Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Celtic 3–0 Rangers

Sunday 1 September 2024, 12:30 · Celtic Park · Round 4 · Half-time 2–0 · Referee John Beaton · Attendance 59,612

Celtic Maeda 17', Furuhashi 40', McGregor 75'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

CelticRangers
Goals30
xG1.551.14
Expected Points1.651.06

Celtic 46%Draw 29%Rangers 26%

Most likely score 1–1, 15%. Final score 3–0, 4%.

Rangers goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+5%7%4%1%9%8%2%8%7%2%4%5%3%1%1%2%15%11%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTEngels on for Bernardo, 62'Forrest on for Kühn, 72'Idah on for Furuhashi and McCowan on for Hatate, 77'McCausland on for Matondo, 38'Lawrence on for Diomande, 58'Balogun on for Propper, Raskin on for Sterling, and Igamane on for Cerny, 80'Maeda 17'Furuhashi 40'McGregor 75'Celtic 1.55Rangers 1.1400.511.520153045607590HTEngels on for Bernardo, 62'Forrest on for Kühn, 72'Idah on for Furuhashi and McCowan on for Hatate, 77'McCausland on for Matondo, 38'Lawrence on for Diomande, 58'Balogun on for Propper, Raskin on for Sterling, and Igamane on for Cerny, 80'Maeda 17'Furuhashi 40'McGregor 75'1.551.14CelticRangers

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticRangers

1.55 −1.17xG1.14 −1.46
1.28 −1.34xG on target0.49 −2.25
14 −10Shots12 −3
4 −5.3Shots on target3 −4.0
6 +0.7Big chances2 −3.0
31 −15Touches in the opposition box24 −10
53% −25Possession47% −22
529 −249Passes470 −111
84% −5Pass accuracy83% −2
57% −27Field tilt43% −30
44 −23Final-third entries40 −11
15 −8Box entries13 −5
11.2 +3.3Passes per defensive action14.0 +3.9
7 −1.3Corners4 −2.0
25 +10Tackles15 +2
10 +3.0Interceptions14 +4.7
28 +11Clearances13 −7
3 +2.0Saves2 0.0
12 +4.0Fouls11 +1.0
1 0.0Offsides1 +0.3

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Celtic

Furuhashi 59', 0.33 xGHatate 37', 0.28 xGBernardo 45+1', 0.20 xGMaeda 37', 0.17 xGMaeda 49', 0.10 xGFuruhashi 71', 0.09 xGForrest 74', 0.07 xGMaeda 30', 0.05 xGForrest 74', 0.03 xGHatate 4', 0.02 xGKühn 67', 0.02 xGMaeda 17', 0.11 xG, goalFuruhashi 40', 0.05 xG, goalMcGregor 75', 0.02 xG, goal10%0.16 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals49%0.76 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.76 xG, 1 goal33%0.51 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.51 xG, 0 goals3%0.05 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 1 goal5%0.07 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 1 goal

Rangers

Matondo 10', 0.31 xGMcCausland 90+3', 0.26 xGSouttar 52', 0.17 xGMcCausland 63', 0.10 xGTavernier 78', 0.08 xGDessers 47', 0.06 xGIgamane 90+3', 0.06 xGMcCausland 62', 0.05 xGRaskin 83', 0.02 xGMcCausland 85', 0.02 xGDiomande 6', 0.01 xGPropper 52', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals79%0.92 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.92 xG, 0 goals16%0.19 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.19 xG, 0 goals3%0.03 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.03 xG, 0 goals2%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticRangers

0.95 9 shots, 3 goalsOpen play1.13 11 shots, 0 goals
0.42 2 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.17 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.01 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
17 min (18%) · Celtic 0.12, Rangers 0.31 xG
Celtic ahead
77 min (82%) · Celtic 1.42, Rangers 0.83 xG

Line-ups

12205328424110838SchmeichelJohnstonCarter-VickersScalesTaylorBernardoMcGregorHatateKühnFuruhashiMaedaYellow cardYellow cardGoalYellow cardGoalGoal62'77'72'77'Celtic 4-3-3Brendan Rodgers1254222181018917ButlandTavernierSouttarPropperJefteSterlingBarronDiomandeCernyDessersMatondoYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow card80'80'58'80'38'Rangers 4-3-3Philippe Clement

Celtic substitutes

  • 62' Engels for Bernardo · yellow card 90+2'
  • 72' Forrest for Kühn
  • 77' McCowan for Hatate
  • 77' Idah for Furuhashi

Rangers substitutes

  • 38' McCausland for Matondo
  • 58' Lawrence for Diomande · yellow card 68'
  • 80' Balogun for Propper
  • 80' Raskin for Sterling
  • 80' Igamane for Cerny

Players

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SchmeichelGK900.000.0000.0101
Johnston RB9010.000.4730.3638
Carter-VickersCB900.000.0100.08612
ScalesCB900.000.0100.09711
Taylor LB9010.000.0210.0369
BernardoCM620.200.1430.0547
McGregorCM9010.020.0300.0662
HatateCM770.300.2410.0173
Kühn RW720.020.2920.2274
FuruhashiST7710.470.0100.0630
MaedaLW90110.440.053−0.0636
Engels MF280.000.000−0.0211
ForrestFW180.100.0100.0130
McCowanMF130.000.000−0.0102
IdahFW130.000.000−0.0100

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ButlandGK900.000.0000.0001
TavernierRB900.080.4220.35108
SouttarCB900.170.0100.0676
PropperCB800.010.0000.0333
Jefte LB900.000.1210.1156
Sterling CM800.000.0100.0137
BarronCM900.000.0210.0341
Diomande CM580.010.010−0.0104
CernyRW800.000.2410.21112
Dessers ST900.060.0210.0221
MatondoLW380.310.000−0.0100
McCauslandMF520.420.0620.0111
Lawrence MF320.000.0310.0953
BalogunDF100.000.0000.0101
RaskinMF100.020.0000.0111
IgamaneFW100.060.0000.0002

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

Scales and McGregor: 5 passesTaylor and Maeda: 5 passesHatate and Maeda: 5 passesJohnston and Hatate: 6 passesCarter-Vickers and Taylor: 6 passesCarter-Vickers and Hatate: 6 passesScales and Maeda: 7 passesHatate and Kühn: 7 passesHatate and Bernardo: 8 passesCarter-Vickers and McGregor: 9 passesJohnston and Bernardo: 10 passesJohnston and Kühn: 10 passesCarter-Vickers and Bernardo: 10 passesBernardo and Kühn: 10 passesScales and Hatate: 11 passesTaylor and Hatate: 12 passesTaylor and McGregor: 12 passesJohnston and McGregor: 13 passesHatate and McGregor: 14 passesSchmeichel and Scales: 16 passesSchmeichel and Carter-Vickers: 16 passesJohnston and Carter-Vickers: 19 passesScales and Taylor: 23 passesScales and Carter-Vickers: 35 passesSchmeichel: 26 completed passesJohnston: 37 completed passesScales: 51 completed passesCarter-Vickers: 53 completed passesTaylor: 35 completed passesHatate: 34 completed passesBernardo: 28 completed passesMcGregor: 32 completed passesKühn: 14 completed passesFuruhashi: 5 completed passesMaeda: 9 completed passes12520341284210838SchmeichelJohnstonScalesCarter-VickersTaylorHatateBernardoMcGregorKühnFuruhashiMaedaStarters until 62' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Rangers

Butland and Tavernier: 3 passesJefte and Diomande: 3 passesTavernier and Barron: 4 passesTavernier and Diomande: 4 passesJefte and Barron: 4 passesJefte and Matondo: 4 passesPropper and Barron: 6 passesPropper and Jefte: 7 passesSouttar and Barron: 7 passesTavernier and Sterling: 8 passesTavernier and Cerny: 9 passesButland and Propper: 11 passesTavernier and Souttar: 13 passesButland and Souttar: 15 passesPropper and Souttar: 18 passesButland: 17 completed passesTavernier: 24 completed passesPropper: 24 completed passesSouttar: 30 completed passesJefte: 11 completed passesSterling: 4 completed passesBarron: 15 completed passesDiomande: 9 completed passesCerny: 7 completed passesDessers: 2 completed passesMatondo: 4 completed passes1245222181018917ButlandTavernierPropperSouttarJefteSterlingBarronDiomandeCernyDessersMatondoStarters until 38' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

FromToPasses
Carter-VickersScales22
ScalesCarter-Vickers19
TaylorScales17
SchmeichelScales16
ScalesTaylor15

Rangers

FromToPasses
ButlandSouttar17
SouttarPropper16
TavernierSouttar16
SouttarTavernier14
TavernierCerny13

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

2−0.35+3.016+8.74−1.01−1.75−2.311+6.011+6.314+6.311+3.33−1.76+0.76+5.07+2.06+0.76+3.36+1.70−2.72−1.050.04+1.720.02+1.34+2.02−1.31−1.00−0.70−0.31−1.01−0.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 3 matches

Rangers

2−0.38+4.714+2.08+1.02−3.36+1.01−3.06+0.35−1.38−3.71−2.02−0.34+3.74+1.04−1.07+4.04+0.75+1.34+1.34+0.36+5.03+1.74+3.36+3.71−1.00−0.71+0.30−0.300.03−6.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 3 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

0.010.010.010.010.020.040.030.030.020.010.030.040.030.030.060.050.020.010.090.08−0.020.030.02−0.01−0.01−0.010.27LessMore

Rangers

0.010.020.020.010.010.010.030.030.030.020.010.080.040.020.010.08−0.010.06−0.01−0.010.070.070.150.16LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackCeltic2.46 → 2.44Rangers2.14 → 2.09Defence (lower is better)Celtic0.72 → 0.72Rangers0.84 → 0.86

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Celtic
Title82%89%+7
Rangers
Title18%11%−7

From the forecast before the match (1 September 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

CelticRangers
Expected goals1.831.04
Win55%21%
Expected Points1.900.86
Clean sheet35%16%

Celtic 55%Draw 24%Rangers 21%

Most likely score 1–1, 11%. Both sides score 55%.

Rangers goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+6%5%3%1%6%2%5%2%6%6%3%1%3%3%1%1%1%10%11%9%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 1 September 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowCeltic winDrawRangers win
Celtic
Title82%89%79%68%
Rangers
Title18%11%21%32%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Celtic

  1. W3–025 AugSt. Mirren (A)xG 2.46–0.15
  2. W2–011 AugHibernian (A)xG 2.60–0.10
  3. W4–04 AugKilmarnock (H)xG 3.11–0.20
  4. W3–218 MaySt. Mirren (H)xG 2.30–1.36
  5. W5–015 MayKilmarnock (A)xG 4.60–0.75
  6. W2–111 MayRangers (H)xG 2.81–1.02

Rangers

  1. W6–024 AugRoss County (H)xG 3.76–0.24
  2. W2–110 AugMotherwell (H)xG 3.30–0.71
  3. D0–03 AugHearts (A)xG 0.75–1.32
  4. D3–318 MayHearts (A)xG 1.99–2.06
  5. W5–214 MayDundee FC (H)xG 3.29–1.19
  6. L1–211 MayCeltic (A)xG 1.02–2.81

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

CelticRangers
Position2nd3rd
Played33
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠0–⁠02–⁠1–⁠0
Points9 (3.00 per game)7 (2.33 per game)
Expected Points per game2.872.22
Goals9–⁠08–⁠1
xG per game2.72–⁠0.152.60–⁠0.76
Home: points, xG per game3.00, 3.11–⁠0.203.00, 3.53–⁠0.47
Away: points, xG per game3.00, 2.53–⁠0.121.00, 0.75–⁠1.32
ManagerBrendan Rodgers (41)Philippe Clement (33)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackCeltic2.46, 1stRangers2.14, 2ndDefence (lower is better)Celtic0.72, 1stRangers0.84, 2nd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.52 Aug31 AugCeltic attack: 2.46Rangers attack: 2.142.462.14RangersCelticDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.52 Aug31 AugCeltic defence: 0.72Rangers defence: 0.840.840.72

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

CelticRangers
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+136%−62%+98%−54%
Counter-attacks+110%−61%+110%−19%
Set pieces+5%−62%+30%−16%
Penalties+4%−80%+4%−74%
Headers+22%−61%+42%−30%
Left side+115%−49%+38%−23%
Centre+87%−68%+100%−45%
Right side+114%−61%+90%−53%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdRangers concededLeft side+115%−53%Centre+87%−45%Right side+114%−23%Open play+136%−54%Counter-attacks+110%−19%Set pieces+5%−16%Headers+22%−30%

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdCeltic concededLeft side+38%−61%Centre+100%−68%Right side+90%−49%Open play+98%−62%Counter-attacks+110%−61%Set pieces+30%−62%Headers+42%−61%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticRangers

2.72xG2.60
0.15xG against0.76
78%Possession69%
24.0Shots15.0
4.0Shots against10.0
9.3Shots on target7.0
5.3Big chances5.0
46.0Touches in the opposition box34.3
778Passes581
89%Pass accuracy85%
8.3Corners6.0
83%Field tilt73%
66.6Final-third entries51.3
23.3Box entries18.3
7.9Passes per defensive action10.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level85.520.08
Ahead822.460.16
Behind0––

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level432.441.10
Ahead472.750.44
Behind0––

xG by period

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.530.042–0
16–300.380.042–0
31–450.530.002–0
46–600.440.031–0
61–750.530.041–0
76–900.320.011–0

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.810.201–0
16–300.510.162–1
31–450.230.021–0
46–600.450.091–0
61–750.410.182–0
76–900.200.111–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWSchmeichel 3Johnston 3Carter-Vickers 3Scales 3Taylor 3O'Riley 2Bernardo 1McGregor 3Hatate 3Kühn 2Forrest 1Furuhashi 2Idah 1Forrest 2Maeda 14-3-3 in every start

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTButland 3Tavernier 3Souttar 3Balogun 1Propper 1Davies 1Yilmaz 2Jefte 1Diomande 2Sterling 1Barron 3Cerny 2Wright 1Lawrence 3Matondo 1Wright 1Cortés 1Dessers 34-2-3-1 in every start

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
11 May 2024Celtic2–1RangersxG 2.81–1.02
7 April 2024Rangers3–3CelticxG 1.69–1.96
30 December 2023Celtic2–1RangersxG 0.64–0.97
3 September 2023Rangers0–1CelticxG 1.80–0.95
13 May 2023Rangers3–0CelticxG 1.57–1.34
8 April 2023Celtic3–2RangersxG 1.09–0.69

16 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 7, Rangers won 5, and 4 were drawn. Goals 25–23 and xG 1.37–1.16 per game.

Key players

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Idah6666821.020.08
Forrest9853630.680.37
Palma181,515790.500.47
Furuhashi332,6951460.690.10

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Danilo5553511.010.09
Dessers302,5321940.770.10
Tavernier413,68117120.410.33
Matondo8756750.400.21

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.