for Murphy · 1 assist
83'Bair for Wright
84'Wotherspoon for Carey
Players
St. Mirren
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Carson
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
1
1
Strain
RWB
90
0.00
0.31
1
0.18
6
3
Fraser
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.04
5
6
Gallagher
CB
75
0.00
0.02
0
0.06
4
3
Dunne
CB
90
0.00
0.02
0
0.04
3
9
Tanser
LWB
90
0.00
0.04
0
0.12
7
4
Kiltie
CM
84
1
1
0.24
0.21
3
0.13
4
0
Erhahon
CM
90
0.00
0.03
0
0.05
4
4
O'Hara
CM
90
1
0.15
0.37
3
0.52
8
2
Main
ST
84
0.05
0.01
1
−0.04
1
2
Greive
ST
75
0.32
0.00
0
−0.01
1
0
Brophy
FW
15
0.09
0.01
0
−0.16
0
0
Ayunga
FW
15
0.02
0.01
0
−0.01
0
1
Gogic
DF
6
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
0
0
Shaughnessy
DF
6
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
St. Johnstone
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Matthews
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
4
1
McGowan
CB
90
0.00
0.02
0
0.03
4
13
Mitchell
CB
63
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
4
Considine
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.07
8
7
Wright
RWB
83
0.00
0.03
0
0.08
9
3
Hallberg
CM
90
0.00
0.02
1
0.02
2
5
Carey
CM
84
1
0.85
0.02
0
0.06
5
1
Brown
LWB
90
0.02
0.16
3
0.39
10
9
Murphy
AM
67
0.00
0.02
0
0.04
5
2
Clark
ST
90
1
0.25
0.01
0
−0.05
0
3
McLennan
ST
64
0.07
0.00
0
−0.02
0
2
Gordon
DF
26
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
1
4
Crawford
MF
23
1
0.00
0.09
1
0.17
1
2
Bair
FW
7
0.00
0.00
0
−0.01
0
0
Wotherspoon
MF
6
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
St. Mirren
St. Johnstone
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
St. Mirren
From
To
Passes
Tanser
O'Hara
9
Strain
Erhahon
8
Kiltie
Strain
8
Gallagher
Fraser
8
Fraser
Strain
8
St. Johnstone
From
To
Passes
Considine
Brown
19
Brown
Murphy
10
Brown
Carey
10
Carey
Brown
10
McGowan
Wright
8
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
St. Mirren
Against its average of 13 matches
St. Johnstone
Against its average of 14 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
St. Mirren
St. Johnstone
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
St. Mirren
Top six
26%
23%
−3
11th
10%
10%
0
Bottom
5%
5%
0
St. Johnstone
Top six
30%
29%
−1
11th
8%
7%
−1
Bottom
4%
3%
−1
From the forecast before the match (9 November 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
St. Mirren
St. Johnstone
Expected goals
1.20
0.92
Win
42%
28%
Expected Points
1.56
1.13
Clean sheet
40%
30%
St. Mirren 42%Draw 31%St. Johnstone 28%
Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 43%.
From the forecast as it stood on 9 November 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
St. Mirren win
Draw
St. Johnstone win
St. Mirren
Top six
26%
35%
23%
16%
11th
10%
7%
10%
14%
Bottom
5%
3%
5%
8%
St. Johnstone
Top six
30%
21%
29%
44%
11th
8%
11%
7%
4%
Bottom
4%
5%
3%
1%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
St. Mirren
St. Johnstone
Position
8th
7th
Played
13
14
Won, drawn, lost
6–1–6
6–1–7
Points
19 (1.46 per game)
19 (1.36 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.04
1.00
Goals
14–20
16–18
xG per game
0.99–1.49
0.72–1.19
Home: points, xG per game
2.29, 1.08–0.97
1.43, 0.74–0.92
Away: points, xG per game
0.50, 0.89–2.10
1.29, 0.69–1.47
Manager
Stephen Robinson (6)
Callum Davidson (90)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
St. Mirren
St. Johnstone
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−32%
+9%
−42%
+7%
Counter-attacks
+76%
−69%
−53%
−100%
Set pieces
+7%
−25%
−42%
−11%
Penalties
−57%
+155%
−60%
−60%
Headers
+28%
−14%
−59%
+12%
Left side
−21%
+27%
−47%
−9%
Centre
−24%
−12%
−44%
−10%
Right side
−10%
−18%
−35%
+21%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
St. MirrenSt. Johnstone
0.99xG0.72
1.49xG against1.19
37%Possession40%
10.8Shots9.2
13.2Shots against15.5
2.9Shots on target2.9
1.8Big chances1.1
14.0Touches in the opposition box13.8
264Passes311
61%Pass accuracy64%
6.0Corners2.7
36%Field tilt31%
29.9Final-third entries24.2
9.2Box entries6.9
16.3Passes per defensive action16.6
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
St. Mirren
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
43
0.91
1.36
Ahead
21
1.28
1.39
Behind
26
0.90
1.78
St. Johnstone
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
40
0.73
1.12
Ahead
26
0.74
0.94
Behind
25
0.67
1.57
xG by period
St. Mirren
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.09
0.18
2–2
16–30
0.12
0.29
0–3
31–45
0.20
0.30
4–4
46–60
0.20
0.20
4–3
61–75
0.12
0.23
1–4
76–90
0.27
0.29
3–4
St. Johnstone
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.07
0.21
3–1
16–30
0.15
0.10
2–1
31–45
0.06
0.17
2–5
46–60
0.12
0.17
1–2
61–75
0.09
0.23
3–2
76–90
0.23
0.31
5–7
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
Most used players by position
St. Mirren
St. Johnstone
Formations: 3-4-2-1 (6), 5-3-2 (5), 3-4-1-2 (3)
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Digressive Celts