Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

Rangers 2–0 St. Mirren

Sunday 3 December 2023, 15:00 · Ibrox Stadium · Round 15 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Matthew McDermid · Attendance 47,835

Rangers Sima 45', 70'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

RangersSt. Mirren
Goals20
xG1.750.14
Expected Points2.580.24

Rangers 80%Draw 18%St. Mirren 2%

Most likely score 1–0, 27%. Final score 2–0, 25%.

St. Mirren goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+13%2%4%4%14%2%5%1%27%25%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTDanilo on for Dessers, 62'Matondo on for McCausland and Yilmaz on for Barisic, 80'Sterling on for Tavernier, 85'Lammers on for Cantwell, 86'Olusanya on for Ayunga, 71'Dunne on for Taylor, 72'Baccus on for Boyd-Munce, Jamieson on for McMenamin, and Greive on for Kiltie, 78'Sima 45'Sima 70'Rangers 1.75St. Mirren 0.1400.511.520153045607590HTDanilo on for Dessers, 62'Matondo on for McCausland and Yilmaz on for Barisic, 80'Sterling on for Tavernier, 85'Lammers on for Cantwell, 86'Olusanya on for Ayunga, 71'Dunne on for Taylor, 72'Baccus on for Boyd-Munce, Jamieson on for McMenamin, and Greive on for Kiltie, 78'Sima 45'Sima 70'1.750.14RangersSt. Mirren

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

RangersSt. Mirren

1.75 −0.78xG0.14 −0.84
1.71 −0.68xG on target0.95 −0.15
21 0.0Shots4 −5.6
6 −1.2Shots on target3 +0.1
2 −2.2Big chances0 −2.0
32 −4Touches in the opposition box4 −13
69% +4Possession31% −14
656 +84Passes297 −24
87% +4Pass accuracy67% +3
92% +18Field tilt8% −34
71 +11Final-third entries14 −18
26 +8.7Box entries3 −5.5
8.4 −3Passes per defensive action30.9 +15
8 +1.4Corners5 +0.9
24 +10Tackles19 +6
9 +1.5Interceptions13 +5.0
9 −4Clearances23 −2
3 +1.1Saves4 +1.2
9 −2Fouls8 −4
2 0.0Offsides1 −0.8

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Rangers

Sima 39', 0.27 xGCantwell 48', 0.12 xGLammers 90', 0.12 xGSima 5', 0.11 xGDessers 12', 0.09 xGCantwell 63', 0.09 xGSima 44', 0.07 xGCantwell 19', 0.05 xGDessers 59', 0.05 xGDessers 5', 0.04 xGSima 24', 0.04 xGGoldson 76', 0.04 xGDanilo 77', 0.04 xGLawrence 19', 0.03 xGLundstram 21', 0.03 xGTavernier 53', 0.03 xGCantwell 53', 0.03 xGLundstram 32', 0.02 xGSima 3', 0.01 xGSima 70', 0.37 xG, goalSima 45', 0.09 xG, goal15%0.27 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.27 xG, 0 goals43%0.75 xGCentral box: 10 shots, 0.75 xG, 1 goal12%0.21 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.21 xG, 0 goals30%0.52 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.52 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

St. Mirren

Ayunga 60', 0.07 xGBoyd-Munce 37', 0.04 xGOlusanya 89', 0.03 xGAyunga 50', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGCentral box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals20%0.03 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals73%0.11 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals7%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

RangersSt. Mirren

1.56 18 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.14 4 shots, 0 goals
0.19 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
45 min (50%) · Rangers 0.88, St. Mirren 0.04 xG
Rangers ahead
45 min (50%) · Rangers 0.88, St. Mirren 0.11 xG

Line-ups

12627314114513199ButlandTavernierGoldsonBalogunBarisicLundstramLawrenceMcCauslandCantwellSimaDessersYellow cardGoalGoal85'80'80'86'62'Rangers 4-2-3-1Philippe Clement1221358615310711HemmingFraserGogicTaylorFlynnO'HaraBoyd-MunceTanserMcMenaminAyungaKiltieYellow cardYellow cardYellow card72'78'78'71'78'St. Mirren 3-4-3Stephen Robinson

Rangers substitutes

  • 62' Danilo for Dessers
  • 80' Yilmaz for Barisic
  • 80' Matondo for McCausland
  • 85' Sterling for Tavernier
  • 86' Lammers for Cantwell

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 71' Olusanya for Ayunga
  • 72' Dunne for Taylor
  • 78' Baccus for Boyd-Munce
  • 78' Greive for Kiltie
  • 78' Jamieson for McMenamin

Players

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ButlandGK900.000.0000.0100
TavernierRB850.030.5760.59181
Goldson CB900.040.0200.1163
BalogunCB900.000.0100.1037
BarisicLB800.000.6830.3995
LundstramDM900.050.0610.1385
LawrenceDM900.030.1420.21114
McCauslandRW800.000.0810.20107
CantwellAM8620.290.3540.0684
SimaLW9020.970.0300.0123
DessersST620.180.0400.0622
DaniloFW280.040.0510.0621
YilmazDF100.000.0000.0230
MatondoFW100.000.000−0.0100
SterlingDF50.000.0000.0110
LammersFW40.120.0000.0100

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
HemmingGK900.000.0000.0451
Fraser CB900.000.0100.0468
GogicCB900.000.0000.03310
TaylorCB720.000.0000.0233
FlynnRWB900.000.0000.0115
O'HaraCM900.000.0110.0333
Boyd-MunceCM780.040.0100.0145
Tanser LWB900.000.0000.04111
McMenamin RW780.000.001−0.0202
AyungaST710.080.0000.0212
KiltieLW780.000.0000.0235
OlusanyaFW190.030.0000.0000
DunneDF180.000.0000.0002
BaccusMF120.000.0000.0000
GreiveFW120.000.0000.0001
JamiesonFW120.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Rangers

Butland and Tavernier: 6 passesButland and Goldson: 6 passesTavernier and Dessers: 6 passesBalogun and Lawrence: 6 passesBalogun and Cantwell: 6 passesLundstram and McCausland: 6 passesCantwell and Sima: 6 passesLawrence and Cantwell: 8 passesLawrence and McCausland: 9 passesGoldson and Lawrence: 11 passesLundstram and Lawrence: 11 passesMcCausland and Cantwell: 11 passesGoldson and Lundstram: 12 passesBarisic and Sima: 12 passesTavernier and Cantwell: 15 passesLundstram and Cantwell: 16 passesBalogun and Lundstram: 17 passesTavernier and McCausland: 19 passesBalogun and Barisic: 19 passesBarisic and Lundstram: 21 passesTavernier and Lundstram: 23 passesTavernier and Lawrence: 23 passesBalogun and Goldson: 27 passesTavernier and Goldson: 35 passesButland: 15 completed passesTavernier: 68 completed passesBalogun: 48 completed passesGoldson: 56 completed passesBarisic: 37 completed passesLundstram: 56 completed passesLawrence: 38 completed passesMcCausland: 27 completed passesCantwell: 33 completed passesSima: 12 completed passesDessers: 8 completed passes12276314114513199ButlandTavernierBalogunGoldsonBarisicLundstramLawrenceMcCauslandCantwellSimaDessersStarters until 62' · lines join pairs with 6+ passes

St. Mirren

Gogic and Taylor: 3 passesTaylor and O'Hara: 3 passesTaylor and Kiltie: 3 passesBoyd-Munce and Kiltie: 3 passesHemming and Fraser: 4 passesHemming and Tanser: 4 passesGogic and O'Hara: 4 passesTanser and O'Hara: 4 passesO'Hara and Boyd-Munce: 4 passesFlynn and O'Hara: 5 passesGogic and Boyd-Munce: 5 passesFraser and Boyd-Munce: 5 passesTanser and Kiltie: 5 passesFraser and McMenamin: 9 passesFlynn and McMenamin: 10 passesGogic and Fraser: 10 passesTanser and Boyd-Munce: 10 passesTaylor and Tanser: 11 passesTaylor and Boyd-Munce: 11 passesFraser and O'Hara: 12 passesFlynn and Fraser: 19 passesHemming: 13 completed passesFlynn: 15 completed passesGogic: 15 completed passesTaylor: 18 completed passesFraser: 33 completed passesTanser: 20 completed passesMcMenamin: 11 completed passesO'Hara: 19 completed passesBoyd-Munce: 24 completed passesKiltie: 4 completed passesAyunga: 3 completed passes1813522310615117HemmingFlynnGogicTaylorFraserTanserMcMenaminO'HaraBoyd-MunceKiltieAyungaStarters until 71' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Rangers

FromToPasses
GoldsonTavernier27
BalogunGoldson19
TavernierLawrence17
LundstramLawrence17
TavernierGoldson16

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
FraserFlynn13
FlynnFraser8
O'HaraFraser8
FraserO'Hara8
Boyd-MunceTaylor7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Rangers

2−1.63−1.15−3.12−2.63−1.56+0.23−1.72−2.56−2.29+0.39+2.250.03−0.95−1.96−1.65−0.27+2.32−1.33−1.06+1.23+0.73+0.61−1.24+2.16+3.92+0.91+0.50−1.11+0.52+0.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 13 matches

St. Mirren

6+0.15−3.017+1.710+2.24−1.110+1.65+0.112+3.710+1.94−2.33+0.16−0.810+3.51−3.11−2.11−1.62−1.16+2.61−1.43+1.11+0.32+0.80−2.51+0.10−0.30−0.90−0.30−1.13−6.00−5.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 14 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Rangers

0.010.010.030.020.030.030.010.110.060.070.100.030.070.070.020.06−0.050.080.100.030.040.190.210.250.180.19LessMore

St. Mirren

0.010.010.020.010.010.020.040.010.04−0.010.020.02−0.01−0.010.01−0.010.02−0.010.05LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.30AttackRangers2.31 → 2.30St. Mirren1.05 → 1.02Defence (lower is better)Rangers0.69 → 0.68St. Mirren1.42 → 1.43

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Rangers
Title22%23%+1
St. Mirren
Top six63%62%−1
11th3%3%0
Bottom1%1%0
Celtic
Title78%77%−1
Dundee FC
Top six35%36%+1
11th8%8%0
Bottom5%5%0

From the forecast before the match (3 December 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

RangersSt. Mirren
Expected goals3.040.50
Win87%3%
Expected Points2.700.20
Clean sheet60%5%

Rangers 87%Draw 10%St. Mirren 3%

Most likely score 3–0, 14%. Both sides score 38%.

St. Mirren goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+3%1%9%5%1%7%2%7%2%5%1%6%3%5%3%13%14%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 3 December 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRangers winDrawSt. Mirren win
Rangers
Title22%23%16%16%
St. Mirren
Top six63%62%69%79%
11th3%3%1%1%
Bottom1%1%1%1%
Celtic
Title78%77%84%84%
Dundee FC
Top six35%36%31%31%
11th8%8%11%7%
Bottom5%5%5%3%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Rangers

  1. D1–126 NovAberdeen (A)xG 2.64–0.60
  2. W2–012 NovLivingston (A)xG 2.68–0.13
  3. W5–01 NovDundee FC (A)xG 5.69–0.77
  4. W2–129 OctHearts (H)xG 4.03–0.24
  5. W4–021 OctHibernian (H)xG 2.69–0.45
  6. W3–08 OctSt. Mirren (A)xG 2.05–0.03

St. Mirren

  1. L0–128 NovRoss County (A)xG 0.24–0.66
  2. W1–025 NovLivingston (H)xG 0.81–0.59
  3. L0–411 NovDundee FC (A)xG 0.51–2.62
  4. D2–28 NovHibernian (H)xG 1.60–0.89
  5. L1–21 NovCeltic (A)xG 0.62–3.89
  6. W4–028 OctSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.52–0.74

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

RangersSt. Mirren
Position2nd4th
Played1314
Won, drawn, lost9–⁠1–⁠36–⁠4–⁠4
Points28 (2.15 per game)22 (1.57 per game)
Expected Points per game2.501.10
Goals27–⁠719–⁠19
xG per game2.53–⁠0.540.98–⁠1.47
Home: points, xG per game2.00, 2.42–⁠0.692.00, 1.26–⁠1.23
Away: points, xG per game2.29, 2.63–⁠0.411.14, 0.70–⁠1.71
ManagerPhilippe Clement (5)Stephen Robinson (9)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.30AttackRangers2.31, 2ndSt. Mirren1.05, 9thDefence (lower is better)Rangers0.69, 1stSt. Mirren1.42, 7th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecRangers attack: 2.31St. Mirren attack: 1.052.311.05St. MirrenRangersDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecRangers defence: 0.69St. Mirren defence: 1.421.420.69

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

RangersSt. Mirren
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+94%−62%−35%−4%
Counter-attacks+52%−53%+15%+50%
Set pieces+30%−42%−44%−13%
Penalties+202%−100%+20%+100%
Headers+63%−53%−10%−15%
Left side+58%−33%−38%−5%
Centre+73%−63%−40%+9%
Right side+89%−67%−15%−23%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side+58%−23%Centre+73%+9%Right side+89%−5%Open play+94%−4%Counter-attacks+52%+50%Set pieces+30%−13%Headers+63%−15%

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdRangers concededLeft side−38%−67%Centre−40%−63%Right side−15%−33%Open play−35%−62%Counter-attacks+15%−53%Set pieces−44%−42%Headers−10%−53%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

RangersSt. Mirren

2.53xG0.98
0.54xG against1.47
66%Possession44%
21.0Shots9.6
6.8Shots against11.9
7.2Shots on target2.9
4.2Big chances2.0
35.5Touches in the opposition box16.7
572Passes321
83%Pass accuracy63%
6.6Corners4.1
73%Field tilt42%
60.3Final-third entries32.4
17.3Box entries8.5
11.0Passes per defensive action15.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level242.090.72
Ahead442.490.39
Behind223.110.62

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level440.791.26
Ahead291.051.64
Behind171.361.72

xG by period

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.240.102–2
16–300.410.067–0
31–450.370.061–2
46–600.340.121–0
61–750.460.095–2
76–900.720.1111–1

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.210.074–1
16–300.100.251–4
31–450.140.264–2
46–600.220.224–1
61–750.120.251–4
76–900.190.425–7

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTButland 13Tavernier 13Goldson 12Souttar 6Balogun 4Davies 4Barisic 8Yilmaz 4Sterling 1Lundstram 8Cifuentes 5Raskin 6Cantwell 3Jack 3Lammers 4Wright 2Lundstram 1Lammers 5Lundstram 2Lawrence 2Sima 8Danilo 1Lawrence 1Dessers 9Danilo 3Roofe 14-2-3-1 in 7 of 13 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (7), 4-3-3 (4), 4-3-1-2 (2)

St. Mirren

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWHemming 14Fraser 14Gogic 14Taylor 12Dunne 2Strain 11McMenamin 2Flynn 1Baccus 9Kiltie 2McMenamin 1O'Hara 8Boyd-Munce 8Tanser 13O'Hara 1McMenamin 11Tanser 1O'Hara 1Mandron 7Olusanya 6Ayunga 1Kiltie 12Mandron 1Greive 13-4-3 in 8 of 14 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (8), 3-4-2-1 (3), 3-5-2 (2), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
8 October 2023St. Mirren0–3RangersxG 0.03–2.05
27 May 2023St. Mirren0–3RangersxG 0.55–1.81
15 April 2023Rangers5–2St. MirrenxG 3.67–0.30
12 November 2022St. Mirren1–1RangersxG 1.10–1.85
8 October 2022Rangers4–0St. MirrenxG 2.73–0.37
10 April 2022St. Mirren0–4RangersxG 0.30–2.38

11 league meetings since 2020/21: Rangers won 10, St. Mirren won 0, and 1 was a draw. Goals 32–4 and xG 2.19–0.37 per game.

Key players

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Dessers9663400.740.12
Tavernier131,170720.480.25
Sima8825510.480.22
Lammers9755220.430.08

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Olusanya6571110.310.07
Kiltie141,102230.190.09
Mandron8665310.210.06
O'Hara10900210.190.06

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.