Matches › 2024/25

Celtic 2–0 Hearts

Saturday 14 September 2024, 15:00 · Celtic Park · Round 5 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Colin Steven · Attendance 58,872

Celtic Engels 52' (pen), McCowan 89'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Celtic	Hearts
Goals	2	0
xG	2.88	0.65
Non-penalty xG	2.09	0.65
Expected Points	2.75	0.15

Celtic 89%Draw 9%Hearts 2%

Most likely score 3–1, 14%. Final score 2–0, 12%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticHearts

2.88 +0.45xG0.65 −0.37

2.09Non-penalty xG0.65

1.41 −0.88xG on target0.80 +0.25

18 −4Shots7 −7

6 −2.0Shots on target3 +0.2

3 −2.5Big chances1 0.0

35 −7Touches in the opposition box13 −17

71% 0Possession29% −29

705 −11Passes282 −178

88% +1Pass accuracy64% −13

87% +10Field tilt13% −47

82 +21Final-third entries26 −16

23 +2Box entries7 −7

7.9 −1.1Passes per defensive action17.6 +7.5

5 −3.0Corners3 −4.8

18 0Tackles22 −2

14 +6.2Interceptions13 +3.8

16 −4Clearances21 −2

3 +1.5Saves3 0.0

9 0.0Fouls11 −3.0

7 +6.0Offsides0 −1.8

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Celtic

Hearts

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticHearts

1.90 13 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.58 4 shots, 0 goals

0.05 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

0.14 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.07 3 shots, 0 goals

0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–02–0

Level: 54 min (53%) · Celtic 2.48, Hearts 0.08 xG
Celtic ahead: 48 min (47%) · Celtic 0.39, Hearts 0.57 xG

Line-ups

Celtic substitutes

66' Bernardo for Hatate
66' Forrest for Kühn · 1 assist
72' Idah for Furuhashi
80' McCowan for Engels · goal 89'
80' Palma for Maeda

Hearts substitutes

71' Drammeh for Vargas
72' Devlin for Grant
78' Dhanda for Baningime
81' Forrest for Shankland
81' Spittal for Penrice

Players

Celtic

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Schmeichel	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.03	2	0
Johnston	RB	90			0.03	0.42	4	0.51	12	7
Carter-Vickers	CB	90			0.00	0.02	0	0.12	3	11
Scales	CB	90			0.00	0.05	0	0.23	9	7
Taylor	LB	90			0.06	0.11	1	0.03	6	4
Engels	CM	80	1		1.22	0.09	1	−0.04	5	2
McGregor	CM	90			0.05	0.08	0	0.10	4	6
Hatate	CM	66			0.09	0.12	1	−0.08	2	3
Kühn	RW	66			0.35	0.45	4	0.21	7	5
Furuhashi	ST	72			0.87	0.05	0	0.05	0	0
Maeda	LW	80			0.00	0.16	2	0.21	8	0
Bernardo	MF	24			0.00	0.02	0	−0.09	0	2
Forrest	FW	24		1	0.05	0.12	2	0.12	3	1
Idah	FW	18			0.00	0.03	0	−0.08	0	0
McCowan	MF	10	1		0.16	0.00	0	−0.01	0	2
Palma	FW	10			0.00	0.02	1	0.04	4	0

Hearts

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Gordon	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	1
Kingsley	CB	90	0.00	0.02	0	0.06	5	7
Halkett	CB	90	0.00	0.03	0	0.06	2	7
Rowles	CB	90	0.00	0.01	0	0.04	3	7
Taylor	RWB	90	0.00	0.05	0	0.07	5	11
Boateng	CM	90	0.01	0.01	0	−0.05	1	5
Baningime	CM	78	0.00	0.01	0	0.00	3	5
Grant	CM	72	0.00	0.16	1	0.01	2	5
Penrice	LWB	81	0.00	0.03	1	0.02	1	7
Shankland	ST	81	0.10	0.00	0	−0.01	1	1
Vargas	ST	71	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	2	1
Drammeh	FW	19	0.54	0.01	0	0.00	0	0
Devlin	MF	18	0.00	0.01	0	−0.02	0	3
Dhanda	MF	12	0.00	0.00	0	−0.02	0	1
Forrest	MF	9	0.00	0.00	0	0.02	2	1
Spittal	MF	9	0.00	0.23	3	0.21	2	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

Hearts

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

From	To	Passes
Carter-Vickers	Johnston	24
Carter-Vickers	Scales	22
Johnston	Kühn	21
Scales	Taylor	21
McGregor	Johnston	20

Hearts

From	To	Passes
Rowles	Kingsley	6
Gordon	Boateng	5
Penrice	Grant	4
Baningime	Rowles	4
Halkett	Boateng	4

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

Against its average of 4 matches

Hearts

Against its average of 4 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

Hearts

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Celtic
Title	89%	90%	+1
Hearts
Top six	50%	48%	−2
11th	5%	5%	0
Bottom	3%	3%	0
Rangers
Title	11%	10%	−1

From the forecast before the match (14 September 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Celtic	Hearts
Expected goals	2.85	0.64
Win	82%	5%
Expected Points	2.59	0.29
Clean sheet	53%	6%

Celtic 82%Draw 12%Hearts 5%

Most likely score 2–0, 12%. Both sides score 45%.

From the forecast as it stood on 14 September 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Celtic win	Draw	Hearts win
Celtic
Title	89%	90%	85%	81%
Hearts
Top six	50%	48%	57%	67%
11th	5%	5%	4%	2%
Bottom	3%	3%	2%	1%
Rangers
Title	11%	10%	14%	19%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Celtic

Hearts

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Celtic	Hearts
Position	1st	11th
Played	4	4
Won, drawn, lost	4–⁠0–⁠0	0–⁠1–⁠3
Points	12 (3.00 per game)	1 (0.25 per game)
Expected Points per game	2.57	1.04
Goals	12–⁠0	2–⁠7
xG per game	2.43–⁠0.40	1.02–⁠1.52
Home: points, xG per game	3.00, 2.33–⁠0.67	0.50, 0.98–⁠1.00
Away: points, xG per game	3.00, 2.53–⁠0.12	0.00, 1.07–⁠2.04
Manager	Brendan Rodgers (42)	Steven Naismith (38)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Celtic		Hearts
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	+124%	−48%	−30%	−8%
Counter-attacks	+122%	−72%	−28%	+11%
Set pieces	−8%	−73%	+34%	+25%
Penalties	−30%	−87%	−61%	+68%
Headers	+6%	−54%	+24%	+119%
Left side	+129%	−43%	−17%	−14%
Centre	+63%	−66%	−20%	+16%
Right side	+109%	−55%	average	−4%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdHearts concededLeft side+129%−4%Centre+63%+16%Right side+109%−14%Open play+124%−8%Counter-attacks+122%+11%Set pieces−8%+25%Headers+6%+119%

Hearts attacking

Hearts createdCeltic concededLeft side−17%−55%Centre−20%−66%Right sideaverage−43%Open play−30%−48%Counter-attacks−28%−72%Set pieces+34%−73%Headers+24%−54%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticHearts

2.43xG1.02

0.40xG against1.52

72%Possession58%

21.5Shots14.0

6.0Shots against11.5

8.0Shots on target2.8

5.5Big chances1.0

42.2Touches in the opposition box30.0

716Passes460

88%Pass accuracy77%

8.0Corners7.8

77%Field tilt59%

61.0Final-third entries42.0

21.2Box entries13.8

9.0Passes per defensive action10.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	10	3.44	0.74
Ahead	80	2.30	0.35
Behind	0	–	–

Hearts

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	53	0.85	1.62
Ahead	0	–	–
Behind	37	1.29	1.37

xG by period

Celtic

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.40	0.10	2–0
16–30	0.33	0.03	3–0
31–45	0.57	0.00	3–0
46–60	0.43	0.09	1–0
61–75	0.46	0.06	2–0
76–90	0.24	0.12	1–0

Hearts

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.16	0.30	0–0
16–30	0.16	0.39	0–2
31–45	0.05	0.35	0–2
46–60	0.12	0.32	0–1
61–75	0.22	0.09	2–0
76–90	0.32	0.07	0–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

Hearts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (2), 4-3-3 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
4 May 2024	Celtic	3–0	Hearts	xG 2.78–0.43
3 March 2024	Hearts	2–0	Celtic	xG 1.65–2.45
16 December 2023	Celtic	0–2	Hearts	xG 1.60–0.34
22 October 2023	Hearts	1–4	Celtic	xG 0.73–4.01
7 May 2023	Hearts	0–2	Celtic	xG 0.28–1.39
8 March 2023	Celtic	3–1	Hearts	xG 2.08–0.62

12 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 9, Hearts won 3, and 0 were drawn. Goals 26–13 and xG 2.44–0.94 per game.

Key players

Celtic

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Idah	6	679	8	2	1.00	0.08
Forrest	9	871	6	3	0.68	0.36
Palma	18	1,515	7	9	0.50	0.47
Furuhashi	34	2,772	15	6	0.68	0.10

Hearts

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Shankland	40	3,620	24	5	0.45	0.18
Boyce	7	682	1	3	0.34	0.19
Grant	18	1,573	4	4	0.33	0.15
McKay	6	577	0	2	0.05	0.39

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.